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1
Multinational Financial
Management
Alan Shapiro
7th Edition
J.Wiley & Sons
Power Points by
Joseph F. Greco, Ph.D.
California State University, Fullerton
2
CHAPTER 7
THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
3
CHAPTER OVERVIEW
I. INTRODUCTION
II. ORGANIZATION OF THE
FOREIGN EXCHANGE
MARKET
III. THE SPOT MARKET
IV. THE FORWARD MARKET
4
PART I. INTRODUCTION
I. INTRODUCTION
A. The Currency Market:
where money denominated
in one currency is bought
and sold with money
denominated in another
currency.
5
INTRODUCTION
B. International Trade and Capital
Transactions:
facilitated with the ability
to transfer purchasing power
between countries
6
INTRODUCTION
C.Location
1. OTC-type: no specific
location
2. Most trades by phone,
telex, or SWIFT
SWIFT: Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial
Telecommunications
7
PART II.
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
I . PARTICIPANTS IN THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
A. Participants at 2 Levels
1. Wholesale Level (95%)
- major banks
2. Retail Level
- business customers
8
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
B. Two Types of Currency Markets
1. Spot Market:
- immediate transaction
- recorded by 2nd business day
9
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
2. Forward Market:
- transactions take place at a
specified future date
10
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
C. Participants by Market
1. Spot Market
a. commercial banks
b. brokers
c. customers of commercial
and central banks
11
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
2. Forward Market
a. arbitrageurs
b. traders
c. hedgers
d. speculators
12
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
II. CLEARING SYSTEMS
A. Clearing House Interbank
Payments System
(CHIPS)
- used in U.S. for electronic
fund transfers.
13
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
B. FedWire
- operated by the Fed
- used for domestic transfers
14
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
III. ELECTRONIC TRADING
A. Automated Trading
- genuine screen-based
market
15
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
B. Results:
1. Reduces cost of trading
2. Threatens tradersโ€™
oligopoly of information
3. Provides liquidity
16
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
IV. SIZE OF THE MARKET
A. Largest in the world
1999: US$1.5 trillion daily
or
US$375 trillion a year
In 1999 the US GDP was US$9.1 trillion
17
ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN
EXCHANGE MARKET
B. Market Centers (1998):
#1: London = $637 billion
daily
#2: New York= $351 billion
daily
#3: Tokyo = $149 billion
daily
18
PART III.
THE SPOT MARKET
I. SPOT QUOTATIONS
A. Sources
1. All major newspapers
2. Major currencies have
four different quotes:
a. spot price
b. 30-day
c. 90-day
d. 180-day
19
THE SPOT MARKET
B. Method of Quotation
1. For interbank dollar
trades:
a. American terms
example: $.5838/dm
b. European terms
example: Peso1.713/$
20
THE SPOT MARKET
2. For nonbank customers:
Direct quote
gives the home currency
price of one unit of foreign
currency.
EXAMPLE: dm0.25/FF
21
THE SPOT MARKET
C. Transactions Costs
1. Bid-Ask Spread
used to calculate the fee
charged by the bank
โ€ข Bid = the price at which
the bank is willing to buy
โ€ข Ask = the price it will sell
the currency
22
THE SPOT MARKET
4. Percent Spread Formula (PS):
100
x
Ask
Bid
Ask
PS
๏€ญ
๏€ฝ
23
THE SPOT MARKET
D. Cross Rates
1. The exchange rate
between 2 non - US$
currencies.
24
THE SPOT MARKET
2. Calculating Cross Rates
When you want to know
what the dm/ff cross rate
is, and you know dm2/US$ and
ff.55/US$
then dm/ff = dm2/US$ ๏‚ธ ff.55/US$
= dm3.636/ ff
25
THE SPOT MARKET
E. Currency Arbitrage
1. If cross rates differ from
one financial center to
another, and profit
opportunities exist.
26
THE SPOT MARKET
2. Buy cheap in one intโ€™l market,
sell at a higher price in
another
3. Role of Available Information
27
THE SPOT MARKET
F.Settlement Date Value Date:
1. Date monies are due
2. 2nd Working day after date of
original transaction.
