This document provides an overview of the IS-LM model of aggregate demand. It begins by discussing how Keynes criticized classical economic theory and proposed that low aggregate demand is responsible for economic downturns. It then introduces the IS curve, which plots the relationship between interest rates and income in goods markets, and the LM curve, which plots the relationship between interest rates and income in money markets. The intersection of the IS and LM curves determines aggregate demand and income in the economy. Shifts in these curves due to factors like fiscal policy changes, money supply changes, and price level changes cause fluctuations in equilibrium income.
This chapter introduces the concepts of the business cycle, aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply. It discusses how the economy behaves differently in the short-run versus long-run. In the short-run, many prices are sticky so the aggregate supply curve is horizontal, but in the long-run prices are flexible so the aggregate supply curve is vertical. The model can be used to analyze how shocks like changes in the money supply, velocity, or supply shocks impact output and inflation in both the short-run and long-run. An example is given of the 1970s oil shocks, which were adverse supply shocks that increased costs and shifted the short-run aggregate supply curve
This document discusses the natural rate of unemployment and its causes. It begins by defining the natural rate of unemployment as the average rate around which the actual unemployment rate fluctuates over the business cycle. It then presents a model showing how the natural rate is determined by the rates of job separation and job finding. Frictional unemployment results from the time it takes to search for and transition between jobs, while structural unemployment stems from wage rigidities that prevent wages from adjusting downward to clear the labor market. The document explores factors like minimum wages, unions, efficiency wages, and sectoral shifts that contribute to real wage rigidity and the natural rate of unemployment.
1) The chapter uses the IS-LM model to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy shocks on aggregate output and the interest rate in the short run.
2) Fiscal policy like increases in government spending or tax cuts shift the IS curve right, raising output. Monetary policy like increases in the money supply shift the LM curve down, lowering interest rates and raising output.
3) Shocks like increases in wealth from a stock market boom shift the IS curve right, raising output, while shocks that increase money demand like credit card fraud shift the LM curve left, lowering output.
4) In the long run, price adjustments return output to potential as the price level falls to accommodate any short
This document provides an overview of aggregate supply and the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment known as the Phillips curve. It discusses three models of aggregate supply - the sticky-wage model, imperfect-information model, and sticky-price model - and how they each imply a positive relationship between output and the price level in the short run. The Phillips curve relationship is then derived from the aggregate supply relationship. The document also discusses concepts like adaptive expectations, inflation inertia, cost-push vs demand-pull inflation, and the sacrifice ratio.
INDIRECT UTILITY FUNCTION AND ROY’S IDENTITIY by Maryam LoneSAMEENALONE2
- Utility is a measure of satisfaction derived from consuming goods and services. Individuals seek to maximize their utility subject to a budget constraint.
- Indifference curves represent combinations of goods that provide equal utility. The slope of the indifference curve is the marginal rate of substitution (MRS).
- The budget constraint shows affordable combinations given prices and income. Utility is maximized at the point where the MRS equals the price ratio, where the indifference curve is tangent to the budget constraint.
- Using tools like Lagrangian optimization and the envelope theorem, the amounts demanded of each good can be derived as functions of prices and income.
The document provides an overview of key concepts in macroeconomics, including:
1. The IS-LM model which determines income and interest rates in the short-run when prices are fixed. It combines the IS curve, representing goods market equilibrium, and the LM curve, representing money market equilibrium.
2. The IS curve shows combinations of interest rates and income where planned expenditure equals actual expenditure. It slopes downward because lower interest rates increase investment and expenditure.
3. The LM curve shows combinations of interest rates and income where money demand equals supply. It slopes upward because higher income increases money demand, requiring higher interest rates to balance the money market.
4. The intersection of the IS and LM curves
The classical doctrine—that the economy is always at or near the natural level of real GDP (full employment)—is based on two firmly held beliefs:
The assumption of the full employment of labour and other productive resources
Belief that prices, wages, and interest rates are flexible.
