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Cyber-Social-Learning-Systems
Jim Spohrer (IBM)
August 29, 2016
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 1
Today’s Talk: Cyber-Social-Learning-Systems
• What is the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on CSLS?
• Augmented Intelligence (IA) via digital cognitive systems
• White House OSTP Response(s)
• Other topics to think about:
• What are more of the implications of digital cognitive systems?
• Tool > Assistant > Collaborator > Coach > Mediator
• Transformation > Experience > Data > Software > Hardware
• What does social intelligence require? Episodic Memory?
• What is the impact of augmented reality on CSLS?
• What are possible connections to service systems science (SSME+DAPP)?
• What type of adaptive innovator with growth mindset needed (T-shapes)?
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 2
Augmented Intelligence
• Tool
• Assistant
• Collaborator
• Coach
• Mediator
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 3
White House OSTP Response(s)
• AI for public good
• Social & economic implications
• Education to harness AI
• Research questions and gaps
• Data sets and model sets
• Multidisciplinary research
• Role of incentives and prizes
• Safety and control protocols
• Legal and governance issues
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 4
In Summary
8/29/2016
© IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide
accelerating regional development
5
“A service science
perspective considers
the evolving ecology of
service system entities,
their value co-creation and
capability co-elevation
interactions, and their
capabilities, constraints,
rights, and responsibilities.”
Cognitive Systems
Entities
Service
Systems
Entities With
Cognitive
Mediators
Add Rights &
Responsibilities
Backup Slides
• Understanding Cognitive Systems
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 6
Understanding
Cognitive Systems
Jim Spohrer (IBM), August 25, 2016
CSIG (Cognitive Systems Institute Group) Speaker Series
http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/understanding_20160825_v3
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 7
Today’s Talk: Understanding Cognitive Systems
• What is a cognitive system (entity)?
• biological
• technological
• types of digital cognitive systems
• How to…
• build them?
• understand them?
• work with them?
• Steps toward a next generation cognitive curriculum…
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 8
But first…. Cognitive Science, a young field
• Society
• cognitivesciencesociety.org
• People
• Founders: Roger Schank, Donald Norman,
Allan Collins
• Others: David Rumelhart, Herbert Simon,
Allen Newell
• Today: Patrick Langley, Wayne Gray,
Kenneth Forbus, Ashok Goel, Paul Maglio,
etc.
• Systems Conference
• cogsys.org
• (JCS wishes this was part of HICSS)
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 9
Advances in Cognitive Systems - cogsys.org
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 10
Google Search: August 26, 2016
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 11
Today’s Talk: Understanding Cognitive Systems
• What is a cognitive system (entity)?
• biological
• technological
• types of digital cognitive systems
• How to…
• build them?
• understand them?
• work with them?
• Steps toward a next generation cognitive curriculum…
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 12
What is a cognitive system (entity)?
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 13
What is a digital cognitive system (entity)?
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 14
What types of digital cognitive systems?
• Cognitive Build: Outthink Challenge (250K people)
• Imagine a digital cognitive system to help you do
something important in your personal or professional
lives
• Team to design it and advocate for it, and then everyone
votes
• Winners: reduce waste and human suffering, screen for
health issues and safety threats, learn life skills and make
better choices, find what you are looking for, move
around more effectively, provide emotional support,
provide IT support, learn about important public policy
goals and make better choices
• Types: Tool, Assistant, Collaborator, Coach, Mediator
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 15
Types
• Tool
• Assistant
• Collaborator
• Coach
• Mediator
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 16
Types: Progression of models and capabilities
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 17
Task & World Model/
Planning & Decisions
Self Model/
Capacity & Limits
User Model/
Episodic Memory
Institutions Model/
Trust & Social Acts
Tool + - - -
Assistant ++ + - -
Collaborator +++ ++ + -
Coach ++++ +++ ++ +
Mediator +++++ ++++ +++ ++
Build: 10 million minutes of experience
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 18
Build: 2 million minutes of experience
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 19
Build: Hardware < Software < Data < Experience
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 20
Understand them…
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 21
Work with…
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 22
Next generation cognitive curriculum
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 23
Backup slides
• Service systems - http://service-science.info/archives/3368
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 24
What is service science?
