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Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited
Chapter 7
Foreign Exchange
Trading Strategies
Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework
The Presentation Slides
Website : https://sites.google.com/site/quanrisk
E-mail : quanrisk@gmail.com
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 2
Declaration
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited.
All rights reserved. No part of this presentation file may be
reproduced, in any form or by any means, without written
permission from CapitaLogic Limited.
Authored by Dr. LAM Yat-fai (林日林日林日林日辉辉辉辉),
Principal, Structured Products Analytics, CapitaLogic Limited,
Adjunct Professor of Finance, City University of Hong Kong,
Doctor of Business Administration (Finance),
CFA, CAIA, FRM, PRM.
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 3
Simple directional
trading strategies
UnfundedFundedDifference
ShortDown
LongUp
FX forward
Foreign
currency
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 4
Insurance strategies
LongDown
LongSteady
Butterfly
Upfront premium to be paid,
no downside risk
Insurance
LongUp
PutCall
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 5
Call
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 6
Put
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 7
Butterfly
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 8
Construction of butterfly
Put
Call
Long
Long
Short × 2
Short × 2
K2 =
(K1+K3) / 2
Long
Long
K3K1
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 9
Insurance premium strategies
ShortDown
ShortSteady
Straddle
/ Strangle
Upfront premium to be collected,
high downside risk
Insurance
premium
ShortUp
PutCall
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 10
Straddle
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 11
Strangle
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 12
Lower cost insurance strategies
Long putShort putBear spread
Short callLong callBull spread
K2K1
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 13
Bull spread
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 14
Bear spread
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 15
Low cost hedging strategies
Long
forward
K2
Short callShort putCollar
Long callShort put
Risk
reversal
K3K1
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 16
Risk reversal
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 17
Risk reversal
Low cost
Long an OTM FX call option
Short an OTM FX put option
To protect the situations outside the risk
tolerance range of an investor
Zero Delta risk reversal
The most liquidly traded strategy in the FX
derivatives market
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 18
Collar
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
FX rate at maturity
Payoff
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 19
Currency linked deposits
At origination
Customer makes a term deposit in HKD
At maturity
If HKD per CNY rate > strike rate
Customer receives HKD principal + high interest
If HKD per CNY rate < strike rate
Customer receives RMB principal + high interest
bought at strike rate
Worse performer of a simple HKD deposit and a
simple CNY deposit
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 20
Payoff of a CLD
[ ]
[ ]
[ ]
T
T
T
Payoff = Min S , K
= Min S - K, K - K + K
= K - Max K - S , 0
= Long position in a domestic curreny deposit
& short position in a put option
Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 21
Currency linked deposits
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
FX rate at maturity
Payoff

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Chapter 7 fx trading strategies

  • 1. Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited Chapter 7 Foreign Exchange Trading Strategies Managing Market Risk Under The Basel III Framework The Presentation Slides Website : https://sites.google.com/site/quanrisk E-mail : quanrisk@gmail.com
  • 2. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 2 Declaration Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited. All rights reserved. No part of this presentation file may be reproduced, in any form or by any means, without written permission from CapitaLogic Limited. Authored by Dr. LAM Yat-fai (林日林日林日林日辉辉辉辉), Principal, Structured Products Analytics, CapitaLogic Limited, Adjunct Professor of Finance, City University of Hong Kong, Doctor of Business Administration (Finance), CFA, CAIA, FRM, PRM.
  • 3. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 3 Simple directional trading strategies UnfundedFundedDifference ShortDown LongUp FX forward Foreign currency
  • 4. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 4 Insurance strategies LongDown LongSteady Butterfly Upfront premium to be paid, no downside risk Insurance LongUp PutCall
  • 5. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 5 Call FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 6. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 6 Put FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 7. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 7 Butterfly FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 8. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 8 Construction of butterfly Put Call Long Long Short × 2 Short × 2 K2 = (K1+K3) / 2 Long Long K3K1
  • 9. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 9 Insurance premium strategies ShortDown ShortSteady Straddle / Strangle Upfront premium to be collected, high downside risk Insurance premium ShortUp PutCall
  • 10. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 10 Straddle FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 11. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 11 Strangle FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 12. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 12 Lower cost insurance strategies Long putShort putBear spread Short callLong callBull spread K2K1
  • 13. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 13 Bull spread FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 14. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 14 Bear spread FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 15. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 15 Low cost hedging strategies Long forward K2 Short callShort putCollar Long callShort put Risk reversal K3K1
  • 16. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 16 Risk reversal -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 17. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 17 Risk reversal Low cost Long an OTM FX call option Short an OTM FX put option To protect the situations outside the risk tolerance range of an investor Zero Delta risk reversal The most liquidly traded strategy in the FX derivatives market
  • 18. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 18 Collar -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 FX rate at maturity Payoff
  • 19. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 19 Currency linked deposits At origination Customer makes a term deposit in HKD At maturity If HKD per CNY rate > strike rate Customer receives HKD principal + high interest If HKD per CNY rate < strike rate Customer receives RMB principal + high interest bought at strike rate Worse performer of a simple HKD deposit and a simple CNY deposit
  • 20. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 20 Payoff of a CLD [ ] [ ] [ ] T T T Payoff = Min S , K = Min S - K, K - K + K = K - Max K - S , 0 = Long position in a domestic curreny deposit & short position in a put option
  • 21. Copyright © 2016 CapitaLogic Limited 21 Currency linked deposits -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04 FX rate at maturity Payoff