Keynesian Theory
Policymakers debate whether monetary and fiscal policy should be active or passive in response to economic fluctuations, and whether policy should be set by rule or at the discretion of officials. Arguments for active policy include reducing economic hardship during recessions, while critics argue policies have long and variable lags. Policy rules aim to increase credibility and reduce time inconsistency problems, like central banks targeting an inflation rate or following the Taylor rule. The optimal approach remains an open debate among economists.
This chapter introduces the concepts of the business cycle, aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and the model of aggregate demand and aggregate supply. It discusses how the economy behaves differently in the short-run versus long-run. In the short-run, many prices are sticky so the aggregate supply curve is horizontal, but in the long-run prices are flexible so the aggregate supply curve is vertical. The model can be used to analyze how shocks like changes in the money supply, velocity, or supply shocks impact output and inflation in both the short-run and long-run. An example is given of the 1970s oil shocks, which were adverse supply shocks that increased costs and shifted the short-run aggregate supply curve
This document discusses the natural rate of unemployment and its causes. It begins by defining the natural rate of unemployment as the average rate around which the actual unemployment rate fluctuates over the business cycle. It then presents a model showing how the natural rate is determined by the rates of job separation and job finding. Frictional unemployment results from the time it takes to search for and transition between jobs, while structural unemployment stems from wage rigidities that prevent wages from adjusting downward to clear the labor market. The document explores factors like minimum wages, unions, efficiency wages, and sectoral shifts that contribute to real wage rigidity and the natural rate of unemployment.
1) The chapter uses the IS-LM model to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy shocks on aggregate output and the interest rate in the short run.
2) Fiscal policy like increases in government spending or tax cuts shift the IS curve right, raising output. Monetary policy like increases in the money supply shift the LM curve down, lowering interest rates and raising output.
3) Shocks like increases in wealth from a stock market boom shift the IS curve right, raising output, while shocks that increase money demand like credit card fraud shift the LM curve left, lowering output.
4) In the long run, price adjustments return output to potential as the price level falls to accommodate any short
This document provides an overview of aggregate supply and the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment known as the Phillips curve. It discusses three models of aggregate supply - the sticky-wage model, imperfect-information model, and sticky-price model - and how they each imply a positive relationship between output and the price level in the short run. The Phillips curve relationship is then derived from the aggregate supply relationship. The document also discusses concepts like adaptive expectations, inflation inertia, cost-push vs demand-pull inflation, and the sacrifice ratio.
INDIRECT UTILITY FUNCTION AND ROY’S IDENTITIY by Maryam LoneSAMEENALONE2
- Utility is a measure of satisfaction derived from consuming goods and services. Individuals seek to maximize their utility subject to a budget constraint.
- Indifference curves represent combinations of goods that provide equal utility. The slope of the indifference curve is the marginal rate of substitution (MRS).
- The budget constraint shows affordable combinations given prices and income. Utility is maximized at the point where the MRS equals the price ratio, where the indifference curve is tangent to the budget constraint.
- Using tools like Lagrangian optimization and the envelope theorem, the amounts demanded of each good can be derived as functions of prices and income.
The document provides an overview of key concepts in macroeconomics, including:
1. The IS-LM model which determines income and interest rates in the short-run when prices are fixed. It combines the IS curve, representing goods market equilibrium, and the LM curve, representing money market equilibrium.
2. The IS curve shows combinations of interest rates and income where planned expenditure equals actual expenditure. It slopes downward because lower interest rates increase investment and expenditure.
3. The LM curve shows combinations of interest rates and income where money demand equals supply. It slopes upward because higher income increases money demand, requiring higher interest rates to balance the money market.
4. The intersection of the IS and LM curves
The classical doctrine—that the economy is always at or near the natural level of real GDP (full employment)—is based on two firmly held beliefs:
The assumption of the full employment of labour and other productive resources
Belief that prices, wages, and interest rates are flexible.
