Dicey 2016 Dinner Lecture Wendy Schultz revised
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This document appears to be a collection of graphics and text from a WIRED feature on future technologies and their implications. It discusses emerging technologies like CRISPR-Cas9, AI, robotics, self-driving vehicles, 3D printing, distributed ledgers/cryptocurrencies, and impacts of climate change. Accompanying text frames these as dramatic tensions around who benefits and who loses out, and how these technologies could be used, regulated, and transform society. Specific events mentioned include ALPHAGO beating a human at Go, and a FutureFest conference in the UK in September 2016.
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Dicey 2016 Dinner Lecture Wendy Schultz revised
- 3. graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature.
- 4. graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature.
- 5. graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature. With embedded ICT
- 6. May you live in interesting times.
- 9. RISING ACTION ALPHAGO / DEEP MIND CRISPR-Cas9 “De-” and “Micro-” Global Climate Change
- 10. DRAMATIC TENSIONS Who wins? Who reaps the benefits? Who loses? Who pays the costs? Who does it marginalise? How do criminals put it to use? How do artists use it as a medium? How do kids make it a game or toy? How is it transformed into porn? How does government regulate it?
- 18. graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature. Digital health
- 19. INTELLIGENT SELF-DRIVING TRANSPORT graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature.
- 20. INTELLIGENT SELF-DRIVING TRANSPORT graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature.
- 21. SMART CITIES
- 22. SMART CITIES
- 23. CRISPR-Cas9
- 26. graphics from WIRED’s “Found: Artifacts of the Future” feature. DNA-tailored nano-pharmaceuticals
- 28. “De-” & “Micro-”
- 29. 3D PRINTING EVERYTHING 3D objects are created by sending a digital file or scan to a printer that then builds the item layer by layer - a process know as "additive manufacturing.”
- 30. MICROPOWER EVERYWHERE Energy generation and energy harvesting capabilities are built into everything – from our clothes, to our wearables, to the sidewalks and roads.
- 31. EVERYONE A WORLD BANK EVERYONE AN ANGEL INVESTOR EVERYONE A JP MORGAN CHASE
- 37. Hero’s journey.
- 38. UAE
- 39. UAE
- 40. SINGAPORE
- 42. …you live in interesting times. Dicey 2016 ‘Is British Democracy Ripe for Reform?’ Tuesday, 15 March, Trinity College Dr. Wendy L Schultz
Editor's Notes
- Robots and expert systems will move out of manufacturing and take over more white collar jobs.
- Robots and expert systems will move out of manufacturing and take over more white collar jobs.
- UNFPA urbanization estimates: http://www.unfpa.org/pds/urbanization.htm Forrester Research, “Helping CIOs Understand ‘Smart City’ Initiatives” http://www.forrester.com/Helping+CIOs+Understand+Smart+City+Initiatives/fulltext/-/E-RES55590 IBM Smarter Cities Challenge http://smartercitieschallenge.org/index.html EU Smart Cities and Communities http://www.eu-smartcities.eu/ Amsterdam Smart City Event http://amsterdamsmartcity.com/news/detail/id/59/slug/smart-city-event-may-29th-30th-amsterdam “25 Technologies Every Smart City Should Have” http://mashable.com/2012/12/26/urban-tech-wish-list/ http://www.smart-future.net/14.html http://www.slideshare.net/budmelchor/the-europeanwide-and-worldwide-smart-cities-initiatives By 2030, 5 billion people will be living in cities Smart City initiatives combine big data analytics, social networks, crowd-sourced reporting, and ubiquitous sensing to provide real-time feedback on the city’s built environment and infrastructure Sustainability gains – energy savings, environmental quality monitoring in real-time Safety and security gains – residents use social nets to report on potholes, leaks, worn infrastructure, criminal activity Visitor industry gains – real-time updated maps, transit info, event info Citizenship / governance gains – people take increasing responsibility for conditions within their city Governance gains – increasing transparency, local authority and citizen involvement: likelihood of open, networked governance systems emerging