28
THE SPOT MARKET
G. Exchange Risk
1. Bankers = middlemen
a. Incurring risk of adverse
exchange rate moves.
b. Increased uncertainty
about future exchange
rate requires
29
THE SPOT MARKET
1.) Demand for higher risk
premium
2.) Bankers widen bid-ask
spread
30
MECHANICS OF SPOT
TRANSACTIONS
SPOT TRANSACTIONS: An Example
Step 1. Currency transaction:
verbal agreement, U.S. importer specifies:
a. Account to debit (his acct)
b. Account to credit (exporter)
31
MECHANICS OF SPOT
TRANSACTIONS
Step 2. Bank sends importer
contract note including:
- amount of foreign
currency
- agreed exchange rate
- confirmation of Step 1.
32
MECHANICS OF SPOT
TRANSACTIONS
Step 3. Settlement
Correspondent bank in Hong
Kong transfers HK$ from
nostro account to exporterโ€™s.
Value Date.
U.S. bank debits importerโ€™s
account.
33
PART IV.
THE FORWARD MARKET
I. INTRODUCTION
A. Definition of a Forward
Contract
an agreement between a bank and a
customer to deliver a specified amount of
currency against another currency at a
specified future date and at a fixed
exchange rate.
34
THE FORWARD MARKET
2. Purpose of a Forward:
Hedging
the act of reducing exchange
rate risk.
35
THE FORWARD MARKET
B. Forward Rate Quotations
1. Two Methods:
a. Outright Rate: quoted to
commercial customers.
b. Swap Rate: quoted in the
interbank market as a
discount or premium.
36
THE FORWARD MARKET
CALCULATING THE FORWARD
PREMIUM OR DISCOUNT
= F-S x 12 x 100
S n
where F = the forward rate of exchange
S = the spot rate of exchange
n = the number of months in the
forward contract

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ch07[1] (2).ppt

  • 1. 1 Multinational Financial Management Alan Shapiro 7th Edition J.Wiley & Sons Power Points by Joseph F. Greco, Ph.D. California State University, Fullerton
  • 3. 3 CHAPTER OVERVIEW I. INTRODUCTION II. ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET III. THE SPOT MARKET IV. THE FORWARD MARKET
  • 4. 4 PART I. INTRODUCTION I. INTRODUCTION A. The Currency Market: where money denominated in one currency is bought and sold with money denominated in another currency.
  • 5. 5 INTRODUCTION B. International Trade and Capital Transactions: facilitated with the ability to transfer purchasing power between countries
  • 6. 6 INTRODUCTION C.Location 1. OTC-type: no specific location 2. Most trades by phone, telex, or SWIFT SWIFT: Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications
  • 7. 7 PART II. ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET I . PARTICIPANTS IN THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET A. Participants at 2 Levels 1. Wholesale Level (95%) - major banks 2. Retail Level - business customers
  • 8. 8 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET B. Two Types of Currency Markets 1. Spot Market: - immediate transaction - recorded by 2nd business day
  • 9. 9 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET 2. Forward Market: - transactions take place at a specified future date
  • 10. 10 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET C. Participants by Market 1. Spot Market a. commercial banks b. brokers c. customers of commercial and central banks
  • 11. 11 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET 2. Forward Market a. arbitrageurs b. traders c. hedgers d. speculators
  • 12. 12 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET II. CLEARING SYSTEMS A. Clearing House Interbank Payments System (CHIPS) - used in U.S. for electronic fund transfers.
