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Analysis of EEaarrllyy PPrreeddiiccttoorrss ooff 
EEdduuccaattiioonnaall IInneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn tthhee 
JJooiinntt CChhiilldd HHeeaalltthh PPrroojjeecctt CCoohhoorrtt 
MMaauurriittiiuuss 
UUnniicceeff 1133..1100..1144 
CChhrriissttiiaann MMoorraabbiittoo –– GGhheenntt UUnniivveerrssiittyy
QQuueessttiioonnss ttoo bbee eexxaammiinneedd 
11.. AArree iinneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn eeaarrllyy ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt 
aassssoocciiaatteedd wwiitthh ppoosstt--nnaattaall ccoonnddiittiioonnss,, bbeeffoorree 
eennttrraannccee iinnttoo pprriimmaarryy sscchhoooolliinngg?? 
22.. IIss tthhee aassssoocciiaattiioonn bbeettwweeeenn eeaarrllyy ffaaccttoorrss aanndd 
ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt ssttiillll rreelleevvaanntt aatt aa llaatteerr aaggee,, 
nnaammeellyy aatt tthhee eenndd ooff pprriimmaarryy sscchhooooll ccyyccllee,, wwiitthh 
ddiiffffeerreenncceess aaccttuuaallllyy iinnccrreeaassiinngg oovveerr ttiimmee?? 
33.. AArree iinneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn sscchhooooll ppeerrffoorrmmaanncceess aassssoocciiaatteedd,, 
iinn tthheeiirr ttuurrnn,, wwiitthh eeaarrllyy ffaaccttoorrss aanndd ccooggnniittiivvee 
ddeevveellooppmmeenntt??
TThhee lliitteerraattuurree sshhoowwss tthhaatt :: 
• Educational inequalities are substantially associated 
with post-natal conditions, which are found before 
the child enters the school system 
• Work in neuro-sciences outline that the first three 
years of life are a sensitive period for cognitive 
development 
• Inequalities tend to increase through age 
• There are similar findings in developing countries 
Crucial to observe inequalities’ dynamics throughout 
age in a single dataset
TThhee JJCCHHPP 
• The Child Health Project analyzes a cohort of 1,795 children 
born in 1969-70 in two large towns of Mauritius. Data have 
been collected since 1972 by investigators and teachers at 
ages 3, 8, 11, 17, 23, 28, 35 and 40, on a number of risk 
factors 
• The aim was to analyze predictors of psychopathologies at 
an early age, such as socio-economic and demographic 
family status, along with malnutrition, cognitive 
development and psychophysiological status
TThhee JJCCHHPP 
• Principal Investigators: 
Fini Schulsinger – University of Copenhagen 
Sarnoff Mednick – University of Southern California 
Peter Venables – University of York 
Adrian Raine PI – University of Pennsylvania 
Susan Elizabeth Luczak – University of Southern California 
- Cyril Dalais – National Director Mauritius 
• Partners: 
MoE, MoH, Medical Research Centre, Wellcome Trust, 
WHO, Danish State Dep., DANIDA, NIH
Independent Variables ccoolllleecctteedd iinn 11997722 ((SSuubbjjeeccttss aaggee 33)) 
Type Description 
Sex, Ethnicity, Residence 
SES of Parents N. years of schooling 
Employment level 
Family Composition and Structure Child’s birth and siblings’ order and sibling’s sex 
Person who looks after the child at home 
Child both parents, single, orphan etc. 
