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TOPIC: Foreign Policy of Pakistan under General Pervez
Mussharaaf
SUBMITTED TO: Honarable, Prof: Dr.Ayaz Sahib
SUBMITTED BY: Usman Ali
Roll No: 36483
SEMESTER: M.Phil 2nd
SUBJECT: Foreign policy Analysis
Department of Political Science
FOREIGN POLICY OF PAKISTAN UNDER GENERAL
MUSHARRAF REGIME
1. PRE 9/11FOREIGN POLICY OF MUSHARRAF
2. POST 9/11 FOREIGN POLICY OF MUSHARRAF
a. Pakistan relation with United state (US)
I. Ecnomic benefits
II. Defence benefets
b. PAK-AFGAN RELATION
c. PAKISTAN –INDIA RELATION
d. PAK –CHINA RELATION
e. PAKISTAN RELATION WITH GULF REGION
f. PAKISTAN RELATION WITH IRAN
3. Conclusion
4. Bibliography
1. Pre 9/11 foreign policy of Musharraf
As was the case in previous military governments, Musharraf intent was to return
Pakistan to civilian rule as soon as feasible. The chief executive plan to achieve
this goal was similar in certain aspects to that put forward by Ayub Khan.
The action of Pakistan generals was coldly received by many in the outside
world. Washington was quick to criticize the coup leader and US President
signaled his disfavor by changing his March 2000 South Asian visit so as to spend
only a few hours in Pakistan while staying in India and Bangladesh for longer
visits. However the strain in U.S.-Pakistan relations was caused by a wide range
of issues. Pakistan sustained political instability its repeated failure at constructing
civil society, the impediments to a resolution of the Kashmir question and most
significantly the country's nuclear arms race with India.
In July as president Musharraf traveled to Agra India where he met with Indian
Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee to discuss regional security and importantly
the issue of Kashmir. No real progress was made but the meeting set the stage for
subsequent summit meetings between Musharraf and his Indian counterparts. The
president appeared to be slipping into a role that promised a period of reflection
on how to reconstruct the country domestic and foreign policy, but that all was
changed within two months by the new reality created by the September 11
attacks on the United States
2. Post 9/11 foreign policy of Musharraf
a) Relation with US
Within hours of the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on 11
September 2001, the US administration concluded that the attackers had probably
originated from Afghanistan and that any effective counterattack would require
the cooperation of Pakistan. US govt gave Pakistan a choice to align itself with
the Taliban regime in Afghanistan or with Washington. In response to US govt
General Musharraf made a snap decision Washington would get what it wanted.
“There is no doubt that General Musharraf initially cast his lot with the United States
mainly as a result of deep fears about what U.S. enmity might imply for Pakistan’s
longstanding rivalry with India, its efforts at economic revival, its nuclear weapons
program, and its equities in the conflict over Kashmir.6 Desirous of protecting
Islamabad’s interests in these areas and to avoid Pakistan becoming a target in the
campaign against terrorism, Musharraf reluctantly cut loose Islamabad’s ties with the
Taliban— a force it had nurtured, trained, and equipped for almost a decade in its effort
to secure control over Afghanistan— and stood aside as the U.S.-led coalition assisted its
detested antagonist”1
Before 9/11 he was perceived as a military dictator who should announce and
abide by a road map for the restoration of democracy. Since then his status has
been transformed. The Western world has a stake in his survival. This status has
been assiduously cultivated by Musharraf who has projected his regime as the
only reliable defence against a fundamentalist takeover in Pakistan.
“Since many Western and other international policy-makers broadly accept that
argument, the US and the Commonwealth have been unusually tolerant of Pakistan’s
break with democracy. Indeed, Pakistan even managed to get away with little more than a
diplomatic rap on the knuckles after the sensational revelation that its top nuclear
scientist, Dr A.Q. Khan, had for years been proliferating nuclear weapons technology,
probably with the knowledge of the army.” 2
General Musharraf knows that to maintain such international support he has to
continue to be seen as an active participant in Washington war on terror.
“The Bush administration has always provided the General with unqualified public
backing, some in Washington have been suspicious of Islamabad’s motives since 9/11,
arguing that it is only helping the US because it has little option and that Pakistan is far
from serious about confronting the Islamic radicals in its midst.”3
i) Economic benefits
When General Musharraf had seized power in October 1999 Pakistan’s economy
was in dreadful shape. Although there was economic growth of 4.2%, the country
had a budget deficit worth 6.1% of GDP and its external debt was unsustainable.
Exports and remittances from abroad were falling and the IMF, the World Bank
and bilateral donors had suspended their programmes with Pakistan after the 1998
nuclear tests. Debt servicing accounted for 50% of government revenues and,
unable to meet its debt repayments, the country was on the verge of default. More
than six years later the situation has improved significantly. In 2004/05 Pakistan
achieved a growth rate of 8.4% and its budget deficit was estimated to be 3.2% of
GDP. Debt servicing accounted for 25% of government revenues, in large part
because by 2004 those revenues stood at Rs 600bn compared to Rs 391bn in
1999. Perhaps the most striking indicator of the change in Pakistan’s fortunes is
the state of its foreign exchange reserves. In 1999 the Central Bank had just
US$1.6bn to play with in servicing the country’s huge external debt. By October
2004 that had increased to US$12bn.
