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www.company.com
MANAGING RISK IN
FINANCIAL SECTOR
By, Saad Khan & Mahrez Mohiuddin
Money & Banking
www.company.com
What is Risk?
• Generally - Danger, Hazard, Adverse impact,
• Fear of loss
• Financially-Loss of earnings/capital
o May result in incapability of financial institution to meet
business goals
Money & Banking
www.company.com
When it springs up?
• Arises when there is NO / LESS RETURN in
business
• Investors like Returns & dislike Risks.
• Therefore, people will invest in risky assets only
if they expect to receive higher returns.
www.company.com
Loss
• Kinds of Losses
 Expected – Occur with reasonable certainty
o Expected default rate of corporate loan/credit card
portfolio
 Unexpected – associated with unforeseen events
o Falling interest rates being absorbed by banks,
using Capital as buffer
www.company.com
How to increase returns?
• Banks must take
“Additional risks”
“Lower Risks
means
lower Returns”
Money & Banking
www.company.com
.RISKS
Credit
Marketing
Liquidity
Operational
Strategic
Interest rate
Legal &
Reputation
Political
Compliance
Systematic
Country
Foreign
exchange
Default
Portfolio
Industry
Ownership
Audit
www.company.com
Is there any global system to manage risks?
• BASEL II Accord
• Determines how much money banks must set aside for
dealing with emergencies
• Failure points –Credit, Market & Operational risks.
www.company.com
Why we need strategies for Risk Management?
• Identify risks
• Assess impact
• Provide appropriate tools
• Developing methods for monitoring
www.company.com
Risk Management
• Effective Risk management
i. Identifies threats
ii. Controls loss
iii. Safeguards against unauthorized use of funds
iv. Protects against injury
v. Takes appropriate actions
vi. Offers tools for financial loss
www.company.com
Benefits of Risk Management
• Strategic planning
• Cost control
• Minimum losses & maximum opportunities
• Increase knowledge of understanding
• Well informed decision making
• Outside review
• Minimum disruptions
• Better utilization of resources
• Culture for continued improvement
• Quality organization
• Protect yourself, protect your organization
www.company.com
FOUR MAJOR RISKS
TO WHICH FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CAN BE EXPOSED TO:
1. Credit Risk
2. Market Risk
3. Liquidity Risk
4. Operational Risk
www.company.com
Credit Risk (contract)
• “The possibility of one of the parties, to the
contract not fulfilling its obligation.”
• Arises when the obligor is unwilling to, or its
ability to perform that obligation is impaired
resulting in loss to bank.
• Any default in lending, trading, settlement &
other financial transactions result in liquidity
problem to the bank.
www.company.com
Components of Credit Risk
Management
1. Board & Senior management
o Duty-to approve bank’s credit risk strategy & policies to get
implementation
2. Organizational structure
o CRMC (Credit Risk Management Committee) under the
CR management dept implement policies, monitoring,
approving loan limits, delegating credit approving powers,
regulatory legal compliances, risk concentration etc.
www.company.com
3. Systems & Procedures
• Credit organization
o Assessment of the borrower’s industry before
new or expansion of the credit
o Purpose, source of repayment, track record,
proposed conditions & covenants, collaterals,
financial position of borrower, appropriate
sanctioning authority & repute financial position.
www.company.com
•Limit setting
oSize of the loan limits should be based on the credit
strength of the obligor, genuine requirement, economic
condition & institution risk tolerance, may be reviewed at
least annually.
•Credit administration
oComplete proper documentation, credit disbursement
after fulfillment of all formalities, its monitoring, timely
repayment, maintenance of file, collateral & security
documents.
www.company.com
• Managing Credit risk
Credit risk rating framework – must incorporate first
Business Risk showing industry characteristics,
competitive positions & management.
Second-financial risk by showing financial position,
profitability, capital structure & cash flows of both
present and future.
www.company.com
Internal Risk Rating
• Bank’s credit exposure.
• Facilitates bank in credit selection, price, tenure,
level of approving authority of loan & monitoring
provision for future loans.
www.company.com
Architecture of Internal Rating System
• Point in time philosophy
• Through the cycle approach
www.company.com
Operating design of rating system
• Exposures to rate
• Responsibility for grading
• Nature of rating review
• The rating process
www.company.com
How to arrive at ratings?
