Indian Position in Globalize world the journey…
Flow of Presentation Objective Look at Asian Economies Strength & Weaknesses Transformation Self Sufficiency Break – up of the Economy Drivers of Global Economy What lead to India Shinning  Evaluation Sources of Information
Objective The review of past Indian Economy Assessing the current scenario How India highly competitive  Future predictions about Indian Economy Future Investments in India
Under construction Korea Philippines Vietnam Singapore Thailand China Bangladesh India Pakistan Japan Taiwan Malaysia Indonesia
Fastest Growing Free Market Democracy 8.8% average annual GDP growth rate from 2003–04 to  2007–08  Sources:  Times of India ,  RBI ,  The Economic Times . The Transformation... GDP Growth Forex Reserve FII Flow  FDI Per Capita Inflation 1990 4.9 per cent < US$ 1 billion US$ 1 million (1993)  US$ 97 million US$ 390 9 per cent 2008 9.0 per cent US$ 300.01 billion as on August 08, 2008 US$ 16.1 billion in 2007–08 US$ 25 billion in 2007–08 US$ 740 12.14 per cent as on September 13, 2008
Self Sufficiency  Steadily increasing forex reserves offer adequate security against any possible currency crisis or monetary instability Increased confidence of investors in Indian companies has led to a surge in cross-border borrowings by corporate houses In 2007–08, forex reserves witnessed a growth of approximately 56 per cent over 2006–07 … t he decreasing external debt to GDP ratio indicates that India has a sound economic platform India’s forex reserves are in excess of external debt…
Break – up of the Economy Contribution of Services— increased from 48 per cent in 1999–00 to 53 per cent in 2007–08 Fastest GDP growth of 9.4 per cent in 2006–07. India’s GDP (8.7 per cent) has witnessed high growth and was the second fastest-growing GDP after China (11.4 per cent) in 2007–08. The sound performance of each industry segment is leading to the overall robust performance of the Indian economy. Source:  MOSPI Statistics ,  RBI .
The Drivers of the Global Economy  Source: Goldman Sachs BRIC report Engines of growth US and Europe are expected to grow at 2-4% Brazil, Russia, India and China  are going to be the next big drivers of the global economy In less than 40 years, the BRIC companies could be larger than the G6 in dollar terms Among BRICs , India will be the fastest  growing and will rank behind China and USA by 2033 The movement of capital Higher growth will lead to higher returns Increased demand for capital will mean more fund flows in these countries. Cumulative FDI Inflow India has witnessed a strong inflow of FDI in the last 5 years Source: Reserve Bank of India
India: Sweeping reforms post liberalization  Dismantling  Protectionism Average imports tariffs have  reduced from 53% in 1988 to 18%  In 2002 Strong  Infrastructure Avoid direct government  Involvement Allowing FDI Sound regulatory framework (TRAI) Introduction of competition  Disinvestment Major successes include VSNL, BALCO, Maruti Udyog,  GAIL, ONGC, NTPC Progress by state governments  as well Financial Sector Reforms Sound regulatory base in  banking, insurance and securities Fiscal Reforms Removal of distortionary taxes, Migration to VAT regime Simplicity and low cost of  compliance Globalisation Reduced barriers to movement of goods and capital Well-poised to exploit the  Internet  The economic reforms process has been a key source of  convergence among the  political parties, with every successive government taking the reforms forward
Indian firms seek global reach Tata Steel bought  Corus Plc Hindalco acquired  Novelis Inc. Suzlon Energy Ltd.  acquired REpower  Dr. Reddy’s  acquired Betapharm United spirits  acquired W&M USD 12.1 billion   USD 6 billion   USD 1.6 billion   USD 0.5 billion   USD 0.5 billion   Acquisition made Tata Steel world’s fifth largest steel producer globally   Acquisition made Hindalco the world's  largest aluminum rolling company   Acquired German’s third largest generic companies Acquisition made United Spirits world's  second largest spirit company Acquisition made Suzlon world's third  largest wind power company
Major M&A and Investments Announcements in India USD 11 billion  Vodafone buys Hutch USD 1.7 billion Plans to spend on its development operations in India over the next four years USD 12 billion  POSCO to invest in building steel manufacturing plants and facilities in India by 2016 Plans expansion of cement capacity in India Over USD 1 billion Plans investment in private equity, real estate, and private wealth management USD 1 billion
MNCs finding location of R&D in India : Increases global competitiveness India- Attractive R&D  Destination Large R&D facility of major MNCs Microsoft IBM ADOBE SAP Sony Ericsson  Dell  The DaimlerChrysler  Boeing Texas Instruments
Indian Workers in America 38% of Doctors in America are Indians. 12% of Scientists in America are Indians. 36% of NASA employees are Indians. 13% of XEROX employees are Indians. 34% of MICROSOFT employees are Indians. 28% of IBM employees are Indians. 17% of INTEL employees are Indians.
