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Economic Indicators:
An Update for the 7 Rivers Region
The views expressed today do not reflect
the views of the sponsors, my employer,
or me.
Disclaimer:
The forecasts today are provided without
warranty and if you listen to my wife,
completely worthless.
Disclaimer:
I Won’t Cover
 Russia
 The Wall
 “Wire Tapps”
 Immigration Ban 1.0
 Immigration Ban 2.0
 Supreme Court Nominees
 Crowd Size Estimation Techniques
Topics To Cover
 “TRUMP Bump”
 Recent Income Inequality Research
 Trade Deals
 American Health Care Act (AHCA)
 Infrastructure
 Budget Proposal
 Tax Reform
 Philanthropy
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08
TRUMP Bump
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08
TRUMP Bump
DAX
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08
TRUMP Bump
DAX
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08
TRUMP Bump
DAX
FTSE 100
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08
TRUMP Bump
S&P 500
DAX
FTSE 100
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
2017-01-20 2017-02-03 2017-02-17 2017-03-03 2017-03-17
TRUMP Bump
S&P 500
DAX
FTSE 100
Trade
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015
GDP Growth by MSA
U.S.
Eau Claire
La Crosse
Rochester
Philanthropy - altruistic concern for
human welfare and advancement, usual
manifested by donations of money,
property, or work to needy persons
Sheila Garrity, MASL
Executive Director
The Non-Profit Economy
 Suppliers of Funds
 Demanders for Funds
 Financial Intermediaries
Supply of Funds (Donors)
33
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
2015 contributions: $373.25 billion by source
(in billions of dollars – all figures are rounded)
34
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Giving by source: Percentage of the total in
five-year spans, 1976–2015
36
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Individual giving as a percentage of disposable personal
income, 19752015 (in current dollars)
37
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Corporate giving as a percentage of corporate pre-tax
profits, 19752015 (in current dollars)
38
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Total giving as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product,
19752015 (in inflation-adjusted dollars, 2015 = $100)
Demand for Funds (Non-Profits)
41
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
2015 contributions: $373.25 billion by type of recipient
organization (in billions of dollars – all figures are
rounded)
42
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Giving by type of recipient: Percentage of the
total in five-year spans, 1976–2015*
Intermediaries
Foundations
United Way
Large Non-Profits
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
0 1 to 9,999 10,000 to
24,999
25,000 to
99,999
100,000 to
499,999
500,000 to
999,999
1,000,000
to
4,999,999
5,000,000
to
9,999,999
10,000,000
to
49,999,999
50,000,000
to greater
Number of Non-Profits By Asset Size
Z Unknown
Y Mutual/Membership Benefit Organizations, Other
X Religion-Related, Spiritual Development
W Public, Society Benefit – Multipurpose and Other
V Social Science Research Institutes, Services
U Science and Technology
T Philanthropy, Voluntarism and Grantmaking Foundations
S Community Improvement, Capacity Building
R Civil Rights, Social Action, Advocacy
Q International, Foreign Affairs and National Security
P Human Services – Multipurpose and Other
O Youth Development
M Public Safety, Disaster Preparedness and Relief
N Recreation, Sports, Leisure
L Housing, Shelter
K Food, Agriculture and Nutrition
J Employment, Job-Related
I Crime, Legal-Related
H Medical Research
G Diseases, Disorders, Medical Disciplines
F Mental Health, Crisis Intervention
E Health – General and Rehabilitative
D Animal-Related
C Environmental Quality, Protection and Beautification
B Educational Institutions and Related Activities
A Arts, Culture and Humanities
48
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Volunteer rate as a share of the U.S.
population, 2004–2014
Q6 Please check all the activities below that apply to you.
