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Future Autonomous Vehicle
Driver Study
September 2016
2
Autonomous Vehicles are capturing the attention of the industry,
consumers, dealers, automakers and developers alike. The
industry is thirsty for guidance and inspiration in a time of
dynamic change, uncertainty and excitement. As an expert in
Autonomous Vehicles, we wanted to gather consumer
feedback to ignite new conversations around Autonomous
Vehicles and the changes that will impact transportation and
vehicles forever.
BackgroundResearchObjectives
Identify current consumer
perceptions and
misperceptions of Autonomous
Vehicles overall and by each
level of autonomy
Reveal the occasions and
situations in which people
would use autonomous
vehicles
Assess catalysts and barriers
to adoption to better
understand the “tipping point”
into autonomy
Size the current marketplace in
terms of appeal and overall
perceptions towards
Autonomous Vehicles
3
Methodology
In order to quickly educate our respondents and bring
them up to speed with the levels of autonomy, we
showed them a short animation that touched on
features that differentiate each level from the next.
National online survey of U.S. residents
12-64 years old
The sample was weighted to Census figures by age, gender,
ethnicity and region.
Conducted from May 20-27, 2016
n= 2,264
LEVELS OF AUTONOMY DRIVING
4http://www.techrepublic.com/article/autonomous-driving-levels-0-to-5-understanding-the-differences/
Our
World
Today
Near to
Distant
Future
HUMAN ONLY
MODERN
VEHICLE
MODERN PLUS
PARTIAL
AUTONOMY
FULL AUTONOMY
(+ HUMAN)
FULL AUTONOMY
(NO HUMAN)
The driver (human) controls
everything: steering, brakes,
throttle, power
Most functions are still
controlled by a driver, but
some (like braking) can be
done automatically by the car
At least 2 functions are
automated (like cruise control
& lane-centering), but the
driver must be ready to take
control of the vehicle
Drivers are still necessary,
but are not required to
monitor the situation as with
previous levels
Vehicles perform all safety-
critical driving functions and
monitor roadway conditions
for an entire trip, with option
for human driving
No option for human driving -
no steering wheel or controls
The levels of Autonomous Vehicles
Autonomous Vehicles “Tipping Point”
Transition from human drivers to vehicles driving
Americans Proceed with Caution
When It Comes to Level 5 Full
Autonomy (No Human)
6
Consumers are torn between the need for safety and the
desire for control
Base: Total (n=2264)
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair
of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more.
I prefer to have a
safer roadway
for all, even if that
means I have less
control over my
own vehicle
I prefer to have
full control of
my vehicle, even
if it’s not as safe
for other drivers
49% 51%vs
7
A majority of Americans see a world with fully Autonomous Vehicles as
safer and more efficient… but there are detractors as well
Base: Total (n=2264)
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair
of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more.
ATT1A. Below are two statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards this potential future, please indicate which statement you
agree more with.
think roadways
would be safer if
Autonomous
Vehicles were
standard
63% 60%
think it’s more
important to share
vehicle information
to create efficient
roadways
think
roadways
would be
safer if all
vehicles were
operated by
people
37%
think it’s more
important to
keep vehicle
information
private, even
if roadways
are less
efficient
40%
8
However, today Americans still crave being in the driver’s
seat, as driving is far from being considered a chore
Base: Total (n=2264)
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair
of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more.
AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit.
62%
62%
64%
80%
If every vehicle can be
driven by a computer
system, it should be
illegal for people to drive
I would be comfortable
letting a vehicle drive me
without my control
Driving is a chore/driving
seems like a chore
I prefer to be a passenger
when I’m in a vehicle
People should
always have
the option to
drive
themselves
I need to be in
control of my
vehicle
I love to
drive/driving
seems fun
I prefer to drive
when I’m in a
vehicle
Occasions best fitted
for Level 5 Full
Autonomy (No
Human) are limited to:
59%
Those
Involving
alcohol
37%
Traveling
for seniors
9
As such, Americans aren’t
quite ready for Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human)
Base: Those responding (n=1695)
AV13A: And which of the following best describes your attitude toward buying/leasing an autonomous vehicle at each level?
say they would
NEVER buy a
Level 5 vehicle
NEARLY
I would buy one the moment they are available: 16%
I would wait to buy one until I was more comfortable: 35%
I would buy one only if I didn’t have a choice of a non-Autonomous
Vehicle: 19%
I would never buy one: 30%
IN
Autonomous Vehicles are Still a
Mystery to Consumers
1010
11
Americans are more familiar with the term “Self-Driving
Vehicles” than “Autonomous Vehicles”
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV1. Have you ever heard of any of the following?
TermsHeardof
12
Most consumers do not think they will live to see a world where
all vehicles are fully autonomous; this sentiment is strongest
among older consumers
“I don’t think all vehicles will
be fully autonomous in my
lifetime”
33%
53%A
60%A
53%A
64%AD
76%ABCDE
(N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630)
YOUNG GEN Z
12-15
(A)
OLDER GEN Z
16-17
(B)
YOUNG
MILLENNIAL
18-24
(C)
OLDER
MILLENNIAL
25-34
(D)
GEN X
35-50
(E)
BABY BOOMERS
51-64
(F)
% DON’T think all vehicles will be
fully autonomous in lifetime
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F
Base: Total (n=2264); By generation (varies)
ATT5. Do you believe all vehicles will be fully autonomous/self-driving in your lifetime?
13
6-in-10 know little or nothing about Autonomous Vehicles
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles?
25%
Know nothing
35%
Know a little
28%
Know some
12%
Know a lot
!
14
Only about half of Americans are aware of higher levels of
autonomy, with a large drop off from Level 2 Modern Plus
to Level 3 Partial Autonomy
94%BCDE
80%CDE
58%E
56%E
40%
Awareness (Top 2 Box)
Among Total
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV4A. What is your familiarity with each level of vehicle autonomy below?
15
87%CDE 87%CDE
73%DE
64%E
47%
83%BCDE
79%CDE
58%DE
51%E
33%
Americans are most comfortable with vehicles on the road
today, even thinking Levels 1 Modern Vehicle & 2 Modern
Plus are significantly safer than higher levels of autonomy
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy?
AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy?
Comfort (Top 2 Box)
Among Total
Safety (Top 5 Box)
Among Total
Safety does not equate
one-to-one with
Comfort—the mystery of
unfamiliar territory can
inhibit comfort
16
83%BCDE
79%CDE
58%DE
51%E
33%
87% 87%
73%
64%
47%
Safety does not equate one-to-one with Comfort when it
comes to higher levels of vehicle autonomy as the mystery
of unfamiliar territory may inhibit comfort
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy?
AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy?
Comfort (Top 2 Box)
Among Total
Safety (Top 5 Box)
Among Total
Americans are most comfortable with vehicles on the road
today, even thinking Levels 1 Modern Vehicle & 2 Modern Plus
are significantly safer than higher levels of autonomy
17
Though lower levels of autonomy are most associated with daily life activities, the
jump to higher levels of autonomy is not far off (as Levels 3 Partial Autonomy and 4
Full Autonomy (+Human) are similar to Level 1 Modern Vehicle)
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Total (2264)
AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit.
Going shopping/running errands
day-to-day
activities
34%CDE 45%ACDE 31%E 30%E 14%
Going to the movies/out to eat 33%DE 45%ACDE 31%E 29%E 15%
City street travel 31%DE 44%ACDE 34%ADE 30%E 16%
Shuttling kids to school/activities 30%E 45%ACDE 30%E 29%E 18%
Heavy traffic 27%E 43%ACDE 30%AE 30%AE 20%
Freeway and highway travel
longer
trips or
special
situations
26% 37%AE 40%ABE 41%ABE 25%
Road trips longer than 100 miles 24% 30%AE 37%ABE 44%ABCE 26%
Traveling for seniors 16% 28%A 26%A 37%ABC 37%ABC
In situations that may involve alcohol 9% 15%A 13%A 28%ABC 59%ABCD
Levels 1 & 2 are most associated with day-to-day activities,
but Levels 3 & 4 show potential
Levels 3,4 and 5 are currently viewed for
longer trips or special situations
Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human)
is the “Sweet Spot” of Vehicle
Autonomy
19
Within the higher levels of autonomy, Levels 3 Partial Autonomy &
4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) are perceived virtually identically in
terms of utility [Level 5 drops off notably]
Occasion Fit
Among Total
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Total (n=2264)
AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit.
Freeway and
highway travel Family travel
When out of town on
vacation
When out of town
for business
40%C
38%C
36%C 36%C
33%C
41%C
39%C 39%C
38%C
32%C
25%
20% 21% 21%
18%
Commuting to and
from work/school
20
11%
20%AE
18%A
30%ABCE
17%A
However - Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) autonomy is
the most appealing
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Total (n=2264), Find Level 4 Most Appealing (n=680)
AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you?
AV6A. And why is Level 4 the most appealing?
Appeal (Forced Choice)
Among Total
21
Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) hits the “sweet spot” by
providing all the benefits of vehicle autonomy without stripping
away driver control
Having “no
option to
drive” is one
of the top
deterrents
Not being able
to “fully relax”
is a top
deterrent
“Having the
option to drive
myself” is a
main
attractor
"It seems to offer the best rounded
experience—allows people to not have to
drive if they don't want to/can't for any
reason (age, sickness, just don't feel like
it, unfamiliar area, etc.), yet allows for one
to drive if needed or desired."
"It gives me the option to drive or not
drive. There are times that it is fun to drive
a car—out in the country where you can
stop or slow down to look at things. But for
a long trip, the full autonomy would be
great.“
“Because even though it is chiefly
autonomous it still is equipped with
seating, a steering wheel and brakes so
that a human can take over if
needed. Machines are not 100% reliable
and we need the human element to fall
back on.”
AV17. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would deter you from purchasing/leasing a vehicle from each level? Base: Level 3
Those responding (n=2182), Level 5 Total (n=2264)
L_3. Please tell us what you like most about each level of autonomy below. Base: Total (n=2264)
22
Americans want to buy Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) as
much as vehicles available today
11%
27%ACE
20%AE
26%ACE
13%
Purchase Consideration (Forced Choice)
Among Plan to Purchase/Lease Vehicle
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: Plan to Purchase/Lease Vehicle at Some Point (n=1695)
AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease?
LEVEL 4
is the most
appealing to me
because it allows
the vehicle to take
over all driving
tasks for the
human, while still
allowing the
human to have
'executive
control' in case of
emergencies,
system errors, or
other unforeseen
circumstances.
OEMs would benefit
from going straight to
Level 4 from Level 2
Experience & Knowledge Will
Accelerate Autonomous Vehicle
Adoption
24http://www.techrepublic.com/article/autonomous-driving-levels-0-to-5-understanding-the-differences/
Our
World
Today
Near to
Distant
Future
HUMAN ONLY
MODERN
VEHICLE
MODERN PLUS
PARTIAL
AUTONOMY
FULL AUTONOMY
(+ HUMAN)
FULL AUTONOMY
(NO HUMAN)
The driver (human) controls
everything: steering, brakes,
throttle, power
Most functions are still
controlled by a driver, but
some (like braking) can be
done automatically by the car
At least 2 functions are
automated (like cruise control
& lane-centering), but the
driver must be ready to take
control of the vehicle
Drivers are still necessary,
but are not required to
monitor the situation as with
previous levels
Vehicles perform all safety-
critical driving functions and
monitor roadway conditions
for an entire trip, with option
for human driving
No option for human driving -
no steering wheel or controls
Autonomous Vehicles “Tipping Point”
Transition from human drivers to vehicles driving
Level 3 Partial Autonomy adoption is when the market "tips"
into autonomy
25
HUMAN ONLY
MODERN
VEHICLE
MODERN PLUS
PARTIAL
AUTONOMY
FULL
AUTONOMY
(+ HUMAN)
FULL
AUTONOMY
(NO HUMAN)
The majority of vehicles on the road today are Level 1
Modern Vehicle
Base: Total Currently Own/Lease (n=1550)
AV4. Please select what level of vehicle autonomy applies to a car you currently own or lease, or have owned or leased in the past.