Evaluation Strengths Sustained growth for over a decade (but recent slowdown) Strong export  potential, current a/c deficit low Healthy forex reserves  Low external debt Low inflation Political consensus on reforms Deepening financial sector Knowledge base advantage, demographic surge Weaknesses Fiscal deficit high, debt GDP ratio high Fiscal situation of states worse Inadequate infrastructure, huge funding needed Unsatisfactory investment climate Rising gap between rich and poor Dependence on oil imports, monsoons Slowing of reforms, coalition compulsions Social indicators below world average
BRIC Report, Goldman Sachs “ I have never seen India so dynamic, vibrant and full of business opportunities”. - Dan Scheinman, Cisco System Inc. as told to Business Week, August 2005 “ We came to India for the costs, stayed for the quality and are now investing for innovation”. John Redwood Economic Competitiveness Policy Group, UK “ India is now truly a land of opportunity”. Jack Welch General Electric “ India is a developed country as far as intellectual capital is concerned”. Peter Loescher  President and Chief Executive  Siemens  By 2032, India will be among the three largest economies in the world. Why India? – Quote Unquote Travyn Rhall, ACNielsen “ The Indian market has two core advantages - an increasing presence of multinationals and an upswing in the IT exports”. Craig Barrett Intel Corporation “ India has evolved into one of the world's leading technology centers“. Mr Paul de Voijs  Managing Director Volvo Car India  “ India is a very exciting market and the luxury car segment is growing exponentially here”.
Sources of information Reports, Goldman Sachs,2005 World bank,2007 CII report,2005 Websites, www.et.com www.rbi.org www.gov.nic.in
Thank You ROLL NO 57 TO 65

india position in world

  • 1.
    Indian Position inGlobalize world the journey…
  • 2.
    Flow of PresentationObjective Look at Asian Economies Strength & Weaknesses Transformation Self Sufficiency Break – up of the Economy Drivers of Global Economy What lead to India Shinning Evaluation Sources of Information
  • 3.
    Objective The reviewof past Indian Economy Assessing the current scenario How India highly competitive Future predictions about Indian Economy Future Investments in India
  • 4.
    Under construction KoreaPhilippines Vietnam Singapore Thailand China Bangladesh India Pakistan Japan Taiwan Malaysia Indonesia
  • 5.
    Fastest Growing FreeMarket Democracy 8.8% average annual GDP growth rate from 2003–04 to 2007–08 Sources: Times of India , RBI , The Economic Times . The Transformation... GDP Growth Forex Reserve FII Flow FDI Per Capita Inflation 1990 4.9 per cent < US$ 1 billion US$ 1 million (1993) US$ 97 million US$ 390 9 per cent 2008 9.0 per cent US$ 300.01 billion as on August 08, 2008 US$ 16.1 billion in 2007–08 US$ 25 billion in 2007–08 US$ 740 12.14 per cent as on September 13, 2008
  • 6.
    Self Sufficiency Steadily increasing forex reserves offer adequate security against any possible currency crisis or monetary instability Increased confidence of investors in Indian companies has led to a surge in cross-border borrowings by corporate houses In 2007–08, forex reserves witnessed a growth of approximately 56 per cent over 2006–07 … t he decreasing external debt to GDP ratio indicates that India has a sound economic platform India’s forex reserves are in excess of external debt…
  • 7.
    Break – upof the Economy Contribution of Services— increased from 48 per cent in 1999–00 to 53 per cent in 2007–08 Fastest GDP growth of 9.4 per cent in 2006–07. India’s GDP (8.7 per cent) has witnessed high growth and was the second fastest-growing GDP after China (11.4 per cent) in 2007–08. The sound performance of each industry segment is leading to the overall robust performance of the Indian economy. Source: MOSPI Statistics , RBI .
  • 8.
    The Drivers ofthe Global Economy Source: Goldman Sachs BRIC report Engines of growth US and Europe are expected to grow at 2-4% Brazil, Russia, India and China are going to be the next big drivers of the global economy In less than 40 years, the BRIC companies could be larger than the G6 in dollar terms Among BRICs , India will be the fastest growing and will rank behind China and USA by 2033 The movement of capital Higher growth will lead to higher returns Increased demand for capital will mean more fund flows in these countries. Cumulative FDI Inflow India has witnessed a strong inflow of FDI in the last 5 years Source: Reserve Bank of India
  • 9.
