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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, January 19, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index          Jan 17       Jan 18   Change (%)   • Indian markets snapped three-day winning streak and
 Sensex              16,466.05    16,451.47     -0.09%       closed slightly lower yesterday in choppy trade on
                                                             caution ahead of a key meeting between Greece and
 CNX Nifty            4,967.30     4,955.80     -0.23%
                                                             its creditors. Investors digested results from the
 BSE Mid-cap          5,655.32     5,589.89     -1.16%
                                                             country's IT industry leader Tata Consultancy Services
 BSE IT               5,635.17     5,513.43     -2.16%       and a potential share buyback from heavyweight
 BSE Banks           10,395.82    10,350.35     -0.44%       Reliance Industries and book profits. Reliance, the
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       country's biggest company by market capitalization,
                                                             closed up 5.1% after the cash-rich energy
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             conglomerate said it would consider a share buyback
 17-Jan                 2,976         1,911       1065       on Friday. The downward movement was led by selling
 16-Jan                 1,991         1,543        448       pressure in metal, IT, capital goods and power stocks
 Total Jan             24,990        20,555       4435       while buying activities in oil & gas, real estate,
 2012 YTD              24,990        20,555       4435       consumer durables and FMCG stocks support the
                                                             markets. Airlines stocks surged for a second
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             consecutive day after the aviation ministry said late on
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       Tuesday it would recommend that the government
 17-Jan                   732          656          76       allow foreign carries to buy stakes of up to 49% in
 16-Jan                   293          394         -102      domestic players. Jet Airways climbed 4.9% while
 Total Jan              5,273         5,812        -539      debt-laden Kingfisher Airlines ended the day up 1%
                                                             and SpiceJet closed at a rise of 2.5%. Essar Oil
 2012 YTD               5,273         5,812        -539
                                                             slumped as much as 12.1% after India's Supreme
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 Court passed a ruling late on Tuesday that means the
                                      NSE          BSE       refiner will no longer be able to defer payment of a
 Trading Volume (Cr)                76.29         28.28      sales tax.
 Turnover (`Cr)                    12,187         2,485    • Market breadth was week at ~0.64x as investors sold
 Advances                             433         1,086      large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought
                                                             equities worth `8.75bn while domestic institutions sold
 Declines                           1,070         1,702
                                                             equities of `5.9bn.
 Unchanged                             46          117
                                                           • Asian stocks rose in early Thursday trading, with
 Total                              1,549         2,905
                                                             technology shares boosted by overnight gains in the
Global Markets                                               U.S., and a rebound in crude-oil futures propelling
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     some energy names.
 DJIA                            12,578.95        0.8%     • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets
 NASDAQ                           2,769.71        1.5%       today following the cues from the Asian markets.
 Nikkei *                         8,663.77        1.3%       However, the markets may remain volatile ahead of
 Hang Seng *                     19,934.81        1.3%
                                                             the food and fuel inflation data.

* as of 8.25AM IST                                         Economic and Corporate Developments
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                          • The Finance Ministry has suggested upstream
                                    Latest     Previous
                                                             companies should give a discount of $56 per barrel to
                                    Quote         Close      state fuel retailers this fiscal year, government
 Indian Rupee per $                  50.27        50.42      sources said, a move that could raise their subsidy
                                                             payout by over 60% from a year ago.
 Indian Rupee per €                  64.68        64.80
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            101.53        100.59    • The Haryana government said it was in talks with
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,663.00     1,659.50
                                                             Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries to take back
                                                             1,383 acres in Gurgaon as the company has failed to
 Silver ($/oz)                       30.55        30.52
                                                             develop the special economic zone over the same.