Current
Ownership
0% 0%LEVEL 0 only
shown for
ownership
Americans are
interested in
purchasing Level 2,
but market supply
limits ownership
16%
72%
12%
0%
26
Perceived expense and fear of software malfunction hold most
Americans back from "tipping” into autonomy
Base: Level 2+ Non-Owners for catalysts (n=1573), Total for barriers (n=2264)
AV15. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would encourage you to purchase/lease from each level? (n=2182)
AV17. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would deter you from purchasing/leasing a vehicle from each level?
Proven/shown to be a safe vehicle 42% 52% 51%
Available in my price range 37% 51% 53%
Insurance company told me my rates would go down 26% 34% 35%
Try technology without fully committing 24% 30% 30%
Tax breaks 22% 29% 28%
It had the most advanced technology 22% 24% 20%
Proven/shown to be more environmentally friendly 18% 20% 19%
Came standard in vehicle I wanted 17% 27% 28%
More expensive than can afford 47% 51% 50%
Expensive to fix 44% 46% 48%
Software hack 40% 41% 44%
Software/computer crash 39% 42% 47%
Trust myself to drive more than technology 31% 33% 38%
Concerned about interaction between AV & Non-AV 31% 34% 37%
Can’t fully relax 28% 26% 27%
Fearful of vehicles not communicating well 28% 32% 37%
No option to drive 13% 14% 43%
Barriers to Autonomy Catalysts to Autonomy
FIRST-HAND EXPERIENCE (like test drives, short-term leasing, or
daily rentals) will be crucial in spurring Autonomous Vehicle adoption
Trial is the biggest catalyst to adoption, after safety and price
27
Level 2+ Partial Autonomy Owners are significantly more favorable
toward higher levels of Autonomy, and are less likely to think
people should always have the option to drive themselves
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Level 2+ includes those who own vehicles with cutting-edge Autonomous features but haven’t quite reached full Level 3 capability (self identified)
Base: Level 2+ Owners (n=77), Level 2+ Non-Owners (n=1573)
AV7. How safe would you feel travelling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are
you with each level of vehicle autonomy? ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous
Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree more with.
98%B
94%B
58%
39%
Safety (Top 5 Box)
Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners
91%B
84%B
43%
24%
Comfort (Top 2 Box)
Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners
54%
85%A
People should always
have the option to
drive themselves
Level 2+ Owners (A)
Level 2+ Non-Owners (B)
Level 2+
Owners (A)
Level 2+
Non-Owners
(B)
28
Level 2+ Partial Autonomy Owners find Level 5 (No Human)
significantly more appealing than Non-Owners
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Level 2+ includes those who own vehicles with cutting-edge Autonomous features but haven’t quite reached full Level 3 capability (self identified)
Base: Level 2+ Owners (n=77), Level 2+ Non-Owners (n=1573)
AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you?
13%
1%
13%
24%
23%A
20%
29%
Appeal (Forced Choice)
Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners
Level 2+
Owners (A)
Level 2+
Non-
Owners (B)
48%B
11%12%
29
Tipping point methodology
To project the future automotive landscape, we combined respondents’
estimated timing of their next vehicle purchase/lease and the level of autonomy
they would be most likely to purchase/lease Assuming each level of
autonomy was available
on the market today, what
level of autonomy would
you be most likely to
purchase/lease?
(Single Select)
(among those planning to purchase/lease
another vehicle)
Level 0 Level 5
*Every respondent required to choose a level
When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (Single Select)
(among current vehicle owners/leasers)
Within the next year
Within the next 2 years
Within the next 3 years
Within the next 4 years
Within the next 5 years or more
I am not planning to purchase/ lease another vehicle at all, ever
Mean is
~3 years
Current year
Avg. yrs until next purchase
Year for projection
Mid 2016
+ 3 years
= 2020
Determining
the year for
the projection Calculating the
projection line
Interested in
Owning Next
(2020)
30
By 2020, assuming all levels of autonomy were available, 59% of consumers
would be interested in purchasing/leasing higher levels of autonomy
Base: Currently Own/Lease (n=1550); Planning to Purchase in the Future (n=1234)
S16. When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (n=1770)
AV4. Please select what level of vehicle autonomy applies to a car you currently own or lease, or have owned or leased in the past.
AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease?
HUMAN ONLY
MODERN
VEHICLE
MODERN PLUS
PARTIAL
AUTONOMY
FULL AUTONOMY
(+ HUMAN)
FULL AUTONOMY
(NO HUMAN)
16%
72%
12%
0%3%
11%
27%
20% 26%
0% 0%
13%
Current
Ownership
On average, Americans
plan to purchase or
lease their next vehicle
in 3 years
59%
Interested
in Owning
Next
(2020)
Gen Z Are Ready to Get Onboard
the Road to Autonomy
32
Their generation feels as though they are the most educated
about Autonomous Vehicles; Boomers feel the least educated
15%
27%A
22% 21% 24%A
32%ACDE
16%
27%A
36%AD
28%A
36%AD
44%ABCDE
25%
22%
35%ABF
31%F
30%F
23%
43%BCDEF
24%CEF
8%F
19%CEF
10%F
1%
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F
Base: By Generation (varies)
ATT5. Do you believe all vehicles will be fully autonomous/self-driving in your lifetime?
AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles?
Believe Fully Autonomous Vehicles
Will Happen in their Lifetime 67%BCDEF 47%F 40%F 47%EF 36%F 24%
(N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630)
YOUNG GEN Z
12-15 (A)
OLDER GEN Z
16-17 (B)
YOUNG MILLENNIAL
18-24 (C)
OLDER MILLENNIAL
25-34 (D)
GEN X
35-50 (E)
BABY BOOMERS
51-64 (F)
KNOW “SOME”
KNOW “A LOT”
KNOW “A LITTLE”
KNOW “NOTHING”
Autonomous
Vehicle
Knowledge
33
Base: Young Gen Z (n=194)
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous
Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with
more.
33
Pre-driving Young Gen Z don’t crave vehicle control like
other cohorts
are comfortable letting a vehicle drive
them without their control
(compared to 36% of total – includes Gen Z)
OF YOUNG GEN Z
34
Young Gen Z are the most comfortable and feel safest with the
highest level of vehicle autonomy, with Older Millennials, who have
actual purchasing power today, are not very far behind
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F
Base: By Generation (varies)
AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy?
AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy?
73%BCDEF
34%F
27%F
44%BCEF
29%F
20%
(N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630)
YOUNG
GEN Z
12-15
(A)
OLDER
GEN Z
16-17
(B)
YOUNG
MILLENNIAL
18-24
(C)
OLDER
MILLENNIAL
25-34
(D)
GEN X
35-50
(E)
BABY
BOOMERS
51-64
(F)
Level 5 Comfort (Top 2 Box)
by Generation
79%BCDEF
48%F
45%F
61%BCEF
41%F
33%
(N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630)
YOUNG
GEN Z
12-15
(A)
OLDER
GEN Z
16-17
(B)
YOUNG
MILLENNIAL
18-24
(C)
OLDER
MILLENNIAL
25-34
(D)
GEN X
35-50
(E)
BABY
BOOMERS
51-64
(F)
Level 5 Safety (Top 5 Box)
by Generation
35
Across generations, Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) is
by far the most appealing to Young Gen Z
Level 5 Appeal (Forced Choice)
by Generation
38%CDEF
28%EF
18%F
22%EF
14%F
9%
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E
Base: By generation (varies)
AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you?
(N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630)
YOUNG GEN Z
12-15
(A)
OLDER GEN Z
16-17
(B)
YOUNG MILLENNIAL
18-24
(C)
OLDER MILLENNIAL
25-34
(D)
GEN X
35-50
(E)
BABY BOOMERS
51-64
(F)
36
*Indicates small base size
Base: Young Gen Z (n=164), Older Gen Z (n=32*), Young Millennials (n=206), Older Millennials (n=350), Gen X (n=473), Baby Boomers (n=470)
S16. When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (n=1770)
AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease?
HUMAN ONLY
MODERN
VEHICLE
MODERN PLUS
PARTIAL
AUTONOMY
FULL AUTONOMY
(+ HUMAN)
FULL AUTONOMY
(NO HUMAN)
33%
34%
13%
20%
10%
4%
Young Gen Z
Older Gen Z*
Young Millennials
Older Millennials
Gen X
Baby Boomers
Interested in Owning Next (2020)
Young Gen Z won’t need or experience a tipping point, as they
generally would like their first vehicles to be Level 4 Full Autonomy
(+ Human) and 5 Full Autonomy (No Human)
37
Luxury Vehicle Owners Are
Getting Ready for Autonomy
38
Luxury Vehicle Owners have more awareness of higher levels of
Autonomy versus Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners, particularly for
Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human)
97%
91%B
77%B
69%B
60%B
94%
80%
56% 55%
39%
Awareness (Top 2 Box)
Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080)
AV4A. What is your familiarity with each level of vehicle autonomy below?
Luxury Owner (A)
Non-Luxury Owner (B)
39
86% 85%B
70%B
65%B
50%B
83%
78%
57%
49%
31%
Compared to Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners, Luxury Vehicle Owners
are more comfortable with higher levels of Autonomy, also finding
them safer
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080)
AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy?
AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy?
Comfort (Top 2 Box)
Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners
Safety (Top 5 Box)
Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners
Luxury Owner (A)
Non-Luxury Owner (B)
91%
90%
82%B
76%B
64%B
86% 86%
73%
63%
45%
40
11%
15%
20%
26%
11%
20%
18%
30%
Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) and Level 5 Full Autonomy (No
Human) are equally appealing to Luxury Vehicle Owners, while
Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners favor Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human)
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080)
AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you?
Luxury
Owner (A)
Non-Luxury
Owner (B)
25%B
17%
Appeal (Forced Choice)
Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners
41
Americans Are Still Revving
Up to the Idea of Autonomous
Ride-Sharing Services
42
Americans lean slightly more toward human drivers rather than
self-driving vehicles when ride-sharing
Base: Total (n=2264)
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair
of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more.
56%44%
I would prefer to use
services such as taxis,
Uber or Lyft with
human drivers
I would prefer to use
services such as taxis,
Uber or Lyft with
self-driving vehicles
43
However, those who already use ride-sharing services are more
likely to give autonomous ride-sharing vehicles a chance versus
their counterparts
Base: Ride-Share User (n=405), Non Ride-Share User (n=1859 )
ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each
pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more.
58%
49%
42%
51%
I would prefer to use
services such as taxis,
Uber or Lyft with
human
drivers
I would prefer to use
services such as taxis,
Uber or Lyft with
self-driving
vehicles
Ride-Share User
Non Ride-Share User
Ride-Share Users are significantly more
comfortable letting a vehicle drive them without
their control versus Non Ride-Share Users
44% vs. 34%
Ride-Share Users Non Ride-Share Users
44
Not only are Ride-Share Users more knowledgeable about Autonomous
Vehicles, but they are more favorable toward higher levels of autonomy
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Ride Share User (n=405), Ride Share Non-User (n=1859 )
AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles?
AV7. How safe would you feel travelling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy?
AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy?
72%B
54%B
46%
28%
Comfort (Top 2 Box)
Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users
83%B
69%B
59%
42%
Safety (Top 5 Box)
Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users
32%B
8%
Know a lot about
Autonomous
Vehicles
Ride Share Users (A)
Non-Ride Share Users (B)
45
Both Ride-Share Users and Non-Users find Level 4 Full Autonomy (+Human) the most
appealing, but Ride-Share Users are significantly more likely to do so. They are also
almost twice as likely to pick Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) as most appealing.
Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B
Base: Ride Share User (n=405), Ride Share Non-User (n=1859)
AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you?
4%
11%
16%
39%B
12%A
21%A
19%
28%
Appeal (Forced Choice)
Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users
Ride Share
User (A)
Ride Share
Non-User (B)
28%B
15%
46
What’s the story around Autonomous Vehicles?
With most Americans living in a Level 1 Modern Vehicle world, Autonomous Vehicles are still a
novel and almost foreign concept
Americans will need convincing to reach a Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) future
Experiencing higher levels of autonomy first-hand is a key to “tipping” into an autonomous
future
A quarter of Americans are enthusiastic about Autonomous Vehicles and show interest in
purchasing higher levels of autonomy
Young Gen Z and Luxury Owners are excited about and ready for an autonomous future
On the road to autonomy, interest peaks with Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) as it offers the
best of both worlds – a fully Autonomous Vehicle that still provides the option to drive
Thank You!