“Many donor nations have given aid or debt relief to Pakistan since 9/11 but, inevitably,
the US has been the biggest single benefactor. Between 2002 and 2005 the US provided
Pakistan with US$2.64bn In direct aid.”4
ii) Defence benefets
In July 2002, the United States began allowing commercial sales that enabled
Pakistan to refurbish its fleet of American-made F-16 fighter aircraft. In June
2004, President Bush declared Pakistan to be a major non-NATO ally of the
United States. Since July 2003 major US military grants and proposed sales to
Pakistan have included C-130 military transport aircraft, surveillance radars,
helicopters and military radio systems meant to improve Pakistan’s ability to
communicate with US-led counter terrorist forces.
b) PAK –AFGAN RELATION
At the time of General Musharraf 1999 coup, Pakistan’s influence over Afghanistan
was at an all time high. Competing regional powers with a history of interference in
Afghan affairs, such as Russia and Iran, had been routed and 90% of the country was
under Taliban control. Most senior Taliban officials had been educated in Pakistan
and enjoyed close relations with the ISI, Pakistan intelligence agency.
“When came to office General Musharraf was quite open in describing Pakistan
interest in Afghanistan., Musharraf believed, Pakistan had strategic depth and his
army could concentrate on guarding the border with India. Since then General
Musharraf has seen Pakistan’s influence in Afghanistan sharply curtailed”5
.
After 9/11 the Taliban were swept from power and replaced by Northern Alliance
warlords and politicians who expressed open hostility to Pakistan. Washington and
London have tried to convince Islamabad that their interest in the region will not
wane – an interest reiterated in February 2006 by their endorsement of the Afghan
Compact. They also insist that their support of President Karzai’s administration, and
what it represents, will last for decades. Some elements of the ISI, and some senior
army officers, however, remain unconvinced and would prefer Pakistan to keep its
options open.
c) PAK –INDIA RELATION
Most analysts agree that Musharraf has moved further from Pakistan established
positions on Kashmir than any of his predecessors. His determination to break the
deadlock surfaced early leading in July 2001 to his highly publicized meeting in Agra
with Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee. Although
“ Musharraf appeared at the time to be naïve in his expectations of that ill-fated
encounter it is clear with hindsight that his decision marked a significant watershed in
the process of normalizing relations with India. It is now generally acknowledged
that as a military leader Musharraf has enjoyed far more room for man oeuvre on
Kashmir than any civilian-led government in Pakistan. Indeed, shortly after he
became the army chief under Nawaz Sharif, Musharraf refused to endorse the
government decision to hold talks with Prime Minister Vajpayee in Lahore in
February 1999”6.
In May of that year he further sabotaged the peace process by ordering his troops
backed by Pakistani-based Islamic militants, to infiltrate into Indian-held territory of
Kargil in Kashmir.The issue of what India calls ‘cross-border terrorism involving
attacks by Kashmiri militants groups against Indian targets remains a major obstacle
to a peace settlement. This was vividly demonstrated when Pakistan-based militants
attacked the Indian parliament building in Delhi in December 2001. India responded
by massing hundreds of thousands of troops on its border with Pakistan.
“Indian leaders called openly for a ‘decisive battle’. They included Prime
Minister Vajpayee who in a broadcast to the nation on 13 December 2001 in
which he roundly condemned the terrorist attack declared that ‘our fight is
now entering the last stage, and a decisive battle will have to take place. 22
Western capitals took the threat seriously unleashing a period of intense
diplomatic engagement. The tense military stand-off lasted ten months before
both sides finally agreed in October 2002 to start reducing troop deployments
along their borders.”7
Though Musharraf has since formally undertaken to rein in militant (jihadi)
groups active in Kashmir India claims that Pakistan has still not taken any ‘significant
action to dismantle the infrastructure of terrorism such as launching pads training
camps, communications and funding. Musharraf has strongly rejected these
allegations. But it is clear that so long as Pakistani-based militants fuel violence in
Kashmir, doubts will persist about Musharraf real commitment to peace and serve as
a potent reminder of his anti-Indian stance in the past. Nevertheless, Pakistan’s
support for Kashmiri militant groups has been severely constrained by its status as a
key US ally in the ‘war on terror. Since 9/11 many Kashmiri groups which Pakistan
long favored as ‘freedom fighters’, have featured prominently on US government
terrorist watch-lists or had their assets frozen after being classed as proscribed
organizations. There are also indications that some groups have been forced by
Pakistan sto suspend their operations in Kashmir under pressure from the United
States. But while Musharraf clearly exercises some degree of control over militant
groups he faces significant domestic constraints, not least popular support for the
militants campaign which has sharply restricted his freedom to call it off
permanently. Indeed, the degree to which Musharraf government is still hostage to
threats from militants was demonstrated in November 2005 when carefully timed
bomb blasts in Delhi blamed on the banned Kashmiri militant group Lashkar-i-
Tayyaba, nearly ruined an agreement with India to open the Line of Control (LOC)
for the first time since 1947 and allow Kashmiri families affected by the earthquake
to reunite with their families. 0The Bush administration is itself constrained by its
dependence on Pakistan in the ‘war on terror’. Given this, it seems that any real shift
in Pakistan posture will be internally driven. The 2003 assassination attempts against
Musharraf, which infuriated the army high command, could trigger just the break
with past policy necessary for a genuine settlement on Kashmir. Certainly from 2003
onwards there have been significant developments in Kashmir. These have included
greater ‘people-to-people’ contact including the resumption of bus services between
Lahore and Delhi and more recently Amritsar and Lahore the introduction of a similar
service across the LOC in Kashmir and the restoration of a rail link across the Wagah
border. They marked the run-up to a formal agreement in January 2004 between
Musharraf and Vajpayee at a meeting of the South Asian Association for Regional
Cooperation (SAARC) in Islamabad their first since Agreement to continue a
composite dialogue on Kashmir and all other outstanding bilateral issues. To the
surprise of some the process survived Vajpayee fall from power and in September
2004 led to fresh talks between Musharraf and the new Indian Prime Minister
Manmohan Singh in the margins of the UN General Assembly in New York.
