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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Tuesday, April 03, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Mar 30         Apr 2   Change (%)
                                                           • Indian shares rose for a second session in a row on
                                                             Monday, as banking stocks rallied on expectations the
 Sensex              17,404.20    17,478.15      0.42%
                                                             cash crunch that had constrained the sector would
 CNX Nifty            5,295.55     5,317.90      0.42%       ease in the new fiscal year thanks to government
 BSE Mid-cap          6,346.38     6,414.81      1.08%       spending and a more vigilant central bank. Sentiment
 BSE IT               6,081.87     6,117.44      0.58%       was supported by foreign buying of Indian stocks,
 BSE Banks           11,751.18    11,870.61      1.02%       despite fears last week about taxation for overseas
                                                             investors, while global risk sentiment improved after
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       China's manufacturing index rose to an 11-month
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       high. Investors are more optimistic in April, however,
 29-Mar                 3,948         5,248       -1299      on hopes the Reserve Bank of India will deliver a rate
                                                             cut at its April 17 meeting while government spending,
 28-Mar                 3,253         3,004        249
                                                             starting this week, could help ease a credit crunch in
 Total Mar             60,116        52,385       7731       the banking sector. The upward movement was mainly
 2012 YTD             193,173      149,144       44029       led by gain in consumer durable, power, capital goods,
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      and real estate stocks while oil & gas, metal, pharme
                                                             and auto stocks witnessed some selling pressure.
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       Titan Industries surged 6.2% on a Press Trust of India
 29-Mar                   641          634            7      report that a unit of the Commerce Ministry will allow
 28-Mar                   446          501          -55      the company to import gold directly from overseas
 Total Mar             10,287        11,742      -1456       market. India's largest utility vehicles and tractors
                                                             maker by sales Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) gained
 2012 YTD              35,647        41,129       -5483
                                                             1.66% after the company posted 25% increase in sales
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 at 47,001 units in March 2012 over March 2011. L&T
                                      NSE          BSE       rose 1.96% as its construction division has won new
                                                             orders valued over `1875Cr across various business
 Trading Volume (Cr)                58.59         21.60
                                                             segments in March 2012. Reliance Industries fell
 Turnover (`Cr)                     9,254         2,050      1.34% due to fears falling refining margins and
 Advances                           1,105         1,932      reduced output from its KG-D6 gas blocks would hit
 Declines                             405          852       fiscal Q4 earnings.
 Unchanged                             54           95     • Market breadth was strong at ~2.27x as investors
 Total                              1,564         2,879      bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs
                                                             bought equity of `2.45bn while domestic institutions
Global Markets                                               sold equity of `0.73bn in cash segment.
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)   • Asian markets posted solid gains on Tuesday after
 DJIA                            13,264.49       0.40%       signs of strength in a gauge of U.S. manufacturing, but
 NASDAQ                           3,119.70       0.91%       Japanese shares down on stronger yen.
 Nikkei *                        10,068.19      -0.41%     • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets
 Hang Seng *                     20,599.79       0.38%
                                                             today riding on the global rally and improved
                                                             sentiments on US economic data. Rising expectations
* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                             that the RBI will cut key interest rates will also boost
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            investor confidence.
                                    Latest     Previous    Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Quote         Close
                                                           • State-owned oil firms have hiked auto LPG prices by `6
 Indian Rupee per $                  50.65        50.80
                                                             per litre, the third increase this year. Liquefied
 Indian Rupee per €                  67.69        67.65      Petroleum Gas (LPG) used as fuel in automobiles,
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            104.95        105.23      called auto LPG, will cost `49.72 per litre as against
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,678.00     1,677.50      `43.65 per litre price till last month, according to
 Silver ($/oz)                       33.03        33.08
                                                             Indian Oil Corporation, the nation's largest fuel
                                                             retailer.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                             • Coal India Ltd (CIL) has posted a one per cent growth
                      Previous   Current    Change          in production to 435.84 million tonnes (mt) during
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          the financial year 2011-12, as against 431.32 during
 Titan Inds            228.60     242.70      6.17          the previous fiscal. It also comes out with a target
 Godrej Inds           258.55     274.30      6.09          for 464.1 mt in 2012-13. In absolute terms, the
 Bata India            769.20     809.55      5.25          firm’s production saw a rise of 4.52 mt over the
 Power Finance         184.00     193.65      5.24          corresponding period last year.
 REC                   205.55     216.25      5.21        • NTPC has added a record capacity of 2,820 Mw
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                               during the year 2011-12, surpassing its earlier
                                                            record of 2,490 Mw during 2010-11.
                      Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                             • Indian Oil Corp (IOC) said its refineries have
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 PTC India               61.15     67.15       9.81         recorded the highest ever crude processing of 55.6
 HATHWAY CAB           164.70     178.10       8.14         million tonnes (mt) during 2011-12, surpassing the
 Balkrishna Inds-$     259.00     280.00       8.11         previous best of 53.0 mt achieved in the previous
 Responsive Inds        85.75      92.55       7.93         year.
 TV18 Broadcast         27.65      29.70       7.41       • Marico, the consumer goods major, is eyeing a five
                                                            per cent stake sale to fund its `600Cr acquisition of
TOP LOSERS                                                  Paras Pharmaceuticals' personal care portfolio.
(BSE A-Group)                                             • SpiceJet will import aviation turbine fuel (ATF)
                                                            through a private oil marketing company at an
                      Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                               airport in southern India on a pilot basis to check the
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Aurobindo Phar        118.90    113.90       -4.21         economic viability of the process.
 OIL INDIA             514.95    495.40       -3.80       • BEML initiated the process of setting up Aerospace
 Pidilite Inds         177.55    172.45       -2.87         Manufacturing Division at SEZ Park near Bangalore
 Apollo Hosp           638.75    620.55       -2.85         International Airport, Devanahalli.
 Ranbaxy Lab           469.00    456.85       -2.59       US markets
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             The Nasdaq Composite Index (COMP) rose 28.13 points,
                                                          or 0.9%, to 3,119.70.
                      Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 MVL                      8.60      8.18      -4.88
 VAARAD                 28.95      27.55      -4.84
 BEML                  651.50     620.85      -4.70
 Aurobindo Phar        118.90     113.90      -4.21
 Pidilite Inds         177.55     172.45      -2.87