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Future autonomous vehicle driver study

  • 1. Future Autonomous Vehicle Driver Study September 2016
  • 2. 2 Autonomous Vehicles are capturing the attention of the industry, consumers, dealers, automakers and developers alike. The industry is thirsty for guidance and inspiration in a time of dynamic change, uncertainty and excitement. As an expert in Autonomous Vehicles, we wanted to gather consumer feedback to ignite new conversations around Autonomous Vehicles and the changes that will impact transportation and vehicles forever. BackgroundResearchObjectives Identify current consumer perceptions and misperceptions of Autonomous Vehicles overall and by each level of autonomy Reveal the occasions and situations in which people would use autonomous vehicles Assess catalysts and barriers to adoption to better understand the “tipping point” into autonomy Size the current marketplace in terms of appeal and overall perceptions towards Autonomous Vehicles
  • 3. 3 Methodology In order to quickly educate our respondents and bring them up to speed with the levels of autonomy, we showed them a short animation that touched on features that differentiate each level from the next. National online survey of U.S. residents 12-64 years old The sample was weighted to Census figures by age, gender, ethnicity and region. Conducted from May 20-27, 2016 n= 2,264 LEVELS OF AUTONOMY DRIVING
  • 4. 4http://www.techrepublic.com/article/autonomous-driving-levels-0-to-5-understanding-the-differences/ Our World Today Near to Distant Future HUMAN ONLY MODERN VEHICLE MODERN PLUS PARTIAL AUTONOMY FULL AUTONOMY (+ HUMAN) FULL AUTONOMY (NO HUMAN) The driver (human) controls everything: steering, brakes, throttle, power Most functions are still controlled by a driver, but some (like braking) can be done automatically by the car At least 2 functions are automated (like cruise control & lane-centering), but the driver must be ready to take control of the vehicle Drivers are still necessary, but are not required to monitor the situation as with previous levels Vehicles perform all safety- critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an entire trip, with option for human driving No option for human driving - no steering wheel or controls The levels of Autonomous Vehicles Autonomous Vehicles “Tipping Point” Transition from human drivers to vehicles driving
  • 5. Americans Proceed with Caution When It Comes to Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human)
  • 6. 6 Consumers are torn between the need for safety and the desire for control Base: Total (n=2264) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. I prefer to have a safer roadway for all, even if that means I have less control over my own vehicle I prefer to have full control of my vehicle, even if it’s not as safe for other drivers 49% 51%vs
  • 7. 7 A majority of Americans see a world with fully Autonomous Vehicles as safer and more efficient… but there are detractors as well Base: Total (n=2264) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. ATT1A. Below are two statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards this potential future, please indicate which statement you agree more with. think roadways would be safer if Autonomous Vehicles were standard 63% 60% think it’s more important to share vehicle information to create efficient roadways think roadways would be safer if all vehicles were operated by people 37% think it’s more important to keep vehicle information private, even if roadways are less efficient 40%
  • 8. 8 However, today Americans still crave being in the driver’s seat, as driving is far from being considered a chore Base: Total (n=2264) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit. 62% 62% 64% 80% If every vehicle can be driven by a computer system, it should be illegal for people to drive I would be comfortable letting a vehicle drive me without my control Driving is a chore/driving seems like a chore I prefer to be a passenger when I’m in a vehicle People should always have the option to drive themselves I need to be in control of my vehicle I love to drive/driving seems fun I prefer to drive when I’m in a vehicle Occasions best fitted for Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) are limited to: 59% Those Involving alcohol 37% Traveling for seniors
  • 9. 9 As such, Americans aren’t quite ready for Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) Base: Those responding (n=1695) AV13A: And which of the following best describes your attitude toward buying/leasing an autonomous vehicle at each level? say they would NEVER buy a Level 5 vehicle NEARLY I would buy one the moment they are available: 16% I would wait to buy one until I was more comfortable: 35% I would buy one only if I didn’t have a choice of a non-Autonomous Vehicle: 19% I would never buy one: 30% IN
  • 10. Autonomous Vehicles are Still a Mystery to Consumers 1010
  • 11. 11 Americans are more familiar with the term “Self-Driving Vehicles” than “Autonomous Vehicles” Base: Total (n=2264) AV1. Have you ever heard of any of the following? TermsHeardof
  • 12. 12 Most consumers do not think they will live to see a world where all vehicles are fully autonomous; this sentiment is strongest among older consumers “I don’t think all vehicles will be fully autonomous in my lifetime” 33% 53%A 60%A 53%A 64%AD 76%ABCDE (N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630) YOUNG GEN Z 12-15 (A) OLDER GEN Z 16-17 (B) YOUNG MILLENNIAL 18-24 (C) OLDER MILLENNIAL 25-34 (D) GEN X 35-50 (E) BABY BOOMERS 51-64 (F) % DON’T think all vehicles will be fully autonomous in lifetime Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F Base: Total (n=2264); By generation (varies) ATT5. Do you believe all vehicles will be fully autonomous/self-driving in your lifetime?
  • 13. 13 6-in-10 know little or nothing about Autonomous Vehicles Base: Total (n=2264) AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles? 25% Know nothing 35% Know a little 28% Know some 12% Know a lot !
  • 14. 14 Only about half of Americans are aware of higher levels of autonomy, with a large drop off from Level 2 Modern Plus to Level 3 Partial Autonomy 94%BCDE 80%CDE 58%E 56%E 40% Awareness (Top 2 Box) Among Total Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Total (n=2264) AV4A. What is your familiarity with each level of vehicle autonomy below?