Keynesian Theory
Policymakers debate whether monetary and fiscal policy should be active or passive in response to economic fluctuations, and whether policy should be set by rule or at the discretion of officials. Arguments for active policy include reducing economic hardship during recessions, while critics argue policies have long and variable lags. Policy rules aim to increase credibility and reduce time inconsistency problems, like central banks targeting an inflation rate or following the Taylor rule. The optimal approach remains an open debate among economists.
1. The document discusses using the IS-LM model to analyze the effects of shocks, fiscal policy, and monetary policy. It provides examples of analyzing different policy changes using the IS-LM diagram.
2. It then discusses how the IS-LM model can be used to derive the aggregate demand curve and analyze short-run and long-run effects of shocks. Price level adjustments move the economy from short-run to long-run equilibrium.
3. The document contains an example analyzing the 2001 US recession using the IS-LM framework, examining the effects of stock market decline, 9/11, accounting scandals, and fiscal and monetary policy responses.
The chapter discusses the Heckscher-Ohlin model of international trade. The model assumes two countries that produce two goods using two factors of production, labor and land. It predicts that a country will export the good that uses its abundant factor intensively and import the good that uses its scarce factor intensively. The model shows that trade leads to equalization of factor prices between countries and benefits owners of a country's abundant factor but harms owners of its scarce factor. Empirical tests find mixed support for the model and technological differences are also important in determining trade patterns.
This document provides an overview of macroeconomics topics that will be covered in the Macroeconomics 2 course, including integrating classical and Keynesian schools of thought, the development of the New Neoclassical Synthesis, short and long run issues, and applications of macroeconomic models. It also summarizes the key differences between classical and Keynesian economics, including their views on unemployment, flexibility of wages and prices, and the appropriate role of government intervention in the economy.
This document provides an overview of Chapter 17 from an economics textbook on investment. It discusses three types of investment - business fixed investment, residential investment, and inventory investment. It then covers theories to explain business fixed investment, including the neoclassical model showing how investment depends on marginal product of capital and interest rates. The document discusses factors that affect the rental price of capital and rental firms' investment decisions. It also addresses how taxes impact investment and Tobin's q theory of investment.
This document provides an overview of the Solow growth model, which examines how economic growth and standards of living are determined in the long run. It introduces key concepts such as the production function, saving rate, depreciation rate, capital accumulation, and steady state. The steady state is the level of capital where investment just offsets depreciation and capital remains constant. The model predicts that countries with higher saving and investment rates will have higher levels of capital and income per worker in the long run. It also discusses finding the optimal saving rate and capital stock, known as the Golden Rule, which maximizes consumption.
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Albina Gaisina
The document discusses the Stolper-Samuelson theorem, which states that a decrease in the price of a good will lead to a decrease in the return to the factor that is used intensively in the production of that good. It will conversely lead to an increase in the return to the other factor. The theorem is based on assumptions of perfect competition and factor mobility. It predicts that increased trade with developing countries likely contributed to rising wage inequality in skilled countries. While trade increases overall welfare, it benefits some factors more than others according to their intensity of use.
This chapter discusses key concepts in open economy macroeconomics including imports, exports, the trade balance, exchange rates, and how fiscal and monetary policies can impact these variables. It introduces accounting identities that relate gross domestic product (GDP), consumption (C), investment (I), government spending (G), net exports (NX), and net capital outflows. It also presents models of a small open economy and how exchange rates adjust to equate the trade balance with capital flows.
Here are the key impacts of an increase in investment demand in a small open economy:
- Investment demand I(r*) increases.
- Saving S does not change.
- Net capital outflow decreases as domestic investment increases and saving remains the same.
- Net exports NX decrease as the trade balance deteriorates to finance the higher investment through net capital inflows.
So in summary, an increase in investment demand leads to a deterioration in the trade balance (lower NX) and lower net capital outflow, while saving remains unchanged.
CHAPTER 5 The Open Economy slide 23
This document summarizes key concepts about labor markets from an economics textbook. It discusses factors of production and how the demand for labor is derived from the demand for output. It then explains how firms determine the optimal quantity of labor to hire by equating the marginal product of labor to the wage according to the principle of profit maximization. Labor supply and demand determine the equilibrium wage in competitive markets. The document also briefly discusses land, capital, and productivity.
