Can India achieve 100GW Solar Power Generation by 2022? Can Rajasthan develop 25GW? An analysis in the light of Solar PV Roadmap, 2014 by IEA Installed PV capacity worldwide is 135GW by 2013. Approx. 40GW being added every year. The 210 GW of cumulative capacity projected by IEA by 2020 is being achieved five years earlier. This has made IEA come out with a new Solar PV Roadmap, 2014 where the capacity expected for 2020 will be double of what was foreseen in the 2010 roadmap. IEA’s analysis is based on a bottom-up TIMES* model that uses cost optimisation to identify least-cost mixes of energy technologies and fuels to meet energy demand, given availability constraints of natural resources. IEA projects that India can achieve 142GW by 2030 in a high renewable scenario and around 575GW by 2050 wherein PV will contribute to 16% of overall energy generated. * The Integrated MARKAL (Market Allocation)- EFOM (energy flow optimisation model) System.

1. Can India add 100GW Solar by 2022?
DV Satya Kumar
MD, Shri Shakti Alternative Energy Ltd
Can Rajasthan develop 25GW?

2. Incubated under PVMTI Program by IFC, Washington, Circa 2000.
Focus – Clean Energy Projects & Consulting . Executed Projects for World Bank,
UNIDO, GVEP, kfW, IREDA & UNICEF
Consultant to RERC for determination of tariff for Solar PV power
projects
Empanelled with World Bank (Vendor ID VIN_78319) and ADB (CMS
003780)
Promoter of Raj SPZ, the first private solar park in India with 100MW
capacity
R&D Projects – Solar Crematorium and EV charging stations
About SSAEL

3. Imagination is more important
Imagination is more
important than knowledge,
because knowledge is
limited …

4. India Ranks 6th in Capacity Addition
Source: Bridge to India

5. India will be the largest Solar Market
Source: Bridge to India

6. Current Installed Capacity is 3000MW

7. Germany Vs India
Area – Germany 357,168 km2 - Rajasthan 342,239 km2
Average Annual Solar Radiation –
Germany 1200 KWh/SqM- Rajasthan 2000 KWh/SqM
Yet, Germany is the undisputed Leader in Solar. 36GW installed, 46%
share of $91bn global market and 56,000 jobs

8. We can definitely beat them in Solar!

9. Global Solar Roadmaps by IEA

10. IEA’s Roadmap for Solar PV 2010
• Installed capacity is 135GW by 2013. Approx.
40GW being added every year
• The 210 GW of cumulative capacity expected
by 2020 is being achieved five years earlier
• Capacity expected for 2020 will be double of
what was foreseen in the 2010 roadmap.

11. Cumulative Growth of PV Capacity

12. Global Electricity Mix in 2050 –
IEA’s 3 Scenarios

13. Generation Mix by 2050 hi-Ren Scenario

14. Share of cost of capital in LCOE of PV
Systems

15. IEA Solar Roadmap 2014
IEA’s analysis is based on a bottom-up TIMES* model that uses cost optimisation
to identify least-cost mixes of energy technologies and fuels to meet energy
demand, given availability constraints of natural resources.
* The Integrated MARKAL (Market Allocation)- EFOM (energy flow optimisation model)
System.

16. State Wise Solar Potential in India

17. 100 GW by 2022
• India’s solar potential estimated at 748GW
• JNNSM target increased from 20GW to
100GW
• 60 to 70 GW will be from utility scale power
projects
• 30 to 40 GW will be from Rooftop Solar plants
• Rajasthan’s solar potential is 142GW assuming
only 3% of wastelands are utilized

18. Legislative Support
• Electricity Act, 2003 amended
• RPO being augmented / replaced with RGO –
Renewable Generation Obligation
• Solar Investments as CSR Activity
• Positive moves to make a difference

19. Solar Roadmap for Rajasthan

20. A Solar Roadmap for Rajasthan
• We need to consider that Solar is essentially
distributed in nature. Generate close to load centres
(distributed generation / captive consumption)
• Emulate the Leaders like Germany but with local
needs in mind e.g Solar for agricultural pump sets,
for Telecom towers, Solar for charging EVs etc.
• Target 25000MW of Solar through utility scale plants
• Target 1000MW of Rooftop Solar plants
• Target 5000MW for agricultural feeders & pumpsets
• Target 20000MW for charging EVs

21. Overview of Rajasthan’s Electricity
Consumption by Agriculture
Electricity Statistics FY 2013-14
Total Consumption (Gross
Energy)
54,615 MU
T&D Losses 20%
Total Energy Sales 42,318 MU
Installed Generation Capacity 15,200 MW
Agriculture – Connected Load 9,043 MW (64% of the Total
Load)
Agriculture – Consumption
(Metered+ Flat Rate)
15,993 MU (38% of the Energy
Sales)
Agricultural Pump Sets
(Metered+ Flat Rate)
10,24,655 nos

22. Harnessing Solar Directly and Wisely for
Clean Transport in Rajasthan

23. We cannot solve problems by using the same
kind of thinking we used when we created them.
- Einstein

24. Thank You
D V Satya Kumar
+91 98491 29629
dvsk@ssael.co.in