  • 15. 15 87%CDE 87%CDE 73%DE 64%E 47% 83%BCDE 79%CDE 58%DE 51%E 33% Americans are most comfortable with vehicles on the road today, even thinking Levels 1 Modern Vehicle & 2 Modern Plus are significantly safer than higher levels of autonomy Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Total (n=2264) AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? Comfort (Top 2 Box) Among Total Safety (Top 5 Box) Among Total Safety does not equate one-to-one with Comfort—the mystery of unfamiliar territory can inhibit comfort
  • 16. 16 83%BCDE 79%CDE 58%DE 51%E 33% 87% 87% 73% 64% 47% Safety does not equate one-to-one with Comfort when it comes to higher levels of vehicle autonomy as the mystery of unfamiliar territory may inhibit comfort Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Total (n=2264) AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? Comfort (Top 2 Box) Among Total Safety (Top 5 Box) Among Total Americans are most comfortable with vehicles on the road today, even thinking Levels 1 Modern Vehicle & 2 Modern Plus are significantly safer than higher levels of autonomy
  • 17. 17 Though lower levels of autonomy are most associated with daily life activities, the jump to higher levels of autonomy is not far off (as Levels 3 Partial Autonomy and 4 Full Autonomy (+Human) are similar to Level 1 Modern Vehicle) Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Total (2264) AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit. Going shopping/running errands day-to-day activities 34%CDE 45%ACDE 31%E 30%E 14% Going to the movies/out to eat 33%DE 45%ACDE 31%E 29%E 15% City street travel 31%DE 44%ACDE 34%ADE 30%E 16% Shuttling kids to school/activities 30%E 45%ACDE 30%E 29%E 18% Heavy traffic 27%E 43%ACDE 30%AE 30%AE 20% Freeway and highway travel longer trips or special situations 26% 37%AE 40%ABE 41%ABE 25% Road trips longer than 100 miles 24% 30%AE 37%ABE 44%ABCE 26% Traveling for seniors 16% 28%A 26%A 37%ABC 37%ABC In situations that may involve alcohol 9% 15%A 13%A 28%ABC 59%ABCD Levels 1 & 2 are most associated with day-to-day activities, but Levels 3 & 4 show potential Levels 3,4 and 5 are currently viewed for longer trips or special situations
  • 18. Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) is the “Sweet Spot” of Vehicle Autonomy
  • 19. 19 Within the higher levels of autonomy, Levels 3 Partial Autonomy & 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) are perceived virtually identically in terms of utility [Level 5 drops off notably] Occasion Fit Among Total Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Total (n=2264) AV9. For each occasion, please select the level(s) of autonomy that you think is the best fit. Freeway and highway travel Family travel When out of town on vacation When out of town for business 40%C 38%C 36%C 36%C 33%C 41%C 39%C 39%C 38%C 32%C 25% 20% 21% 21% 18% Commuting to and from work/school
  • 20. 20 11% 20%AE 18%A 30%ABCE 17%A However - Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) autonomy is the most appealing Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Total (n=2264), Find Level 4 Most Appealing (n=680) AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you? AV6A. And why is Level 4 the most appealing? Appeal (Forced Choice) Among Total
  • 21. 21 Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) hits the “sweet spot” by providing all the benefits of vehicle autonomy without stripping away driver control Having “no option to drive” is one of the top deterrents Not being able to “fully relax” is a top deterrent “Having the option to drive myself” is a main attractor "It seems to offer the best rounded experience—allows people to not have to drive if they don't want to/can't for any reason (age, sickness, just don't feel like it, unfamiliar area, etc.), yet allows for one to drive if needed or desired." "It gives me the option to drive or not drive. There are times that it is fun to drive a car—out in the country where you can stop or slow down to look at things. But for a long trip, the full autonomy would be great.“ “Because even though it is chiefly autonomous it still is equipped with seating, a steering wheel and brakes so that a human can take over if needed. Machines are not 100% reliable and we need the human element to fall back on.” AV17. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would deter you from purchasing/leasing a vehicle from each level? Base: Level 3 Those responding (n=2182), Level 5 Total (n=2264) L_3. Please tell us what you like most about each level of autonomy below. Base: Total (n=2264)
  • 22. 22 Americans want to buy Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) as much as vehicles available today 11% 27%ACE 20%AE 26%ACE 13% Purchase Consideration (Forced Choice) Among Plan to Purchase/Lease Vehicle Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: Plan to Purchase/Lease Vehicle at Some Point (n=1695) AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease? LEVEL 4 is the most appealing to me because it allows the vehicle to take over all driving tasks for the human, while still allowing the human to have 'executive control' in case of emergencies, system errors, or other unforeseen circumstances. OEMs would benefit from going straight to Level 4 from Level 2
  • 23. Experience & Knowledge Will Accelerate Autonomous Vehicle Adoption
  • 24. 24http://www.techrepublic.com/article/autonomous-driving-levels-0-to-5-understanding-the-differences/ Our World Today Near to Distant Future HUMAN ONLY MODERN VEHICLE MODERN PLUS PARTIAL AUTONOMY FULL AUTONOMY (+ HUMAN) FULL AUTONOMY (NO HUMAN) The driver (human) controls everything: steering, brakes, throttle, power Most functions are still controlled by a driver, but some (like braking) can be done automatically by the car At least 2 functions are automated (like cruise control & lane-centering), but the driver must be ready to take control of the vehicle Drivers are still necessary, but are not required to monitor the situation as with previous levels Vehicles perform all safety- critical driving functions and monitor roadway conditions for an entire trip, with option for human driving No option for human driving - no steering wheel or controls Autonomous Vehicles “Tipping Point” Transition from human drivers to vehicles driving Level 3 Partial Autonomy adoption is when the market "tips" into autonomy
  • 25. 25 HUMAN ONLY MODERN VEHICLE MODERN PLUS PARTIAL AUTONOMY FULL AUTONOMY (+ HUMAN) FULL AUTONOMY (NO HUMAN) The majority of vehicles on the road today are Level 1 Modern Vehicle Base: Total Currently Own/Lease (n=1550) AV4. Please select what level of vehicle autonomy applies to a car you currently own or lease, or have owned or leased in the past. Current Ownership 0% 0%LEVEL 0 only shown for ownership Americans are interested in purchasing Level 2, but market supply limits ownership 16% 72% 12% 0%
