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The New Playbook for
Marketing in a Recession

            January 27th, 2009
The old playbook…
    “…build a recession           “…response to the
                             
    marketing plan based          recession varies by
    on the firm’s strategic       geography, sector and
    capabilities”                 firm size”
The new playbook
    There is no panacea


    Strong firms benefit from investment and suffer from


    cost cutting
    Proactive marketing is not always a guarantee of

    success
    Firm’s viewpoint on the recession determines strategy


    “How an organization perceives a change in the


    environment affects the level and type of response”
    Focusing on historically profitable regions and

    customer groups will miss the mark
Four prescriptions for managing through an
    economic recession

           Prescription                      Explanation                                  Effect
                                          To conserve resources
Position the firm in multiple     Sales are imperfectly correlated         Creates a balancing effect on cash
markets and geographies.          across regions and industries.           flow.

Plan for the contingency of       Recessions are hard to forecast;         Facilitates a swift response to
sharply declining sales.          sales declines are a leading             recession.
                                  indicator.

                                           To attract resources
Promote the business in tough     Customers often rethink supplier         Makes new customer inroads.
times.                            relationships during tough times.

Prepare to exploit the recovery   When competitors are conserving          Adds capacity or customers at a
with careful investments.         cash, desirable hires, capital assets,   discount.
                                  and even companies may become
                                  available.
One way of looking at things…


                       Corporation




        Conversation                 Customer




                       Competition
Recession marketing framework
Internal Branding and Morale
    Employee issues are critically important during

    recessions and in preparation for recovery
    Constant communications has been proven to sustain


    high morale and maintain company strength

For Example: Black and Decker increases communications during times of recession in
order to maintain morale and credibility among their employees.
• The company alerts employees to changes in their respective departments
• They communicate up front what the managers see as areas for potential reductions in
employment or financial support
• Black and Decker continues its investment in organizational development
• The company philosophy is to promote employees from within, even during a recession.
Multiple markets and geographies
  Examine your customer base for cycles &


  counter cycles and prepare to shift focus
 Examine regions, or even parts of the

  city/state/county that have performance
  differentials
 Identify customers less affected by recession

 Who needs your help the most in the recession?

 Could you do more business virtually, not
  dependent on local geography?
Micromarket to profitable segments
    Consumer marketers with access to micromarket

    data have even more opportunities to enhance
    profitability.
    One beverage company recently conducted surveys that

    identified staggering differences in the potential profitability of
    customers within individual markets and micromarkets. A
    company can maximize its profitability by focusing on
    micromarkets less sensitive to prices while also offering discounts
    or preferential pricing elsewhere to drive sales volumes.
Micromarket to profitable segments
Plan to confront declining sales
     Ear to the ground, “CRM mentality”
 

     Don’t believe that economists (3/01 – 90% said “no
 

     recession)
     Get comfortable with the data – it’s all about the
 
     data!
     Setup trigger points at which you invoke different
 

     parts of your recession marketing plan
For Example: In 2001, ADC communications, a competitor to Lucent, Cisco and Nortel
saw it’s sales degrading to the point of a 27% dip. The immediately retrenched, changed
course, implemented a recession marketing & sales strategy and gained market share on
each of their major competitors that they retain to this day.
Promote products & services
    Don’t be tempted to abandon planned initiatives


    Supplier switching activity peaks during recessions!


    Cheap advertising = higher ROMI


    Your best prospects are your competitors best


    customers

For Example: Dixieline Lumber, a 10-unit San Diego chain, two marketing initiatives
helped increase company sales by 9% during the recession of 2001.
1) The first was directed to the building trade and involved training the in-store sales
    force to assemble hardware packages for custom-home builders.
2) The second initiative was directed at homeowners and involved increasing marketing
    on millwork as homeowners switched from spending on traveling and entertainment
    to fixing up their homes.
Maintain advertising & marketing
     All data points to higher post-recession market
 
     share for sustained or increased investment
     Confidence is built through sustained successful
 

     efforts
     Mix in new marketing vehicles to maintain reach but
 

     reduce cost
     Steady marketing sustains brand awareness and
 
     position with consumers
For Example: Carpet Mills of America increased its sales by 24.4% during the recession
of 2001 simply by sustaining their overall marketing efforts while their competitors
shuttered their marketing.
Introduce new products & services
    Historically, some of the best innovations come from