Housing Conditions Appearance of the house 
N. of rooms 
N. of people per room 
Child Nutrition & Health 
Mother’s Health 
Malnutrition (PEM) 
Anaemia (haemoglobin) 
Serious illness 
Serious illness during pregnancy 
Problems during delivery 
Child Physical and Intellectual Development 
Mother’s health conditions 
Child Personality Traits Temperament during cognitive tests: cries, reaction 
to testing, sociability, activity level, sleeping during 
testing, and hygiene – condition of hands
Dependent Variables ffoorr CCooggnniittiivvee DDeevveellooppmmeenntt aanndd 
SScchhooooll PPeerrffoorrmmaanncceess 
• Cognitive development has been assessed at age 3 using 6 
subtests of the ‘Boehm Test of Basic Concepts-Preschool 
Version’, and at age 11 by 7 subtests of the ‘Wechsler 
Intelligence Scale for Children’. Raw scores of subscales for 
both tests were normalized and standardized. The two tests 
utilized are comparable. 
• The Certificate of Primary Education is composed of four 
subjects: English, French, Mathematics and Environmental 
Studies. The Total CPE score ranks from 0 to 50 with 0 
grade F (failure), 10 grade E, 20 grade D, 30 grade C, 40 
grade B, 50 grade A.
QQ11.. PPrreeddiiccttoorrss ooff ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevv.. ((aaggee 33)) 
• Differences in cognitive development at age 3 are 
significantly associated with a number of factors at 
same age. Overall effect, F(25,1217)=7.192; p<.001; 
ηρ^2=.13 
• Significant factors leading to poor cognitive: 
Fathers having completed only primary education, not 
employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; poor 
sociability and male sex 
• Non significant factors are: 
Mother’s education, child and mother health, family 
structures, home status, housing.
QQ22 PPrreeddiiccttoorrss aatt aaggee 33 ooff ccooggnniittiivvee 
ddeevveellooppmmeenntt aatt aaggee 1111 
• Association between early predictors and cognitive 
development is also found at age 11, measured by the 
Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children (WISC). 
Effect size is actually larger than at age 3, 
F(29,840)=10.684; p<.001; ηρ^2=.27 
• Poor performance is associated with: 
Fathers having completed only primary education, not 
employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; sociability 
and sleeping during testing; 
Sex (favoring boys); and mother’s education and work is 
now significant.
CCooggnniittiivvee lleevveell iinnccrreeaasseedd ffrroomm aaggee 33 ttoo aaggee 1111 
• We observed that differences between cognitive 
development at age 3 and 11 are positive and are 
significantly associated with socio-economic status 
of parents (father and mother’s education and 
work); 
• This confirms findings of similar studies conducted 
in developing countries, and underlines that 
inequalities in cognitive development over time are 
associated with poor parental status.
QQ33 aaggee 33 pprreeddiiccttoorrss ooff CCPPEE aaggee 1111 
• Findings highlight an overall significant association 
between CPE results, and early factors measured at age 
3, with large effects, F(35,614)=9.788; p<.001; 
ηρ^2=.27 
• Poorer performance is significantly associated with: 
Fathers and mother’s having completed only primary 
education, not employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; 
sociability and sleeping during testing; 
• It is not associated with : 
Sex, ethnicity, housing (n. of people per room)
Significant correlation between WISC test and Certificate ooff PPrriimmaarryy 
EEdduuccaattiioonn mmeeaassuurreedd aatt aaggee 1111 wwiitthh llaarrggee eeffffeeccttss 
((rr==..6655,, NN==11009900,, pp<<000011))..
DDiissccuussssiioonn 
• Findings mostly corroborate outcomes of studies conducted 
in developed countries and previous analyses carried out on 
the JCHP cohort. Divergences may be ascribed to the 
dissimilarity of the type of tests used and the data collected, 
and/or simply the specificity of the Mauritius context; 
• Although there is a certain correspondence in the 
inequality’s dynamics between cognitive development tests 
and national examination scores - and a strong association 
is found between the two at age 11 – association cannot 
establish a causality path from early factors to school 
performance through cognitive development trends.
FFuurrtthheerr qquueessttiioonnss?? 
Strengthen the evidence that inequalities arise already in early 
years, but leave the debate open about what intervention might 
actually better tackle educational disadvantage.: 
- Possibly concentrate efforts in early years – that is before schooling - 
on both education and parents’ socio-economic conditions? 