This document provides an overview of classical theories of inflation and the quantity theory of money. It defines key concepts like money, inflation, the money supply, and velocity. The quantity theory of money posits that inflation is primarily caused by increases in the money supply that outpace economic growth. It predicts a direct relationship between money growth and inflation. The document uses graphs and international data to show this relationship generally holds in practice and discusses implications for interest rates.
This document summarizes key concepts from Chapter 8 of an economics textbook on economic growth. It discusses how to incorporate technological progress into the Solow growth model by including a variable for labor efficiency that grows exogenously over time. It then reviews empirical evidence on growth, including balanced growth, conditional convergence between countries, and the relationship between factor accumulation and production efficiency. Finally, it examines policy issues such as evaluating a country's saving rate and how to increase savings and allocate investment between different types of capital.
This document provides an overview of key concepts in international macroeconomics and the open economy model. It introduces accounting identities that apply to an open economy, where spending does not necessarily equal output and saving does not necessarily equal investment due to trade flows. It then presents the small open economy model, where the domestic economy is too small to affect global interest rates. In this model, the trade balance and exchange rate are determined by the interaction of domestic saving and investment with the exogenous world interest rate. Fiscal and monetary policies can influence the trade balance and exchange rate through their impact on saving and investment.
This document summarizes key concepts from Chapter 12 of Mankiw's Macroeconomics textbook on open economy macroeconomics. It introduces the Mundell-Fleming model, which uses the IS-LM framework to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy in a small open economy. It discusses the implications of floating versus fixed exchange rates and how this determines the effectiveness of different policies. It also examines the impacts of interest rate differentials and trade policies. The summary slides provide a concise overview of the model and the main policy conclusions.
Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a whole, including issues like growth, inflation, and unemployment. Economists use models to help explain and address these issues. Models make simplifying assumptions, like whether prices are flexible or sticky in the short-run. The chapter introduces concepts like endogenous and exogenous variables. It provides an example model of supply and demand for cars and how it can be used to analyze changes. The chapter outlines the topics that will be covered in the macroeconomics textbook, including classical theory, growth theory, and business cycle theory.
This document provides an overview of a macroeconomic model that examines national income. It discusses how total output is determined by factors of production like capital and labor. It then explains how factor prices, like wages and rental rates, are set through supply and demand in factor markets. The model shows how total national income is distributed to factor payments. It also outlines the components of aggregate demand, like consumption, investment, and government spending, and how their equilibrium in the goods market determines total output.
This document discusses the concept of elasticity and its applications. It defines key terms like price elasticity of demand, price elasticity of supply, and total revenue. It examines how total revenue is affected by elasticity and provides examples to illustrate applications, including how good harvests can hurt farmers, why OPEC struggled to keep oil prices high, and how drug interdiction may increase short-run crime but decrease it long-run. The key points are that elasticity determines how quantities respond to price changes, and it is important for understanding how policies impact markets and different groups within them.
The document summarizes key concepts from macroeconomic growth models including the Harrod-Domar, Solow-Swan, and endogenous growth models. It discusses the Harrod-Domar model which relates an economy's growth rate to its capital stock and savings ratio. It then summarizes the Solow-Swan model which incorporates technological progress and assumes diminishing returns to capital. The model predicts economies will eventually reach a steady state level of capital and output. Finally, it briefly mentions endogenous growth models which seek to explain technological progress.
This document summarizes key points from a chapter about government debt. It discusses several topics:
1. The size of government debt in various countries, with Japan having the highest debt-to-GDP ratio at 159% and the U.S. at 64%.
2. Traditional and Ricardian views on the effects of government debt. The traditional view is that debt crowds out investment, while the Ricardian view is that debt has no real effects due to forward-looking consumers.