- UNFPA urbanization estimates: http://www.unfpa.org/pds/urbanization.htm Forrester Research, “Helping CIOs Understand ‘Smart City’ Initiatives” http://www.forrester.com/Helping+CIOs+Understand+Smart+City+Initiatives/fulltext/-/E-RES55590 IBM Smarter Cities Challenge http://smartercitieschallenge.org/index.html EU Smart Cities and Communities http://www.eu-smartcities.eu/ Amsterdam Smart City Event http://amsterdamsmartcity.com/news/detail/id/59/slug/smart-city-event-may-29th-30th-amsterdam “25 Technologies Every Smart City Should Have” http://mashable.com/2012/12/26/urban-tech-wish-list/ http://www.smart-future.net/14.html http://www.slideshare.net/budmelchor/the-europeanwide-and-worldwide-smart-cities-initiatives By 2030, 5 billion people will be living in cities Smart City initiatives combine big data analytics, social networks, crowd-sourced reporting, and ubiquitous sensing to provide real-time feedback on the city’s built environment and infrastructure Sustainability gains – energy savings, environmental quality monitoring in real-time Safety and security gains – residents use social nets to report on potholes, leaks, worn infrastructure, criminal activity Visitor industry gains – real-time updated maps, transit info, event info Citizenship / governance gains – people take increasing responsibility for conditions within their city Governance gains – increasing transparency, local authority and citizen involvement: likelihood of open, networked governance systems emerging
- The cost of genetic testing will drop to almost nothing. Everyone will have their genetic profile in their electronic medical records and the metadata will be used to identify many health conditions.
- Applying science and technology to improve human performance, eg, healthier ageing as well as mechanical (cyborg) enhancements, and drugs to amplify mental alertness, acuity, and intellectual performance. Increasing understanding of ageing processes and biomarkers, brain development and plasticity, maintenance of physiological functionality, disease prevention, application of bio-geronto-technologies; DNA mapping – effect on life and health insurance.
- The range of objects the technology can manufacture is rapidly expanding - in the medical sector it is being used for dental work, while the fashion industry is experimenting with it to produce clothing, and the construction industry for ‘printing’ entire houses. Food printers and human organ printers are also in development.
- The range of objects the technology can manufacture is rapidly expanding - in the medical sector it is being used for dental work, while the fashion industry is experimenting with it to produce clothing, and the construction industry for ‘printing’ entire houses. Food printers and human organ printers are also in development.
- Grameen Bank Founded in 1976 by Mohammed Yunus in Bangladesh; transformed to a bank in 1983; its poor borrowers (most women) own 95% of the total equity Total amount disbursed so far $11.35 bn, of which $10.11 bn repaid FINCA 1984, Bolivia, John Hatch – small loan program for low-income farmers that puts them in charge: Village Banking; funded by donations to the bank. KIVA and NOVICA artisan loans similar in that they are micro-loans, but Ulule Kickstarter Diaspora (2010): $200,641 TikTok + LunaTik (2010): $942,578 Pebble (2012): $10,266,845 Peer-to-peer lending without benefit of FDIC Unsecured personal loans made to people in a network without a facilitating or intervening financial institution 1.4 billion Euro transaction volume for US + Europe by 2013 Transferwise - peer-to-peer international currency exchange and arbitrage
- The growing leasing economy is starting to affect the possession and use of goods. It is increasingly common for tangible or intangible goods to be accessed for a short period of time on a licensed basis, as if they were an externally-held service. Leasing, a usage model which was once predominantly applied to property and large household goods such as washing machines, now extends to vehicles, furniture and even jewellery. For example, Zipcar is the world's leading car-sharing service with 250,000 members and 5,500 vehicles in urban areas and college campuses throughout America and London. About two thirds of Zipcar's members are under 35 and based on survey data, the company says that more than 40 percent of Zipcar users either sell their car or decide not to buy one. At the moment their target market extends to 20 million Americans who currently live within a five- to 10-minute walk of a Zipcar.1 Similar schemes, such as Windcar in Japan, operate all over the world. If existing trends towards leasing instead of purchase intensify, we may start to see the expansion of such arrangements, until virtually all fixed assets could in principle be leased to business and consumers rather than be owned by them. Recent years have seen the growth of leasing and short-term access models for entertainment (e.g. iTunes, Spotify, Lovefilm). There is still potential for ‘lease, don’t own’ models to expand to other areas of life. More companies may become involved in financing leases.
- Metre rise in sea level; strong tidal surges; no Thames Barrier