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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                 INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, May 10, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index          May 8        May 9    Change (%)   • Indian markets fell for the second straight day to
                                                             reach their lowest closing level in 16-weeks yesterday
 Sensex              16,546.18    16,479.58     -0.40%
                                                             tracking global markets as the deepening worries over
 CNX Nifty            4,999.95     4,974.80     -0.50%
                                                             the euro zone are weighing on risk assets globally,
 BSE Mid-cap          6,053.89     5,994.50     -0.98%       with the post-Greek election uncertainty hitting Asian
 BSE IT               5,533.39     5,545.03      0.21%       shares. The worsening global risk environment is
 BSE Banks           11,051.80    10,842.68     -1.89%       combining with the concerns over taxation of foreign
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       investors in India and doubts about the country's
                                                             economic and fiscal outlooks. As a result, markets are
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       turning defensive, especially as foreign investors has
 8-May                  1,910         2,279        -369      turned net seller and sold nearly `10bn in the last two
 7-May                  2,191         2,784        -593      sessions. Except FMCG and IT, all sectoral indices
 Total May             12,207        12,321        -115      closed on negative note with real estate, metal, bank
 2012 YTD             248,585      205,239       43347       and power stocks were major losers. Reliance
                                                             Industries (RIL) edged lower on reports the firm has
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)      reduced estimates for proven gas reserves from its
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       Indian blocks by 6.6% to 103.958 billion cubic meters
 7-May                    622          596          26       due to lower-than-expected output from its east coast
 4-May                    472          675         -204      gas field. Mahindra & Mahindra lost 3.2% on news that
                                                             fire broke out in one of the storage areas for a plant
 Total May              1,798         2,272        -474
                                                             that manufactures its Scorpio and Xylo TCF vehicles in
 2012 YTD              46,792        53,366       -6574
                                                             North Maharashtra. ITC shares added 5.73%, reversing
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 a slump over the previous seven sessions, as analysts
                                      NSE          BSE       say the changes to the pricing methodology for a
                                                             proposed excise duty would be positive for cigarette
 Trading Volume (Cr)                66.25         22.97
                                                             manufacturers. Ranbaxy Laboratories gained 4.2%
 Turnover (`Cr)                    11,014         2,069
                                                             after its Jan-March net profit rose four-fold, boosted by
 Advances                             404          936       forex gains and Lipitor sales.
 Declines                           1,066         1,796
                                                           • Market breadth was lower at ~0.52x as investors sold
 Unchanged                             70          124       large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs sold equity
 Total                              1,540         2,856      of `3.76bn while domestic institutions bought equity of
Global Markets                                               `1.62bn in cash segment.
                                                           • Asian shares are mostly up today, after a sharp
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)
                                                             decline over last few days, as investors started
 DJIA                            12,835.06      -0.75%
                                                             recovering some of the losses.
 NASDAQ                           2,934.71      -0.39%
                                                           • We expect moderately positive opening for the Indian
 Nikkei *                         9,065.03       0.22%
                                                             markets today, following the cues from the Asian
 Hang Seng *                     20,314.72      -0.08%       markets. However, the uncertainties over global
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           economic developments and the domestic worries
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            would weigh on the markets.
                                    Latest     Previous    Economic and Corporate Developments
                                    Quote         Close    • The Cabinet is expected to consider today the bill for
 Indian Rupee per $                  53.75        53.14      setting up coal sector regulator to ensure
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.52        69.09      transparency in the allocation of coal blocks and to
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              96.69        96.81      expedite the resolution of pricing disputes.
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,592.90     1,594.20    • The government said it will soon start auctioning 54
 Silver ($/oz)                       29.14        29.20      coal blocks that have an estimated 18.22 billion
                                                             tonnes of reserves.

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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                             Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                           • RIL said it signed a $2bn equivalent loan with nine
                   Previous    Current    Change          banks covered by Euler Hermes Deutschland AG
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)          earlier this week in Germany. The loan will be used
 Emami               439.10     475.45       8.28         to finance goods and services procured from German
 ITC                 227.30     240.05       5.61         suppliers as part of RIL's petrochemicals expansion
 Ranbaxy Lab         493.70     512.45       3.80         projects at Jamnagar, Hazira, Silvassa and Dahej.
 Apollo Tyres         82.10      84.60       3.05       • The Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. board
 Glenmark Ph         329.75     339.75       3.03         would consider signing crude import agreement with
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic
                                                          (SOCAR), a top official said. The Azerbaijani company
                   Previous    Current    Change          has come forward to supply crude and the proposal
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
                                                          will be taken up with the HPCL doard, said K Murali,
 Rallis India        119.75     130.45       8.94
                                                          director (refineries). Murali said the initial quantities
 Emami               439.10     475.45       8.28
                                                          from Azerbaijan would be in the range of 0.5 million
 VST Inds           1776.65    1877.00       5.65
                                                          tons.
 Berger Paints       117.60     122.55       4.21
 India Infoline       45.80      47.65       4.04
                                                        • Vakrangee Softwares bagged Rajasthan Common
                                                          Service Centres (CSC) Project from Department of
TOP LOSERS                                                Information Technology & Communication.