3. Problems in measuring budget deficits, such as not accounting for inflation, capital assets, or future liabilities for programs like Social Security. Correcting for these issues can significantly change deficit estimates.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to determine the equilibrium interest rate and level of income in the short run when prices are fixed. It introduces the Keynesian cross model and explains how the IS curve is derived from it, showing the negative relationship between the interest rate and income. It then covers the theory of liquidity preference and how the LM curve is derived. The short-run equilibrium occurs where the IS and LM curves intersect, simultaneously satisfying goods and money market equilibrium conditions.
This document provides an overview of key concepts from a chapter on aggregate supply and the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. It discusses three models of aggregate supply (sticky-wage, imperfect-information, sticky-price) that imply a positive relationship between output and the price level in the short run. It also covers the Phillips curve relationship between inflation and unemployment and how aggregate supply shifts over time as expectations change.
The document discusses John Maynard Keynes' theory of aggregate demand and how it provides an alternative to classical economic theory. It introduces Keynes' view that low aggregate demand is responsible for economic downturns and high unemployment. It then presents the IS-LM model as the leading interpretation of Keynes' work, showing how it uses the IS and LM curves to determine equilibrium income levels based on interest rates, investment, consumption and money supply changes. The document also discusses how the IS-LM model can be used to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy on aggregate demand.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model of aggregate demand. It explains that the IS curve models the goods market relationship between interest rates and income, while the LM curve models the money market relationship between interest rates and income. It also discusses the Keynesian cross diagram and how it can be used to analyze how changes in fiscal policy like government purchases or taxes will affect equilibrium income levels through multiplier effects. The document concludes by explaining that the intersection of the IS and LM curves determines the aggregate demand equilibrium for a given price level.
1. The document discusses using the IS-LM model to analyze the effects of shocks, fiscal policy, and monetary policy. It provides examples of analyzing different policy changes using the IS-LM diagram.
2. It then discusses how the IS-LM model can be used to derive the aggregate demand curve and analyze short-run and long-run effects of shocks. Price level adjustments move the economy from short-run to long-run equilibrium.
3. The document contains an example analyzing the 2001 US recession using the IS-LM framework, examining the effects of stock market decline, 9/11, accounting scandals, and fiscal and monetary policy responses.
The chapter discusses the Heckscher-Ohlin model of international trade. The model assumes two countries that produce two goods using two factors of production, labor and land. It predicts that a country will export the good that uses its abundant factor intensively and import the good that uses its scarce factor intensively. The model shows that trade leads to equalization of factor prices between countries and benefits owners of a country's abundant factor but harms owners of its scarce factor. Empirical tests find mixed support for the model and technological differences are also important in determining trade patterns.
This document provides an overview of macroeconomics topics that will be covered in the Macroeconomics 2 course, including integrating classical and Keynesian schools of thought, the development of the New Neoclassical Synthesis, short and long run issues, and applications of macroeconomic models. It also summarizes the key differences between classical and Keynesian economics, including their views on unemployment, flexibility of wages and prices, and the appropriate role of government intervention in the economy.
This document provides an overview of Chapter 17 from an economics textbook on investment. It discusses three types of investment - business fixed investment, residential investment, and inventory investment. It then covers theories to explain business fixed investment, including the neoclassical model showing how investment depends on marginal product of capital and interest rates. The document discusses factors that affect the rental price of capital and rental firms' investment decisions. It also addresses how taxes impact investment and Tobin's q theory of investment.
This document provides an overview of the Solow growth model, which examines how economic growth and standards of living are determined in the long run. It introduces key concepts such as the production function, saving rate, depreciation rate, capital accumulation, and steady state. The steady state is the level of capital where investment just offsets depreciation and capital remains constant. The model predicts that countries with higher saving and investment rates will have higher levels of capital and income per worker in the long run. It also discusses finding the optimal saving rate and capital stock, known as the Golden Rule, which maximizes consumption.