Negotiations resumed in April 2005 after Musharraf visited Delhi and declared in a
joint statement with Singh that the bilateral peace process was now irreversible Since
then Indo-Pakistani relations appear to have moved along three parallel tracks.
“The first composite dialogue has shown little progress with no agreement yet despite
several rounds of talks in 2005 on troop withdrawals from the remote Siachen Glacier
region the demarcation of the Sir Creek border in the Rann of Kutch or an agreement
on the Baglihar Dam project in Indian-controlled Kashmir. The second track
confidence-building measures which include a ban on nuclear weapons tests and
reciprocal advance warning of missile tests appear to have made greater headway.
The third and most crucial track pertaining to the core issue of Kashmir is being
pursued behind closed doors with little or no indication yet of the ground covered. At
the same time it is clear that Pakistan has made important concessions on Kashmir.
They include Musharraf announcement in 2004 that Pakistan could envisage
circumstances in which it might choose to drop its demand for a UN plebiscite in
Kashmir in return for a durable peace.”8
This significant gesture, not surprisingly, prompted a sharp political reaction
in Pakistan. Musharraf has since hinted that his country could also relax its insistence
on third-party mediation in settling the dispute over Kashmir. Humanitarian
considerations after the earthquake have undoubtedly softened Pakistan position,
despite security concerns that opening the LOC would give India the opportunity to
engage in surveillance of territory it suspects is still used by Kashmiri rebel groups to
stage cross-border raids. This has been followed more recently by Musharraf fresh
proposals to demilitarize Kashmir and to open talks on self-rule for Kashmiris on
both sides of the LOC. By contrast, India appears to have given little in return to
Pakistan beyond engagement in an open ended process of substantive dialogue. In
reality of course neither side has honored its commitments. Pakistan has, from time to
time, allowed infiltrations across the LOC to resume while India has not yet come
close to making an offer on Kashmir that would allow General Musharraf to sell a
settlement to the army, the Pakistani people and to Kashmiri militant leaders. The
absence of any movement on the part of India publicly at least could also mean that
prospects for a significant breakthrough in the short to medium term are likely to
remain slim.
d) PAKISTAN RELATION WITH CHINA
Islamabad status as a key ally of Washington coupled with a thaw in contacts between
India and China have put unprecedented strain on the so-called time-tested friendship
between Pakistan and China. Beijing concerned not only by Pakistan cooperation
with the United States over Afghanistan but also by reports that the US has been
granted permission to establish listening posts in Pakistan Northern Areas bordering
the western Chinese province of Xinjiang and Tibet. The agreement between India
and China in 2003–04 to settle their border disputes is also being carefully watched
by Pakistan which fears that it could alter the balance of power in the region where
Pakistan China policy has long been predicated on the dictum ‘my enemy’s enemy is
my friend. It is clear that Pakistan is extremely reluctant to surrender the strategic and
material benefits that it gains from close relations with China. Although Chinese (and
North Korean) support for the development of Pakistan missile programmed appears
to have tapered off doubts remain about current levels of Chinese assistance. In 2003
a CIA report to Congress raised questions about China commitment to missile non-
proliferation by claiming that China has continued to transfer ballistic missile
technology and export missile parts to Pakistan. More recently the two countries have
also initiated joint naval exercises. Launched in Shanghai in October 2003 as the first
ever exercises of their kind between China and a foreign navy they were resumed off
the southern coast of Pakistan in late 2005.
