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Logic or Emotions
What works best when trying to
persuade with analytics data?
Alban Gérôme
@albangerome
MeasureCamp Copenhagen
9 June 2018
Abraham Maslow’s hierarchy of needs:
• Physiological: food, water, warmth, rest
• Safety: security, shelter
• Love and belonging: friends, family, intimacy
• Esteem: respect, status, recognition, freedom
• Self-actualisation: full potential achieved
People are social and strive to get into an ever smaller inner group of
higher status people once their basic needs are covered
Everybody wants to rule the world
ESa
Elizabeth Kübler-Ross’ five stages of grief:
• Denial – It’s no big deal, I’ll be fine!
• Bargaining – I’m a celebrity! Get me out of here!
• Anger – It’s all your fault!
• Depression – How am I going to get through this?
• Acceptance – I can’t go back to the way things were but that’s ok
Once integrated, the biggest threat is loss of status and in the worst
case, becoming an outcast. When threatened, people will stop trying to
rise up the ranks and do anything they can to defend their position
I’m a celebrity! Get me out of here!
Daniel Kahneman’s System 1 and research on loss aversion with Amos
Tversky
• You must present your request in a manner that will make sense immediately
without requiring much thinking
• People are twice as sensitive to a loss than to a gain
A threat of losing status or becoming an outcast is twice as important
than getting higher up the hierarchy
A tennis racquet and ball costs…
Robert Cialdini’s 6 principles of persuasion
• Reciprocity – You will not take advantage of the social group
• Scarcity – You will pull your weight like us
• Consistency – Your future decisions will be aligned with your previous ones
• Social Proof – Your behaviour will be aligned with the behaviour of the group
• Authority – You will respect the hierarchy of the group and obey the leaders
• Likeability – You have charisma
Violating these rules results in loss of status and influence in the group
Limited availability! Only a few left!
When so many effective
persuasion techniques leverage
emotions, can we persuade using
data and facts too?
New order
Peter Drucker wrote:
“If you can't measure it, you can't improve it.“
“Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things.“
With the cost of data storage continuously going down, we are now
measuring plenty. What we need is support from the senior
management and the rest of the organisation will align or lose status
Not so fast…
• You can improve something without measuring it
• Just because you can measure it does not mean it’s important
• There are important things we cannot measure
Not so fast…
When people’s jobs and salaries
depend on metrics rather than
informed judgment, people will find
ways to manipulate the metrics and
this will have unintended effects
People make decisions based on
emotions and then justify them
with logic
Coming together
Emotions first
• Leverages ancestral tribal rules
• Copying the competition
• Implementing ideas from respected
thought leaders
• KPIs dictated from the top down
• Heaps of data collected and
extracted but most never used
• Cherry-picking the data leads to
data-justified analytics
Logic first
• Frame insights as a potential loss of
status if not implemented
• Use storytelling to infuse emotions
• Needs a steer from the business to
define the business questions
• KPIs emerge from the bottom
• Rotating hub and spoke model
• Restraint in data capture as a
competitive advantage
The stakeholders depend on the analytics
team for their standing and rise up the
hierarchy…
A symbiotic relationship
But without their domain knowledge and
steer the analytics department would
face analysis paralysis and not know
where to start
A symbiotic relationship
The stakeholders know best what will get
them a notch up the hierarchy and what
threatens their position…
A symbiotic relationship
The stakeholders know best what will get
them a notch up the hierarchy and what
threatens their position
Ask them what their bonuses depend on
and what their pain points are
A symbiotic relationship
Eventually the gap between the analytics
team and the stakeholders will shrink
A symbiotic relationship
We should see the emergence of the
data-informed manager and the
business-savvy data analyst
A symbiotic relationship
Eventually, both might just be the same
person
A symbiotic relationship
Mange tak!
http://www.albangerome.com
@albangerome