• Borrower’s financial position
• Size
• Industry
• Position in industry
• Reliability of financial statement of borrower
• Quality of management
• Elements of transaction structure such as
covenants etc
www.company.com
Rating review
• Revision & review of Risk Rating shall be done.
www.company.com
Credit risk monitoring & control
• Policies are formed to relating to the:
• Roles and responsibilities for monitoring
• Assessment procedures
• Frequency of monitoring
• Examination of collaterals
• Covenants
• Frequency of sight visits
• Identification of any deterioration etc.
•
www.company.com
Assessment of “Quality of Loan”
a. Financial position & Business conditions
b. Conduct of accounts
c. Loan covenants
d. Collateral valuation etc.
www.company.com
RISK REVIEW
www.company.com
Delegation of Authority
• Board of Directors should approve overall
lending authority to the senior management.
• Large banks – multiple credit approvers
www.company.com
Managing problem credits
When loan is identified as a problem
oNegotiation & Follow up
oWorkout remedial strategies
oReview of collateral & security document
oStatus report & review
www.company.com
MANAGING MARKET RISK
“The risk that an investment will not be as beneficial as
expected, due to fluctuations in rates/prices brought by
Market forces.”
On & off balance sheet position is adversely affected.
www.company.com
Factors responsible for Market Risk
1. Interest rate risk
o Lending, funding, investment activities give rise to
it.
o Having effect on:
a. Net Interest Income (NII) or Net Interest Margin
(NIM)
b. Economic value perspective
www.company.com
NIM Net Interest Margin
• Difference between the total interest income &
expense.
• Economic value perspective _ Present value of
Future cash flows
www.company.com
2. Foreign exchange risk
• Impact of ADVERSE movement in currency
exchange rates on foreign currency position.
• Devaluation of Rupee with respect to $ will be
harmful for an Export company.
www.company.com
3. Equity Price Risk
 Risk to earnings/capital resulting from adverse changes in
value of equity related portfolios.
DEFINITION of 'Portfolio'
• A grouping of financial assets such as stocks, bonds and cash equivalents.
• Portfolios are held directly by investors and/or managed by financial
professionals.
EQUITY - In finance, generally - ownership in any asset after all debts
associated with that asset are paid off.
www.company.com
Value at risk (VAR)
• Observation of market rates
• Prices volatility & correlation
• By VAR Models & JP Morgan’s Risk metrics
www.company.com
MANAGING LIQUIDITY RISK
“Liquid assets are not sufficient enough to meet the
requirements.”
Solution – funds from market (depends on liquidity in market &
institution, as well)
• Could result in bankruptcy of the institution
www.company.com
Indicators
• Negative trend in any area
• Concentration in Assets / Liabilities
• Quality compromise
• Income reduction
• Large size of OBS
www.company.com
Strategy
• Senior management & Board
• ALCO (Asset & Liability Committee)
www.company.com
LRMM (Liquidity Ratio
Measurement & Monitoring)
• Contingency funding plans
• Use of CFP for emergencies
• CFP (cash flow projection)– estimates inflows &
outflows
• Seasonal / cyclical cash flows
• Funding requirement
www.company.com
Ratios & Limits
• Cash flow ratios and limits
• Liability concentration ratios & limits
• OBS ratios
www.company.com
MANAGING OPERATIONAL
RISK (MOR)
“Risk of loss due to improper management.”
CAUSES
•Unauthorized trading
•Fraud
•Error concealment
www.company.com
Operational risk management
Principles (ORMP)
• Board shall be accountable
• Board and senior management should ensure effective
ORM framework, control and reporting of key risks
• They should recognize all define categories of risks
• Policies & procedures should be aligned to the business
strategy
• All business functions shall be part of ORM framework
• Line management should establish processes for
identification, assessment, monitoring & reporting risks.
www.company.com
Operational Risk Management
steps
• Code of conduct
• Delegation of
authority
• Segregation of
duties
• Audit
• Planning
• Mandatory leave
• Staff
compensation
• Recruitment &
training
• Dealing with
customers
• Complaint
handling
• Record keeping
www.company.com
Contingency planning
• An alternative plan when plan A fails to work
• Referred as plan B
• To be used in case of disasters / undesirable
situations.