I annually donate money to a local non-profit/charity (1) 90.3%
I annually donate time to a local non-profit/charity by volunteering (2) 71.0%
I currently serve on a board for a local non-profit/charity (3) 59.1%
I give money to my church. (4) 62.4%
I'm looking for opportunities to use my skills to benefit local non-profits/charities (5)
21.5%
My work and family commitments prevents me from volunteering at this time. (6)
18.3%
BEYOND THE BOARDROOM:
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP
AND COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
Sue Christopherson
Principal & President Emeritus,
Fowler & Hammer
Dave Skogan
Chairman of the Board,
Festival Foods
BEYOND THE BOARDROOM:
CORPORATE LEADERSHIP
AND COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
How have your gifts of servant leadership in
community activities helped you to develop
relationships and better understand
community’s needs?
What are you doing to engender a culture
of philanthropy among family and
employees?
What can the “non-profit” community learn
from the “for profit” community?
What can the “for profit” community learn
from the “non-profit” community?
What are the big challenges facing “non
profits” that you have seen?
How has working with/in philanthropy
improved/altered your efforts in your “for
profit” work?
Thanks.
Giving USA 2016
The Annual Report on Philanthropy
for the Year 2015
62
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Total charitable giving graphed with the Standard &
Poor's 500 Index, 19752015
(in billions of inflation-adjusted dollars, 2015 = $100)
63
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Giving USA 2016
The Annual Report on Philanthropy for the Year 2015
Researched and written by
65
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
What is Giving USA?
 The longest running, annual report on U.S. charitable giving
 Estimates for:
 Sources of giving
 Amounts received by type of organization
 Published by Giving USA FoundationTM
 Begun in 1956 by the American Association of Fundraising
Counsel, now The Giving Institute
 Made possible by contributions from The Giving Institute member
firms, foundations, and other donors
 Researched and written by the Indiana University Lilly Family
School of Philanthropy
Giving USA 2016
Graph Pack User’s Guide
Images in this Graph Pack are developed for use in
purchasers’ own materials. Images used from this
Graph Pack must clearly show the Giving USA
Foundation™ copyright and must not be distorted or
modified in any way.
Purchasers do not have the right to prepare handouts
using these materials. This Graph Pack cannot be
shared or distributed, for free or for profit.
67
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
References
1. All data in this section are reported as estimates, which are subject to
revision. The estimates for total charitable giving for the years 2013 and
2014 were revised in this edition from estimates reported in Giving USA
2015. To provide the most accurate estimates for charitable giving, as
new data become available, Giving USA revises its estimates for at
least the last two years. See more about how Giving USA calculates
charitable giving by sources and uses in the “Brief summary of methods
used” section of this report.
2. Data were provided by the Foundation Center in April 2016 and are
subject to revision. Data on giving by and to foundations is available in
the Foundation Center’s Key Facts on U.S. Foundations reports,
available at the Foundation Center’s website at
www.foundationcenter.org.
3. See the Foundation Center’s Key Facts on Family Foundations
reports at www.foundationcenter.org.
68
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
References
4. Same as note 1.
5. Same as note 1.
6. These figures do not include changes in giving of less than one
percent, which is considered a flat rate of change for Giving USA
purposes.
7. Same as note 1.
8. “Methodology Papers,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.
Department of Commerce, retrieved May 2016, www.bea.gov
9. “Gross Domestic Product,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.
Department of Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016, www.bea.gov
10. “S&P 500 Stock Price Index (S&P 500),” Federal Reserve Bank of
St. Louis, FRED® Economic Data, 2015, retrieved April 2016,
http://research.stlouisfed.org
69
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
References
11. “Methodology Papers,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S.
Department of Commerce, retrieved May 2016, www.bea.gov
12. “Personal Income and Its Disposition,” Bureau of Economic
Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016,
www.bea.gov
13. These data are in current dollars. “Corporate Profits Before Tax by
Industry,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of
Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016, www.bea.gov
70
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Trends in total giving, 19752015
(in billions of dollars)
71
SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016
Total giving, 19752015
(in billions of dollars)
March 2017
March 2017
March 2017
March 2017
March 2017

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March 2017

  • 1. Economic Indicators: An Update for the 7 Rivers Region
  • 2. The views expressed today do not reflect the views of the sponsors, my employer, or me. Disclaimer:
  • 3. The forecasts today are provided without warranty and if you listen to my wife, completely worthless. Disclaimer:
  • 4.