                                                        • The power generation business of Cummins India
(BSE A-Group)
                                                          Limited announced an increase in prices of up to 3%
                   Previous    Current    Change          for its diesel generator sets and generator set
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
                                                          engines in the range of 7.5 kVA and 3000 kVA,
 Manappuram Fin       24.20      20.70     -14.46
                                                          attributing the same to current industry dynamics
 GMR Infra            24.30      22.60      -7.00
                                                          and projected market conditions. The price increase
 HDIL                 71.15      66.45      -6.61
                                                          will be effective from June 1, 2012.
 United Spirits     696.35     651.35       -6.46
                                                        • In a bid to cash in on the declining denim capacities
 Andhra Bank        116.50     109.60       -5.92
                                                          in China, Arvind is set to partner with a local denim
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                             mill there to tap the Chinese market.
                   Previous    Current    Change        US markets
 Company Name
                   Close(`)    Price(`)      (%)
                                                        US stocks declined Wednesday, leaving the Dow
 Manappuram Fin       24.20      20.70     -14.46
                                                        industrials in the red for a sixth session, as investors
 Arvind               89.10      77.10     -13.47
                                                        fretted about political uncertainty in Greece.
 GVK Power            14.05      12.80      -8.90
 HDIL                 71.15      66.45      -6.61
                                                        The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 12,835.06,
                                                        off 97.03 points, or 0.8%. The S&P 500 index shed 9.14
 REI Agro             10.47       9.83      -6.11
                                                        points, or 0.7%, to 1,354.58. The Nasdaq Composite
                                                        index dropped 11.56 points, or 0.4%, to 2,934.71.




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research             (research@keynotecapitals.net)              (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar
    Countries /                Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                  Tuesday
   Regions                      10/May                                    11/May                                   14/May                                   15/May
   India                                                     Forex Reserves Data                       Monthly WPI based
                                                                                                       inflation data
                                                             Weekly Supplement
                                                             of RBI
                                                             Cumulative
                                                             Industrial Output,
                                                             Industrial Output &
                                                             Manufacturing
                                                             Output
   US               Continuing & Initial                     Producer Price Index                                                                Retail Sales (MoM)
                    Jobless Claims                           (YoY)
                    Trade balance                            Reuters/ Michigan                                                                  Retail Sales ex Autos
                                                             Consumer                                                                           (MoM)
                                                             Sentiment Index
                    Import Price Index                                                                                                          Business Inventories
   Global           China Trade Balance                      China Producer Price                                                               Germany's Gross
                                                             Index (YoY) &                                                                      Domestic Product
                                                             Consumer Price                                                                     n.s.a (YoY)
                                                             Index (YoY)
                    UK Industrial                            China Industrial                                                                   Germany's Gross
                    productions                              Production (YoY) &                                                                 Domestic Product
                                                             Retail Slaes (YoY)                                                                 s.a (QoQ)
                                                             UK Producer Price
                                                             Index - Input (YoY &
                                                             MoM) n.s.a
                                                             UK Producer Price
                                                             Index - Output (YoY
                                                             & MoM) n.s.a




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
                       The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028
                                           Tel. : +9122-30266000                       •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note may 10-'12

