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Copyright © 2010 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin
Chapter 4
Labor Quality: Investing in Human
Capital
4-2
1. Investment in
Human Capital:
Concept and Data
4-3
Investment in Human
Capital
o Expenditures on education and training can be
treated as an investment in human capital just
like investments in physical capital.
• Human capital yields a rate of return (higher
earnings) like physical capital.
o Educational attainment has been rising in the
U.S.
• In 1970, 36% of the labor force was a high school
dropout. In 2008, it was 12%.
4-4
Age-Earnings Profiles,
by Education
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
$140,000
18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+
AnnualEarnings
<12 12 16 17+
• The male age-
earnings profiles
indicate those
with more
education have
higher earnings.
• The age-
earnings profiles
are steeper for
those with more
education.
• Females have
flatter age-
earnings
profiles.
4-5
2. Human Capital
Model
4-6
Human Capital Model
o The decision should be made by comparing
the costs and benefits (higher earnings) of
college.
o Costs of attending college
• The direct costs are the cost of tuition, fees, and
books.
∞Room and board are not included since they are
needed regardless of whether you go to college.
• The indirect cost is the forgone earnings you
give up while you attending college.
4-7
Age-Earnings With and
Without College
Age
Annual Earnings
6518
• The HH curve is the age-
earnings profile if a person does
not attend college.
• The CC curve is the cost-
earnings profile if one attends
college.
• The total cost of attending
college is the sum of the direct
costs (area 1) plus indirect
costs (area 2).
• The benefit of attending
college is the increase in
earnings due to the college
degree (area 3).
• Whether it is rational to attend
college depends on whether the
present value of the benefits
exceeds the present value of
the costs.
22
Incremental
Earnings (3)
H
H
C
C
Indirect
Costs (2)
Direct Costs (1)
4-8
Vp
= Ex:
where i = 10%
Vp = Def:
Present Value
o Discounting converts the value
of future dollars into today’s
dollars through the interest rate.
 The present value (Vp) of a payment
received one year from now is:
Payment 1 year from now
1+Interest rate
$ 100.00
$ 110
1.10 =
4-9
Present Value
Vp
= E0 +
E1
(1 + i)
+
En
(1 + i)n
E2
(1 + i)2
+ +. . . . .
 Costs are represented as negative
values of E.
 A person should attend college if
the net present value (Vp) is greater
than 0.
 The present value of a future
stream of incremental earnings or
costs (E) :
4-10
Present Value
of Earnings
(4)
Discounted Value
(10 Percent Rate)
(3)
Incremental
Earnings
(2)
Year
(1)
PV of $8,000 Investment in Webmaster Training Program
(Interest Rate = 10 Percent)
Discounted Present Value
0 -$ 8,000 1.000 $ -8,000
1
2
3
$ 3,000
$ 4,000
$ 5,000
0.909
0.826
0.751
$ 2,727
$ 3,305
$ 3,755
$ 1,787
• Suppose Melinda is considering taking a webmaster training
program that involves direct costs of $3,000 and forgone earnings
$5,000. The training program will increase Melinda’s earnings by
$3,000, $4,000, and $5,000 for the 3 years she plans on working.
• Because she can borrow the funds at an interest rate of 10%, we
will discount the future expected income at an 10% rate.
• What is the present value (PV) of this training program?
• The PV of the training program is positive, Melinda should take the
training program.
4-11
Internal Rate of Return
Vp
= 0 = E0
+
E1
(1 + r)
+
En
(1 + r)n
E2
(1 + r)2
+ +. . . . .
 A person should attend college if
the rate of return (r) exceeds the
market interest rate (i).
 The internal rate of return, r, is the
rate of return at which Vp = 0:
4-12
Generalizations
o Length of income stream
• The longer the stream of positive incremental
earnings, the more likely the net present value
will be positive.
∞As a result, younger people are more likely to attend
college
o Costs of attending college
• The lower the cost of attending college, the
more likely the net present value is positive.
∞Older people have a higher opportunity cost of
attending college, less likely to attend.
4-13
Generalizations
o Earnings differential
• The larger the college-high school earnings
differential is, the more likely the net present
value is greater.
∞College attendance rose in the 1980s as the
college-high school premium increased.