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                                                                              INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • Reliance Capital Asset Management (R-Cap), is
                    Previous   Current    Change          expected to announce the sale of 26% stake to
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          Japan’s Nippon Life Insurance Company.
 Adani Enter         371.70     398.70       7.26
                                                        • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), India’s largest
 Jet Air India       234.90     246.55       4.96
                                                          information technology (IT) services provider, said it
 RIL                 740.35     776.90       4.94         had so far made campus offers to 43,600
 Torrent Pharma      552.45     577.00       4.44         engineering freshers for 2012-13, higher than the
 Unitech              25.80      26.75       3.68         37,800 offers made this year.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                           • The income tax department has slapped a Rs1,067Cr
                                                          demand notice on Bharti Airtel for alleged non-
                    Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                             payment of Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) dues in
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Bombay Dyeing       398.80     433.80       8.78         the past four financial years in connection with its
 HATHWAY CAB         126.35     136.25       7.84         operations abroad.
 Delta Corp           67.75      72.40       6.86       • Following the Supreme Court’s rejection of Essar
 Jet Air India       234.90     246.55       4.96         Oil’s 125% sales tax deferment benefit claim on its
 Honeywell Auto     1906.70    2000.00       4.89         investment in the Vadinar (Gujarat) refinery project,
                                                          the company said it expected to file a review
TOP LOSERS                                                petition. “It needs to be clarified that the scheme
                                                          was not for sales tax exemption but was only for a
(BSE A-Group)
                                                          deferment of payment of sales tax,” the company
                    Previous   Current    Change          said on Wednesday, while indicating a recourse to
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                          review. It had earlier got a favourable high court
 Essar Oil            58.10      51.40     -11.53
                                                          order.
 Voltas               92.15      82.05     -10.96
 JSW Ispat            13.47      12.63      -6.24
                                                        • NMDC recorded an output of 25.15 million tonne last
                                                          fiscal, about 12% of the country's total production,
 Jain Irrigation     100.65      94.95      -5.66
                                                          and is in the process of augmenting it, the
 Alstom Projects     392.45    370.80       -5.52
                                                          government said.
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                           • Mahindra Satyam said a US court has dismissed a
                    Previous   Current    Change          lawsuit filed against the company by Upaid following
 Company Name
                    Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          the settlement between the two.
 Voltas               92.15      82.05     -10.96
                                                        • Titan Industries Limited, the watch and jewellery
 United Bank          62.60      57.30      -8.47
                                                          major is looking at a capital expenditure of over
 Essar Ports          63.55      58.35      -8.18
                                                          Rs200Cr in the fiscal 2012-13 to expand its retail
 National Fert        81.75      75.95      -7.09
                                                          network. For the current year, the company has
 Sterlite Tech        38.00      35.35      -6.97         spent around Rs150Cr, about 35% less than the
                                                          budget earmarked for the year.
                                                        US markets
                                                        U.S. stocks rose Wednesday, sending the S&P 500
                                                        Index to a close above 1,300 for the first time since July
                                                        28, on improved sentiment in housing and as Goldman
                                                        Sachs Group Inc.’s earnings beat expectations.
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 96.88 points, or
                                                        0.8%, to 12,578.95. The S&P 500 added 14.37 points,
                                                        or 1.1%, to 1,308.04. The Nasdaq Composite Index
                                                        climbed 41.63 points, or 1.5%, to 2,769.71.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research             (research@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                   Tuesday

   Regions                        19/Jan                                   20/Jan                                   23/Jan                                   24/Jan

   India            Weekly Inflation Data                    Forex Reserves Data                                                                RBI Monetary Policy
                                                                                                                                                Review

                                                             Weekly Supplement
                                                             of RBI



   US               Continuing Jobless                       Existing Home Sales                                                                FOMC Meeting Begins
                    Claims                                   (MoM)

                    Consumer Price Index                     Existing Home Sales                                                                US President Barack
                                                             Change                                                                             Obama Speaks

                                                                                                                                                Richmond Fed
                                                                                                                                                Manufacturing Index




   Global           Eurozone ECB                             UK Retail Sales (YoY                      European Monetary                        Japan's BoJ Interest
                    Monthly Report                           & MoM)                                    Union - Consumer                         Rate Decision
                                                                                                       Confidence

