This document discusses foresight studies and their role in strategic planning. It provides an overview of the key phases and aspects of conducting foresight studies, including: 1) Defining the scope and question to be addressed, potential solutions, and governance strategy. 2) Analyzing trends and future alternatives to understand how systems may evolve and identify disruptive solutions. 3) Prioritizing solutions and converging on a collective vision of the future, then developing an implementation strategy and monitoring plan. 3) The document also outlines some tools that can be used to support foresight studies, such as knowledge management platforms, social network analysis, and technology assessment.

1. Foresight and the CGIAR
Views from the ISPC

2. Foresight Studies

3. Slide 10
Abstract
Real
Understanding
Creativityand
Analysis
Convergenceand
Synthesis
Realizationand
Commitment
Communication
Research
Demand & Scope
Diagnosis
Future Alternatives Priorization and Positioning
Strategy and Actions
Ex-ante evaluation and Implementation
Implementation
§ Demand characterization – iidentify and
define (fframe / reframe) question(s)
(challenge/problem) to be addressed
§ Define scope, existing and necessary inputs,
associated results and impacts, as well as
governance and communication/
dissemination strategy
§ Define possible system evolution (inside-in
to outside-out) and/or possible
(technological) solutions to challenge/
problem being addressed
§ Images and future trajectories ought to be
broad, including the development of
disruptive alternatives
§ Understand the context under analysis
(system and interrelationships, as
well as stakeholders,
including users)
§ Understand the relationship between
context and its evolution from the past
and future trends
§ Define criteria to prioritize solutions and/
or elements from diverse future
alternatives in order to devise a joint
vision or select the adequate solution(s)
to the problem/challenge at hand
§ Converge into a collective vision of the
future
§ Define a strategy and associated actions
to attain the defined vision and/or to build
resilence towards different future
alternatives and/or to develop and
implement selected solutions
§ Develop indicators to monitor evolution
and required adaptation
§ Define how expected results and
associated impacts should be evaluated
and monitored in time
§ Develop a workplan for implementation
detailing the key foresight aspects in each
phase, including the need to contract
consulting services

4. Intelligence
services for
ST&I
Shared
visions
Grand
Challenges
Technology
observatory
Knowledge
platform
• Strategic nature
• Complexity
• Diversity of opinions
• Reduction of
uncertainties
Processes to
accelerate decision-
making
• Tools and Methods
• Methodologies
• Automation
• Visualization
• Modularity and
flexibility
Slide 4

5. Pre-foresight
Information and Knowledge Management

7. Tools for the fast creation of taxonomies
based on a huge amount of information
coming from a large number of specialized sources

8. Ferramenta de monitoramento e
análise de dados
• Curva de Fontes e Tipos

9. Trend analysis
Strategic Evaluation

10. Tools for the monitoring and analysis of very large amounts of data over
time (week signals and emergency)

12. 2007 2014
INCT on Climate Change – network evolution

13. 2007 2014
INCT Pharmaceutical Innovations – network evolution

14. CIAT (729) – IITA (403) Organizations
Co-authorship

16. CIAT (729) – IITA (403) Authors (1rst aut.)
Bibliographic coupling (co-cite)

17. CIAT (729) – IITA (403) Authors
Co-citation (co-cited)

18. CIAT (729) – IITA (403) Sources
Co-citation (co-cited)

19. CIAT (729) – IITA (403) Cited refs
Co-citation

20. Terms

22. Terms

23. Technology Assessment

28. Social Network Analysis to identify talents and promote integrations

29. Network Analysis to Identify
Talents
• Lattes database with 4M registered curricula
• Curricula as nodes, co-authorships and semantic
similarities of academic production as edges
• Portrayal of the research networks
• Identification of main researchers, academic brokers
• and subject areas from large amounts of data
Relational analysis
Integrates global-local information
Qualitative and quantitave
framework
• Your goal
• Your task
• Your
question
Data
Collection
Network
Analysis
Interpretation
Intervention

30. • 584 nodes;
• 1510 vertices;
• 9 clusters
Knowledge
Management
Health
Artificial
Intelligence
Physics
Ecology
Software
Development
Data
Managemen
t
Electric
Engineering Network
Engineerin
g

31. Exploring Collaboration with RAND