“A plan devised to be used if the original plan fails
to materialize or having the desired impact.”
www.company.com
CONCLUSION
“We need honesty & integrity of the leading
authorities.”
www.company.com
SUGGESTIONS
oBasel – II
oHuman resource to be trained accordingly to demands of today
oAll the deficiencies pointed out by Audit shall be quickly rectified &
no concealed
oReward & punishment system may be adopted
www.company.com

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Managing risk in financial sector

  • 1. www.company.com MANAGING RISK IN FINANCIAL SECTOR By, Saad Khan & Mahrez Mohiuddin Money & Banking
  • 2. www.company.com What is Risk? • Generally - Danger, Hazard, Adverse impact, • Fear of loss • Financially-Loss of earnings/capital o May result in incapability of financial institution to meet business goals Money & Banking
  • 3. www.company.com When it springs up? • Arises when there is NO / LESS RETURN in business • Investors like Returns & dislike Risks. • Therefore, people will invest in risky assets only if they expect to receive higher returns.
  • 4. www.company.com Loss • Kinds of Losses  Expected – Occur with reasonable certainty o Expected default rate of corporate loan/credit card portfolio  Unexpected – associated with unforeseen events o Falling interest rates being absorbed by banks, using Capital as buffer
  • 5. www.company.com How to increase returns? • Banks must take “Additional risks” “Lower Risks means lower Returns” Money & Banking
  • 7. www.company.com Is there any global system to manage risks? • BASEL II Accord • Determines how much money banks must set aside for dealing with emergencies • Failure points –Credit, Market & Operational risks.
  • 8. www.company.com Why we need strategies for Risk Management? • Identify risks • Assess impact • Provide appropriate tools • Developing methods for monitoring
  • 9. www.company.com Risk Management • Effective Risk management i. Identifies threats ii. Controls loss iii. Safeguards against unauthorized use of funds iv. Protects against injury v. Takes appropriate actions vi. Offers tools for financial loss
  • 10. www.company.com Benefits of Risk Management • Strategic planning • Cost control • Minimum losses & maximum opportunities • Increase knowledge of understanding • Well informed decision making • Outside review • Minimum disruptions • Better utilization of resources • Culture for continued improvement • Quality organization • Protect yourself, protect your organization
  • 11. www.company.com FOUR MAJOR RISKS TO WHICH FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS CAN BE EXPOSED TO: 1. Credit Risk 2. Market Risk 3. Liquidity Risk 4. Operational Risk
  • 12. www.company.com Credit Risk (contract) • “The possibility of one of the parties, to the contract not fulfilling its obligation.” • Arises when the obligor is unwilling to, or its ability to perform that obligation is impaired resulting in loss to bank. • Any default in lending, trading, settlement & other financial transactions result in liquidity problem to the bank.
  • 13. www.company.com Components of Credit Risk Management 1. Board & Senior management o Duty-to approve bank’s credit risk strategy & policies to get implementation 2. Organizational structure o CRMC (Credit Risk Management Committee) under the CR management dept implement policies, monitoring, approving loan limits, delegating credit approving powers, regulatory legal compliances, risk concentration etc.
  • 14. www.company.com 3. Systems & Procedures • Credit organization o Assessment of the borrower’s industry before new or expansion of the credit o Purpose, source of repayment, track record, proposed conditions & covenants, collaterals, financial position of borrower, appropriate sanctioning authority & repute financial position.
  • 15. www.company.com •Limit setting oSize of the loan limits should be based on the credit strength of the obligor, genuine requirement, economic condition & institution risk tolerance, may be reviewed at least annually. •Credit administration oComplete proper documentation, credit disbursement after fulfillment of all formalities, its monitoring, timely repayment, maintenance of file, collateral & security documents.
  • 16. www.company.com • Managing Credit risk Credit risk rating framework – must incorporate first Business Risk showing industry characteristics, competitive positions & management. Second-financial risk by showing financial position, profitability, capital structure & cash flows of both present and future.
  • 17. www.company.com Internal Risk Rating • Bank’s credit exposure. • Facilitates bank in credit selection, price, tenure, level of approving authority of loan & monitoring provision for future loans.
  • 18. www.company.com Architecture of Internal Rating System • Point in time philosophy • Through the cycle approach
  • 19. www.company.com Operating design of rating system • Exposures to rate • Responsibility for grading • Nature of rating review • The rating process
  • 20. www.company.com How to arrive at ratings? • Borrower’s financial position • Size • Industry • Position in industry • Reliability of financial statement of borrower • Quality of management • Elements of transaction structure such as covenants etc
  • 21. www.company.com Rating review • Revision & review of Risk Rating shall be done.