“ Pakistan is considering the purchase of up to half a dozen nuclear reactors from
China worth an estimated US$10bn. General Musharraf is no less concerned with
exploiting his country long-standing relations with China in the field of economic
cooperation. His main focus is the Gwadur port project said to be China ‘pearl’ in
Pakistani waters.28 Inaugurated in March 2002, its total cost is currently estimated at
more than US$1.1bn.”9
The first phase of the project, completed ahead of schedule in January 2005,
benefited from Chinese assistance totalling almost US$200m. The second phase, also
to be completed with Chinese finance, involves an ambitious road-building scheme
linking Gwadur with the Karakoram Highway in northern Pakistan to facilitate the
movement of Chinese imports and exports.29 It is estimated that total Chinese
investment in Pakistan in 2005 stood at some US$4bn (a rise of 30% since 2003) with
Chinese companies (employing 3,000 Chinese nationals in Pakistan) accounting for
almost 12% of all foreign firms in the country.
“In 2005 alone China and Pakistan signed 22 trade agreements, including the
joint production of a jet fighter and the sale of four Chinese navy frigates to
Pakistan.31These gains could be threatened, however, if Musharraf
government fails to protect Chinese interests from becoming the targets of
insurgents in Baluchistan. In May 2004 China protested strongly against the
killing by insurgents from the Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) of three
Chinese engineers working on the Gwadur project.”10
“It has since expressed shock at the shooting dead of another three Chinese
engineers employed by a local cement plant in Hub, near Karachi, in February
2006. Attacks against Chinese workers have already forced China to withdraw
its involvement in the construction of the Gomal Zam dam project in South
Waziristan, where pro-Islamic Pashtun militants in 2004 had abducted two
Chinese workers, one of whom was killed during a botched rescue attempt by
Pakistani security forces.”11
Some analysts have since blamed the attacks in Waziristan on China’s treatment of its
Uighur Muslim population in western Xinjiang province, where the East Turkestan
Islamic Movement (ETIM) banned by both Pakistan and China is fighting against the
government-sponsored settlement of Han Chinese in the province. Tens of thousands
of displaced Uighur Muslims are said to have now sought refuge in Pakistan, where
they are concentrated mainly in Karachi and Lahore
e) RELATION WITH GULF REGION
Pakistan had traditionally enjoyed very friendly ties with the gulf region based on
geographically, historically as well as religious and cultural ties. Contacts with Gulf
region through visits have been quite frequent. These exchanges have led to a
similarity of perception on international and regional issues of mutual concern. The
Middle East countries have been supportive of our stand on Kashmir and
Afghanistan. Pakistan relation with the countries of the Middle East remained close
and cordial. There exist wide ranging co-operation with fraternal countries of the
region. President pervez musharraf landmark visit to Jordon, Lebanon and Syria in
January 2001, to Egypt and Saudi Arabia in February 2001 and again in June and
October in 2002 led to increase bilateral interaction with these countries. The
president of state of Palestine. Mr. Yasser Arafat visit Pakistan in August and brief
president Mussharraf on the deteriorating situation in Middle East. Following the
September 11 terrorist attacks in the US, Pakistan consequent engagement in the fight
against terrorism the foreign minister of Saudi Arabia visit Pakistan in October and
the UAE minister for information and culture com to Islamabad on November to
convey their support for the wise and courage decision to combat terrorism and
express solidarity with Pakistan
f) RELATION WITH IRAN
Iran occupies a special place for Pakistan because of its geo-strategic location and
bonds of faith, history and culture that link the two countries. Good relation between
Iran and Pakistan are an imperative of history.
“Regular high level exchange at various level allow the two countries to remain in
touch and keep each other inform about the position of the two side on regular and
international issues. During 2002 Iran interior minister foreign minister and secretary
supreme national security council visited Pakistan.”12
Iran has already recognized that the Kashmir problem needs to be settled in
accordance with UN resolutions. Pakistan aims to make firm historical and cultural
ties with the people of Iran and to develop mutually beneficial trade and economic
cooperation. Pakistan has already been collaborating in the areas of transit facilities of
gas and oil pipelines between India and Iran. Pakistan is also coordinating with Iran
to promote the afghan peace process. the president of Pakistan visited Tehran in 2001
for bilateral consultation with Iranian president. Both leaders decided that regular
contacts between the two countries would promote understanding and improve
relation further. Iranian president paid his first ever official visit to Pakistan in
December 2002. The two side signed four agreements in bilateral trade, plant
protection, science and technology and the 13th
session of Iran-Pakistan joint
economic cooperation. President Musharraf and Iranian president also had a bilateral
meeting in Istanbul in October 2002 on the side line of ECO summit.
g) BIBLOGRAPHY
1. International Journal of History and Philosophical Research Vol.2, No.2, pp.1-16,
September 2014 Published by European Centre for Research Training and
Development UK www.ea-journals.org
2. Ali Imran, Dong Xiaochuan “ A HISTORY OF U.S FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS
ANTI-TERRORISM AND ITS CONSEQUENCES ON PAKISTAN” International
Journal of History and Philosophical Research Vol.2, No.2,
3. Rashid, Ahmed.(2007.) 2
nd
edition. Taliban: Islam, Oil and the great Game in Central
Asia. London: I.B. Tauris.