4-14
Rate of Return by Country
14.3
11.0
9.4
8.4 8.0
5.1 4.4
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
U
nited
K
ingdomU
nited
States
C
anada
FranceG
erm
any
Sw
eden
D
enm
ark
RateofReturn(%)
• The rate of
return per year
of college
education varies
substantially
across countries
for males.
4-15
College-High School Wage
Premium
1
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008
Ratio
Male Female
• The college-
high school wage
premium fell in
the 1970s for
both men and
women.
• The premium
fell because of
an increase in
supply of college
graduates due to
the baby boom.
• The premium
rose after 1979,
due to increases
in the demand for
college-trained
workers because
of technology
improvements.
4-16
Caveats
o We can’t predict the college-high school
wage premium for future graduates.
• The charts report past differentials.
• The future differential may be smaller as the
high differential may increase future supply.
o These are average earnings of college and
high school graduates; the distribution of
earnings around the mean is wide.
o The quality of schooling matters as well as
the quantity of schooling.
4-17
Private vs. Social
Perspective
o Education yields substantial external or
social benefits that society reaps.
• More educated workers have lower
unemployment rates.
• Education raises the amount and quality of
participation in the political process.
• Children grow up in a better home environment
if the parents are more educated.
• The research discoveries of more educated
persons yield benefits to society.
4-18
Private vs. Social
Perspective
o The social rate of return is higher (lower)
than the private rate of return, resources will
be underallocated (overallocated) to human
capital investments.
• The private and social rate of return are quite
similar.
4-19
1. Suppose the net present value of an educational
investment is highly positive. What can you infer
about the investment’s internal rate of return
relative to interest cost of borrowing?
Questions for Thought
2. Comment on the following statements:
(a) Older workers are less geographically mobile than
younger workers.
(b) An economic recession tends to stimulate college
enrollments.
(c) The age-earnings profiles shown earlier, clearly
indicate that people with more education earn more
than people with less education; therefore, personal
spending on education is always a good investment.
4-20
3. Human Capital
Investment and the
Distribution of
Earnings
4-21
Diminishing Rate
of Return
Years of Schooling
RateofReturn
• The marginal rate of return to
education declines as additional
schooling is acquired.
• Investment in education is
subject to the law of
diminishing returns. The
increases in knowledge
decline with each additional
year of schooling.
• The return also falls because
the explicit cost and
opportunity cost of education
rises with additional schooling.
r
4-22
Demand for Human Capital
Years of
Schooling
r,i
• Since individuals should
increase schooling so that the
marginal rate of return of
schooling (r) is equal to the
interest rate (i).
• Using the r = i rule, at
interest rate i2, the optimal
level of schooling is e2.
• At i3 the optimal level is e3.
r
S2
e2
i2
• Each equilibrium point (1,2,3)
indicates the “price” and
quantity demanded of human
capital. In other words, the
demand for human capital.
• At i1 the optimal level is e1.
S1
S3
i1
i3
1
2
3
, DHC
e1 e3
4-23
Ability Differences
Years of
Schooling
r,i
• Alfonse is low-ability person.
He has low mental/physical
talents and/or low motivation
and self-discipline. His demand
for schooling is DA.
• Bob is a high-ability person.
He has a greater demand for
schooling at DB because he
can better translate schooling
into higher productivity and
earnings.
• For a given interest rate, Bob
will obtain more schooling
which will compound the
earnings differential between
low and high ability persons.
Si
A
DA
eA
DB
B
eB
4-24
Discrimination
Years of
Schooling
r,i
• Albert is black and is
discriminated against in the
labor market. His demand for
schooling is DA since he has
low ability to convert additional
schooling into higher earnings.
• Brett is white and has a
greater demand for schooling
at DB as he can reap the
benefits of additional
schooling.
• For a given interest rate, Bob
will obtain more schooling
which will compound the
earnings differential between
whites and blacks.
Si
A
DA
eA
DB
B
eB
4-25
Cost of Funds
Years of
Schooling
r,i
• Ann is from a wealthy family
and faces a low cost of
borrowing funds (iA). Her
optimal level of schooling is eA.
SA
eA
iA
• Betty is from a poor family
and faces a high cost of
borrowing funds (iB). Her
optimal level of schooling is eB.
SB
iB
B
A
DA=DB
eB
4-26
Interactions
o The ability, discrimination, and cost of
funds factors that affect schooling levels
may interact to cause even larger earnings
inequality.
