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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Friday, February 17, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Feb 15        Feb 16   Change (%)   • Indian markets snapped a three-day winning streak
 Sensex              18,202.41    18,153.99     -0.27%       and closed on negative note yesterday as weak global
                                                             markets with another delay in sealing a crucial bailout
 CNX Nifty            5,531.95     5,521.95     -0.18%
                                                             for Greece weighed on markets sentiment. Worries
 BSE Mid-cap          6,480.68     6,548.02      1.04%
                                                             over a bailout for Greece prevailed after the eurozone
 BSE IT               6,149.12     6,179.08      0.49%       leaders reportedly postponed the decision on granting
 BSE Banks           12,558.11    12,559.43      0.01%       Greece a second bailout despite repeated assurances
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       from Greek leaders on budget reforms. However, the
                                                             markets pared some of its initial losses, which enabled
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty to close above the
 14-Feb                 2,972         1,825       1147       key levels of 18,000 and 5,500, respectively. The
 13-Feb                 2,592         1,944        648       downward movement was led by selling pressure in
 Total Feb             36,572        25,535      11037       metal, oil & gas, consumer durables and FMCG stocks
 2012 YTD              89,511        67,393      22118       while buying activities in real estate, power, capital
                                                             goods and IT stocks help the markets to pare some of
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             its initial losses. Airline stocks rose after state-run oil
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       marketing companies cut jet fuel prices for the second
 14-Feb                   536          484          52       time in a month, a move that will provide some relief
 13-Feb                   313          574         -261      to cash-strapped carriers who have been hit by rising
 Total Feb              6,107         7,220      -1113       fuel costs. Jet Airways rose 2.4%. Kingfisher closed
                                                             0.6% higher even after reporting its net loss for
 2012 YTD              16,528        19,496       -2968
                                                             December quarter widened 75% from a year earlier
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 while Spicejet gained 1.6%. Coal India slumped 5.8%,
                                      NSE          BSE       its biggest fall in more than seven months, on
 Trading Volume (Cr)               120.43         37.93      concerns that a government order to sign a 20-year
                                                             guaranteed coal supply contract with power producers
 Turnover (`Cr)                    16,904         3,620
                                                             may hurt its earnings. Brokerage CLSA also
 Advances                             855         1,640
                                                             downgraded it to "sell" from "outperform" and cut its
 Declines                             648         1,292      target price to `315 from `350. Reliance Industries lost
 Unchanged                             62          112       ~3% on concern that gas output from its Krishna-
 Total                              1,565         3,044      Godavari D6 block, off India's east coast, may be 66%
                                                             lower than initial estimate from April. Sun
Global Markets
                                                             Pharmaceutical Industries shed 2.8% after it said that
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)     Wyeth had claimed $960mn in damages from the
 DJIA                            12,904.08       0.96%       company in a lawsuit.
 NASDAQ                           2,959.85       1.51%     • Market breadth was however strong at ~1.27x as
 Nikkei *                         9,400.18       1.75%       investors bought large cap stocks. On provisional
 Hang Seng *                     21,533.76       1.21%       basis, FIIs bought equity of `1.84bn while domestic
* as of 8.25AM IST                                           institutions sold equity of `3.91bn.
                                                           • Asian shares traded solidly higher Friday, bolstered by
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot
                                                             US economic data and earnings, and with Japanese
                                    Latest     Previous      exporters getting a boost as the yen falls further.
                                    Quote         Close
 Indian Rupee per $                  49.32        49.29    • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets,
 Indian Rupee per €                  64.72        64.74      as Asian markets indicating encouraging cues.
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            102.40        102.31    Economic and Corporate Developments
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,732.30     1,726.80    • Govt plans     to   make    30%    sourcing   from   MSEs
 Silver ($/oz)                       33.57        33.37      mandatory.



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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                              Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)
                                                         • Unitech would contest the compensation claim by
                     Previous   Current    Change          Telenor, the Norwegian majority partner of its
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          telecom arm, Unitech Wireless. Unitech is already
 IFCI                  41.95      46.85     11.68
                                                           under stress due to dropping profits, slow pace of
 HDIL                 110.85     119.80      8.07
                                                           delivery, high interest rates, the overall gloom in the
 Aditya Birla Nuv     858.60     916.20      6.71          realty sector, and the long-drawn 2G spectrum case
 IRB Infra            189.10     201.45      6.53          that its telecom arm has been linked to.
 Lanco Infra           19.10      20.30      6.28
                                                         • ITC buys 4.62% in Hotel Leela from Russell Credit.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                         • Global coal prices may zoom as CIL needs to go on
                     Previous   Current    Change          buying spree.
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 D B REALTY             82.65     95.10     15.06        • Magma Fincorp plans to start gold finance biz in H1
 TV18 Broadcast        31.15      35.60     14.29          of FY13.
 INDIAB POWER           16.55     18.66     12.75        • Kingfisher   needs   more   funds   to   remain   going
 IFCI                  41.95      46.85     11.68          concern.
 Shipping Corp         69.95      77.85     11.29
                                                         • ONGC may invoke force majeure clause for 2 KG
TOP LOSERS                                                 blocks.