    recessions
    Less noise and clutter means more room for you


    (increase SOV & SOM)
    Innovations are proven to keep customers buying in


    times that are otherwise slow
For Example: There are two examples of great interest:
1) Paychex, an payroll processor, launched Taxpay in 1990 as an additional service for
    it’s existing customers on Paychex. It brought in a burst of new revenues from
    existing customers while introduced new customers to both Taxpay and Paychex,
    setting itself up nicely for the recovery
2) Black & Decker introduced a highly successful line of 33 new power tools during the
    1990 recession that set it up to capitalized on the DIY boom of the next decade.
Find price cut alternatives
    Don’t send unintentional messages training your

    customers to buy on discount only
    Bundling, repackaging, white labeling, adding


    service elements to products, tiered offerings and a
    host of other mechanisms can sustain profitability
    without entering a price war.
For Example: Grocery stores, department stores and other retailers often seek to raise
the profile of their own labels during recessions, often rebranding things to give them
broader appeal while increasing their profitability.

Microsoft and others have always sold a ‘bundled’ set of products that offers value while
maximizing profitability. Offer packages, include service offerings and seek out
customer input on what will provide the most value to them.
Attract new customers
    Now’s a great time to get deep profiles of your

    best customers (“Vertizontal”)
    Focus on solutions – deep understanding of


    customers includes deep understanding of their
    needs, problems, pain points & desires
    Maintain marketing presence as a show of strength


    Capitalize on competitors pullbacks by

    approaching their customers
    Employ new marketing tools & channels to attract

    customers from new media
Reprioritize marketing vehicles
    Reevaluate the

    effectiveness of current
    vehicles
    Shift 10-15% into new

    media
    Conduct a marketing

    audit, don’t just do
    guesswork
Reprioritize customer segments
    Analyze customer segments for profitability to

    determine shifts
    B2B should examine risk on a per-customer basis


    Watch where the trends are going


    Setup tiers of customer segmentation


     Core

     Secondary

     Opportunity

     Harvest
Prepare for economic recovery
    Typical recessions are 6mos – 2 years … Prepare

    your plans for a 2 year horizon
    Look for bargain acquisitions, leases, employees,


    whatever you need to be successful on the upswing
    Marketplace protection moves rapidly to


    marketplace expansion
    You’ll be flush with cash from the new customers

    acquired in the downturn, ready to expand into the
    recovery
Recession marketing framework
The New Playbook for Marketing in a Recession




                          Q&A


 Need help after the presentation? Email dana@marketingsavant.com

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Marketing in a Recession Playbook