• If a person faces labor market discrimination,
lenders may charge a higher interest rate
since they are less certain of getting repaid.
∞Discrimination will reduce both the supply and
demand for schooling.
∞Anti-discrimination policies may reduce earnings
inequality as a result.
4-27
Capital Market Imperfections
o The capital market is biased in favor of
physical rather than human capital.
• Lenders can’t repossess human capital.
• Young people, who are most likely to invest in
human capital, don’t have established credit
ratings.
o The government may have to intervene by
subsidizing human capital loans in order to
make the returns on physical and human
capital equal.
4-28
1. Describe the expected effects that college
scholarships based on (a) student ability and (b)
student need are likely to have on the distribution
of earnings.
Question for Thought
4-29
4. On-the-Job Training
4-30
Costs and Benefits
o Firms will invest in on-the-job training if the
present value of the benefits of the training
exceeds the present value of the costs.
o The costs to the firm include:
• Direct costs such as classroom instruction and
greater worker supervision.
• Indirect costs such as reduced worker output
during training.
o The benefit is greater worker productivity.
4-31
General and Specific
Training
o General training is training that is usable
at all firms and industries.
• Word processing skills or accounting skills
o Specific training is training that is usable
at only at the firm that provides the
training.
• Assembly procedure unique to a firm’s
product
o Most training is a mixture of general and
specific training.
4-32
General Training
Wage&MarginalRevenueProduct
• Wu and MRPu are the wages
and marginal revenue product
for an untrained worker.
Marginal revenue product is the
increase in total revenue
associated with the
employment of an additional
worker.
• Since general training is
usable at other firms, workers
must pay for the entire cost of
the training. They receive a
lower wage (Wu> Wt) that is
equal to their diminished
productivity (MRPt).
• After the training period,
workers receive a higher wage
Wp that is equal to their new
higher level of productivity
MRPp.
Trainin
g
Post Training
Wu= MRPu
Wp= MRPp
Wt= MRPt
4-33
Specific Training
Wage&MarginalRevenueProduct
• Since specific training is not
transferable to other firms, the
employer must pay for the
training.
• After training, the employer
gets a return on her training
investment by paying a wage
less than the worker’s
productivity (Wu < MRPt).
• The employer may pay a
higher wage to decrease
worker turnover and thus
protect her training investment
(Wp
’
).
Trainin
g
Post Training
Wu= MRPu
MRPp
MRPt
• During training, the employer
pays a wage greater than the
worker’s productivity (Wu>
MRPt).
Wp
’
4-34
Modifications
o Faced with a minimum wage, some firms
may pay for general training.
• The firms recoup their expenses by paying
workers less than their MRP after the training is
completed.
∞This is possible because workers are not perfectly
mobile across jobs—there are costs to switching jobs.
o Workers with the most formal education also
receive more on-the-job training.
• They have shown they can receive training more
readily and thus less cost.
4-35
1. Suppose that after graduation you take a job with
an employer that offers to pay full tuition for
employees wishing to return to school to get an
MBA degree during non-work hours. You are not
required to continue working for the firm after
getting your MBA. What type of training is this,
and who you think actually pays for it?
Question for Thought
4-36
5. Criticisms of Human
Capital Theory
4-37
Investment or Consumption?
o Not all education expenditures are an
investment because some part is a
consumption expenditure.
• Courses such as music appreciation yield
consumption benefits rather than investment
benefits.
• By ignoring the consumption benefits of
education, researchers overstate the
investment costs of education and understate
the rate of return.
4-38
Non-Wage Benefits
o Studies that only examine the earnings
of high school and college graduates
understate the rate of return for two
reasons.
1. College graduates have greater fringe
benefits as a percent of pay than high
school graduates.
2. College graduates tend to work in more
pleasant surroundings and have more
interesting jobs than high school graduates.
4-39
Ability Problem
o Those with more ability (i.e., intelligence,
motivation, and self-discipline) are more
likely to go to college.
• Even without a college degree, they would have
earned more than those who decided not to go
to college.
• To the extent that the higher earnings of college
graduates reflects their greater ability rather than
schooling, the rate of return is overstated.
∞Omission of ability biases the rate of return estimates
by a small amount.