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research               (research@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Tuesday                                Wednesday                                  Thursday                                    Friday
   Regions                        3/Apr                                    4/Apr                                     5/Apr                                    6/Apr

   India                                                                                                                                        Forex Reserves Data

                                                                                                                                                Bank Loan Growth



   US               Factory Orders                           ADP Employment                            Initial & Continuing                     Average Hourly
                    (MoM)                                    Change                                    Jobless claims                           Earnings (YoY &
                                                                                                                                                MoM); Average
                                                                                                                                                Weekly Hours

                    Total Vehicle Sales                      ISM Non                                                                            Unemployment
                                                             manufacturig data                                                                  Rate; Nonfarm
                                                                                                                                                Payrolls

                                                                                                                                                Consumer Credit
                                                                                                                                                Change

   Global           Eurozone's Producer                      Eurozone ECB Press                        China HSBC Service                       Japan Leading
                    Price Index (MoM)                        conference &                              PMI                                      Economic Index
                    and (YoY)                                Interest rate                                                                      (Feb)
                                                             decision

                    UK's BRC Shop Price                      Germany PMI &                             UK industrial                            Japan Coincident
                    Index (MoM)                              factory order data                        production                               Index (Mar)

                                                             UK PMI Data                               UK BoE Interest rate
                                                                                                       decision