    India: Sweeping reformspost liberalization Dismantling Protectionism Average imports tariffs have reduced from 53% in 1988 to 18% In 2002 Strong Infrastructure Avoid direct government Involvement Allowing FDI Sound regulatory framework (TRAI) Introduction of competition Disinvestment Major successes include VSNL, BALCO, Maruti Udyog, GAIL, ONGC, NTPC Progress by state governments as well Financial Sector Reforms Sound regulatory base in banking, insurance and securities Fiscal Reforms Removal of distortionary taxes, Migration to VAT regime Simplicity and low cost of compliance Globalisation Reduced barriers to movement of goods and capital Well-poised to exploit the Internet The economic reforms process has been a key source of convergence among the political parties, with every successive government taking the reforms forward
  • 10.
    Indian firms seekglobal reach Tata Steel bought Corus Plc Hindalco acquired Novelis Inc. Suzlon Energy Ltd. acquired REpower Dr. Reddy’s acquired Betapharm United spirits acquired W&M USD 12.1 billion USD 6 billion USD 1.6 billion USD 0.5 billion USD 0.5 billion Acquisition made Tata Steel world’s fifth largest steel producer globally Acquisition made Hindalco the world's largest aluminum rolling company Acquired German’s third largest generic companies Acquisition made United Spirits world's second largest spirit company Acquisition made Suzlon world's third largest wind power company
  • 11.
    Major M&A andInvestments Announcements in India USD 11 billion Vodafone buys Hutch USD 1.7 billion Plans to spend on its development operations in India over the next four years USD 12 billion POSCO to invest in building steel manufacturing plants and facilities in India by 2016 Plans expansion of cement capacity in India Over USD 1 billion Plans investment in private equity, real estate, and private wealth management USD 1 billion
  • 12.
    MNCs finding locationof R&D in India : Increases global competitiveness India- Attractive R&D Destination Large R&D facility of major MNCs Microsoft IBM ADOBE SAP Sony Ericsson Dell The DaimlerChrysler Boeing Texas Instruments
  • 13.
    Indian Workers inAmerica 38% of Doctors in America are Indians. 12% of Scientists in America are Indians. 36% of NASA employees are Indians. 13% of XEROX employees are Indians. 34% of MICROSOFT employees are Indians. 28% of IBM employees are Indians. 17% of INTEL employees are Indians.
  • 14.
    Evaluation Strengths Sustainedgrowth for over a decade (but recent slowdown) Strong export potential, current a/c deficit low Healthy forex reserves Low external debt Low inflation Political consensus on reforms Deepening financial sector Knowledge base advantage, demographic surge Weaknesses Fiscal deficit high, debt GDP ratio high Fiscal situation of states worse Inadequate infrastructure, huge funding needed Unsatisfactory investment climate Rising gap between rich and poor Dependence on oil imports, monsoons Slowing of reforms, coalition compulsions Social indicators below world average
  • 15.
    BRIC Report, GoldmanSachs “ I have never seen India so dynamic, vibrant and full of business opportunities”. - Dan Scheinman, Cisco System Inc. as told to Business Week, August 2005 “ We came to India for the costs, stayed for the quality and are now investing for innovation”. John Redwood Economic Competitiveness Policy Group, UK “ India is now truly a land of opportunity”. Jack Welch General Electric “ India is a developed country as far as intellectual capital is concerned”. Peter Loescher President and Chief Executive Siemens By 2032, India will be among the three largest economies in the world. Why India? – Quote Unquote Travyn Rhall, ACNielsen “ The Indian market has two core advantages - an increasing presence of multinationals and an upswing in the IT exports”. Craig Barrett Intel Corporation “ India has evolved into one of the world's leading technology centers“. Mr Paul de Voijs Managing Director Volvo Car India “ India is a very exciting market and the luxury car segment is growing exponentially here”.
  • 16.
    Sources of informationReports, Goldman Sachs,2005 World bank,2007 CII report,2005 Websites, www.et.com www.rbi.org www.gov.nic.in
  • 17.
    Thank You ROLLNO 57 TO 65

Editor's Notes

  • #12 Sources Used: Business World Hindu Business Line Economic Times Company Websites
  • #13 Data outdated Updated data possible source IBEF Big names like IBM, SAP etc. to be included Other names which have global R&amp;D / Large R&amp;D teams may be indicated
  • #15 This is a quick snapshot, non-quantitative summary. Important to contrast with Latin Americal, East Asian and E. European countries.