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Logic or emotions

  • 1. Logic or Emotions What works best when trying to persuade with analytics data? Alban Gérôme @albangerome MeasureCamp Copenhagen 9 June 2018
  • 2.
  • 3. Abraham Maslow’s hierarchy of needs: • Physiological: food, water, warmth, rest • Safety: security, shelter • Love and belonging: friends, family, intimacy • Esteem: respect, status, recognition, freedom • Self-actualisation: full potential achieved People are social and strive to get into an ever smaller inner group of higher status people once their basic needs are covered Everybody wants to rule the world ESa
  • 4.
  • 5. Elizabeth Kübler-Ross’ five stages of grief: • Denial – It’s no big deal, I’ll be fine! • Bargaining – I’m a celebrity! Get me out of here! • Anger – It’s all your fault! • Depression – How am I going to get through this? • Acceptance – I can’t go back to the way things were but that’s ok Once integrated, the biggest threat is loss of status and in the worst case, becoming an outcast. When threatened, people will stop trying to rise up the ranks and do anything they can to defend their position I’m a celebrity! Get me out of here!
  • 6.
  • 7. Daniel Kahneman’s System 1 and research on loss aversion with Amos Tversky • You must present your request in a manner that will make sense immediately without requiring much thinking • People are twice as sensitive to a loss than to a gain A threat of losing status or becoming an outcast is twice as important than getting higher up the hierarchy A tennis racquet and ball costs…
  • 8.
  • 9. Robert Cialdini’s 6 principles of persuasion • Reciprocity – You will not take advantage of the social group • Scarcity – You will pull your weight like us • Consistency – Your future decisions will be aligned with your previous ones • Social Proof – Your behaviour will be aligned with the behaviour of the group • Authority – You will respect the hierarchy of the group and obey the leaders • Likeability – You have charisma Violating these rules results in loss of status and influence in the group Limited availability! Only a few left!
  • 10.
  • 11. When so many effective persuasion techniques leverage emotions, can we persuade using data and facts too?
  • 12.
  • 13. New order Peter Drucker wrote: “If you can't measure it, you can't improve it.“ “Management is doing things right; leadership is doing the right things.“ With the cost of data storage continuously going down, we are now measuring plenty. What we need is support from the senior management and the rest of the organisation will align or lose status
  • 14.
  • 15. Not so fast… • You can improve something without measuring it • Just because you can measure it does not mean it’s important • There are important things we cannot measure
  • 16. Not so fast… When people’s jobs and salaries depend on metrics rather than informed judgment, people will find ways to manipulate the metrics and this will have unintended effects
  • 17.
  • 18. People make decisions based on emotions and then justify them with logic
  • 19.
  • 20. Coming together Emotions first • Leverages ancestral tribal rules • Copying the competition • Implementing ideas from respected thought leaders • KPIs dictated from the top down • Heaps of data collected and extracted but most never used • Cherry-picking the data leads to data-justified analytics Logic first • Frame insights as a potential loss of status if not implemented • Use storytelling to infuse emotions • Needs a steer from the business to define the business questions • KPIs emerge from the bottom • Rotating hub and spoke model • Restraint in data capture as a competitive advantage
  • 21.
  • 22. The stakeholders depend on the analytics team for their standing and rise up the hierarchy… A symbiotic relationship
  • 23. But without their domain knowledge and steer the analytics department would face analysis paralysis and not know where to start A symbiotic relationship
  • 24. The stakeholders know best what will get them a notch up the hierarchy and what threatens their position… A symbiotic relationship
  • 25. The stakeholders know best what will get them a notch up the hierarchy and what threatens their position Ask them what their bonuses depend on and what their pain points are A symbiotic relationship
  • 26. Eventually the gap between the analytics team and the stakeholders will shrink A symbiotic relationship
  • 27. We should see the emergence of the data-informed manager and the business-savvy data analyst A symbiotic relationship
  • 28. Eventually, both might just be the same person A symbiotic relationship
  • 29.

Editor's Notes

  1. Why is it so hard to get people to following your recommendations when it’s supported by data facts? Some people seem for sensitive to a logical arguments and others more emotional
  2. At the top, there’s freedom, no more orders from people above you, people care for your basic needs, craving for a return to early childhood?
  3. If a satisfactory answer to a hard question is not found quickly, System 1 will find a related question that is easier and will answer it. (Kahneman, p. 97). Cryptocurrencies are hard to understand but people understand or believe that it can help them get rich quick
  4. If a satisfactory answer to a hard question is not found quickly, System 1 will find a related question that is easier and will answer it. (Kahneman, p. 97). Cryptocurrencies are hard to understand but people understand or believe that it can help them get rich quick
  5. You could make the argument that using facts and data is fairly new and emotion-based persuasion had milllenia to develop and refine
  6. Peter Ferdinand Drucker was an Austrian-born American management consultant, educator, and author. Invented modern business management. Died in 2005. In 2010 Eric Schmidt said that we were generating as much data every 2 days as what we generated from the dawn of cilivisation up to 2003. In 2016, 90% of today’s data was generated in the past 2 years
  7. Evolution, emotions and even violently bludgeoning the other party for failing to see your side of the argument gradually disappeared. Writing came, then code of laws punishing violence. The Enlightenment, Voltaire “I disagree with you but I will fight to the death to ensure that your opinion gets heard”