THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
I. INTRODUCTION
II. ORGANIZATION OF THE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
III. THE SPOT MARKET
IV. THE FORWARD MARKET
V.INTEREST RATE PARITY
THEORY
I. INTRODUCTION
A. The Currency Market:
where money
denominated in one
currency is bought and sold
with money
denominated in another
currency.
B. International Trade and
Capital Transactions:
- facilitated with the ability
to transfer purchasing power
between countries
C. Location
1. OTC-type: no specific
location
2. Most trades by phone,
telex, or SWIFT
SWIFT: Society for Worldwide
Interbank Financial
Telecommunications
I . PARTICIPANTS IN THE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
A. Participants at 2 Levels
1. Wholesale Level (95%)
- major banks
2. Retail Level
- business
customers.
B. Two Types of Currency
Markets
1. Spot Market:
- immediate transaction
- recorded by 2nd
business day
2. Forward Market:
- transactions take place at a
specified future date
C. Participants by Market
1. Spot Market
a. commercial banks
b. brokers
c. customers of commercial
and central banks
2. Forward Market
a. arbitrageurs
b. traders
c. hedgers
d. speculators
II. CLEARING SYSTEMS
A. Clearing House Interbank
Payments System
(CHIPS)
- used in U.S. for electronic
fund transfers.
B. FedWire
- operated by the Fed
- used for domestic transfers
III. ELECTRONIC TRADING
A. Automated Trading
- genuine screen-based
market
B. Results:
1. Reduces cost of trading
2. Threatens traders’
oligopoly of information
3. Provides liquidity
IV. SIZE OF THE MARKET
A. Largest in the world
1995: $1.2 trillion daily
B. Market Centers (1995):
London =$464 billion
daily
New York= $244 billion
daily
Tokyo = $161 billion
daily
I. SPOT QUOTATIONS
A. Sources
1. All major newspapers
2. Major currencies have
four different quotes:
a. spot price
b. 30-day
c. 90-day
d. 180-day
B. Method of Quotation
1. For interbank dollar
trades:
a. American terms
example: $.5838/dm
b. European terms
example: dm1.713/$
2. For nonbank customers:
Direct quote
gives the home currency price
of one unit of foreign currency.
EXAMPLE: dm0.25/FF
C. Transactions Costs
1. Bid-Ask Spread
used to calculate the fee
charged by the bank
 Bid = the price at which the
bank is willing to buy
 Ask = the price it will sell
the currency
4. Percent Spread Formula (PS):
100x
Ask
BidAsk
PS
−
=
D. Cross Rates
1. The exchange rate
between 2 non - US$
currencies.
2. Calculating Cross Rates
When you want to know
what the dm/ cross rate is,
and you know
dm2/US$ and .55/US$
then dm/ = dm2/US$ ÷ .55/US$
= dm3.636/ 
E. Currency Arbitrage
1. If cross rates differ from
one financial center to
another, and profit
opportunities exist.
2. Buy cheap in one int’l market,
sell at a higher price in
another
3. Role of Available Information
F.Settlement Date Value Date:
1. Date monies are due
2. 2nd Working day after date of
original transaction.
G. Exchange Risk
1. Bankers = middlemen
a. Incurring risk of adverse
exchange rate moves.
b. Increased uncertainty
about future exchange
rate requires
1.) Demand for higher risk
premium
2.) Bankers widen bid-ask
spread
SPOT TRANSACTIONS: An
Example
Step 1. Currency transaction:
verbal agreement, U.S.
importer specifies:
a. Account to debit (his acct)
b. Account to credit
(exporter)
Step 2. Bank sends importer
contract note including:
- amount of foreign
currency
- agreed exchange rate
- confirmation of Step 1.
Step 3. Settlement
Correspondent bank in Hong
Kong transfers HK$ from
nostro account to exporter’s.
Value Date.
U.S. bank debits importer’s
account.
