1.
ALEXANDER OCHS
SENIOR DIRECTOR OF CLIMATE & ENERGY
Energizing Successful Economies:
How Renewables Are Outperforming
Fossil Fuels
Germanwatch International Conference FAST FORWARD
Bonn, Germany
16th February 2016

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Contents
Technology & Markets | Renewables Outpacing Conventionals
Costs & Benefits | Renewables Outcompeting Conventionals
Policy & Strategy | Successful Energy Economies
Conclusions

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Technology & Markets
----------------------------
RenewablesOutpacing Conventionals

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2013 Global Primary Energy Supply by Source
Source: IEA 2015.

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2013 World Electricity Production
Source: IEA 2015.

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Annual Global Growth Rates by Energy Source from 2009 - 2014
©Worldwatch 2016 . Source: REN-21 2015, EIA 2015, IEA 2015, ERCOT 2014.
50.0%
46.0%
18.0%
3.6% 3.5%
1.7%
1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Solar PV CSP Wind Geothermal Hydropower Natural Gas Nuclear Oil Coal
GrowthRate

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Source: IRENA 2014.
Global Cumulative Installed Renewable Power Generation Capacity,
2000 – 2013

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Renewable EnergyTechnology Capacity: Solar PV
Source: REN-21 2015.

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Renewable EnergyTechnology Capacity: Wind
Source: REN-21 2015.

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Source: IRENA 2014.
Annual New Renewable Power Generation Capacity Additions,
2001 – 2013

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Source: REN-21 2015.
Global New Investment in Renewable Power and Fuels,
Developed and Developing Countries, 2004 -2014

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Source: IRENA 2016.
RE Power Growth Share &Total Capacity/Generation Share

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Costs & Benefits
---------------------
RenewablesOutcompeting Conventionals

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Source: IRENA 2016.
Today’s Costs of Renewables vs. Conventionals

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Rapidly Falling Costs of Wind & Solar
Source: IRENA 2014.

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Global RE Investment Costs, 2012 - 2030
Source:Greenpeace/GWEC/SPE 2015.

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Global LCOE, 2014 and 2025
Source: IRENA 2015.

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Germany: LCOE 2013 - 2030
Source: Fraunhofer 2013.

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Power Generation Capacity Additions
Source: BNEF 2015.

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Policy & Strategy
----------------------
Successful Energy Economies

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Dominican Republic: LCOE+
Source:Worldwatch 2015.
Pollution
Climate Change
Fuel
O&M
Capital

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©Worldwatch 2016 based on IRENA 2016.

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Germany: Gross Electricity Generation 2015
Source: Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy 2015 .

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Patent Registrations for Renewable EnergyTechnology in
Germany between 2007-2013
Source:Germany EnergyTransition 2014.

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Solar PV Capacity and Additions,Top 10 Countries, 2014
Source: REN21 2015.

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Source: NREL 2008.
Comparison: Photovoltaic Solar Resources in the United States and Germany

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Source: BMU 2009.
Renewable Electricity in Germany, 1990 - 2007

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California Renewable Energy Generation by ResourcesType
Source:California Energy Commission 2015.

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Denmark: Share of Renewable Energy Considering Government Initiatives
Source:The Danish Government 2011.

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Denmark: Development in GDP and in Final Energy
Consumption
Source: Danish EnergyAgency 2012.

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Denmark: Consumption of Fossil Fuels and Renewable Energy
Source:The Danish Government 2011.

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©Worldwatch Institute 2016 Source:Grup0 ICE 2016.

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Conclusions

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503
1,600
600
500
250
50 1
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
World Energy
Supply
Solar Wind Geothermal Biomass Hydropower Ocean
EnergyFlow(exajoulesperyear)
Global Potential of Renewable Resources
Source: IEA, Johansson et al ().

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Renewable Energy Potential
Source:Greenpeace,GlobalWind Energy Council, Solar Power Europe 2015.

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Countries with Renewable Energy Policies andTargets, Early 2015
Source: REN21 2015.

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THANKYOU!
Contact: aochs@worldwatch.org
Worldwatch Institute: http://www.worldwatch.org/
LEDS EnergyWorking Group:
http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDSGP/sector/energy
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