  • 26. 26 Perceived expense and fear of software malfunction hold most Americans back from "tipping” into autonomy Base: Level 2+ Non-Owners for catalysts (n=1573), Total for barriers (n=2264) AV15. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would encourage you to purchase/lease from each level? (n=2182) AV17. Thinking about the different levels of autonomy below, what would deter you from purchasing/leasing a vehicle from each level? Proven/shown to be a safe vehicle 42% 52% 51% Available in my price range 37% 51% 53% Insurance company told me my rates would go down 26% 34% 35% Try technology without fully committing 24% 30% 30% Tax breaks 22% 29% 28% It had the most advanced technology 22% 24% 20% Proven/shown to be more environmentally friendly 18% 20% 19% Came standard in vehicle I wanted 17% 27% 28% More expensive than can afford 47% 51% 50% Expensive to fix 44% 46% 48% Software hack 40% 41% 44% Software/computer crash 39% 42% 47% Trust myself to drive more than technology 31% 33% 38% Concerned about interaction between AV & Non-AV 31% 34% 37% Can’t fully relax 28% 26% 27% Fearful of vehicles not communicating well 28% 32% 37% No option to drive 13% 14% 43% Barriers to Autonomy Catalysts to Autonomy FIRST-HAND EXPERIENCE (like test drives, short-term leasing, or daily rentals) will be crucial in spurring Autonomous Vehicle adoption Trial is the biggest catalyst to adoption, after safety and price
  • 27. 27 Level 2+ Partial Autonomy Owners are significantly more favorable toward higher levels of Autonomy, and are less likely to think people should always have the option to drive themselves Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Level 2+ includes those who own vehicles with cutting-edge Autonomous features but haven’t quite reached full Level 3 capability (self identified) Base: Level 2+ Owners (n=77), Level 2+ Non-Owners (n=1573) AV7. How safe would you feel travelling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree more with. 98%B 94%B 58% 39% Safety (Top 5 Box) Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners 91%B 84%B 43% 24% Comfort (Top 2 Box) Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners 54% 85%A People should always have the option to drive themselves Level 2+ Owners (A) Level 2+ Non-Owners (B) Level 2+ Owners (A) Level 2+ Non-Owners (B)
  • 28. 28 Level 2+ Partial Autonomy Owners find Level 5 (No Human) significantly more appealing than Non-Owners Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Level 2+ includes those who own vehicles with cutting-edge Autonomous features but haven’t quite reached full Level 3 capability (self identified) Base: Level 2+ Owners (n=77), Level 2+ Non-Owners (n=1573) AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you? 13% 1% 13% 24% 23%A 20% 29% Appeal (Forced Choice) Among Level 2+ Owners & Non-Owners Level 2+ Owners (A) Level 2+ Non- Owners (B) 48%B 11%12%
  • 29. 29 Tipping point methodology To project the future automotive landscape, we combined respondents’ estimated timing of their next vehicle purchase/lease and the level of autonomy they would be most likely to purchase/lease Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease? (Single Select) (among those planning to purchase/lease another vehicle) Level 0 Level 5 *Every respondent required to choose a level When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (Single Select) (among current vehicle owners/leasers) Within the next year Within the next 2 years Within the next 3 years Within the next 4 years Within the next 5 years or more I am not planning to purchase/ lease another vehicle at all, ever Mean is ~3 years Current year Avg. yrs until next purchase Year for projection Mid 2016 + 3 years = 2020 Determining the year for the projection Calculating the projection line Interested in Owning Next (2020)
  • 30. 30 By 2020, assuming all levels of autonomy were available, 59% of consumers would be interested in purchasing/leasing higher levels of autonomy Base: Currently Own/Lease (n=1550); Planning to Purchase in the Future (n=1234) S16. When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (n=1770) AV4. Please select what level of vehicle autonomy applies to a car you currently own or lease, or have owned or leased in the past. AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease? HUMAN ONLY MODERN VEHICLE MODERN PLUS PARTIAL AUTONOMY FULL AUTONOMY (+ HUMAN) FULL AUTONOMY (NO HUMAN) 16% 72% 12% 0%3% 11% 27% 20% 26% 0% 0% 13% Current Ownership On average, Americans plan to purchase or lease their next vehicle in 3 years 59% Interested in Owning Next (2020)
  • 31. Gen Z Are Ready to Get Onboard the Road to Autonomy
  • 32. 32 Their generation feels as though they are the most educated about Autonomous Vehicles; Boomers feel the least educated 15% 27%A 22% 21% 24%A 32%ACDE 16% 27%A 36%AD 28%A 36%AD 44%ABCDE 25% 22% 35%ABF 31%F 30%F 23% 43%BCDEF 24%CEF 8%F 19%CEF 10%F 1% Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F Base: By Generation (varies) ATT5. Do you believe all vehicles will be fully autonomous/self-driving in your lifetime? AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles? Believe Fully Autonomous Vehicles Will Happen in their Lifetime 67%BCDEF 47%F 40%F 47%EF 36%F 24% (N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630) YOUNG GEN Z 12-15 (A) OLDER GEN Z 16-17 (B) YOUNG MILLENNIAL 18-24 (C) OLDER MILLENNIAL 25-34 (D) GEN X 35-50 (E) BABY BOOMERS 51-64 (F) KNOW “SOME” KNOW “A LOT” KNOW “A LITTLE” KNOW “NOTHING” Autonomous Vehicle Knowledge
  • 33. 33 Base: Young Gen Z (n=194) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. 33 Pre-driving Young Gen Z don’t crave vehicle control like other cohorts are comfortable letting a vehicle drive them without their control (compared to 36% of total – includes Gen Z) OF YOUNG GEN Z
  • 34. 34 Young Gen Z are the most comfortable and feel safest with the highest level of vehicle autonomy, with Older Millennials, who have actual purchasing power today, are not very far behind Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-F Base: By Generation (varies) AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? 73%BCDEF 34%F 27%F 44%BCEF 29%F 20% (N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630) YOUNG GEN Z 12-15 (A) OLDER GEN Z 16-17 (B) YOUNG MILLENNIAL 18-24 (C) OLDER MILLENNIAL 25-34 (D) GEN X 35-50 (E) BABY BOOMERS 51-64 (F) Level 5 Comfort (Top 2 Box) by Generation 79%BCDEF 48%F 45%F 61%BCEF 41%F 33% (N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630) YOUNG GEN Z 12-15 (A) OLDER GEN Z 16-17 (B) YOUNG MILLENNIAL 18-24 (C) OLDER MILLENNIAL 25-34 (D) GEN X 35-50 (E) BABY BOOMERS 51-64 (F) Level 5 Safety (Top 5 Box) by Generation
