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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                   INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, July 14, 2011

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                    Views on markets today
 Name of Index          July 12       July 13   Change (%)   • Indian markets snapped three day losing streak and
 Sensex              18,411.62     18,596.02       1.00%       closed on positive note yesterday as world markets
 CNX Nifty            5,526.15      5,585.45       1.07%       gained on stronger-than-expected Chinese Q2 June
 BSE Mid-cap          6,898.36      6,988.30       1.30%       2011 GDP data. The latest data showing a strong 9.5%
 BSE IT               5,925.11      5,922.33      -0.05%       expansion of the Chinese economy in Q2 June 2011
 BSE Banks           12,608.40     12,746.35       1.09%       helped offset euro-zone debt worries triggered by
                                                               Moody's Investors Service downgrading Ireland to junk
FII Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                               status. Except IT, all sectoral indices closed positive
 Date                      Buy           Sell        Net       with consumer durable, oil & gas, real estate and auto
 12-Jul                    395           439          -44      stocks were major gainers. Sugar stocks were in
 11-Jul                    275           320          -45      demand after world sugar prices shot up. Shree
 Total July              3961          4045         1117       Renuka Sugar, Dhampur Sugar and Balrampur Chini
 2011 YTD               71981         69212         3419       rose 3.7% to 4%. Glenmark Pharma gained 3.5% after
                                                               its US generics unit received the Food and Drug
MF Activity                                         (`Cr)
                                                               Administration's approval for ursodiol tablets used to
 Date                     Buy           Sell         Net       treat swelling of the bile ducts. CEAT Tyre also gained
 11-Jul                   275           320          -45       after it recently raised prices of tyres by 2% to 2.5%
 8-Jul                    537           785         -248       across categories and said margins are likely to
 Total July              3566          3606         1161       improve from Q2 September 2011 due to a fall in
 2011 YTD               71586         68773         3463       prices of rubber, a key raw material.

Volume & Advances / Declines                                 • Market breadth was strong at ~1.84x as investors
                                                               bought large cap stocks. FIIs bought equities worth
                                       NSE           BSE
                                                               `3.16bn while domestic institutions sold equities of
 Trading Volume (`Cr)                9,775          2,578
                                                               `3.69bn.
 Advances                            1,050          1,859
 Declines                              385          1,012    • Asian markets are mostly negative due to ongoing US
 Unchanged                              80           139
                                                               debt issues and possible ratings downgrade. Both the
                                                               Nikkei and the Hang Seng declined today.
 Total                               1,515          3,010
                                                             • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets
Global Markets
                                                               amid negative cues from the Asian markets. Markets
 Index                     Latest Values        Change (%)     may also react to the food inflation data
 DJIA                             12,491.61         0.4%       announcement today. Some volatile trades may be
 NASDAQ                            2,796.92         0.5%       expected from the IT sector ahead of TCS earnings.
 Nikkei *                          9,926.74         -0.4%
                                                             Key events today
 Hang Seng *                      21,859.84         -0.3%
                                                             • Announcement of food and fuel price inflation data
* as of 8.45AM IST
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            Economic and Corporate Developments

                                     Latest      Previous    • After reviewing the causes of slowdown in industrial
                                     Quote          Close      growth with the corporate leaders, Commerce and
 Indian Rupee per $                   44.43         44.53      Industry Minister Anand Sharma said a Cabinet note
 Indian Rupee per €                   63.20         62.65      on the proposed policy to boost manufacturing will be
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)               98.07         98.05      circulated soon.
 Gold ($/oz)                       1,586.30      1,585.50    • The Committee of Secretaries will meet on July 22 to
 Silver ($/oz)                        38.27         37.87       finalise a blue print on allowing foreign investment in
                                                                the multi-brand retail sector for political clearance.

