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Extreme weather
and the city




                             March 2, 2012

                                                             1

 Marie-claire ten Veldhuis
 Climate Institute Kickoff
                                             Climate Institute Kickoff   1
      1 March 2012
Climate Institute Kickoff   2
Climate Institute Kickoff   3
Extreme rainfall in cities




                       Delft, August 2010
March 2, 2012


                       Climate Institute Kickoff   4
Extreme rainfall in cities
What exactly happened?
 How much rainfall?
 Capacity problem?
 Blockage?
 Human error?




                         Delft, August 2010
March 2, 2012


                         Climate Institute Kickoff   5
Area effect                                                 Max precipitation
                                                              P max




                                                                      Average rainfall area A1
                                                                          Average rainfall area A2




                                                       Area size

                 1.200

                 1.000

                 0.800
rainfall [L/T]




                 0.600

                 0.400

                 0.200

                 0.000
                         0   2   4   6     8      10   12       14           16
                                         A [L2]
                                                               Climate Institute Kickoff   6
Climate Institute Kickoff   7
Climate Institute Kickoff   8
Extreme rainfall in the city:

       we do not have

              representative data

                                Climate Institute Kickoff   9
Urban hydrology:
High building density:
                         fast runoff processes
         Rainfall peaks are crucial !




                                                 Climate Institute Kickoff   10
Rainfall radar: spatial rainfall
    distribution




                Prevailing                                       Prevailing
           wind (~ 19 mph)                                  wind (~ 19 mph)
            (~ 30 km/h)                                      (~ 30 km/h)

              5 km resolution                            1 km resolution
(15 min accumulation for Crug-y-Gorllwyn, 07-04-2009 (2130), courtesy MetOffice)11
                                                               Climate Institute Kickoff
Urban hydrology:
High building density     fast runoff processes
      Rainfall peaks are crucial !




       Oranjepolder: 490 ha          Prinsenbeek: 100 ha
                                               Climate Institute Kickoff   12
Climate Institute Kickoff   13
Extreme weather in the city:
  we need more representative




and higher resolution data


                      Climate Institute Kickoff   14
Urban hydrology

Required data resolution << 1 km in space; < 5 min in time




        Oranjepolder: 490 ha      Prinsenbeek: 100 ha

                                            Climate Institute Kickoff   15
RAINGAIN – high resolution
   rainfall data in cities


                   Xband/Improved Cband
                        radars in 4 Pilots:
                        Rotterdam (NL)
                             Leuven (B)
                                Paris (F)

                           London (UK)


                               Climate Institute Kickoff   16
RAINGAIN – high resolution
   rainfall data in cities
o WP1: Installation and testing of radars
  Lead: ParisTech

o WP2: Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction
  Lead: KU Leuven

o WP3:Urban pluvial flood modelling and prediction
  Lead: Imperial College of London

o WP4:Implementation of fine-scale rainfall data, flood modelling
  and prediction into urban water management practice
  Lead: TU Delft


                                                   Climate Institute Kickoff   17
RAINGAIN – high resolution
   rainfall data in cities


 Will rainfall radar work in urban area with high rise?

 What spatial and time resolutions do we need ?

 Interaction between rainfall and runoff processes ?

 High resolution data on flood occurrence ?

 Use of social media in collection of rainfall and flood data ?



                                                    Climate Institute Kickoff   18
Extreme weather and the city


Need for an investigative eye

 Heavy rainfall: high resolution data

 Storm: wind speeds near high buildings?

 Heat: Effect of green spaces and building
  shades on temperature ?

 Long-term trends ?

 Climate in megacities ?

                                              Climate Institute Kickoff   19
Extreme
   weather in
cities: research
  environment
 for the future




                   Climate Institute Kickoff   20

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Extreme weather and the city

  • 1. Extreme weather and the city March 2, 2012 1 Marie-claire ten Veldhuis Climate Institute Kickoff Climate Institute Kickoff 1 1 March 2012
  • 4. Extreme rainfall in cities Delft, August 2010 March 2, 2012 Climate Institute Kickoff 4
  • 5. Extreme rainfall in cities What exactly happened?  How much rainfall?  Capacity problem?  Blockage?  Human error? Delft, August 2010 March 2, 2012 Climate Institute Kickoff 5
  • 6. Area effect Max precipitation P max Average rainfall area A1 Average rainfall area A2 Area size 1.200 1.000 0.800 rainfall [L/T] 0.600 0.400 0.200 0.000 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 A [L2] Climate Institute Kickoff 6
  • 9. Extreme rainfall in the city: we do not have representative data Climate Institute Kickoff 9
  • 10. Urban hydrology: High building density: fast runoff processes Rainfall peaks are crucial ! Climate Institute Kickoff 10
  • 11. Rainfall radar: spatial rainfall distribution Prevailing Prevailing wind (~ 19 mph) wind (~ 19 mph) (~ 30 km/h) (~ 30 km/h) 5 km resolution 1 km resolution (15 min accumulation for Crug-y-Gorllwyn, 07-04-2009 (2130), courtesy MetOffice)11 Climate Institute Kickoff
  • 12. Urban hydrology: High building density fast runoff processes Rainfall peaks are crucial ! Oranjepolder: 490 ha Prinsenbeek: 100 ha Climate Institute Kickoff 12
  • 14. Extreme weather in the city: we need more representative and higher resolution data Climate Institute Kickoff 14
  • 15. Urban hydrology Required data resolution << 1 km in space; < 5 min in time Oranjepolder: 490 ha Prinsenbeek: 100 ha Climate Institute Kickoff 15
  • 16. RAINGAIN – high resolution rainfall data in cities Xband/Improved Cband radars in 4 Pilots: Rotterdam (NL) Leuven (B) Paris (F) London (UK) Climate Institute Kickoff 16
  • 17. RAINGAIN – high resolution rainfall data in cities o WP1: Installation and testing of radars Lead: ParisTech o WP2: Fine-scale rainfall data acquisition and prediction Lead: KU Leuven o WP3:Urban pluvial flood modelling and prediction Lead: Imperial College of London o WP4:Implementation of fine-scale rainfall data, flood modelling and prediction into urban water management practice Lead: TU Delft Climate Institute Kickoff 17
  • 18. RAINGAIN – high resolution rainfall data in cities  Will rainfall radar work in urban area with high rise?  What spatial and time resolutions do we need ?  Interaction between rainfall and runoff processes ?  High resolution data on flood occurrence ?  Use of social media in collection of rainfall and flood data ? Climate Institute Kickoff 18
  • 19. Extreme weather and the city Need for an investigative eye  Heavy rainfall: high resolution data  Storm: wind speeds near high buildings?  Heat: Effect of green spaces and building shades on temperature ?  Long-term trends ?  Climate in megacities ? Climate Institute Kickoff 19
  • 20. Extreme weather in cities: research environment for the future Climate Institute Kickoff 20