Meeting 4 - Stolper - Samuelson theorem (International Economics)Albina Gaisina
The document discusses the Stolper-Samuelson theorem, which states that a decrease in the price of a good will lead to a decrease in the return to the factor that is used intensively in the production of that good. It will conversely lead to an increase in the return to the other factor. The theorem is based on assumptions of perfect competition and factor mobility. It predicts that increased trade with developing countries likely contributed to rising wage inequality in skilled countries. While trade increases overall welfare, it benefits some factors more than others according to their intensity of use.
This chapter discusses key concepts in open economy macroeconomics including imports, exports, the trade balance, exchange rates, and how fiscal and monetary policies can impact these variables. It introduces accounting identities that relate gross domestic product (GDP), consumption (C), investment (I), government spending (G), net exports (NX), and net capital outflows. It also presents models of a small open economy and how exchange rates adjust to equate the trade balance with capital flows.
Here are the key impacts of an increase in investment demand in a small open economy:
- Investment demand I(r*) increases.
- Saving S does not change.
- Net capital outflow decreases as domestic investment increases and saving remains the same.
- Net exports NX decrease as the trade balance deteriorates to finance the higher investment through net capital inflows.
So in summary, an increase in investment demand leads to a deterioration in the trade balance (lower NX) and lower net capital outflow, while saving remains unchanged.
CHAPTER 5 The Open Economy slide 23
This document summarizes key concepts about labor markets from an economics textbook. It discusses factors of production and how the demand for labor is derived from the demand for output. It then explains how firms determine the optimal quantity of labor to hire by equating the marginal product of labor to the wage according to the principle of profit maximization. Labor supply and demand determine the equilibrium wage in competitive markets. The document also briefly discusses land, capital, and productivity.
This document provides an overview of classical theories of inflation and the quantity theory of money. It defines key concepts like money, inflation, the money supply, and velocity. The quantity theory of money posits that inflation is primarily caused by increases in the money supply that outpace economic growth. It predicts a direct relationship between money growth and inflation. The document uses graphs and international data to show this relationship generally holds in practice and discusses implications for interest rates.
This document summarizes key concepts from Chapter 8 of an economics textbook on economic growth. It discusses how to incorporate technological progress into the Solow growth model by including a variable for labor efficiency that grows exogenously over time. It then reviews empirical evidence on growth, including balanced growth, conditional convergence between countries, and the relationship between factor accumulation and production efficiency. Finally, it examines policy issues such as evaluating a country's saving rate and how to increase savings and allocate investment between different types of capital.
This document provides an overview of key concepts in international macroeconomics and the open economy model. It introduces accounting identities that apply to an open economy, where spending does not necessarily equal output and saving does not necessarily equal investment due to trade flows. It then presents the small open economy model, where the domestic economy is too small to affect global interest rates. In this model, the trade balance and exchange rate are determined by the interaction of domestic saving and investment with the exogenous world interest rate. Fiscal and monetary policies can influence the trade balance and exchange rate through their impact on saving and investment.
This document summarizes key concepts from Chapter 12 of Mankiw's Macroeconomics textbook on open economy macroeconomics. It introduces the Mundell-Fleming model, which uses the IS-LM framework to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy in a small open economy. It discusses the implications of floating versus fixed exchange rates and how this determines the effectiveness of different policies. It also examines the impacts of interest rate differentials and trade policies. The summary slides provide a concise overview of the model and the main policy conclusions.
Macroeconomics is the study of the economy as a whole, including issues like growth, inflation, and unemployment. Economists use models to help explain and address these issues. Models make simplifying assumptions, like whether prices are flexible or sticky in the short-run. The chapter introduces concepts like endogenous and exogenous variables. It provides an example model of supply and demand for cars and how it can be used to analyze changes. The chapter outlines the topics that will be covered in the macroeconomics textbook, including classical theory, growth theory, and business cycle theory.
This document provides an overview of a macroeconomic model that examines national income. It discusses how total output is determined by factors of production like capital and labor. It then explains how factor prices, like wages and rental rates, are set through supply and demand in factor markets. The model shows how total national income is distributed to factor payments. It also outlines the components of aggregate demand, like consumption, investment, and government spending, and how their equilibrium in the goods market determines total output.