PREVENSION 
- Possibly change the structure of the schooling which at present 
undermines the capacity of education systems to accommodate 
children from poor families? RECOVERY
TThhaannkk YYoouu!!

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Early predictors of educational inequalities child health project cohort

  • 1. Analysis of EEaarrllyy PPrreeddiiccttoorrss ooff EEdduuccaattiioonnaall IInneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn tthhee JJooiinntt CChhiilldd HHeeaalltthh PPrroojjeecctt CCoohhoorrtt MMaauurriittiiuuss UUnniicceeff 1133..1100..1144 CChhrriissttiiaann MMoorraabbiittoo –– GGhheenntt UUnniivveerrssiittyy
  • 2. QQuueessttiioonnss ttoo bbee eexxaammiinneedd 11.. AArree iinneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn eeaarrllyy ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt aassssoocciiaatteedd wwiitthh ppoosstt--nnaattaall ccoonnddiittiioonnss,, bbeeffoorree eennttrraannccee iinnttoo pprriimmaarryy sscchhoooolliinngg?? 22.. IIss tthhee aassssoocciiaattiioonn bbeettwweeeenn eeaarrllyy ffaaccttoorrss aanndd ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt ssttiillll rreelleevvaanntt aatt aa llaatteerr aaggee,, nnaammeellyy aatt tthhee eenndd ooff pprriimmaarryy sscchhooooll ccyyccllee,, wwiitthh ddiiffffeerreenncceess aaccttuuaallllyy iinnccrreeaassiinngg oovveerr ttiimmee?? 33.. AArree iinneeqquuaalliittiieess iinn sscchhooooll ppeerrffoorrmmaanncceess aassssoocciiaatteedd,, iinn tthheeiirr ttuurrnn,, wwiitthh eeaarrllyy ffaaccttoorrss aanndd ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt??
  • 3. TThhee lliitteerraattuurree sshhoowwss tthhaatt :: • Educational inequalities are substantially associated with post-natal conditions, which are found before the child enters the school system • Work in neuro-sciences outline that the first three years of life are a sensitive period for cognitive development • Inequalities tend to increase through age • There are similar findings in developing countries Crucial to observe inequalities’ dynamics throughout age in a single dataset
  • 4. TThhee JJCCHHPP • The Child Health Project analyzes a cohort of 1,795 children born in 1969-70 in two large towns of Mauritius. Data have been collected since 1972 by investigators and teachers at ages 3, 8, 11, 17, 23, 28, 35 and 40, on a number of risk factors • The aim was to analyze predictors of psychopathologies at an early age, such as socio-economic and demographic family status, along with malnutrition, cognitive development and psychophysiological status
  • 5. TThhee JJCCHHPP • Principal Investigators: Fini Schulsinger – University of Copenhagen Sarnoff Mednick – University of Southern California Peter Venables – University of York Adrian Raine PI – University of Pennsylvania Susan Elizabeth Luczak – University of Southern California - Cyril Dalais – National Director Mauritius • Partners: MoE, MoH, Medical Research Centre, Wellcome Trust, WHO, Danish State Dep., DANIDA, NIH
  • 6. Independent Variables ccoolllleecctteedd iinn 11997722 ((SSuubbjjeeccttss aaggee 33)) Type Description Sex, Ethnicity, Residence SES of Parents N. years of schooling Employment level Family Composition and Structure Child’s birth and siblings’ order and sibling’s sex Person who looks after the child at home Child both parents, single, orphan etc. Housing Conditions Appearance of the house N. of rooms N. of people per room Child Nutrition & Health Mother’s Health Malnutrition (PEM) Anaemia (haemoglobin) Serious illness Serious illness during pregnancy Problems during delivery Child Physical and Intellectual Development Mother’s health conditions Child Personality Traits Temperament during cognitive tests: cries, reaction to testing, sociability, activity level, sleeping during testing, and hygiene – condition of hands
  • 7. Dependent Variables ffoorr CCooggnniittiivvee DDeevveellooppmmeenntt aanndd SScchhooooll PPeerrffoorrmmaanncceess • Cognitive development has been assessed at age 3 using 6 subtests of the ‘Boehm Test of Basic Concepts-Preschool Version’, and at age 11 by 7 subtests of the ‘Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children’. Raw scores of subscales for both tests were normalized and standardized. The two tests utilized are comparable. • The Certificate of Primary Education is composed of four subjects: English, French, Mathematics and Environmental Studies. The Total CPE score ranks from 0 to 50 with 0 grade F (failure), 10 grade E, 20 grade D, 30 grade C, 40 grade B, 50 grade A.
