Presented by Timothy Robinson at the Livestock and Fish Value Chain Coordinators’ meeting, Nairobi, 3 September 2013

1. EXTRAPOLATE: Supporting priority setting in
value chains
Livestock and Fish Value Chain Coordinators’ meeting
Nairobi, 3 September 2013
Timothy Robinson

2. Humidtropics SRT 1.3 Entry points
Objective: To identify best-fit
interventions at a range of scales -
focusing on livelihoods, gender,
markets, production, farming
system, natural resource
management and policy.

3. Slow track: systems analysis of
detailed household data; systems
optimisation
Fast track: PRA approaches; ex-ante
analysis
•EXTRAPOLATE: Ex-ante tool for ranking
(policy) alternatives
•RAAIS: Rapid Appraisal of Agricultural
Innovation Systems
Entry points

4. • Designed for policy interventions (PPLPI) but equally applicable
to technical and systems interventions
• Simple PC-based programme
• Promotes a participatory approach
• Easy to use, well documented
• User Guide
• Reference Manual
• Not data-intensive
• Simple graphic output
• Can evaluate different combinations of policies/interventions
• Can be used at a range of levels
EXTRAPOLATE

5. EXTRAPOLATE

6. EXTRAPOLATE: Current situation

7. EXTRAPOLATE: Policy changes

8. EXTRAPOLATE

9. The issue, in context
• 1993 Dairy Master Plan
• Liberalize milk marketing
• Creation of a DDA
• Privatize the Dairy
Corporation
• Need for comprehensive
dairy policy to guide sector
• Request from MAAIF & PMA
Secretariat for help develop
a dairy policy

10. The challenge to PPLPI
• To ensure that smallholders’
constraints are addressed
• policies based on equity, rather
than just on profitability
• To ensure that marginalized
groups are represented
• addressing the needs of the
informal sector

11. The process
• Broad stakeholder network (Govt; NGOs,
producers and traders associations; private
sector; NARS ......
• Three stakeholder workshops
(EXTRAPOLATE)
• Dairy policy task force (MAAIF; PMA
Secretariat; DDA; UBOS; NAGRC)
• TCP Proposal to develop a policy
• Supporting studies:
• Analysis of livestock sector policy
• Political economy of the livestock sector
• poverty mapping (UBOS)
• GIS layers (collaboration with ILRI)

12. Dairy development policy: Uganda
• Promote genetic improvement
• Strengthen delivery of veterinary services
• Provide appropriate extension services
• Improved market infrastructure and information
• Ensure quality control along the chain
• Increase local consumption to build a strong domestic market
• Promote efficiency in the input supply system
• Increased access to credit facilities
Proposed components of policy:

13. EXTRAPOLATE – analysis tools
Small-medium producers
Pastoralists and agro-pastoralists
Small processors & traders
Poor consumers
Wealthy producers/processors/consumers

14. Promote genetic improvement
Small-medium producers
Pastoralists and agro-pastoralists

15. Enforce quality control
Small-medium producers
Pastoralists and agro-pastoralists

16. Optimal combination of policies

17. Key elements of a pro-poor policy
• Promote genetic improvement
• Strengthen delivery of veterinary services
• Provide appropriate extension services
• Improved market infrastructure and information
• Ensure quality control along the chain
• Increase local consumption to build a strong domestic market
• Promote efficiency in the input supply system
• Increased access to credit facilities

18. Key elements of a pro-poor policy
• This does NOT mean that genetic improvement and
standards/regulation should be discouraged or dropped from
the policy document
• Rather that when these broad policy outcomes are
disaggregated into their component parts (laws, strategies,
institutions etc.) care needs to be taken to ensure that the
poorer producers are not disadvantaged, and that their needs
are also addressed