• IBM initiated effort to establish a
multidisciplinary field to study
service systems … with a focus on
people-centered, IT-enabled service
innovations for business and society
• based on service-dominant logic
• service = value co-creation
• IT-enabled service architectures
• service systems (socio-technical
systems for win-win value co-creation)
• IBM helped establish
• computer science (1945-present)
• service science (2005-present)
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 25
Service systems are dynamic configurations of
resources (people, technology, organizations,
and information) interconnected by
value propositions, internally and externally.
Examples:
- macro: cities, states, nations
- meso: hospitals, universities, businesses
- micro: households, families, individuals
Reference:
Spohrer J, Maglio P, Bailey J, Gruhl D (2007)
Steps toward a science of service systems.
IEEE Computer Society. 40(3):71-77(January).
What is service science?
• Now over 500 universities globally teach a
more multidisciplinary approach to service
innovation, including:
• Service management and marketing
• Service engineering and operations
• Service design and arts
• Service public policy and economics
• Service computing and informatics
• SSME + DAPP =
Service Science Management Engineering +
Design Arts Public Policy
• People, technology, organizations, information
interconnected by value propositions.
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 26
Reference:
IfM & IBM (2008). Succeeding through service
innovation: A service perspective for education,
research, business and government.
University of Cambridge Institute for Manufacturing,
Cambridge, UK. 2008.
How to get involved?
• Weekly speaker series
• Service innovation
• Service education & research
• Smart service/cognitive systems
• Discovery summits & book series
• Opportunities
• Institutional memberships
• Leadership & ambassadors
• Volunteer opportunities
• Awards & sponsored conferences
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 27
ISSIP.org is a non-profit society
International Society of Service Innovation Professionals
Membership:
Over 1000 professionals and students from 40+ countries,
50+ companies and 50+ universities.
How to get involved?
• Journals (INFORMS, etc.)
• Conferences (HICSS, etc.)
• Courses (MIT, etc.)
• Funding (NSF, etc.)
• Society (ISSIP, etc.)
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 28
What are the hot topics?
• Smart Service Systems: Intelligence Augmentation
• AI + AR UX (Artificial Intelligence + Augmented Reality
User Experience)
• Smartphones (mobile, social, secure, etc.)
• Collaborative Economy: Servitization
• From assets to co-creation (e.g., Uber, AirBnB, etc.)
• From product to capability/outcome-as-a-service
• Manufacturing as a local recycling service
• Digital Transformation: Trust and Identity
• Blockchain: Don Tapscott’s TED Talk & book
• Big Data: Service Analytics & HAT (Hub of All Things)
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 29
Backups
• T-shaped people
8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 30
Some paths to becoming 64x smarter:
Improving learning and performance
• 2x from Learning sciences (methods)
• Better models of concepts
• Better models of learners
• 2x from Learning technology (tools)
• Guided learning paths
• Elimination of “thrashing”
• 2x from Quantity effect (overlaps)
• More you know, faster you go
• Advanced organizers
• 2x from Lifelong learning (time)
• Longer lives and longer careers
• Keeps “learning-mode” activated
• 2x from Early learning (time)
• Start earlier: Challenged-based approach
• STEM-2D in K-12 (SSME+DAPP Design of Smart Service Systems)
• 2x from Cognitive systems (performance support)
• Technology & Infrastructure Interactions
• Organizations & Others Interactions
Next Generation:
Future-Ready T-Shaped Adaptive Innovators
Many disciplines
Many sectors
Many regions/cultures
(understanding & communications)
Deepinonesector
Deepinoneregion/culture
Deepinonediscipline
Future-Ready T-Shapes
8/29/2016
© IBM UPWard 2016
33
Brief History
of AI
• 1956 – Dartmouth Conference
• 1956 – 1981 Micro-Worlds
• 1981 – Japanese 5th Generation
• 1988 – Expert Systems Peak
• 1990 – AI Winter
• 1997 – Deep Blue
• 1997 – 2011 Real-World
• 2011 – Jeopardy! & SIRI
• 2013 – Cognitive Systems Institute
• 2014 – Watson Business Unit &
• True North Brain Chip
• 2015 – “Cognition as a Service”
on IBM Bluemix
8/29/2016
© IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide
accelerating regional development
34
Cognitive Assistants for all occupations are
beginning to appear
8/29/2016
© IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide
accelerating regional development
35

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Csls 20160821 v1

  • 1. Cyber-Social-Learning-Systems Jim Spohrer (IBM) August 29, 2016 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 1
  • 2. Today’s Talk: Cyber-Social-Learning-Systems • What is the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on CSLS? • Augmented Intelligence (IA) via digital cognitive systems • White House OSTP Response(s) • Other topics to think about: • What are more of the implications of digital cognitive systems? • Tool > Assistant > Collaborator > Coach > Mediator • Transformation > Experience > Data > Software > Hardware • What does social intelligence require? Episodic Memory? • What is the impact of augmented reality on CSLS? • What are possible connections to service systems science (SSME+DAPP)? • What type of adaptive innovator with growth mindset needed (T-shapes)? 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 2