4-40
Screening Hypothesis
o The screening hypothesis argues that
schooling increases earnings not by
increasing productivity but providing a way
to identify high-quality workers.
• Screening does not affect the private rate of
return, since college graduates still have
higher earnings.
∞The social rate of return is overstated, as screening
does not increase productivity.
• The empirical evidence shows screening
appears to play a small role.

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Labor Quality: Investing in Human Capital

  • 1. Copyright © 2010 by the McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 4 Labor Quality: Investing in Human Capital
  • 2. 4-2 1. Investment in Human Capital: Concept and Data
  • 3. 4-3 Investment in Human Capital o Expenditures on education and training can be treated as an investment in human capital just like investments in physical capital. • Human capital yields a rate of return (higher earnings) like physical capital. o Educational attainment has been rising in the U.S. • In 1970, 36% of the labor force was a high school dropout. In 2008, it was 12%.
  • 4. 4-4 Age-Earnings Profiles, by Education $0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AnnualEarnings <12 12 16 17+ • The male age- earnings profiles indicate those with more education have higher earnings. • The age- earnings profiles are steeper for those with more education. • Females have flatter age- earnings profiles.
  • 6. 4-6 Human Capital Model o The decision should be made by comparing the costs and benefits (higher earnings) of college. o Costs of attending college • The direct costs are the cost of tuition, fees, and books. ∞Room and board are not included since they are needed regardless of whether you go to college. • The indirect cost is the forgone earnings you give up while you attending college.
  • 7. 4-7 Age-Earnings With and Without College Age Annual Earnings 6518 • The HH curve is the age- earnings profile if a person does not attend college. • The CC curve is the cost- earnings profile if one attends college. • The total cost of attending college is the sum of the direct costs (area 1) plus indirect costs (area 2). • The benefit of attending college is the increase in earnings due to the college degree (area 3). • Whether it is rational to attend college depends on whether the present value of the benefits exceeds the present value of the costs. 22 Incremental Earnings (3) H H C C Indirect Costs (2) Direct Costs (1)
  • 8. 4-8 Vp = Ex: where i = 10% Vp = Def: Present Value o Discounting converts the value of future dollars into today’s dollars through the interest rate.  The present value (Vp) of a payment received one year from now is: Payment 1 year from now 1+Interest rate $ 100.00 $ 110 1.10 =
  • 9. 4-9 Present Value Vp = E0 + E1 (1 + i) + En (1 + i)n E2 (1 + i)2 + +. . . . .  Costs are represented as negative values of E.  A person should attend college if the net present value (Vp) is greater than 0.  The present value of a future stream of incremental earnings or costs (E) :
  • 10. 4-10 Present Value of Earnings (4) Discounted Value (10 Percent Rate) (3) Incremental Earnings (2) Year (1) PV of $8,000 Investment in Webmaster Training Program (Interest Rate = 10 Percent) Discounted Present Value 0 -$ 8,000 1.000 $ -8,000 1 2 3 $ 3,000 $ 4,000 $ 5,000 0.909 0.826 0.751 $ 2,727 $ 3,305 $ 3,755 $ 1,787 • Suppose Melinda is considering taking a webmaster training program that involves direct costs of $3,000 and forgone earnings $5,000. The training program will increase Melinda’s earnings by $3,000, $4,000, and $5,000 for the 3 years she plans on working. • Because she can borrow the funds at an interest rate of 10%, we will discount the future expected income at an 10% rate. • What is the present value (PV) of this training program? • The PV of the training program is positive, Melinda should take the training program.
  • 11. 4-11 Internal Rate of Return Vp = 0 = E0 + E1 (1 + r) + En (1 + r)n E2 (1 + r)2 + +. . . . .  A person should attend college if the rate of return (r) exceeds the market interest rate (i).  The internal rate of return, r, is the rate of return at which Vp = 0:
  • 12. 4-12 Generalizations o Length of income stream • The longer the stream of positive incremental earnings, the more likely the net present value will be positive. ∞As a result, younger people are more likely to attend college o Costs of attending college • The lower the cost of attending college, the more likely the net present value is positive. ∞Older people have a higher opportunity cost of attending college, less likely to attend.
  • 13. 4-13 Generalizations o Earnings differential • The larger the college-high school earnings differential is, the more likely the net present value is greater. ∞College attendance rose in the 1980s as the college-high school premium increased.