4. Zahid hussain,FrontlinePakistan The struggle with militant Islam: I.B.Tauris & Co
Ltd 2007
5. Dr. Hidayat Khan PAKISTAN’S CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL WAR ON TERROR
AFTER 9/11 PRI Journal XIII, no. 1 (Winter 2013)

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Foreign policy of pakistan under musharraf regime

  • 1. TOPIC: Foreign Policy of Pakistan under General Pervez Mussharaaf SUBMITTED TO: Honarable, Prof: Dr.Ayaz Sahib SUBMITTED BY: Usman Ali Roll No: 36483 SEMESTER: M.Phil 2nd SUBJECT: Foreign policy Analysis Department of Political Science
  • 2. FOREIGN POLICY OF PAKISTAN UNDER GENERAL MUSHARRAF REGIME 1. PRE 9/11FOREIGN POLICY OF MUSHARRAF 2. POST 9/11 FOREIGN POLICY OF MUSHARRAF a. Pakistan relation with United state (US) I. Ecnomic benefits II. Defence benefets b. PAK-AFGAN RELATION c. PAKISTAN –INDIA RELATION d. PAK –CHINA RELATION e. PAKISTAN RELATION WITH GULF REGION f. PAKISTAN RELATION WITH IRAN 3. Conclusion 4. Bibliography
  • 3. 1. Pre 9/11 foreign policy of Musharraf As was the case in previous military governments, Musharraf intent was to return Pakistan to civilian rule as soon as feasible. The chief executive plan to achieve this goal was similar in certain aspects to that put forward by Ayub Khan. The action of Pakistan generals was coldly received by many in the outside world. Washington was quick to criticize the coup leader and US President signaled his disfavor by changing his March 2000 South Asian visit so as to spend only a few hours in Pakistan while staying in India and Bangladesh for longer visits. However the strain in U.S.-Pakistan relations was caused by a wide range of issues. Pakistan sustained political instability its repeated failure at constructing civil society, the impediments to a resolution of the Kashmir question and most significantly the country's nuclear arms race with India. In July as president Musharraf traveled to Agra India where he met with Indian Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee to discuss regional security and importantly the issue of Kashmir. No real progress was made but the meeting set the stage for subsequent summit meetings between Musharraf and his Indian counterparts. The president appeared to be slipping into a role that promised a period of reflection on how to reconstruct the country domestic and foreign policy, but that all was changed within two months by the new reality created by the September 11 attacks on the United States 2. Post 9/11 foreign policy of Musharraf a) Relation with US Within hours of the attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon on 11 September 2001, the US administration concluded that the attackers had probably
  • 4. originated from Afghanistan and that any effective counterattack would require the cooperation of Pakistan. US govt gave Pakistan a choice to align itself with the Taliban regime in Afghanistan or with Washington. In response to US govt General Musharraf made a snap decision Washington would get what it wanted. “There is no doubt that General Musharraf initially cast his lot with the United States mainly as a result of deep fears about what U.S. enmity might imply for Pakistan’s longstanding rivalry with India, its efforts at economic revival, its nuclear weapons program, and its equities in the conflict over Kashmir.6 Desirous of protecting Islamabad’s interests in these areas and to avoid Pakistan becoming a target in the campaign against terrorism, Musharraf reluctantly cut loose Islamabad’s ties with the Taliban— a force it had nurtured, trained, and equipped for almost a decade in its effort to secure control over Afghanistan— and stood aside as the U.S.-led coalition assisted its detested antagonist”1 Before 9/11 he was perceived as a military dictator who should announce and abide by a road map for the restoration of democracy. Since then his status has been transformed. The Western world has a stake in his survival. This status has been assiduously cultivated by Musharraf who has projected his regime as the only reliable defence against a fundamentalist takeover in Pakistan. “Since many Western and other international policy-makers broadly accept that argument, the US and the Commonwealth have been unusually tolerant of Pakistan’s break with democracy. Indeed, Pakistan even managed to get away with little more than a diplomatic rap on the knuckles after the sensational revelation that its top nuclear scientist, Dr A.Q. Khan, had for years been proliferating nuclear weapons technology, probably with the knowledge of the army.” 2 General Musharraf knows that to maintain such international support he has to continue to be seen as an active participant in Washington war on terror. “The Bush administration has always provided the General with unqualified public backing, some in Washington have been suspicious of Islamabad’s motives since 9/11, arguing that it is only helping the US because it has little option and that Pakistan is far from serious about confronting the Islamic radicals in its midst.”3
  • 5. i) Economic benefits When General Musharraf had seized power in October 1999 Pakistan’s economy was in dreadful shape. Although there was economic growth of 4.2%, the country had a budget deficit worth 6.1% of GDP and its external debt was unsustainable. Exports and remittances from abroad were falling and the IMF, the World Bank and bilateral donors had suspended their programmes with Pakistan after the 1998 nuclear tests. Debt servicing accounted for 50% of government revenues and, unable to meet its debt repayments, the country was on the verge of default. More than six years later the situation has improved significantly. In 2004/05 Pakistan achieved a growth rate of 8.4% and its budget deficit was estimated to be 3.2% of GDP. Debt servicing accounted for 25% of government revenues, in large part because by 2004 those revenues stood at Rs 600bn compared to Rs 391bn in 1999. Perhaps the most striking indicator of the change in Pakistan’s fortunes is the state of its foreign exchange reserves. In 1999 the Central Bank had just US$1.6bn to play with in servicing the country’s huge external debt. By October 2004 that had increased to US$12bn. “Many donor nations have given aid or debt relief to Pakistan since 9/11 but, inevitably, the US has been the biggest single benefactor. Between 2002 and 2005 the US provided Pakistan with US$2.64bn In direct aid.”4 ii) Defence benefets In July 2002, the United States began allowing commercial sales that enabled Pakistan to refurbish its fleet of American-made F-16 fighter aircraft. In June 2004, President Bush declared Pakistan to be a major non-NATO ally of the United States. Since July 2003 major US military grants and proposed sales to Pakistan have included C-130 military transport aircraft, surveillance radars, helicopters and military radio systems meant to improve Pakistan’s ability to communicate with US-led counter terrorist forces.