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note april 3-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Tuesday, April 03, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Mar 30 Apr 2 Change (%) • Indian shares rose for a second session in a row on Monday, as banking stocks rallied on expectations the Sensex 17,404.20 17,478.15 0.42% cash crunch that had constrained the sector would CNX Nifty 5,295.55 5,317.90 0.42% ease in the new fiscal year thanks to government BSE Mid-cap 6,346.38 6,414.81 1.08% spending and a more vigilant central bank. Sentiment BSE IT 6,081.87 6,117.44 0.58% was supported by foreign buying of Indian stocks, BSE Banks 11,751.18 11,870.61 1.02% despite fears last week about taxation for overseas investors, while global risk sentiment improved after FII Activity (`Cr) China's manufacturing index rose to an 11-month Date Buy Sell Net high. Investors are more optimistic in April, however, 29-Mar 3,948 5,248 -1299 on hopes the Reserve Bank of India will deliver a rate cut at its April 17 meeting while government spending, 28-Mar 3,253 3,004 249 starting this week, could help ease a credit crunch in Total Mar 60,116 52,385 7731 the banking sector. The upward movement was mainly 2012 YTD 193,173 149,144 44029 led by gain in consumer durable, power, capital goods, MF Activity (`Cr) and real estate stocks while oil & gas, metal, pharme and auto stocks witnessed some selling pressure. Date Buy Sell Net Titan Industries surged 6.2% on a Press Trust of India 29-Mar 641 634 7 report that a unit of the Commerce Ministry will allow 28-Mar 446 501 -55 the company to import gold directly from overseas Total Mar 10,287 11,742 -1456 market. India's largest utility vehicles and tractors maker by sales Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) gained 2012 YTD 35,647 41,129 -5483 1.66% after the company posted 25% increase in sales Volume & Advances / Declines at 47,001 units in March 2012 over March 2011. L&T NSE BSE rose 1.96% as its construction division has won new orders valued over `1875Cr across various business Trading Volume (Cr) 58.59 21.60 segments in March 2012. Reliance Industries fell Turnover (`Cr) 9,254 2,050 1.34% due to fears falling refining margins and Advances 1,105 1,932 reduced output from its KG-D6 gas blocks would hit Declines 405 852 fiscal Q4 earnings. Unchanged 54 95 • Market breadth was strong at ~2.27x as investors Total 1,564 2,879 bought large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs bought equity of `2.45bn while domestic institutions Global Markets sold equity of `0.73bn in cash segment. Index Latest Values Change (%) • Asian markets posted solid gains on Tuesday after DJIA 13,264.49 0.40% signs of strength in a gauge of U.S. manufacturing, but NASDAQ 3,119.70 0.91% Japanese shares down on stronger yen. Nikkei * 10,068.19 -0.41% • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets Hang Seng * 20,599.79 0.38% today riding on the global rally and improved sentiments on US economic data. Rising expectations * as of 8.25AM IST that the RBI will cut key interest rates will also boost Currencies / Commodities Snapshot investor confidence. Latest Previous Economic and Corporate Developments Quote Close • State-owned oil firms have hiked auto LPG prices by `6 Indian Rupee per $ 50.65 50.80 per litre, the third increase this year. Liquefied Indian Rupee per € 67.69 67.65 Petroleum Gas (LPG) used as fuel in automobiles, NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 104.95 105.23 called auto LPG, will cost `49.72 per litre as against Gold ($/oz) 1,678.00 1,677.50 `43.65 per litre price till last month, according to Silver ($/oz) 33.03 33.08 Indian Oil Corporation, the nation's largest fuel retailer. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Coal India Ltd (CIL) has posted a one per cent growth Previous Current Change in production to 435.84 million tonnes (mt) during Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) the financial year 2011-12, as against 431.32 during Titan Inds 228.60 242.70 6.17 the previous fiscal. It also comes out with a target Godrej Inds 258.55 274.30 6.09 for 464.1 mt in 2012-13. In absolute terms, the Bata India 769.20 809.55 5.25 firm’s production saw a rise of 4.52 mt over the Power Finance 184.00 193.65 5.24 corresponding period last year. REC 205.55 216.25 5.21 • NTPC has added a record capacity of 2,820 Mw (BSE Mid-Cap) during the year 2011-12, surpassing its earlier record of 2,490 Mw during 2010-11. Previous Current Change Company Name • Indian Oil Corp (IOC) said its refineries have Close(`) Price(`) (%) PTC India 61.15 67.15 9.81 recorded the highest ever crude processing of 55.6 HATHWAY CAB 164.70 178.10 8.14 million tonnes (mt) during 2011-12, surpassing the Balkrishna Inds-$ 259.00 280.00 8.11 previous best of 53.0 mt achieved in the previous Responsive Inds 85.75 92.55 7.93 year. TV18 Broadcast 27.65 29.70 7.41 • Marico, the consumer goods major, is eyeing a five per cent stake sale to fund its `600Cr acquisition of TOP LOSERS Paras Pharmaceuticals' personal care portfolio. (BSE A-Group) • SpiceJet will import aviation turbine fuel (ATF) through a private oil marketing company at an Previous Current Change Company Name airport in southern India on a pilot basis to check the Close(`) Price(`) (%) Aurobindo Phar 118.90 113.90 -4.21 economic viability of the process. OIL INDIA 514.95 495.40 -3.80 • BEML initiated the process of setting up Aerospace Pidilite Inds 177.55 172.45 -2.87 Manufacturing Division at SEZ Park near Bangalore Apollo Hosp 638.75 620.55 -2.85 International Airport, Devanahalli. Ranbaxy Lab 469.00 456.85 -2.59 US markets (BSE Mid-Cap) The Nasdaq Composite Index (COMP) rose 28.13 points, or 0.9%, to 3,119.70. Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) MVL 8.60 8.18 -4.88 VAARAD 28.95 27.55 -4.84 BEML 651.50 620.85 -4.70 Aurobindo Phar 118.90 113.90 -4.21 Pidilite Inds 177.55 172.45 -2.87 Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions 3/Apr 4/Apr 5/Apr 6/Apr India Forex Reserves Data Bank Loan Growth US Factory Orders ADP Employment Initial & Continuing Average Hourly (MoM) Change Jobless claims Earnings (YoY & MoM); Average Weekly Hours Total Vehicle Sales ISM Non Unemployment manufacturig data Rate; Nonfarm Payrolls Consumer Credit Change Global Eurozone's Producer Eurozone ECB Press China HSBC Service Japan Leading Price Index (MoM) conference & PMI Economic Index and (YoY) Interest rate (Feb) decision UK's BRC Shop Price Germany PMI & UK industrial Japan Coincident Index (MoM) factory order data production Index (Mar) UK PMI Data UK BoE Interest rate decision KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.