(BSE A-Group)                                            • LIC to pick up to 5% stake in Punjab & Sind Bank.

                     Previous   Current    Change        US markets
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                         U.S. stocks surged Thursday, with the Dow industrials
 Voltas               118.25    111.70       -5.54
                                                         less than 100 points from the 13,000 level, as the
 Coal India           339.45    321.00       -5.44
                                                         outlook for Greece’s bailout improved and American
 Indusind Bank        331.90    315.95       -4.81
                                                         jobless claims slid to a nearly four-year low.
 Hindalco Inds        162.30    154.65       -4.71
 Sterlite Inds        134.75    129.15       -4.16       The Dow Jones industrial average was up 32.62 points,
                                                         or 0.28%, at 11,555.63. The Standard & Poor's 500
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                            Index was up 2.64 points, or 0.22%, at 1,195.19. The
                     Previous   Current    Change        Nasdaq composite index was down 11.83 points, or
 Company Name
                     Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)        0.47%, at 2,515.51.
 S Mobility             78.45     74.00      -5.67
 Voltas               118.25     111.70      -5.54
 Shree Global Trd     183.75     174.60      -4.98
 VAARAD                38.90      37.00      -4.88
 Sunteck Realty       417.35     400.60      -4.01




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research              (research@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                    Friday                                  Monday                                  Tuesday                                  Thursday

   Regions                       17/Feb                                   20/Feb                                    21/Feb                                   23/Feb

   India            Forex Reserves Data

                    Weekly Supplement
                    of RBI



   US               Consumer Price Index                     Chicago Fed national                      4-Week Bill                              Jobless claims
                    (YoY & MoM)                              activity index                            Announcement

                    Consumer Price Index                                                               3-Month Bill Auction                     Housing Price Index
                    Ex Food & Energy
                    (YoY & MoM)

                    Leading Indicators
                    (MoM)




   Global           UK Nationwide                                                                      Japan's All Industry                     UK BBA (British
                    Housing Prices (YoY &                                                              Activity Index (MoM)                     bankers association
                    MoM)                                                                                                                        )Mortgage Approvals

                    UK Retail Sales (YoY                                                               UK's Public Sector Net
                    & MoM)                                                                             Borrowing

                    UK Retail Sales ex-                                                                Eurozone Consumer
                    Fuel (YoY & MoM)                                                                   Confidence

                    Euro Zone Purchasing
                    Manager Index
                    Services (Feb)

                    Euro Zone
                    Construction Output
                    (YoY & MoM)




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           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
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Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Indian markets snap 3-day winning streak on global cues