  • 6. b) PAK –AFGAN RELATION At the time of General Musharraf 1999 coup, Pakistan’s influence over Afghanistan was at an all time high. Competing regional powers with a history of interference in Afghan affairs, such as Russia and Iran, had been routed and 90% of the country was under Taliban control. Most senior Taliban officials had been educated in Pakistan and enjoyed close relations with the ISI, Pakistan intelligence agency. “When came to office General Musharraf was quite open in describing Pakistan interest in Afghanistan., Musharraf believed, Pakistan had strategic depth and his army could concentrate on guarding the border with India. Since then General Musharraf has seen Pakistan’s influence in Afghanistan sharply curtailed”5 . After 9/11 the Taliban were swept from power and replaced by Northern Alliance warlords and politicians who expressed open hostility to Pakistan. Washington and London have tried to convince Islamabad that their interest in the region will not wane – an interest reiterated in February 2006 by their endorsement of the Afghan Compact. They also insist that their support of President Karzai’s administration, and what it represents, will last for decades. Some elements of the ISI, and some senior army officers, however, remain unconvinced and would prefer Pakistan to keep its options open. c) PAK –INDIA RELATION Most analysts agree that Musharraf has moved further from Pakistan established positions on Kashmir than any of his predecessors. His determination to break the deadlock surfaced early leading in July 2001 to his highly publicized meeting in Agra with Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee. Although “ Musharraf appeared at the time to be naïve in his expectations of that ill-fated encounter it is clear with hindsight that his decision marked a significant watershed in the process of normalizing relations with India. It is now generally acknowledged
  • 7. that as a military leader Musharraf has enjoyed far more room for man oeuvre on Kashmir than any civilian-led government in Pakistan. Indeed, shortly after he became the army chief under Nawaz Sharif, Musharraf refused to endorse the government decision to hold talks with Prime Minister Vajpayee in Lahore in February 1999”6. In May of that year he further sabotaged the peace process by ordering his troops backed by Pakistani-based Islamic militants, to infiltrate into Indian-held territory of Kargil in Kashmir.The issue of what India calls ‘cross-border terrorism involving attacks by Kashmiri militants groups against Indian targets remains a major obstacle to a peace settlement. This was vividly demonstrated when Pakistan-based militants attacked the Indian parliament building in Delhi in December 2001. India responded by massing hundreds of thousands of troops on its border with Pakistan. “Indian leaders called openly for a ‘decisive battle’. They included Prime Minister Vajpayee who in a broadcast to the nation on 13 December 2001 in which he roundly condemned the terrorist attack declared that ‘our fight is now entering the last stage, and a decisive battle will have to take place. 22 Western capitals took the threat seriously unleashing a period of intense diplomatic engagement. The tense military stand-off lasted ten months before both sides finally agreed in October 2002 to start reducing troop deployments along their borders.”7 Though Musharraf has since formally undertaken to rein in militant (jihadi) groups active in Kashmir India claims that Pakistan has still not taken any ‘significant action to dismantle the infrastructure of terrorism such as launching pads training camps, communications and funding. Musharraf has strongly rejected these allegations. But it is clear that so long as Pakistani-based militants fuel violence in Kashmir, doubts will persist about Musharraf real commitment to peace and serve as a potent reminder of his anti-Indian stance in the past. Nevertheless, Pakistan’s support for Kashmiri militant groups has been severely constrained by its status as a key US ally in the ‘war on terror. Since 9/11 many Kashmiri groups which Pakistan
  • 8. long favored as ‘freedom fighters’, have featured prominently on US government terrorist watch-lists or had their assets frozen after being classed as proscribed organizations. There are also indications that some groups have been forced by Pakistan sto suspend their operations in Kashmir under pressure from the United States. But while Musharraf clearly exercises some degree of control over militant groups he faces significant domestic constraints, not least popular support for the militants campaign which has sharply restricted his freedom to call it off permanently. Indeed, the degree to which Musharraf government is still hostage to threats from militants was demonstrated in November 2005 when carefully timed bomb blasts in Delhi blamed on the banned Kashmiri militant group Lashkar-i- Tayyaba, nearly ruined an agreement with India to open the Line of Control (LOC) for the first time since 1947 and allow Kashmiri families affected by the earthquake to reunite with their families. 0The Bush administration is itself constrained by its dependence on Pakistan in the ‘war on terror’. Given this, it seems that any real shift in Pakistan posture will be internally driven. The 2003 assassination attempts against Musharraf, which infuriated the army high command, could trigger just the break with past policy necessary for a genuine settlement on Kashmir. Certainly from 2003 onwards there have been significant developments in Kashmir. These have included greater ‘people-to-people’ contact including the resumption of bus services between Lahore and Delhi and more recently Amritsar and Lahore the introduction of a similar service across the LOC in Kashmir and the restoration of a rail link across the Wagah border. They marked the run-up to a formal agreement in January 2004 between Musharraf and Vajpayee at a meeting of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in Islamabad their first since Agreement to continue a composite dialogue on Kashmir and all other outstanding bilateral issues. To the surprise of some the process survived Vajpayee fall from power and in September 2004 led to fresh talks between Musharraf and the new Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh in the margins of the UN General Assembly in New York. Negotiations resumed in April 2005 after Musharraf visited Delhi and declared in a joint statement with Singh that the bilateral peace process was now irreversible Since then Indo-Pakistani relations appear to have moved along three parallel tracks.