  • 5. I Won’t Cover  Russia  The Wall  “Wire Tapps”  Immigration Ban 1.0  Immigration Ban 2.0  Supreme Court Nominees  Crowd Size Estimation Techniques
  • 6. Topics To Cover  “TRUMP Bump”  Recent Income Inequality Research  Trade Deals  American Health Care Act (AHCA)  Infrastructure  Budget Proposal  Tax Reform  Philanthropy
  • 10. 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08 TRUMP Bump DAX FTSE 100
  • 11. 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 2016-11-08 2016-12-08 2017-01-08 2017-02-08 2017-03-08 TRUMP Bump S&P 500 DAX FTSE 100
  • 12.
  • 13. 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 2017-01-20 2017-02-03 2017-02-17 2017-03-03 2017-03-17 TRUMP Bump S&P 500 DAX FTSE 100
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. Trade
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23. 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 GDP Growth by MSA U.S. Eau Claire La Crosse Rochester
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29. Philanthropy - altruistic concern for human welfare and advancement, usual manifested by donations of money, property, or work to needy persons
  • 31. The Non-Profit Economy  Suppliers of Funds  Demanders for Funds  Financial Intermediaries
  • 32. Supply of Funds (Donors)
  • 33. 33 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 2015 contributions: $373.25 billion by source (in billions of dollars – all figures are rounded)
  • 34. 34 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Giving by source: Percentage of the total in five-year spans, 1976–2015
  • 35.
  • 36. 36 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Individual giving as a percentage of disposable personal income, 19752015 (in current dollars)
  • 37. 37 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Corporate giving as a percentage of corporate pre-tax profits, 19752015 (in current dollars)
  • 38. 38 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Total giving as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product, 19752015 (in inflation-adjusted dollars, 2015 = $100)
  • 39. Demand for Funds (Non-Profits)
  • 40.
  • 41. 41 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 2015 contributions: $373.25 billion by type of recipient organization (in billions of dollars – all figures are rounded)
  • 42. 42 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Giving by type of recipient: Percentage of the total in five-year spans, 1976–2015*
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46. 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 0 1 to 9,999 10,000 to 24,999 25,000 to 99,999 100,000 to 499,999 500,000 to 999,999 1,000,000 to 4,999,999 5,000,000 to 9,999,999 10,000,000 to 49,999,999 50,000,000 to greater Number of Non-Profits By Asset Size
  • 47. Z Unknown Y Mutual/Membership Benefit Organizations, Other X Religion-Related, Spiritual Development W Public, Society Benefit – Multipurpose and Other V Social Science Research Institutes, Services U Science and Technology T Philanthropy, Voluntarism and Grantmaking Foundations S Community Improvement, Capacity Building R Civil Rights, Social Action, Advocacy Q International, Foreign Affairs and National Security P Human Services – Multipurpose and Other O Youth Development M Public Safety, Disaster Preparedness and Relief N Recreation, Sports, Leisure L Housing, Shelter K Food, Agriculture and Nutrition J Employment, Job-Related I Crime, Legal-Related H Medical Research G Diseases, Disorders, Medical Disciplines F Mental Health, Crisis Intervention E Health – General and Rehabilitative D Animal-Related C Environmental Quality, Protection and Beautification B Educational Institutions and Related Activities A Arts, Culture and Humanities
  • 48. 48 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Volunteer rate as a share of the U.S. population, 2004–2014
  • 49. Q6 Please check all the activities below that apply to you. I annually donate money to a local non-profit/charity (1) 90.3% I annually donate time to a local non-profit/charity by volunteering (2) 71.0% I currently serve on a board for a local non-profit/charity (3) 59.1% I give money to my church. (4) 62.4% I'm looking for opportunities to use my skills to benefit local non-profits/charities (5) 21.5% My work and family commitments prevents me from volunteering at this time. (6) 18.3%
  • 50.