  • 14. 4-14 Rate of Return by Country 14.3 11.0 9.4 8.4 8.0 5.1 4.4 0.0 2.0 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 12.0 14.0 16.0 U nited K ingdomU nited States C anada FranceG erm any Sw eden D enm ark RateofReturn(%) • The rate of return per year of college education varies substantially across countries for males.
  • 15. 4-15 College-High School Wage Premium 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003 2008 Ratio Male Female • The college- high school wage premium fell in the 1970s for both men and women. • The premium fell because of an increase in supply of college graduates due to the baby boom. • The premium rose after 1979, due to increases in the demand for college-trained workers because of technology improvements.
  • 16. 4-16 Caveats o We can’t predict the college-high school wage premium for future graduates. • The charts report past differentials. • The future differential may be smaller as the high differential may increase future supply. o These are average earnings of college and high school graduates; the distribution of earnings around the mean is wide. o The quality of schooling matters as well as the quantity of schooling.
  • 17. 4-17 Private vs. Social Perspective o Education yields substantial external or social benefits that society reaps. • More educated workers have lower unemployment rates. • Education raises the amount and quality of participation in the political process. • Children grow up in a better home environment if the parents are more educated. • The research discoveries of more educated persons yield benefits to society.
  • 18. 4-18 Private vs. Social Perspective o The social rate of return is higher (lower) than the private rate of return, resources will be underallocated (overallocated) to human capital investments. • The private and social rate of return are quite similar.
  • 19. 4-19 1. Suppose the net present value of an educational investment is highly positive. What can you infer about the investment’s internal rate of return relative to interest cost of borrowing? Questions for Thought 2. Comment on the following statements: (a) Older workers are less geographically mobile than younger workers. (b) An economic recession tends to stimulate college enrollments. (c) The age-earnings profiles shown earlier, clearly indicate that people with more education earn more than people with less education; therefore, personal spending on education is always a good investment.
  • 20. 4-20 3. Human Capital Investment and the Distribution of Earnings
  • 21. 4-21 Diminishing Rate of Return Years of Schooling RateofReturn • The marginal rate of return to education declines as additional schooling is acquired. • Investment in education is subject to the law of diminishing returns. The increases in knowledge decline with each additional year of schooling. • The return also falls because the explicit cost and opportunity cost of education rises with additional schooling. r
  • 22. 4-22 Demand for Human Capital Years of Schooling r,i • Since individuals should increase schooling so that the marginal rate of return of schooling (r) is equal to the interest rate (i). • Using the r = i rule, at interest rate i2, the optimal level of schooling is e2. • At i3 the optimal level is e3. r S2 e2 i2 • Each equilibrium point (1,2,3) indicates the “price” and quantity demanded of human capital. In other words, the demand for human capital. • At i1 the optimal level is e1. S1 S3 i1 i3 1 2 3 , DHC e1 e3
  • 23. 4-23 Ability Differences Years of Schooling r,i • Alfonse is low-ability person. He has low mental/physical talents and/or low motivation and self-discipline. His demand for schooling is DA. • Bob is a high-ability person. He has a greater demand for schooling at DB because he can better translate schooling into higher productivity and earnings. • For a given interest rate, Bob will obtain more schooling which will compound the earnings differential between low and high ability persons. Si A DA eA DB B eB
  • 24. 4-24 Discrimination Years of Schooling r,i • Albert is black and is discriminated against in the labor market. His demand for schooling is DA since he has low ability to convert additional schooling into higher earnings. • Brett is white and has a greater demand for schooling at DB as he can reap the benefits of additional schooling. • For a given interest rate, Bob will obtain more schooling which will compound the earnings differential between whites and blacks. Si A DA eA DB B eB
  • 25. 4-25 Cost of Funds Years of Schooling r,i • Ann is from a wealthy family and faces a low cost of borrowing funds (iA). Her optimal level of schooling is eA. SA eA iA • Betty is from a poor family and faces a high cost of borrowing funds (iB). Her optimal level of schooling is eB. SB iB B A DA=DB eB
  • 26. 4-26 Interactions o The ability, discrimination, and cost of funds factors that affect schooling levels may interact to cause even larger earnings inequality. • If a person faces labor market discrimination, lenders may charge a higher interest rate since they are less certain of getting repaid. ∞Discrimination will reduce both the supply and demand for schooling. ∞Anti-discrimination policies may reduce earnings inequality as a result.