  • 13. 13 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET B. FedWire - operated by the Fed - used for domestic transfers
  • 14. 14 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET III. ELECTRONIC TRADING A. Automated Trading - genuine screen-based market
  • 15. 15 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET B. Results: 1. Reduces cost of trading 2. Threatens tradersโ€™ oligopoly of information 3. Provides liquidity
  • 16. 16 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET IV. SIZE OF THE MARKET A. Largest in the world 1999: US$1.5 trillion daily or US$375 trillion a year In 1999 the US GDP was US$9.1 trillion
  • 17. 17 ORGANIZATION OF THE FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET B. Market Centers (1998): #1: London = $637 billion daily #2: New York= $351 billion daily #3: Tokyo = $149 billion daily
  • 18. 18 PART III. THE SPOT MARKET I. SPOT QUOTATIONS A. Sources 1. All major newspapers 2. Major currencies have four different quotes: a. spot price b. 30-day c. 90-day d. 180-day
  • 19. 19 THE SPOT MARKET B. Method of Quotation 1. For interbank dollar trades: a. American terms example: $.5838/dm b. European terms example: Peso1.713/$
  • 20. 20 THE SPOT MARKET 2. For nonbank customers: Direct quote gives the home currency price of one unit of foreign currency. EXAMPLE: dm0.25/FF
  • 21. 21 THE SPOT MARKET C. Transactions Costs 1. Bid-Ask Spread used to calculate the fee charged by the bank โ€ข Bid = the price at which the bank is willing to buy โ€ข Ask = the price it will sell the currency
  • 22. 22 THE SPOT MARKET 4. Percent Spread Formula (PS): 100 x Ask Bid Ask PS ๏€ญ ๏€ฝ
  • 23. 23 THE SPOT MARKET D. Cross Rates 1. The exchange rate between 2 non - US$ currencies.
  • 24. 24 THE SPOT MARKET 2. Calculating Cross Rates When you want to know what the dm/ff cross rate is, and you know dm2/US$ and ff.55/US$ then dm/ff = dm2/US$ ๏‚ธ ff.55/US$ = dm3.636/ ff
  • 25. 25 THE SPOT MARKET E. Currency Arbitrage 1. If cross rates differ from one financial center to another, and profit opportunities exist.
  • 26. 26 THE SPOT MARKET 2. Buy cheap in one intโ€™l market, sell at a higher price in another 3. Role of Available Information
  • 27. 27 THE SPOT MARKET F.Settlement Date Value Date: 1. Date monies are due 2. 2nd Working day after date of original transaction.
  • 28. 28 THE SPOT MARKET G. Exchange Risk 1. Bankers = middlemen a. Incurring risk of adverse exchange rate moves. b. Increased uncertainty about future exchange rate requires
  • 29. 29 THE SPOT MARKET 1.) Demand for higher risk premium 2.) Bankers widen bid-ask spread
  • 30. 30 MECHANICS OF SPOT TRANSACTIONS SPOT TRANSACTIONS: An Example Step 1. Currency transaction: verbal agreement, U.S. importer specifies: a. Account to debit (his acct) b. Account to credit (exporter)
  • 31. 31 MECHANICS OF SPOT TRANSACTIONS Step 2. Bank sends importer contract note including: - amount of foreign currency - agreed exchange rate - confirmation of Step 1.
  • 32. 32 MECHANICS OF SPOT TRANSACTIONS Step 3. Settlement Correspondent bank in Hong Kong transfers HK$ from nostro account to exporterโ€™s. Value Date. U.S. bank debits importerโ€™s account.
  • 33. 33 PART IV. THE FORWARD MARKET I. INTRODUCTION A. Definition of a Forward Contract an agreement between a bank and a customer to deliver a specified amount of currency against another currency at a specified future date and at a fixed exchange rate.
  • 34. 34 THE FORWARD MARKET 2. Purpose of a Forward: Hedging the act of reducing exchange rate risk.
  • 35. 35 THE FORWARD MARKET B. Forward Rate Quotations 1. Two Methods: a. Outright Rate: quoted to commercial customers. b. Swap Rate: quoted in the interbank market as a discount or premium.
  • 36. 36 THE FORWARD MARKET CALCULATING THE FORWARD PREMIUM OR DISCOUNT = F-S x 12 x 100 S n where F = the forward rate of exchange S = the spot rate of exchange n = the number of months in the forward contract