  • 51. BEYOND THE BOARDROOM: CORPORATE LEADERSHIP AND COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
  • 52. Sue Christopherson Principal & President Emeritus, Fowler & Hammer
  • 53. Dave Skogan Chairman of the Board, Festival Foods BEYOND THE BOARDROOM: CORPORATE LEADERSHIP AND COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT
  • 54. How have your gifts of servant leadership in community activities helped you to develop relationships and better understand community’s needs?
  • 55. What are you doing to engender a culture of philanthropy among family and employees?
  • 56. What can the “non-profit” community learn from the “for profit” community?
  • 57. What can the “for profit” community learn from the “non-profit” community?
  • 58. What are the big challenges facing “non profits” that you have seen?
  • 59. How has working with/in philanthropy improved/altered your efforts in your “for profit” work?
  • 61. Giving USA 2016 The Annual Report on Philanthropy for the Year 2015
  • 62. 62 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Total charitable giving graphed with the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, 19752015 (in billions of inflation-adjusted dollars, 2015 = $100)
  • 63. 63 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Giving USA 2016 The Annual Report on Philanthropy for the Year 2015 Researched and written by
  • 64.
  • 65. 65 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 What is Giving USA?  The longest running, annual report on U.S. charitable giving  Estimates for:  Sources of giving  Amounts received by type of organization  Published by Giving USA FoundationTM  Begun in 1956 by the American Association of Fundraising Counsel, now The Giving Institute  Made possible by contributions from The Giving Institute member firms, foundations, and other donors  Researched and written by the Indiana University Lilly Family School of Philanthropy
  • 66. Giving USA 2016 Graph Pack User’s Guide Images in this Graph Pack are developed for use in purchasers’ own materials. Images used from this Graph Pack must clearly show the Giving USA Foundation™ copyright and must not be distorted or modified in any way. Purchasers do not have the right to prepare handouts using these materials. This Graph Pack cannot be shared or distributed, for free or for profit.
  • 67. 67 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 References 1. All data in this section are reported as estimates, which are subject to revision. The estimates for total charitable giving for the years 2013 and 2014 were revised in this edition from estimates reported in Giving USA 2015. To provide the most accurate estimates for charitable giving, as new data become available, Giving USA revises its estimates for at least the last two years. See more about how Giving USA calculates charitable giving by sources and uses in the “Brief summary of methods used” section of this report. 2. Data were provided by the Foundation Center in April 2016 and are subject to revision. Data on giving by and to foundations is available in the Foundation Center’s Key Facts on U.S. Foundations reports, available at the Foundation Center’s website at www.foundationcenter.org. 3. See the Foundation Center’s Key Facts on Family Foundations reports at www.foundationcenter.org.
  • 68. 68 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 References 4. Same as note 1. 5. Same as note 1. 6. These figures do not include changes in giving of less than one percent, which is considered a flat rate of change for Giving USA purposes. 7. Same as note 1. 8. “Methodology Papers,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, retrieved May 2016, www.bea.gov 9. “Gross Domestic Product,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016, www.bea.gov 10. “S&P 500 Stock Price Index (S&P 500),” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, FRED® Economic Data, 2015, retrieved April 2016, http://research.stlouisfed.org
  • 69. 69 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 References 11. “Methodology Papers,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, retrieved May 2016, www.bea.gov 12. “Personal Income and Its Disposition,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016, www.bea.gov 13. These data are in current dollars. “Corporate Profits Before Tax by Industry,” Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce, 2015, retrieved April 2016, www.bea.gov
  • 70. 70 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Trends in total giving, 19752015 (in billions of dollars)
  • 71. 71 SOURCE: Giving USA Foundation | GIVING USA 2016 Total giving, 19752015 (in billions of dollars)