  • 3. Augmented Intelligence • Tool • Assistant • Collaborator • Coach • Mediator 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 3
  • 4. White House OSTP Response(s) • AI for public good • Social & economic implications • Education to harness AI • Research questions and gaps • Data sets and model sets • Multidisciplinary research • Role of incentives and prizes • Safety and control protocols • Legal and governance issues 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 4
  • 5. In Summary 8/29/2016 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 5 “A service science perspective considers the evolving ecology of service system entities, their value co-creation and capability co-elevation interactions, and their capabilities, constraints, rights, and responsibilities.” Cognitive Systems Entities Service Systems Entities With Cognitive Mediators Add Rights & Responsibilities
  • 6. Backup Slides • Understanding Cognitive Systems 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 6
  • 7. Understanding Cognitive Systems Jim Spohrer (IBM), August 25, 2016 CSIG (Cognitive Systems Institute Group) Speaker Series http://www.slideshare.net/spohrer/understanding_20160825_v3 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 7
  • 8. Today’s Talk: Understanding Cognitive Systems • What is a cognitive system (entity)? • biological • technological • types of digital cognitive systems • How to… • build them? • understand them? • work with them? • Steps toward a next generation cognitive curriculum… 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 8
  • 9. But first…. Cognitive Science, a young field • Society • cognitivesciencesociety.org • People • Founders: Roger Schank, Donald Norman, Allan Collins • Others: David Rumelhart, Herbert Simon, Allen Newell • Today: Patrick Langley, Wayne Gray, Kenneth Forbus, Ashok Goel, Paul Maglio, etc. • Systems Conference • cogsys.org • (JCS wishes this was part of HICSS) 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 9
  • 10. Advances in Cognitive Systems - cogsys.org 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 10
  • 11. Google Search: August 26, 2016 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 11
  • 12. Today’s Talk: Understanding Cognitive Systems • What is a cognitive system (entity)? • biological • technological • types of digital cognitive systems • How to… • build them? • understand them? • work with them? • Steps toward a next generation cognitive curriculum… 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 12
  • 13. What is a cognitive system (entity)? 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 13
  • 14. What is a digital cognitive system (entity)? 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 14
  • 15. What types of digital cognitive systems? • Cognitive Build: Outthink Challenge (250K people) • Imagine a digital cognitive system to help you do something important in your personal or professional lives • Team to design it and advocate for it, and then everyone votes • Winners: reduce waste and human suffering, screen for health issues and safety threats, learn life skills and make better choices, find what you are looking for, move around more effectively, provide emotional support, provide IT support, learn about important public policy goals and make better choices • Types: Tool, Assistant, Collaborator, Coach, Mediator 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 15
  • 16. Types • Tool • Assistant • Collaborator • Coach • Mediator 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 16
  • 17. Types: Progression of models and capabilities 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 17 Task & World Model/ Planning & Decisions Self Model/ Capacity & Limits User Model/ Episodic Memory Institutions Model/ Trust & Social Acts Tool + - - - Assistant ++ + - - Collaborator +++ ++ + - Coach ++++ +++ ++ + Mediator +++++ ++++ +++ ++
  • 18. Build: 10 million minutes of experience 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 18
  • 19. Build: 2 million minutes of experience 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 19
  • 20. Build: Hardware < Software < Data < Experience 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 20
  • 22. Work with… 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 22
  • 23. Next generation cognitive curriculum 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 23
  • 24. Backup slides • Service systems - http://service-science.info/archives/3368 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 24
  • 25. What is service science? • IBM initiated effort to establish a multidisciplinary field to study service systems … with a focus on people-centered, IT-enabled service innovations for business and society • based on service-dominant logic • service = value co-creation • IT-enabled service architectures • service systems (socio-technical systems for win-win value co-creation) • IBM helped establish • computer science (1945-present) • service science (2005-present) 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 25 Service systems are dynamic configurations of resources (people, technology, organizations, and information) interconnected by value propositions, internally and externally. Examples: - macro: cities, states, nations - meso: hospitals, universities, businesses - micro: households, families, individuals Reference: Spohrer J, Maglio P, Bailey J, Gruhl D (2007) Steps toward a science of service systems. IEEE Computer Society. 40(3):71-77(January).