I. INTRODUCTION
A. Definition of a Forward
Contract
an agreement between a bank and a
customer to deliver a specified amount
of currency against another
currency at a specified future date
and at a fixed exchange rate.
2. Purpose of a Forward:
Hedging
the act of reducing exchange
rate risk.
B. Forward Rate Quotations
1. Two Methods:
a. Outright Rate: quoted to
commercial customers.
b. Swap Rate: quoted in the
interbank market as a
discount or premium.
CALCULATING THE FORWARD PREMIUM
OR DISCOUNT
= F-S x 12 x 100
S n
where F = the forward rate of exchange
S = the spot rate of exchange
n = the number of months in the
forward contract
C. Forward Contract Maturities
1. Contract Terms
a. 30-day
b. 90-day
c. 180-day
d. 360-day
2. Longer-term Contracts
I. INTRODUCTION
A. The Theory states:
the forward rate (F) differs
from the spot rate (S) at
equilibrium by an amount
equal to the interest
differential (rh - rf) between two
countries.
2. The forward premium or
discount equals the interest
rate differential.
(F - S)/S = (rh - rf)
where rh = the home rate
rf = the foreign rate
3. In equilibrium, returns on
currencies will be the same
i. e. No profit will be realized
and interest parity exists
which can be written
(1 + rh) = F
(1 + rf) S
B. Covered Interest Arbitrage
1. Conditions required:
interest rate differential does
not equal the forward
premium or discount.
2. Funds will move to a country
with a more attractive rate.
3. Market pressures develop:
a. As one currency is more
demanded spot and sold
forward.
b. Inflow of fund depresses
interest rates.
c. Parity eventually
reached.
C. Summary:
Interest Rate Parity states:
1. Higher interest rates on a
currency offset by
forward discounts.
2. Lower interest rates are
offset by forward premiums.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

  • 1.
  • 2.
    I. INTRODUCTION II. ORGANIZATIONOF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET III. THE SPOT MARKET IV. THE FORWARD MARKET V.INTEREST RATE PARITY THEORY
  • 3.
    I. INTRODUCTION A. TheCurrency Market: where money denominated in one currency is bought and sold with money denominated in another currency.
  • 4.
    B. International Tradeand Capital Transactions: - facilitated with the ability to transfer purchasing power between countries
  • 5.
    C. Location 1. OTC-type:no specific location 2. Most trades by phone, telex, or SWIFT SWIFT: Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications
  • 6.
    I . PARTICIPANTSIN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET A. Participants at 2 Levels 1. Wholesale Level (95%) - major banks 2. Retail Level - business customers.
  • 7.
    B. Two Typesof Currency Markets 1. Spot Market: - immediate transaction - recorded by 2nd business day
  • 8.
    2. Forward Market: -transactions take place at a specified future date
  • 9.
    C. Participants byMarket 1. Spot Market a. commercial banks b. brokers c. customers of commercial and central banks
  • 10.
    2. Forward Market a.arbitrageurs b. traders c. hedgers d. speculators
  • 11.
    II. CLEARING SYSTEMS A.Clearing House Interbank Payments System (CHIPS) - used in U.S. for electronic fund transfers.
  • 12.
    B. FedWire - operatedby the Fed - used for domestic transfers
  • 13.
    III. ELECTRONIC TRADING A.Automated Trading - genuine screen-based market
  • 14.
    B. Results: 1. Reducescost of trading 2. Threatens traders’ oligopoly of information 3. Provides liquidity
  • 15.
    IV. SIZE OFTHE MARKET A. Largest in the world 1995: $1.2 trillion daily
  • 16.
    B. Market Centers(1995): London =$464 billion daily New York= $244 billion daily Tokyo = $161 billion daily
  • 17.
    I. SPOT QUOTATIONS A.Sources 1. All major newspapers 2. Major currencies have four different quotes: a. spot price b. 30-day c. 90-day d. 180-day
  • 18.