                    Eurozone Current                         UK Retail Sales ex-                       China HSBC Flash                         Germany Purchasing
                    Account s.a                              Fuel (YoY & MoM)                          China Manufacturing                      Manager Index
                                                                                                       Purchasing Managers                      Manufacturing and
                                                                                                       Index                                    Services

                                                             Japan All Industry                                                                 UK's Public Sector Net
                                                             Activity Index (MoM)                                                               Borrowing

                                                             Japan Coincident
                                                             Index

                                                             Japan Leading
                                                             Economic Index

                                                             China HSBC
                                                             Manufacturing PMI




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note january 19-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, January 19, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Jan 17 Jan 18 Change (%) • Indian markets snapped three-day winning streak and Sensex 16,466.05 16,451.47 -0.09% closed slightly lower yesterday in choppy trade on caution ahead of a key meeting between Greece and CNX Nifty 4,967.30 4,955.80 -0.23% its creditors. Investors digested results from the BSE Mid-cap 5,655.32 5,589.89 -1.16% country's IT industry leader Tata Consultancy Services BSE IT 5,635.17 5,513.43 -2.16% and a potential share buyback from heavyweight BSE Banks 10,395.82 10,350.35 -0.44% Reliance Industries and book profits. Reliance, the FII Activity (`Cr) country's biggest company by market capitalization, closed up 5.1% after the cash-rich energy Date Buy Sell Net conglomerate said it would consider a share buyback 17-Jan 2,976 1,911 1065 on Friday. The downward movement was led by selling 16-Jan 1,991 1,543 448 pressure in metal, IT, capital goods and power stocks Total Jan 24,990 20,555 4435 while buying activities in oil & gas, real estate, 2012 YTD 24,990 20,555 4435 consumer durables and FMCG stocks support the markets. Airlines stocks surged for a second MF Activity (`Cr) consecutive day after the aviation ministry said late on Date Buy Sell Net Tuesday it would recommend that the government 17-Jan 732 656 76 allow foreign carries to buy stakes of up to 49% in 16-Jan 293 394 -102 domestic players. Jet Airways climbed 4.9% while Total Jan 5,273 5,812 -539 debt-laden Kingfisher Airlines ended the day up 1% and SpiceJet closed at a rise of 2.5%. Essar Oil 2012 YTD 5,273 5,812 -539 slumped as much as 12.1% after India's Supreme Volume & Advances / Declines Court passed a ruling late on Tuesday that means the NSE BSE refiner will no longer be able to defer payment of a Trading Volume (Cr) 76.29 28.28 sales tax. Turnover (`Cr) 12,187 2,485 • Market breadth was week at ~0.64x as investors sold Advances 433 1,086 large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought equities worth `8.75bn while domestic institutions sold Declines 1,070 1,702 equities of `5.9bn. Unchanged 46 117 • Asian stocks rose in early Thursday trading, with Total 1,549 2,905 technology shares boosted by overnight gains in the Global Markets U.S., and a rebound in crude-oil futures propelling Index Latest Values Change (%) some energy names. DJIA 12,578.95 0.8% • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets NASDAQ 2,769.71 1.5% today following the cues from the Asian markets. Nikkei * 8,663.77 1.3% However, the markets may remain volatile ahead of Hang Seng * 19,934.81 1.3% the food and fuel inflation data. * as of 8.25AM IST Economic and Corporate Developments Currencies / Commodities Snapshot • The Finance Ministry has suggested upstream Latest Previous companies should give a discount of $56 per barrel to Quote Close state fuel retailers this fiscal year, government Indian Rupee per $ 50.27 50.42 sources said, a move that could raise their subsidy payout by over 60% from a year ago. Indian Rupee per € 64.68 64.80 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 101.53 100.59 • The Haryana government said it was in talks with Gold ($/oz) 1,663.00 1,659.50 Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries to take back 1,383 acres in Gurgaon as the company has failed to Silver ($/oz) 30.55 30.52 develop the special economic zone over the same. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Reliance Capital Asset Management (R-Cap), is Previous Current Change expected to announce the sale of 26% stake to Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Japan’s Nippon Life Insurance Company. Adani Enter 371.70 398.70 7.26 • Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), India’s largest Jet Air India 234.90 246.55 4.96 information technology (IT) services provider, said it RIL 740.35 776.90 4.94 had so far made campus offers to 43,600 Torrent Pharma 552.45 577.00 4.44 engineering freshers for 2012-13, higher than the Unitech 25.80 26.75 3.68 37,800 offers made this year. (BSE Mid-Cap) • The income tax department has slapped a Rs1,067Cr demand notice on Bharti Airtel for alleged non- Previous Current Change Company Name payment of Tax Deducted at Source (TDS) dues in Close(`) Price(`) (%) Bombay Dyeing 398.80 433.80 8.78 the past four financial years in connection with its HATHWAY CAB 126.35 136.25 7.84 operations abroad. Delta Corp 67.75 72.40 6.86 • Following the Supreme Court’s rejection of Essar Jet Air India 234.90 246.55 4.96 Oil’s 125% sales tax deferment benefit claim on its Honeywell Auto 1906.70 2000.00 4.89 investment in the Vadinar (Gujarat) refinery project, the company said it expected to file a review TOP LOSERS petition. “It needs to be clarified that the scheme was not for sales tax exemption but was only for a (BSE A-Group) deferment of payment of sales tax,” the company Previous Current Change said on Wednesday, while indicating a recourse to Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) review. It had earlier got a favourable high court Essar Oil 58.10 51.40 -11.53 order. Voltas 92.15 82.05 -10.96 JSW Ispat 13.47 12.63 -6.24 • NMDC recorded an output of 25.15 million tonne last fiscal, about 12% of the country's total production, Jain Irrigation 100.65 94.95 -5.66 and is in the process of augmenting it, the Alstom Projects 392.45 370.80 -5.52 government said. (BSE Mid-Cap) • Mahindra Satyam said a US court has dismissed a Previous Current Change lawsuit filed against the company by Upaid following Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) the settlement between the two. Voltas 92.15 82.05 -10.96 • Titan Industries Limited, the watch and jewellery United Bank 62.60 57.30 -8.47 major is looking at a capital expenditure of over Essar Ports 63.55 58.35 -8.18 Rs200Cr in the fiscal 2012-13 to expand its retail National Fert 81.75 75.95 -7.09 network. For the current year, the company has Sterlite Tech 38.00 35.35 -6.97 spent around Rs150Cr, about 35% less than the budget earmarked for the year. US markets U.S. stocks rose Wednesday, sending the S&P 500 Index to a close above 1,300 for the first time since July 28, on improved sentiment in housing and as Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s earnings beat expectations. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 96.88 points, or 0.8%, to 12,578.95. The S&P 500 added 14.37 points, or 1.1%, to 1,308.04. The Nasdaq Composite Index climbed 41.63 points, or 1.5%, to 2,769.71. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 19/Jan 20/Jan 23/Jan 24/Jan India Weekly Inflation Data Forex Reserves Data RBI Monetary Policy Review Weekly Supplement of RBI US Continuing Jobless Existing Home Sales FOMC Meeting Begins Claims (MoM) Consumer Price Index Existing Home Sales US President Barack Change Obama Speaks Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Global Eurozone ECB UK Retail Sales (YoY European Monetary Japan's BoJ Interest Monthly Report & MoM) Union - Consumer Rate Decision Confidence Eurozone Current UK Retail Sales ex- China HSBC Flash Germany Purchasing Account s.a Fuel (YoY & MoM) China Manufacturing Manager Index Purchasing Managers Manufacturing and Index Services Japan All Industry UK's Public Sector Net Activity Index (MoM) Borrowing Japan Coincident Index Japan Leading Economic Index China HSBC Manufacturing PMI KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.