  • 26. What is service science? • Now over 500 universities globally teach a more multidisciplinary approach to service innovation, including: • Service management and marketing • Service engineering and operations • Service design and arts • Service public policy and economics • Service computing and informatics • SSME + DAPP = Service Science Management Engineering + Design Arts Public Policy • People, technology, organizations, information interconnected by value propositions. 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 26 Reference: IfM & IBM (2008). Succeeding through service innovation: A service perspective for education, research, business and government. University of Cambridge Institute for Manufacturing, Cambridge, UK. 2008.
  • 27. How to get involved? • Weekly speaker series • Service innovation • Service education & research • Smart service/cognitive systems • Discovery summits & book series • Opportunities • Institutional memberships • Leadership & ambassadors • Volunteer opportunities • Awards & sponsored conferences 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 27 ISSIP.org is a non-profit society International Society of Service Innovation Professionals Membership: Over 1000 professionals and students from 40+ countries, 50+ companies and 50+ universities.
  • 28. How to get involved? • Journals (INFORMS, etc.) • Conferences (HICSS, etc.) • Courses (MIT, etc.) • Funding (NSF, etc.) • Society (ISSIP, etc.) 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 28
  • 29. What are the hot topics? • Smart Service Systems: Intelligence Augmentation • AI + AR UX (Artificial Intelligence + Augmented Reality User Experience) • Smartphones (mobile, social, secure, etc.) • Collaborative Economy: Servitization • From assets to co-creation (e.g., Uber, AirBnB, etc.) • From product to capability/outcome-as-a-service • Manufacturing as a local recycling service • Digital Transformation: Trust and Identity • Blockchain: Don Tapscott’s TED Talk & book • Big Data: Service Analytics & HAT (Hub of All Things) 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 29
  • 30. Backups • T-shaped people 8/29/2016 Understanding Cognitive Systems 30
  • 31. Some paths to becoming 64x smarter: Improving learning and performance • 2x from Learning sciences (methods) • Better models of concepts • Better models of learners • 2x from Learning technology (tools) • Guided learning paths • Elimination of “thrashing” • 2x from Quantity effect (overlaps) • More you know, faster you go • Advanced organizers • 2x from Lifelong learning (time) • Longer lives and longer careers • Keeps “learning-mode” activated • 2x from Early learning (time) • Start earlier: Challenged-based approach • STEM-2D in K-12 (SSME+DAPP Design of Smart Service Systems) • 2x from Cognitive systems (performance support) • Technology & Infrastructure Interactions • Organizations & Others Interactions
  • 32. Next Generation: Future-Ready T-Shaped Adaptive Innovators Many disciplines Many sectors Many regions/cultures (understanding & communications) Deepinonesector Deepinoneregion/culture Deepinonediscipline
  • 34. Brief History of AI • 1956 – Dartmouth Conference • 1956 – 1981 Micro-Worlds • 1981 – Japanese 5th Generation • 1988 – Expert Systems Peak • 1990 – AI Winter • 1997 – Deep Blue • 1997 – 2011 Real-World • 2011 – Jeopardy! & SIRI • 2013 – Cognitive Systems Institute • 2014 – Watson Business Unit & • True North Brain Chip • 2015 – “Cognition as a Service” on IBM Bluemix 8/29/2016 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 34
  • 35. Cognitive Assistants for all occupations are beginning to appear 8/29/2016 © IBM 2015, IBM Upward University Programs Worldwide accelerating regional development 35