    B. Method ofQuotation 1. For interbank dollar trades: a. American terms example: $.5838/dm b. European terms example: dm1.713/$
  • 19.
    2. For nonbankcustomers: Direct quote gives the home currency price of one unit of foreign currency. EXAMPLE: dm0.25/FF
  • 20.
    C. Transactions Costs 1.Bid-Ask Spread used to calculate the fee charged by the bank  Bid = the price at which the bank is willing to buy  Ask = the price it will sell the currency
  • 21.
    4. Percent SpreadFormula (PS): 100x Ask BidAsk PS − =
  • 22.
    D. Cross Rates 1.The exchange rate between 2 non - US$ currencies.
  • 23.
    2. Calculating CrossRates When you want to know what the dm/ cross rate is, and you know dm2/US$ and .55/US$ then dm/ = dm2/US$ ÷ .55/US$ = dm3.636/ 
  • 24.
    E. Currency Arbitrage 1.If cross rates differ from one financial center to another, and profit opportunities exist.
  • 25.
    2. Buy cheapin one int’l market, sell at a higher price in another 3. Role of Available Information
  • 26.
    F.Settlement Date ValueDate: 1. Date monies are due 2. 2nd Working day after date of original transaction.
  • 27.
    G. Exchange Risk 1.Bankers = middlemen a. Incurring risk of adverse exchange rate moves. b. Increased uncertainty about future exchange rate requires
  • 28.
    1.) Demand forhigher risk premium 2.) Bankers widen bid-ask spread
  • 29.
    SPOT TRANSACTIONS: An Example Step1. Currency transaction: verbal agreement, U.S. importer specifies: a. Account to debit (his acct) b. Account to credit (exporter)
  • 30.
    Step 2. Banksends importer contract note including: - amount of foreign currency - agreed exchange rate - confirmation of Step 1.
  • 31.
    Step 3. Settlement Correspondentbank in Hong Kong transfers HK$ from nostro account to exporter’s. Value Date. U.S. bank debits importer’s account.
  • 32.
    I. INTRODUCTION A. Definitionof a Forward Contract an agreement between a bank and a customer to deliver a specified amount of currency against another currency at a specified future date and at a fixed exchange rate.
  • 33.
    2. Purpose ofa Forward: Hedging the act of reducing exchange rate risk.
  • 34.
    B. Forward RateQuotations 1. Two Methods: a. Outright Rate: quoted to commercial customers. b. Swap Rate: quoted in the interbank market as a discount or premium.
  • 35.
    CALCULATING THE FORWARDPREMIUM OR DISCOUNT = F-S x 12 x 100 S n where F = the forward rate of exchange S = the spot rate of exchange n = the number of months in the forward contract
  • 36.
    C. Forward ContractMaturities 1. Contract Terms a. 30-day b. 90-day c. 180-day d. 360-day 2. Longer-term Contracts
  • 37.
    I. INTRODUCTION A. TheTheory states: the forward rate (F) differs from the spot rate (S) at equilibrium by an amount equal to the interest differential (rh - rf) between two countries.
  • 38.
    2. The forwardpremium or discount equals the interest rate differential. (F - S)/S = (rh - rf) where rh = the home rate rf = the foreign rate
  • 39.
    3. In equilibrium,returns on currencies will be the same i. e. No profit will be realized and interest parity exists which can be written (1 + rh) = F (1 + rf) S
  • 40.
    B. Covered InterestArbitrage 1. Conditions required: interest rate differential does not equal the forward premium or discount. 2. Funds will move to a country with a more attractive rate.
  • 41.
    3. Market pressuresdevelop: a. As one currency is more demanded spot and sold forward. b. Inflow of fund depresses interest rates. c. Parity eventually reached.
  • 42.
    C. Summary: Interest RateParity states: 1. Higher interest rates on a currency offset by forward discounts. 2. Lower interest rates are offset by forward premiums.