  • 9. “The first composite dialogue has shown little progress with no agreement yet despite several rounds of talks in 2005 on troop withdrawals from the remote Siachen Glacier region the demarcation of the Sir Creek border in the Rann of Kutch or an agreement on the Baglihar Dam project in Indian-controlled Kashmir. The second track confidence-building measures which include a ban on nuclear weapons tests and reciprocal advance warning of missile tests appear to have made greater headway. The third and most crucial track pertaining to the core issue of Kashmir is being pursued behind closed doors with little or no indication yet of the ground covered. At the same time it is clear that Pakistan has made important concessions on Kashmir. They include Musharraf announcement in 2004 that Pakistan could envisage circumstances in which it might choose to drop its demand for a UN plebiscite in Kashmir in return for a durable peace.”8 This significant gesture, not surprisingly, prompted a sharp political reaction in Pakistan. Musharraf has since hinted that his country could also relax its insistence on third-party mediation in settling the dispute over Kashmir. Humanitarian considerations after the earthquake have undoubtedly softened Pakistan position, despite security concerns that opening the LOC would give India the opportunity to engage in surveillance of territory it suspects is still used by Kashmiri rebel groups to stage cross-border raids. This has been followed more recently by Musharraf fresh proposals to demilitarize Kashmir and to open talks on self-rule for Kashmiris on both sides of the LOC. By contrast, India appears to have given little in return to Pakistan beyond engagement in an open ended process of substantive dialogue. In reality of course neither side has honored its commitments. Pakistan has, from time to time, allowed infiltrations across the LOC to resume while India has not yet come close to making an offer on Kashmir that would allow General Musharraf to sell a settlement to the army, the Pakistani people and to Kashmiri militant leaders. The absence of any movement on the part of India publicly at least could also mean that prospects for a significant breakthrough in the short to medium term are likely to remain slim.
  • 10. d) PAKISTAN RELATION WITH CHINA Islamabad status as a key ally of Washington coupled with a thaw in contacts between India and China have put unprecedented strain on the so-called time-tested friendship between Pakistan and China. Beijing concerned not only by Pakistan cooperation with the United States over Afghanistan but also by reports that the US has been granted permission to establish listening posts in Pakistan Northern Areas bordering the western Chinese province of Xinjiang and Tibet. The agreement between India and China in 2003–04 to settle their border disputes is also being carefully watched by Pakistan which fears that it could alter the balance of power in the region where Pakistan China policy has long been predicated on the dictum ‘my enemy’s enemy is my friend. It is clear that Pakistan is extremely reluctant to surrender the strategic and material benefits that it gains from close relations with China. Although Chinese (and North Korean) support for the development of Pakistan missile programmed appears to have tapered off doubts remain about current levels of Chinese assistance. In 2003 a CIA report to Congress raised questions about China commitment to missile non- proliferation by claiming that China has continued to transfer ballistic missile technology and export missile parts to Pakistan. More recently the two countries have also initiated joint naval exercises. Launched in Shanghai in October 2003 as the first ever exercises of their kind between China and a foreign navy they were resumed off the southern coast of Pakistan in late 2005. “ Pakistan is considering the purchase of up to half a dozen nuclear reactors from China worth an estimated US$10bn. General Musharraf is no less concerned with exploiting his country long-standing relations with China in the field of economic cooperation. His main focus is the Gwadur port project said to be China ‘pearl’ in Pakistani waters.28 Inaugurated in March 2002, its total cost is currently estimated at more than US$1.1bn.”9 The first phase of the project, completed ahead of schedule in January 2005, benefited from Chinese assistance totalling almost US$200m. The second phase, also to be completed with Chinese finance, involves an ambitious road-building scheme
