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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   26th June 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.
 BSE SENSEX                16882.16          -0.53
                                                                   Government sops disappoint
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5114.65          -0.61
                                                       The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. Steady
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5109.30          -0.81
                                                       buying support was witnessed as markets moved higher.
 India VIX                   21.57           4.81      However, the Nifty faltered at the psychologically important
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 5200 level as it witnessed increased selling pressure. The
                                                       markets struggled to move higher once the much waited
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                       economic announcements by the government to boost
Support           5114       5074            4950
                                                       economy did not meet the Street’s expectations. The markets
Resistance        5250       5333            5379      failed to show any signs of resilience and moved lower testing
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  5100 level. The markets ended the day with modest losses to
50 Day SMA                  5056.11
                                                       close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day
                                                       were Hindalco, JP Associates, BPCL, ONGC, Kotak Bank,
100 Day SMA                 5197.33
                                                       Grasim, Hero Motorcorp, HCL Tech; Asian Paints and Cipla.
200 Day SMA                 5074.72        ◄Critical
                                                       Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE
                                                       lower volumes. The global market cues are largely
Advances                     1420             775
                                                       negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
Declines                     1334             693      flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical
Same                          125               86     negatives continue to hold good and are weighing on the
Total                        2879            1554      market sentiment. The KST and RSI have slipped below
A/D Ratio                   1.06 : 1        1.12 : 1   their respective averages. Moreover, the Nifty remains
                                                       placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               is placed below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These
               25/06/12     22/06/12        % Chg.     negative conditions would result in regular bouts of
BSE              2033        2049            -0.78     selling pressure especially at higher levels. However, a
NSE              5717        6364           -10.16     few technical positives continue to hold good and would
Total            7750        8413            -7.88     lead to buying support at lower levels. The Stochastic
                                                       and the MACD are still placed above their respective
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               averages. The MACD and KST are also placed in the
               25/06/12     22/06/12        % Chg.     positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The
BSE             1916.53     2086.61          -8.15     Nifty is placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
NSE             8724.69    10048.11         -13.17
                                                       The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving
                                                       sideways indicating a range bound trend. The market
NSE F&O        176478.98   163869.46         7.69
                                                       sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important that the
Total          187120.20   176004.18         6.32
                                                       markets witness follow up buying support at regular
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          intervals for Nifty to move above the 5200 level.
               25/06/12     22/06/12        % Chg.
                                                       Intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness would be
                                                       witnessed due to impending derivative segment expiry.
Index Fut.      691753      599635           15.36
                                                       In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from
Stock Fut.      814501      742587           9.68
                                                       Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support
Index Opt.     5167643      4857257          6.39      levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5074, 4950, 4841 and
Stock Opt.      229518      253488           -9.46     4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333, 5379
Total          6903415      6452967          4.44      and 5500 levels.
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in



                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Andhra Bank            122.85       Buy Above           124.00      120.75         2.62         131          5.65
Bombay Dying           518.10       Buy Above           520.00      506.50         2.60         550          5.77
Cummins                439.10    Buy Above         443.50     435.50               1.80         461          3.95
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16882                16955      17058      17234          17512        16780        16677        16399
S&P CNX NIFTY               5115                 5138       5171        5227          5316            5082        5049       4960
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5109                 5137       5175        5242          5346            5071        5032       4927




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

Andhra Bank, Bombay Dying, Cairn, Cummins, Dr. Reddys, Educomp, FT, HDFC, HDIL., Jindal Saw, Petronet, Sobha, Sun
TV, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tulip
Bharat Forge, BPCL, Cipla, Dish TV, HCL Tech; Hindalco, HOECL, HPCL, Idea, Kotak Bank, Lupin, M&M, MRF, ONGC,
Siemens, Tata Steel




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      This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
      upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
      jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
      objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
      We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
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      with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
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      written consent.




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 260612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 26th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. BSE SENSEX 16882.16 -0.53 Government sops disappoint S&P CNX NIFTY 5114.65 -0.61 The domestic markets witnessed a positive opening. Steady NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5109.30 -0.81 buying support was witnessed as markets moved higher. India VIX 21.57 4.81 However, the Nifty faltered at the psychologically important S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels 5200 level as it witnessed increased selling pressure. The markets struggled to move higher once the much waited Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 economic announcements by the government to boost Support 5114 5074 4950 economy did not meet the Street’s expectations. The markets Resistance 5250 5333 5379 failed to show any signs of resilience and moved lower testing Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY 5100 level. The markets ended the day with modest losses to 50 Day SMA 5056.11 close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Hindalco, JP Associates, BPCL, ONGC, Kotak Bank, 100 Day SMA 5197.33 Grasim, Hero Motorcorp, HCL Tech; Asian Paints and Cipla. 200 Day SMA 5074.72 ◄Critical Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst Market Breadth * BSE NSE lower volumes. The global market cues are largely Advances 1420 775 negative. The domestic markets are likely to witness a Declines 1334 693 flat to subdue opening. The prevailing technical Same 125 86 negatives continue to hold good and are weighing on the Total 2879 1554 market sentiment. The KST and RSI have slipped below A/D Ratio 1.06 : 1 1.12 : 1 their respective averages. Moreover, the Nifty remains placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA Volume (Lacs Shares) * is placed below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These 25/06/12 22/06/12 % Chg. negative conditions would result in regular bouts of BSE 2033 2049 -0.78 selling pressure especially at higher levels. However, a NSE 5717 6364 -10.16 few technical positives continue to hold good and would Total 7750 8413 -7.88 lead to buying support at lower levels. The Stochastic and the MACD are still placed above their respective Turnover ( ` Crores) * averages. The MACD and KST are also placed in the 25/06/12 22/06/12 % Chg. positive territory, which augurs well for the markets. The BSE 1916.53 2086.61 -8.15 Nifty is placed above the 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA. NSE 8724.69 10048.11 -13.17 The ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. The market NSE F&O 176478.98 163869.46 7.69 sentiment remains tentative. Now it is important that the Total 187120.20 176004.18 6.32 markets witness follow up buying support at regular F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * intervals for Nifty to move above the 5200 level. 25/06/12 22/06/12 % Chg. Intermediate bouts of volatility and choppiness would be witnessed due to impending derivative segment expiry. Index Fut. 691753 599635 15.36 In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from Stock Fut. 814501 742587 9.68 Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The support Index Opt. 5167643 4857257 6.39 levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5074, 4950, 4841 and Stock Opt. 229518 253488 -9.46 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333, 5379 Total 6903415 6452967 4.44 and 5500 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Andhra Bank 122.85 Buy Above 124.00 120.75 2.62 131 5.65 Bombay Dying 518.10 Buy Above 520.00 506.50 2.60 550 5.77 Cummins 439.10 Buy Above 443.50 435.50 1.80 461 3.95 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16882 16955 17058 17234 17512 16780 16677 16399 S&P CNX NIFTY 5115 5138 5171 5227 5316 5082 5049 4960 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5109 5137 5175 5242 5346 5071 5032 4927 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today Andhra Bank, Bombay Dying, Cairn, Cummins, Dr. Reddys, Educomp, FT, HDFC, HDIL., Jindal Saw, Petronet, Sobha, Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Tulip Bharat Forge, BPCL, Cipla, Dish TV, HCL Tech; Hindalco, HOECL, HPCL, Idea, Kotak Bank, Lupin, M&M, MRF, ONGC, Siemens, Tata Steel Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com