  • 8. QQ11.. PPrreeddiiccttoorrss ooff ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevv.. ((aaggee 33)) • Differences in cognitive development at age 3 are significantly associated with a number of factors at same age. Overall effect, F(25,1217)=7.192; p<.001; ηρ^2=.13 • Significant factors leading to poor cognitive: Fathers having completed only primary education, not employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; poor sociability and male sex • Non significant factors are: Mother’s education, child and mother health, family structures, home status, housing.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. QQ22 PPrreeddiiccttoorrss aatt aaggee 33 ooff ccooggnniittiivvee ddeevveellooppmmeenntt aatt aaggee 1111 • Association between early predictors and cognitive development is also found at age 11, measured by the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children (WISC). Effect size is actually larger than at age 3, F(29,840)=10.684; p<.001; ηρ^2=.27 • Poor performance is associated with: Fathers having completed only primary education, not employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; sociability and sleeping during testing; Sex (favoring boys); and mother’s education and work is now significant.
  • 15.
  • 16. CCooggnniittiivvee lleevveell iinnccrreeaasseedd ffrroomm aaggee 33 ttoo aaggee 1111 • We observed that differences between cognitive development at age 3 and 11 are positive and are significantly associated with socio-economic status of parents (father and mother’s education and work); • This confirms findings of similar studies conducted in developing countries, and underlines that inequalities in cognitive development over time are associated with poor parental status.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. QQ33 aaggee 33 pprreeddiiccttoorrss ooff CCPPEE aaggee 1111 • Findings highlight an overall significant association between CPE results, and early factors measured at age 3, with large effects, F(35,614)=9.788; p<.001; ηρ^2=.27 • Poorer performance is significantly associated with: Fathers and mother’s having completed only primary education, not employed or with low skilled jobs; malnutrition; sociability and sleeping during testing; • It is not associated with : Sex, ethnicity, housing (n. of people per room)
  • 22. Significant correlation between WISC test and Certificate ooff PPrriimmaarryy EEdduuccaattiioonn mmeeaassuurreedd aatt aaggee 1111 wwiitthh llaarrggee eeffffeeccttss ((rr==..6655,, NN==11009900,, pp<<000011))..
  • 23. DDiissccuussssiioonn • Findings mostly corroborate outcomes of studies conducted in developed countries and previous analyses carried out on the JCHP cohort. Divergences may be ascribed to the dissimilarity of the type of tests used and the data collected, and/or simply the specificity of the Mauritius context; • Although there is a certain correspondence in the inequality’s dynamics between cognitive development tests and national examination scores - and a strong association is found between the two at age 11 – association cannot establish a causality path from early factors to school performance through cognitive development trends.
  • 24. FFuurrtthheerr qquueessttiioonnss?? Strengthen the evidence that inequalities arise already in early years, but leave the debate open about what intervention might actually better tackle educational disadvantage.: - Possibly concentrate efforts in early years – that is before schooling - on both education and parents’ socio-economic conditions? PREVENSION - Possibly change the structure of the schooling which at present undermines the capacity of education systems to accommodate children from poor families? RECOVERY