  • 22. www.company.com Credit risk monitoring & control • Policies are formed to relating to the: • Roles and responsibilities for monitoring • Assessment procedures • Frequency of monitoring • Examination of collaterals • Covenants • Frequency of sight visits • Identification of any deterioration etc. •
  • 23. www.company.com Assessment of “Quality of Loan” a. Financial position & Business conditions b. Conduct of accounts c. Loan covenants d. Collateral valuation etc.
  • 25. www.company.com Delegation of Authority • Board of Directors should approve overall lending authority to the senior management. • Large banks – multiple credit approvers
  • 26. www.company.com Managing problem credits When loan is identified as a problem oNegotiation & Follow up oWorkout remedial strategies oReview of collateral & security document oStatus report & review
  • 27. www.company.com MANAGING MARKET RISK “The risk that an investment will not be as beneficial as expected, due to fluctuations in rates/prices brought by Market forces.” On & off balance sheet position is adversely affected.
  • 28. www.company.com Factors responsible for Market Risk 1. Interest rate risk o Lending, funding, investment activities give rise to it. o Having effect on: a. Net Interest Income (NII) or Net Interest Margin (NIM) b. Economic value perspective
  • 29. www.company.com NIM Net Interest Margin • Difference between the total interest income & expense. • Economic value perspective _ Present value of Future cash flows
  • 30. www.company.com 2. Foreign exchange risk • Impact of ADVERSE movement in currency exchange rates on foreign currency position. • Devaluation of Rupee with respect to $ will be harmful for an Export company.
  • 31. www.company.com 3. Equity Price Risk  Risk to earnings/capital resulting from adverse changes in value of equity related portfolios. DEFINITION of 'Portfolio' • A grouping of financial assets such as stocks, bonds and cash equivalents. • Portfolios are held directly by investors and/or managed by financial professionals. EQUITY - In finance, generally - ownership in any asset after all debts associated with that asset are paid off.
  • 32. www.company.com Value at risk (VAR) • Observation of market rates • Prices volatility & correlation • By VAR Models & JP Morgan’s Risk metrics
  • 33. www.company.com MANAGING LIQUIDITY RISK “Liquid assets are not sufficient enough to meet the requirements.” Solution – funds from market (depends on liquidity in market & institution, as well) • Could result in bankruptcy of the institution
  • 34. www.company.com Indicators • Negative trend in any area • Concentration in Assets / Liabilities • Quality compromise • Income reduction • Large size of OBS
  • 35. www.company.com Strategy • Senior management & Board • ALCO (Asset & Liability Committee)
  • 36. www.company.com LRMM (Liquidity Ratio Measurement & Monitoring) • Contingency funding plans • Use of CFP for emergencies • CFP (cash flow projection)– estimates inflows & outflows • Seasonal / cyclical cash flows • Funding requirement
  • 37. www.company.com Ratios & Limits • Cash flow ratios and limits • Liability concentration ratios & limits • OBS ratios
  • 38. www.company.com MANAGING OPERATIONAL RISK (MOR) “Risk of loss due to improper management.” CAUSES •Unauthorized trading •Fraud •Error concealment
  • 39. www.company.com Operational risk management Principles (ORMP) • Board shall be accountable • Board and senior management should ensure effective ORM framework, control and reporting of key risks • They should recognize all define categories of risks • Policies & procedures should be aligned to the business strategy • All business functions shall be part of ORM framework • Line management should establish processes for identification, assessment, monitoring & reporting risks.
  • 40. www.company.com Operational Risk Management steps • Code of conduct • Delegation of authority • Segregation of duties • Audit • Planning • Mandatory leave • Staff compensation • Recruitment & training • Dealing with customers • Complaint handling • Record keeping
  • 41. www.company.com Contingency planning • An alternative plan when plan A fails to work • Referred as plan B • To be used in case of disasters / undesirable situations. “A plan devised to be used if the original plan fails to materialize or having the desired impact.”
  • 42. www.company.com CONCLUSION “We need honesty & integrity of the leading authorities.”
  • 43. www.company.com SUGGESTIONS oBasel – II oHuman resource to be trained accordingly to demands of today oAll the deficiencies pointed out by Audit shall be quickly rectified & no concealed oReward & punishment system may be adopted