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Some thoughts on the future of CCS 
Side-event GCCSI: How can we reconcile climate targets with energy 
demand growth? 
COP20 IETA room 
December 8th, 2014 
Heleen de Coninck
Emissions are excalating despite climate policy efforts 
IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
Models love CCS 
Without CCS, reaching two degrees may be 30-300% more expensive 
IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
Fossil fuels with deep emission reductions? 
Viebahn et al., 2007 
-68% 
-67% 
-78% 
-67% 
-78% 
Fossil CCS does not reduce emissions by enough to reach long-term climate 
goals
Models love CCS, because of biomass + CCS 
IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
Worrisome progress – maybe only 20 Mt/yr by 2020 
Without CCS, reaching two degrees may be 30-300% more expensive (IPCC, 
2014) 
De Coninck and Benson (2014): ARER
What is a sensible strategy for CCS? 
Avoid avoidable CCS! Save that storage space! 
Unavoidable CCS needs to speed up urgently 
Technical focus on industry and biomass 
Models love CCS, people don’t 
Not an alternative to energy demand reduction and 
renewable energy
Thank you 
Heleen de Coninck 
Radboud University 
h.deconinck@science.ru.nl

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Future of CCS and Reconciling Climate Targets with Energy Demand Growth

  • 1. Some thoughts on the future of CCS Side-event GCCSI: How can we reconcile climate targets with energy demand growth? COP20 IETA room December 8th, 2014 Heleen de Coninck
  • 2. Emissions are excalating despite climate policy efforts IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
  • 3. Models love CCS Without CCS, reaching two degrees may be 30-300% more expensive IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
  • 4. Fossil fuels with deep emission reductions? Viebahn et al., 2007 -68% -67% -78% -67% -78% Fossil CCS does not reduce emissions by enough to reach long-term climate goals
  • 5. Models love CCS, because of biomass + CCS IPCC AR5 WGIII, 2014
  • 6. Worrisome progress – maybe only 20 Mt/yr by 2020 Without CCS, reaching two degrees may be 30-300% more expensive (IPCC, 2014) De Coninck and Benson (2014): ARER
  • 7. What is a sensible strategy for CCS? Avoid avoidable CCS! Save that storage space! Unavoidable CCS needs to speed up urgently Technical focus on industry and biomass Models love CCS, people don’t Not an alternative to energy demand reduction and renewable energy
  • 8. Thank you Heleen de Coninck Radboud University h.deconinck@science.ru.nl

Editor's Notes

  1. Thank you for the invitation. I try to approach CCS as a research question: from what perspective it is a good idea?