  • 1. The New Playbook for Marketing in a Recession January 27th, 2009
  • 2. The old playbook… “…build a recession “…response to the   marketing plan based recession varies by on the firm’s strategic geography, sector and capabilities” firm size”
  • 3. The new playbook There is no panacea  Strong firms benefit from investment and suffer from  cost cutting Proactive marketing is not always a guarantee of  success Firm’s viewpoint on the recession determines strategy  “How an organization perceives a change in the  environment affects the level and type of response” Focusing on historically profitable regions and  customer groups will miss the mark
  • 4. Four prescriptions for managing through an economic recession Prescription Explanation Effect To conserve resources Position the firm in multiple Sales are imperfectly correlated Creates a balancing effect on cash markets and geographies. across regions and industries. flow. Plan for the contingency of Recessions are hard to forecast; Facilitates a swift response to sharply declining sales. sales declines are a leading recession. indicator. To attract resources Promote the business in tough Customers often rethink supplier Makes new customer inroads. times. relationships during tough times. Prepare to exploit the recovery When competitors are conserving Adds capacity or customers at a with careful investments. cash, desirable hires, capital assets, discount. and even companies may become available.
  • 5. One way of looking at things… Corporation Conversation Customer Competition
  • 7. Internal Branding and Morale Employee issues are critically important during  recessions and in preparation for recovery Constant communications has been proven to sustain  high morale and maintain company strength For Example: Black and Decker increases communications during times of recession in order to maintain morale and credibility among their employees. • The company alerts employees to changes in their respective departments • They communicate up front what the managers see as areas for potential reductions in employment or financial support • Black and Decker continues its investment in organizational development • The company philosophy is to promote employees from within, even during a recession.
  • 8. Multiple markets and geographies Examine your customer base for cycles &  counter cycles and prepare to shift focus  Examine regions, or even parts of the city/state/county that have performance differentials  Identify customers less affected by recession  Who needs your help the most in the recession?  Could you do more business virtually, not dependent on local geography?
  • 9. Micromarket to profitable segments Consumer marketers with access to micromarket  data have even more opportunities to enhance profitability. One beverage company recently conducted surveys that  identified staggering differences in the potential profitability of customers within individual markets and micromarkets. A company can maximize its profitability by focusing on micromarkets less sensitive to prices while also offering discounts or preferential pricing elsewhere to drive sales volumes.
  • 11. Plan to confront declining sales Ear to the ground, “CRM mentality”  Don’t believe that economists (3/01 – 90% said “no  recession) Get comfortable with the data – it’s all about the  data! Setup trigger points at which you invoke different  parts of your recession marketing plan For Example: In 2001, ADC communications, a competitor to Lucent, Cisco and Nortel saw it’s sales degrading to the point of a 27% dip. The immediately retrenched, changed course, implemented a recession marketing & sales strategy and gained market share on each of their major competitors that they retain to this day.
  • 12. Promote products & services Don’t be tempted to abandon planned initiatives  Supplier switching activity peaks during recessions!  Cheap advertising = higher ROMI  Your best prospects are your competitors best  customers For Example: Dixieline Lumber, a 10-unit San Diego chain, two marketing initiatives helped increase company sales by 9% during the recession of 2001. 1) The first was directed to the building trade and involved training the in-store sales force to assemble hardware packages for custom-home builders. 2) The second initiative was directed at homeowners and involved increasing marketing on millwork as homeowners switched from spending on traveling and entertainment to fixing up their homes.
  • 13. Maintain advertising & marketing All data points to higher post-recession market  share for sustained or increased investment Confidence is built through sustained successful  efforts Mix in new marketing vehicles to maintain reach but  reduce cost Steady marketing sustains brand awareness and  position with consumers For Example: Carpet Mills of America increased its sales by 24.4% during the recession of 2001 simply by sustaining their overall marketing efforts while their competitors shuttered their marketing.
  • 14. Introduce new products & services Historically, some of the best innovations come from  recessions Less noise and clutter means more room for you  (increase SOV & SOM) Innovations are proven to keep customers buying in  times that are otherwise slow For Example: There are two examples of great interest: 1) Paychex, an payroll processor, launched Taxpay in 1990 as an additional service for it’s existing customers on Paychex. It brought in a burst of new revenues from existing customers while introduced new customers to both Taxpay and Paychex, setting itself up nicely for the recovery 2) Black & Decker introduced a highly successful line of 33 new power tools during the 1990 recession that set it up to capitalized on the DIY boom of the next decade.
  • 15. Find price cut alternatives Don’t send unintentional messages training your  customers to buy on discount only Bundling, repackaging, white labeling, adding  service elements to products, tiered offerings and a host of other mechanisms can sustain profitability without entering a price war. For Example: Grocery stores, department stores and other retailers often seek to raise the profile of their own labels during recessions, often rebranding things to give them broader appeal while increasing their profitability. Microsoft and others have always sold a ‘bundled’ set of products that offers value while maximizing profitability. Offer packages, include service offerings and seek out customer input on what will provide the most value to them.
  • 16. Attract new customers Now’s a great time to get deep profiles of your  best customers (“Vertizontal”) Focus on solutions – deep understanding of  customers includes deep understanding of their needs, problems, pain points & desires Maintain marketing presence as a show of strength  Capitalize on competitors pullbacks by  approaching their customers Employ new marketing tools & channels to attract  customers from new media
  • 17. Reprioritize marketing vehicles Reevaluate the  effectiveness of current vehicles Shift 10-15% into new  media Conduct a marketing  audit, don’t just do guesswork
  • 18. Reprioritize customer segments Analyze customer segments for profitability to  determine shifts B2B should examine risk on a per-customer basis  Watch where the trends are going  Setup tiers of customer segmentation   Core  Secondary  Opportunity  Harvest
  • 19. Prepare for economic recovery Typical recessions are 6mos – 2 years … Prepare  your plans for a 2 year horizon Look for bargain acquisitions, leases, employees,  whatever you need to be successful on the upswing Marketplace protection moves rapidly to  marketplace expansion You’ll be flush with cash from the new customers  acquired in the downturn, ready to expand into the recovery
  • 21. The New Playbook for Marketing in a Recession Q&A Need help after the presentation? Email dana@marketingsavant.com