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Friday, February 17, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Feb 15 Feb 16 Change (%) • Indian markets snapped a three-day winning streak Sensex 18,202.41 18,153.99 -0.27% and closed on negative note yesterday as weak global markets with another delay in sealing a crucial bailout CNX Nifty 5,531.95 5,521.95 -0.18% for Greece weighed on markets sentiment. Worries BSE Mid-cap 6,480.68 6,548.02 1.04% over a bailout for Greece prevailed after the eurozone BSE IT 6,149.12 6,179.08 0.49% leaders reportedly postponed the decision on granting BSE Banks 12,558.11 12,559.43 0.01% Greece a second bailout despite repeated assurances FII Activity (`Cr) from Greek leaders on budget reforms. However, the markets pared some of its initial losses, which enabled Date Buy Sell Net the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty to close above the 14-Feb 2,972 1,825 1147 key levels of 18,000 and 5,500, respectively. The 13-Feb 2,592 1,944 648 downward movement was led by selling pressure in Total Feb 36,572 25,535 11037 metal, oil & gas, consumer durables and FMCG stocks 2012 YTD 89,511 67,393 22118 while buying activities in real estate, power, capital goods and IT stocks help the markets to pare some of MF Activity (`Cr) its initial losses. Airline stocks rose after state-run oil Date Buy Sell Net marketing companies cut jet fuel prices for the second 14-Feb 536 484 52 time in a month, a move that will provide some relief 13-Feb 313 574 -261 to cash-strapped carriers who have been hit by rising Total Feb 6,107 7,220 -1113 fuel costs. Jet Airways rose 2.4%. Kingfisher closed 0.6% higher even after reporting its net loss for 2012 YTD 16,528 19,496 -2968 December quarter widened 75% from a year earlier Volume & Advances / Declines while Spicejet gained 1.6%. Coal India slumped 5.8%, NSE BSE its biggest fall in more than seven months, on Trading Volume (Cr) 120.43 37.93 concerns that a government order to sign a 20-year guaranteed coal supply contract with power producers Turnover (`Cr) 16,904 3,620 may hurt its earnings. Brokerage CLSA also Advances 855 1,640 downgraded it to "sell" from "outperform" and cut its Declines 648 1,292 target price to `315 from `350. Reliance Industries lost Unchanged 62 112 ~3% on concern that gas output from its Krishna- Total 1,565 3,044 Godavari D6 block, off India's east coast, may be 66% lower than initial estimate from April. Sun Global Markets Pharmaceutical Industries shed 2.8% after it said that Index Latest Values Change (%) Wyeth had claimed $960mn in damages from the DJIA 12,904.08 0.96% company in a lawsuit. NASDAQ 2,959.85 1.51% • Market breadth was however strong at ~1.27x as Nikkei * 9,400.18 1.75% investors bought large cap stocks. On provisional Hang Seng * 21,533.76 1.21% basis, FIIs bought equity of `1.84bn while domestic * as of 8.25AM IST institutions sold equity of `3.91bn. • Asian shares traded solidly higher Friday, bolstered by Currencies / Commodities Snapshot US economic data and earnings, and with Japanese Latest Previous exporters getting a boost as the yen falls further. Quote Close Indian Rupee per $ 49.32 49.29 • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets, Indian Rupee per € 64.72 64.74 as Asian markets indicating encouraging cues. NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 102.40 102.31 Economic and Corporate Developments Gold ($/oz) 1,732.30 1,726.80 • Govt plans to make 30% sourcing from MSEs Silver ($/oz) 33.57 33.37 mandatory. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Unitech would contest the compensation claim by Previous Current Change Telenor, the Norwegian majority partner of its Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) telecom arm, Unitech Wireless. Unitech is already IFCI 41.95 46.85 11.68 under stress due to dropping profits, slow pace of HDIL 110.85 119.80 8.07 delivery, high interest rates, the overall gloom in the Aditya Birla Nuv 858.60 916.20 6.71 realty sector, and the long-drawn 2G spectrum case IRB Infra 189.10 201.45 6.53 that its telecom arm has been linked to. Lanco Infra 19.10 20.30 6.28 • ITC buys 4.62% in Hotel Leela from Russell Credit. (BSE Mid-Cap) • Global coal prices may zoom as CIL needs to go on Previous Current Change buying spree. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) D B REALTY 82.65 95.10 15.06 • Magma Fincorp plans to start gold finance biz in H1 TV18 Broadcast 31.15 35.60 14.29 of FY13. INDIAB POWER 16.55 18.66 12.75 • Kingfisher needs more funds to remain going IFCI 41.95 46.85 11.68 concern. Shipping Corp 69.95 77.85 11.29 • ONGC may invoke force majeure clause for 2 KG TOP LOSERS blocks. (BSE A-Group) • LIC to pick up to 5% stake in Punjab & Sind Bank. Previous Current Change US markets Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) U.S. stocks surged Thursday, with the Dow industrials Voltas 118.25 111.70 -5.54 less than 100 points from the 13,000 level, as the Coal India 339.45 321.00 -5.44 outlook for Greece’s bailout improved and American Indusind Bank 331.90 315.95 -4.81 jobless claims slid to a nearly four-year low. Hindalco Inds 162.30 154.65 -4.71 Sterlite Inds 134.75 129.15 -4.16 The Dow Jones industrial average was up 32.62 points, or 0.28%, at 11,555.63. The Standard & Poor's 500 (BSE Mid-Cap) Index was up 2.64 points, or 0.22%, at 1,195.19. The Previous Current Change Nasdaq composite index was down 11.83 points, or Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) 0.47%, at 2,515.51. S Mobility 78.45 74.00 -5.67 Voltas 118.25 111.70 -5.54 Shree Global Trd 183.75 174.60 -4.98 VAARAD 38.90 37.00 -4.88 Sunteck Realty 417.35 400.60 -4.01 Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Thursday Regions 17/Feb 20/Feb 21/Feb 23/Feb India Forex Reserves Data Weekly Supplement of RBI US Consumer Price Index Chicago Fed national 4-Week Bill Jobless claims (YoY & MoM) activity index Announcement Consumer Price Index 3-Month Bill Auction Housing Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY & MoM) Leading Indicators (MoM) Global UK Nationwide Japan's All Industry UK BBA (British Housing Prices (YoY & Activity Index (MoM) bankers association MoM) )Mortgage Approvals UK Retail Sales (YoY UK's Public Sector Net & MoM) Borrowing UK Retail Sales ex- Eurozone Consumer Fuel (YoY & MoM) Confidence Euro Zone Purchasing Manager Index Services (Feb) Euro Zone Construction Output (YoY & MoM) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.