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                                                                                        INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

 TOP GAINERS                                                   Buzzing Stocks
 (BSE A-Group)
                                                               • ONGC set to start production at two offshore fields
                       Previous       Current    Change
  Company Name                                                   this year to maintain output from deposits &
                       Close (`)     Price (`)      (%)
                                                                 production from North Tapti gas deposits to begin
  Indiabulls Re Est       113.20       120.00       6.01
                                                                 after monsoon.
  Sintex Inds             171.60       181.20       5.59
  United Phos             150.20       157.65       4.96       • West Bengal government to acquire stake in the
  IRB Infra               170.10       178.20       4.76         Coal India & NMDC’s coal to oil project in Bengal.
  Bharat Forge            321.85       336.55       4.57       • PFC plans to disburse loans for Rs35,000Cr in the
 (BSE Mid-Cap)                                                   current fiscal, also in talks with Nuclear Power Corp
                       Previous      Current     Change          for lending Rs12,000Cr to setup two nuclear plants.
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)
                                                               • TVS Motor to shift its two-third base from Chennai to
  BAJFINANCE              628.80       686.05        9.10
                                                                 China due to rigid labour laws, rising interest costs &
  Indiabulls Re Est       113.20       120.00        6.01
                                                                 withdrawal of key export benefit scheme.
  Sintex Inds             171.60       181.20        5.59
  Arvind                   81.30        85.65        5.35      • Bajaj Finance to launch a share sale to qualified
                                                                 institutions to raise around Rs360Cr for Q2.
  JM Financial             21.75        22.90        5.29
                                                               • Technocraft Industries to hive off its cotton yarn
 TOP LOSERS                                                      division valued at around Rs220Cr.
 (BSE A-Group)                                                 •   ONGC further postponed its FPO plans to sell 5%
                       Previous      Current     Change            stake and is unlikely to hit the market before mid-
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)
                                                                   August.
  SKS Microfinance       587.60       528.85      -10.00
  Motherson Sumi         239.35       230.95       -3.51       •   Allahabad Bank to raise $500mn in medium-term to
                                                                   fund its Hong Kong business.
  Marico                 167.15       164.00       -1.88
  Unitech                  33.15        32.65      -1.51       US markets
  United Brew            502.70       495.30       -1.47
                                                               US markets lost early shine by end of the day but
 (BSE Mid-Cap)                                                 close higher Wednesday, helped by expectations the
                       Previous      Current     Change        Federal Reserve could again step in to support the
  Company Name
                       Close(`)      Price(`)       (%)        economy. The major indexes started the day with
  SKS Microfinance        587.60       528.85      -10.00      gains after China reported a slight scaling back in
  Motherson Sumi          239.35       230.95       -3.51      economic growth, and rallied after Federal Reserve
  GODREJ PROP             813.15       792.40       -2.55      Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank would
  AIA Engineering         377.70       370.00       -2.04      consider additional stimulus. The Dow Jones
  Marico                  167.15       164.00       -1.88      Industrial Average at one point was up by triple
                                                               digits, only to shed most of that advance by the
                                                               close.




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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 14-'11