  • 11. linking Gwadur with the Karakoram Highway in northern Pakistan to facilitate the movement of Chinese imports and exports.29 It is estimated that total Chinese investment in Pakistan in 2005 stood at some US$4bn (a rise of 30% since 2003) with Chinese companies (employing 3,000 Chinese nationals in Pakistan) accounting for almost 12% of all foreign firms in the country. “In 2005 alone China and Pakistan signed 22 trade agreements, including the joint production of a jet fighter and the sale of four Chinese navy frigates to Pakistan.31These gains could be threatened, however, if Musharraf government fails to protect Chinese interests from becoming the targets of insurgents in Baluchistan. In May 2004 China protested strongly against the killing by insurgents from the Baluchistan Liberation Army (BLA) of three Chinese engineers working on the Gwadur project.”10 “It has since expressed shock at the shooting dead of another three Chinese engineers employed by a local cement plant in Hub, near Karachi, in February 2006. Attacks against Chinese workers have already forced China to withdraw its involvement in the construction of the Gomal Zam dam project in South Waziristan, where pro-Islamic Pashtun militants in 2004 had abducted two Chinese workers, one of whom was killed during a botched rescue attempt by Pakistani security forces.”11 Some analysts have since blamed the attacks in Waziristan on China’s treatment of its Uighur Muslim population in western Xinjiang province, where the East Turkestan Islamic Movement (ETIM) banned by both Pakistan and China is fighting against the government-sponsored settlement of Han Chinese in the province. Tens of thousands of displaced Uighur Muslims are said to have now sought refuge in Pakistan, where they are concentrated mainly in Karachi and Lahore
  • 12. e) RELATION WITH GULF REGION Pakistan had traditionally enjoyed very friendly ties with the gulf region based on geographically, historically as well as religious and cultural ties. Contacts with Gulf region through visits have been quite frequent. These exchanges have led to a similarity of perception on international and regional issues of mutual concern. The Middle East countries have been supportive of our stand on Kashmir and Afghanistan. Pakistan relation with the countries of the Middle East remained close and cordial. There exist wide ranging co-operation with fraternal countries of the region. President pervez musharraf landmark visit to Jordon, Lebanon and Syria in January 2001, to Egypt and Saudi Arabia in February 2001 and again in June and October in 2002 led to increase bilateral interaction with these countries. The president of state of Palestine. Mr. Yasser Arafat visit Pakistan in August and brief president Mussharraf on the deteriorating situation in Middle East. Following the September 11 terrorist attacks in the US, Pakistan consequent engagement in the fight against terrorism the foreign minister of Saudi Arabia visit Pakistan in October and the UAE minister for information and culture com to Islamabad on November to convey their support for the wise and courage decision to combat terrorism and express solidarity with Pakistan f) RELATION WITH IRAN Iran occupies a special place for Pakistan because of its geo-strategic location and bonds of faith, history and culture that link the two countries. Good relation between Iran and Pakistan are an imperative of history. “Regular high level exchange at various level allow the two countries to remain in touch and keep each other inform about the position of the two side on regular and international issues. During 2002 Iran interior minister foreign minister and secretary supreme national security council visited Pakistan.”12
  • 13. Iran has already recognized that the Kashmir problem needs to be settled in accordance with UN resolutions. Pakistan aims to make firm historical and cultural ties with the people of Iran and to develop mutually beneficial trade and economic cooperation. Pakistan has already been collaborating in the areas of transit facilities of gas and oil pipelines between India and Iran. Pakistan is also coordinating with Iran to promote the afghan peace process. the president of Pakistan visited Tehran in 2001 for bilateral consultation with Iranian president. Both leaders decided that regular contacts between the two countries would promote understanding and improve relation further. Iranian president paid his first ever official visit to Pakistan in December 2002. The two side signed four agreements in bilateral trade, plant protection, science and technology and the 13th session of Iran-Pakistan joint economic cooperation. President Musharraf and Iranian president also had a bilateral meeting in Istanbul in October 2002 on the side line of ECO summit.
  • 14. g) BIBLOGRAPHY 1. International Journal of History and Philosophical Research Vol.2, No.2, pp.1-16, September 2014 Published by European Centre for Research Training and Development UK www.ea-journals.org 2. Ali Imran, Dong Xiaochuan “ A HISTORY OF U.S FOREIGN POLICY TOWARDS ANTI-TERRORISM AND ITS CONSEQUENCES ON PAKISTAN” International Journal of History and Philosophical Research Vol.2, No.2, 3. Rashid, Ahmed.(2007.) 2 nd edition. Taliban: Islam, Oil and the great Game in Central Asia. London: I.B. Tauris. 4. Zahid hussain,FrontlinePakistan The struggle with militant Islam: I.B.Tauris & Co Ltd 2007 5. Dr. Hidayat Khan PAKISTAN’S CONTRIBUTION TO GLOBAL WAR ON TERROR AFTER 9/11 PRI Journal XIII, no. 1 (Winter 2013)