  • 27. 4-27 Capital Market Imperfections o The capital market is biased in favor of physical rather than human capital. • Lenders can’t repossess human capital. • Young people, who are most likely to invest in human capital, don’t have established credit ratings. o The government may have to intervene by subsidizing human capital loans in order to make the returns on physical and human capital equal.
  • 28. 4-28 1. Describe the expected effects that college scholarships based on (a) student ability and (b) student need are likely to have on the distribution of earnings. Question for Thought
  • 30. 4-30 Costs and Benefits o Firms will invest in on-the-job training if the present value of the benefits of the training exceeds the present value of the costs. o The costs to the firm include: • Direct costs such as classroom instruction and greater worker supervision. • Indirect costs such as reduced worker output during training. o The benefit is greater worker productivity.
  • 31. 4-31 General and Specific Training o General training is training that is usable at all firms and industries. • Word processing skills or accounting skills o Specific training is training that is usable at only at the firm that provides the training. • Assembly procedure unique to a firm’s product o Most training is a mixture of general and specific training.
  • 32. 4-32 General Training Wage&MarginalRevenueProduct • Wu and MRPu are the wages and marginal revenue product for an untrained worker. Marginal revenue product is the increase in total revenue associated with the employment of an additional worker. • Since general training is usable at other firms, workers must pay for the entire cost of the training. They receive a lower wage (Wu> Wt) that is equal to their diminished productivity (MRPt). • After the training period, workers receive a higher wage Wp that is equal to their new higher level of productivity MRPp. Trainin g Post Training Wu= MRPu Wp= MRPp Wt= MRPt
  • 33. 4-33 Specific Training Wage&MarginalRevenueProduct • Since specific training is not transferable to other firms, the employer must pay for the training. • After training, the employer gets a return on her training investment by paying a wage less than the worker’s productivity (Wu < MRPt). • The employer may pay a higher wage to decrease worker turnover and thus protect her training investment (Wp ’ ). Trainin g Post Training Wu= MRPu MRPp MRPt • During training, the employer pays a wage greater than the worker’s productivity (Wu> MRPt). Wp ’
  • 34. 4-34 Modifications o Faced with a minimum wage, some firms may pay for general training. • The firms recoup their expenses by paying workers less than their MRP after the training is completed. ∞This is possible because workers are not perfectly mobile across jobs—there are costs to switching jobs. o Workers with the most formal education also receive more on-the-job training. • They have shown they can receive training more readily and thus less cost.
  • 35. 4-35 1. Suppose that after graduation you take a job with an employer that offers to pay full tuition for employees wishing to return to school to get an MBA degree during non-work hours. You are not required to continue working for the firm after getting your MBA. What type of training is this, and who you think actually pays for it? Question for Thought
  • 36. 4-36 5. Criticisms of Human Capital Theory
  • 37. 4-37 Investment or Consumption? o Not all education expenditures are an investment because some part is a consumption expenditure. • Courses such as music appreciation yield consumption benefits rather than investment benefits. • By ignoring the consumption benefits of education, researchers overstate the investment costs of education and understate the rate of return.
  • 38. 4-38 Non-Wage Benefits o Studies that only examine the earnings of high school and college graduates understate the rate of return for two reasons. 1. College graduates have greater fringe benefits as a percent of pay than high school graduates. 2. College graduates tend to work in more pleasant surroundings and have more interesting jobs than high school graduates.
  • 39. 4-39 Ability Problem o Those with more ability (i.e., intelligence, motivation, and self-discipline) are more likely to go to college. • Even without a college degree, they would have earned more than those who decided not to go to college. • To the extent that the higher earnings of college graduates reflects their greater ability rather than schooling, the rate of return is overstated. ∞Omission of ability biases the rate of return estimates by a small amount.
  • 40. 4-40 Screening Hypothesis o The screening hypothesis argues that schooling increases earnings not by increasing productivity but providing a way to identify high-quality workers. • Screening does not affect the private rate of return, since college graduates still have higher earnings. ∞The social rate of return is overstated, as screening does not increase productivity. • The empirical evidence shows screening appears to play a small role.