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, July 14, 2011 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index July 12 July 13 Change (%) • Indian markets snapped three day losing streak and Sensex 18,411.62 18,596.02 1.00% closed on positive note yesterday as world markets CNX Nifty 5,526.15 5,585.45 1.07% gained on stronger-than-expected Chinese Q2 June BSE Mid-cap 6,898.36 6,988.30 1.30% 2011 GDP data. The latest data showing a strong 9.5% BSE IT 5,925.11 5,922.33 -0.05% expansion of the Chinese economy in Q2 June 2011 BSE Banks 12,608.40 12,746.35 1.09% helped offset euro-zone debt worries triggered by Moody's Investors Service downgrading Ireland to junk FII Activity (`Cr) status. Except IT, all sectoral indices closed positive Date Buy Sell Net with consumer durable, oil & gas, real estate and auto 12-Jul 395 439 -44 stocks were major gainers. Sugar stocks were in 11-Jul 275 320 -45 demand after world sugar prices shot up. Shree Total July 3961 4045 1117 Renuka Sugar, Dhampur Sugar and Balrampur Chini 2011 YTD 71981 69212 3419 rose 3.7% to 4%. Glenmark Pharma gained 3.5% after its US generics unit received the Food and Drug MF Activity (`Cr) Administration's approval for ursodiol tablets used to Date Buy Sell Net treat swelling of the bile ducts. CEAT Tyre also gained 11-Jul 275 320 -45 after it recently raised prices of tyres by 2% to 2.5% 8-Jul 537 785 -248 across categories and said margins are likely to Total July 3566 3606 1161 improve from Q2 September 2011 due to a fall in 2011 YTD 71586 68773 3463 prices of rubber, a key raw material. Volume & Advances / Declines • Market breadth was strong at ~1.84x as investors bought large cap stocks. FIIs bought equities worth NSE BSE `3.16bn while domestic institutions sold equities of Trading Volume (`Cr) 9,775 2,578 `3.69bn. Advances 1,050 1,859 Declines 385 1,012 • Asian markets are mostly negative due to ongoing US Unchanged 80 139 debt issues and possible ratings downgrade. Both the Nikkei and the Hang Seng declined today. Total 1,515 3,010 • We expect a weak opening for the Indian markets Global Markets amid negative cues from the Asian markets. Markets Index Latest Values Change (%) may also react to the food inflation data DJIA 12,491.61 0.4% announcement today. Some volatile trades may be NASDAQ 2,796.92 0.5% expected from the IT sector ahead of TCS earnings. Nikkei * 9,926.74 -0.4% Key events today Hang Seng * 21,859.84 -0.3% • Announcement of food and fuel price inflation data * as of 8.45AM IST Currencies / Commodities Snapshot Economic and Corporate Developments Latest Previous • After reviewing the causes of slowdown in industrial Quote Close growth with the corporate leaders, Commerce and Indian Rupee per $ 44.43 44.53 Industry Minister Anand Sharma said a Cabinet note Indian Rupee per € 63.20 62.65 on the proposed policy to boost manufacturing will be NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 98.07 98.05 circulated soon. Gold ($/oz) 1,586.30 1,585.50 • The Committee of Secretaries will meet on July 22 to Silver ($/oz) 38.27 37.87 finalise a blue print on allowing foreign investment in the multi-brand retail sector for political clearance. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynoteindia.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • ONGC set to start production at two offshore fields Previous Current Change Company Name this year to maintain output from deposits & Close (`) Price (`) (%) production from North Tapti gas deposits to begin Indiabulls Re Est 113.20 120.00 6.01 after monsoon. Sintex Inds 171.60 181.20 5.59 United Phos 150.20 157.65 4.96 • West Bengal government to acquire stake in the IRB Infra 170.10 178.20 4.76 Coal India & NMDC’s coal to oil project in Bengal. Bharat Forge 321.85 336.55 4.57 • PFC plans to disburse loans for Rs35,000Cr in the (BSE Mid-Cap) current fiscal, also in talks with Nuclear Power Corp Previous Current Change for lending Rs12,000Cr to setup two nuclear plants. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • TVS Motor to shift its two-third base from Chennai to BAJFINANCE 628.80 686.05 9.10 China due to rigid labour laws, rising interest costs & Indiabulls Re Est 113.20 120.00 6.01 withdrawal of key export benefit scheme. Sintex Inds 171.60 181.20 5.59 Arvind 81.30 85.65 5.35 • Bajaj Finance to launch a share sale to qualified institutions to raise around Rs360Cr for Q2. JM Financial 21.75 22.90 5.29 • Technocraft Industries to hive off its cotton yarn TOP LOSERS division valued at around Rs220Cr. (BSE A-Group) • ONGC further postponed its FPO plans to sell 5% Previous Current Change stake and is unlikely to hit the market before mid- Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) August. SKS Microfinance 587.60 528.85 -10.00 Motherson Sumi 239.35 230.95 -3.51 • Allahabad Bank to raise $500mn in medium-term to fund its Hong Kong business. Marico 167.15 164.00 -1.88 Unitech 33.15 32.65 -1.51 US markets United Brew 502.70 495.30 -1.47 US markets lost early shine by end of the day but (BSE Mid-Cap) close higher Wednesday, helped by expectations the Previous Current Change Federal Reserve could again step in to support the Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) economy. The major indexes started the day with SKS Microfinance 587.60 528.85 -10.00 gains after China reported a slight scaling back in Motherson Sumi 239.35 230.95 -3.51 economic growth, and rallied after Federal Reserve GODREJ PROP 813.15 792.40 -2.55 Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank would AIA Engineering 377.70 370.00 -2.04 consider additional stimulus. The Dow Jones Marico 167.15 164.00 -1.88 Industrial Average at one point was up by triple digits, only to shed most of that advance by the close. KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynoteindia.net Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.