  • 35. 35 Across generations, Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) is by far the most appealing to Young Gen Z Level 5 Appeal (Forced Choice) by Generation 38%CDEF 28%EF 18%F 22%EF 14%F 9% Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-E Base: By generation (varies) AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you? (N=194) (N=78) (N=316) (N=430) (N=616) (N=630) YOUNG GEN Z 12-15 (A) OLDER GEN Z 16-17 (B) YOUNG MILLENNIAL 18-24 (C) OLDER MILLENNIAL 25-34 (D) GEN X 35-50 (E) BABY BOOMERS 51-64 (F)
  • 36. 36 *Indicates small base size Base: Young Gen Z (n=164), Older Gen Z (n=32*), Young Millennials (n=206), Older Millennials (n=350), Gen X (n=473), Baby Boomers (n=470) S16. When are you planning to purchase or lease your next vehicle? (n=1770) AV11. Assuming each level of autonomy was available on the market today, what level of autonomy would you be most likely to purchase/lease? HUMAN ONLY MODERN VEHICLE MODERN PLUS PARTIAL AUTONOMY FULL AUTONOMY (+ HUMAN) FULL AUTONOMY (NO HUMAN) 33% 34% 13% 20% 10% 4% Young Gen Z Older Gen Z* Young Millennials Older Millennials Gen X Baby Boomers Interested in Owning Next (2020) Young Gen Z won’t need or experience a tipping point, as they generally would like their first vehicles to be Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) and 5 Full Autonomy (No Human)
  • 37. 37 Luxury Vehicle Owners Are Getting Ready for Autonomy
  • 38. 38 Luxury Vehicle Owners have more awareness of higher levels of Autonomy versus Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners, particularly for Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) 97% 91%B 77%B 69%B 60%B 94% 80% 56% 55% 39% Awareness (Top 2 Box) Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080) AV4A. What is your familiarity with each level of vehicle autonomy below? Luxury Owner (A) Non-Luxury Owner (B)
  • 39. 39 86% 85%B 70%B 65%B 50%B 83% 78% 57% 49% 31% Compared to Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners, Luxury Vehicle Owners are more comfortable with higher levels of Autonomy, also finding them safer Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080) AV7. How safe would you feel traveling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? Comfort (Top 2 Box) Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners Safety (Top 5 Box) Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners Luxury Owner (A) Non-Luxury Owner (B) 91% 90% 82%B 76%B 64%B 86% 86% 73% 63% 45%
  • 40. 40 11% 15% 20% 26% 11% 20% 18% 30% Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) and Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) are equally appealing to Luxury Vehicle Owners, while Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners favor Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Luxury Vehicle Owners (n=184), Non-Luxury Vehicle Owner (n=2080) AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you? Luxury Owner (A) Non-Luxury Owner (B) 25%B 17% Appeal (Forced Choice) Among Luxury and Non-Luxury Vehicle Owners
  • 41. 41 Americans Are Still Revving Up to the Idea of Autonomous Ride-Sharing Services
  • 42. 42 Americans lean slightly more toward human drivers rather than self-driving vehicles when ride-sharing Base: Total (n=2264) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. 56%44% I would prefer to use services such as taxis, Uber or Lyft with human drivers I would prefer to use services such as taxis, Uber or Lyft with self-driving vehicles
  • 43. 43 However, those who already use ride-sharing services are more likely to give autonomous ride-sharing vehicles a chance versus their counterparts Base: Ride-Share User (n=405), Non Ride-Share User (n=1859 ) ATT1. Below are some statements that people have used to describe their feelings towards Autonomous Vehicles and driving in general. For each pair of statements, please indicate which statement you agree with more. 58% 49% 42% 51% I would prefer to use services such as taxis, Uber or Lyft with human drivers I would prefer to use services such as taxis, Uber or Lyft with self-driving vehicles Ride-Share User Non Ride-Share User Ride-Share Users are significantly more comfortable letting a vehicle drive them without their control versus Non Ride-Share Users 44% vs. 34% Ride-Share Users Non Ride-Share Users
  • 44. 44 Not only are Ride-Share Users more knowledgeable about Autonomous Vehicles, but they are more favorable toward higher levels of autonomy Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Ride Share User (n=405), Ride Share Non-User (n=1859 ) AV2. How much do you know about Autonomous Vehicles? AV7. How safe would you feel travelling in a vehicle at each level of autonomy? AV8. Based on what you've seen, heard, or read, how comfortable are you with each level of vehicle autonomy? 72%B 54%B 46% 28% Comfort (Top 2 Box) Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users 83%B 69%B 59% 42% Safety (Top 5 Box) Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users 32%B 8% Know a lot about Autonomous Vehicles Ride Share Users (A) Non-Ride Share Users (B)
  • 45. 45 Both Ride-Share Users and Non-Users find Level 4 Full Autonomy (+Human) the most appealing, but Ride-Share Users are significantly more likely to do so. They are also almost twice as likely to pick Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) as most appealing. Please Note: Capital letters indicate statistical differences at the 95% confidence level: A-B Base: Ride Share User (n=405), Ride Share Non-User (n=1859) AV6. And which level of vehicle autonomy is most appealing to you? 4% 11% 16% 39%B 12%A 21%A 19% 28% Appeal (Forced Choice) Among Ride Share Users & Non-Users Ride Share User (A) Ride Share Non-User (B) 28%B 15%
  • 46. 46 What’s the story around Autonomous Vehicles? With most Americans living in a Level 1 Modern Vehicle world, Autonomous Vehicles are still a novel and almost foreign concept Americans will need convincing to reach a Level 5 Full Autonomy (No Human) future Experiencing higher levels of autonomy first-hand is a key to “tipping” into an autonomous future A quarter of Americans are enthusiastic about Autonomous Vehicles and show interest in purchasing higher levels of autonomy Young Gen Z and Luxury Owners are excited about and ready for an autonomous future On the road to autonomy, interest peaks with Level 4 Full Autonomy (+ Human) as it offers the best of both worlds – a fully Autonomous Vehicle that still provides the option to drive