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, May 10, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index May 8 May 9 Change (%) • Indian markets fell for the second straight day to reach their lowest closing level in 16-weeks yesterday Sensex 16,546.18 16,479.58 -0.40% tracking global markets as the deepening worries over CNX Nifty 4,999.95 4,974.80 -0.50% the euro zone are weighing on risk assets globally, BSE Mid-cap 6,053.89 5,994.50 -0.98% with the post-Greek election uncertainty hitting Asian BSE IT 5,533.39 5,545.03 0.21% shares. The worsening global risk environment is BSE Banks 11,051.80 10,842.68 -1.89% combining with the concerns over taxation of foreign FII Activity (`Cr) investors in India and doubts about the country's economic and fiscal outlooks. As a result, markets are Date Buy Sell Net turning defensive, especially as foreign investors has 8-May 1,910 2,279 -369 turned net seller and sold nearly `10bn in the last two 7-May 2,191 2,784 -593 sessions. Except FMCG and IT, all sectoral indices Total May 12,207 12,321 -115 closed on negative note with real estate, metal, bank 2012 YTD 248,585 205,239 43347 and power stocks were major losers. Reliance Industries (RIL) edged lower on reports the firm has MF Activity (`Cr) reduced estimates for proven gas reserves from its Date Buy Sell Net Indian blocks by 6.6% to 103.958 billion cubic meters 7-May 622 596 26 due to lower-than-expected output from its east coast 4-May 472 675 -204 gas field. Mahindra & Mahindra lost 3.2% on news that fire broke out in one of the storage areas for a plant Total May 1,798 2,272 -474 that manufactures its Scorpio and Xylo TCF vehicles in 2012 YTD 46,792 53,366 -6574 North Maharashtra. ITC shares added 5.73%, reversing Volume & Advances / Declines a slump over the previous seven sessions, as analysts NSE BSE say the changes to the pricing methodology for a proposed excise duty would be positive for cigarette Trading Volume (Cr) 66.25 22.97 manufacturers. Ranbaxy Laboratories gained 4.2% Turnover (`Cr) 11,014 2,069 after its Jan-March net profit rose four-fold, boosted by Advances 404 936 forex gains and Lipitor sales. Declines 1,066 1,796 • Market breadth was lower at ~0.52x as investors sold Unchanged 70 124 large cap stocks. On provisional basis, FIIs sold equity Total 1,540 2,856 of `3.76bn while domestic institutions bought equity of Global Markets `1.62bn in cash segment. • Asian shares are mostly up today, after a sharp Index Latest Values Change (%) decline over last few days, as investors started DJIA 12,835.06 -0.75% recovering some of the losses. NASDAQ 2,934.71 -0.39% • We expect moderately positive opening for the Indian Nikkei * 9,065.03 0.22% markets today, following the cues from the Asian Hang Seng * 20,314.72 -0.08% markets. However, the uncertainties over global * as of 8.25AM IST economic developments and the domestic worries Currencies / Commodities Snapshot would weigh on the markets. Latest Previous Economic and Corporate Developments Quote Close • The Cabinet is expected to consider today the bill for Indian Rupee per $ 53.75 53.14 setting up coal sector regulator to ensure Indian Rupee per € 69.52 69.09 transparency in the allocation of coal blocks and to NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 96.69 96.81 expedite the resolution of pricing disputes. Gold ($/oz) 1,592.90 1,594.20 • The government said it will soon start auctioning 54 Silver ($/oz) 29.14 29.20 coal blocks that have an estimated 18.22 billion tonnes of reserves. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • RIL said it signed a $2bn equivalent loan with nine Previous Current Change banks covered by Euler Hermes Deutschland AG Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) earlier this week in Germany. The loan will be used Emami 439.10 475.45 8.28 to finance goods and services procured from German ITC 227.30 240.05 5.61 suppliers as part of RIL's petrochemicals expansion Ranbaxy Lab 493.70 512.45 3.80 projects at Jamnagar, Hazira, Silvassa and Dahej. Apollo Tyres 82.10 84.60 3.05 • The Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. board Glenmark Ph 329.75 339.75 3.03 would consider signing crude import agreement with (BSE Mid-Cap) the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic (SOCAR), a top official said. The Azerbaijani company Previous Current Change has come forward to supply crude and the proposal Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) will be taken up with the HPCL doard, said K Murali, Rallis India 119.75 130.45 8.94 director (refineries). Murali said the initial quantities Emami 439.10 475.45 8.28 from Azerbaijan would be in the range of 0.5 million VST Inds 1776.65 1877.00 5.65 tons. Berger Paints 117.60 122.55 4.21 India Infoline 45.80 47.65 4.04 • Vakrangee Softwares bagged Rajasthan Common Service Centres (CSC) Project from Department of TOP LOSERS Information Technology & Communication. • The power generation business of Cummins India (BSE A-Group) Limited announced an increase in prices of up to 3% Previous Current Change for its diesel generator sets and generator set Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) engines in the range of 7.5 kVA and 3000 kVA, Manappuram Fin 24.20 20.70 -14.46 attributing the same to current industry dynamics GMR Infra 24.30 22.60 -7.00 and projected market conditions. The price increase HDIL 71.15 66.45 -6.61 will be effective from June 1, 2012. United Spirits 696.35 651.35 -6.46 • In a bid to cash in on the declining denim capacities Andhra Bank 116.50 109.60 -5.92 in China, Arvind is set to partner with a local denim (BSE Mid-Cap) mill there to tap the Chinese market. Previous Current Change US markets Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) US stocks declined Wednesday, leaving the Dow Manappuram Fin 24.20 20.70 -14.46 industrials in the red for a sixth session, as investors Arvind 89.10 77.10 -13.47 fretted about political uncertainty in Greece. GVK Power 14.05 12.80 -8.90 HDIL 71.15 66.45 -6.61 The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 12,835.06, off 97.03 points, or 0.8%. The S&P 500 index shed 9.14 REI Agro 10.47 9.83 -6.11 points, or 0.7%, to 1,354.58. The Nasdaq Composite index dropped 11.56 points, or 0.4%, to 2,934.71. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 10/May 11/May 14/May 15/May India Forex Reserves Data Monthly WPI based inflation data Weekly Supplement of RBI Cumulative Industrial Output, Industrial Output & Manufacturing Output US Continuing & Initial Producer Price Index Retail Sales (MoM) Jobless Claims (YoY) Trade balance Reuters/ Michigan Retail Sales ex Autos Consumer (MoM) Sentiment Index Import Price Index Business Inventories Global China Trade Balance China Producer Price Germany's Gross Index (YoY) & Domestic Product Consumer Price n.s.a (YoY) Index (YoY) UK Industrial China Industrial Germany's Gross productions Production (YoY) & Domestic Product Retail Slaes (YoY) s.a (QoQ) UK Producer Price Index - Input (YoY & MoM) n.s.a UK Producer Price Index - Output (YoY & MoM) n.s.a KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028 Tel. : +9122-30266000 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.