This document discusses the concept of elasticity and its applications. It defines key terms like price elasticity of demand, price elasticity of supply, and total revenue. It examines how total revenue is affected by elasticity and provides examples to illustrate applications, including how good harvests can hurt farmers, why OPEC struggled to keep oil prices high, and how drug interdiction may increase short-run crime but decrease it long-run. The key points are that elasticity determines how quantities respond to price changes, and it is important for understanding how policies impact markets and different groups within them.
The document summarizes key concepts from macroeconomic growth models including the Harrod-Domar, Solow-Swan, and endogenous growth models. It discusses the Harrod-Domar model which relates an economy's growth rate to its capital stock and savings ratio. It then summarizes the Solow-Swan model which incorporates technological progress and assumes diminishing returns to capital. The model predicts economies will eventually reach a steady state level of capital and output. Finally, it briefly mentions endogenous growth models which seek to explain technological progress.
This document summarizes key points from a chapter about government debt. It discusses several topics:
1. The size of government debt in various countries, with Japan having the highest debt-to-GDP ratio at 159% and the U.S. at 64%.
2. Traditional and Ricardian views on the effects of government debt. The traditional view is that debt crowds out investment, while the Ricardian view is that debt has no real effects due to forward-looking consumers.
3. Problems in measuring budget deficits, such as not accounting for inflation, capital assets, or future liabilities for programs like Social Security. Correcting for these issues can significantly change deficit estimates.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model, which is used to determine the equilibrium interest rate and level of income in the short run when prices are fixed. It introduces the Keynesian cross model and explains how the IS curve is derived from it, showing the negative relationship between the interest rate and income. It then covers the theory of liquidity preference and how the LM curve is derived. The short-run equilibrium occurs where the IS and LM curves intersect, simultaneously satisfying goods and money market equilibrium conditions.
This document provides an overview of key concepts from a chapter on aggregate supply and the short-run tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. It discusses three models of aggregate supply (sticky-wage, imperfect-information, sticky-price) that imply a positive relationship between output and the price level in the short run. It also covers the Phillips curve relationship between inflation and unemployment and how aggregate supply shifts over time as expectations change.
The document discusses John Maynard Keynes' theory of aggregate demand and how it provides an alternative to classical economic theory. It introduces Keynes' view that low aggregate demand is responsible for economic downturns and high unemployment. It then presents the IS-LM model as the leading interpretation of Keynes' work, showing how it uses the IS and LM curves to determine equilibrium income levels based on interest rates, investment, consumption and money supply changes. The document also discusses how the IS-LM model can be used to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy on aggregate demand.
The document provides an overview of the IS-LM model of aggregate demand. It explains that the IS curve models the goods market relationship between interest rates and income, while the LM curve models the money market relationship between interest rates and income. It also discusses the Keynesian cross diagram and how it can be used to analyze how changes in fiscal policy like government purchases or taxes will affect equilibrium income levels through multiplier effects. The document concludes by explaining that the intersection of the IS and LM curves determines the aggregate demand equilibrium for a given price level.
This chapter introduces the IS-LM model, which combines the Keynesian Cross model and the liquidity preference theory to determine equilibrium income and interest rates in the short run when prices are fixed. The IS curve shows all combinations of income and interest rates that result in goods market equilibrium based on the Keynesian Cross. The LM curve shows combinations that result in money market equilibrium based on liquidity preference theory. Where the IS and LM curves intersect indicates the short-run equilibrium levels of income and interest rates. Fiscal and monetary policies can shift the IS and LM curves to influence equilibrium.
1. The document discusses the IS-LM model and how it can be used to analyze the effects of fiscal and monetary policy. It presents the IS and LM curves and how they represent equilibrium in the goods and money markets.
2. Fiscal policy like increases in government spending can shift the IS curve right, raising output and interest rates. Monetary policy like increases in the money supply can shift the LM curve down, lowering interest rates and raising output.
3. Shocks to aggregate demand are analyzed using the IS-LM model, and the model can also show the transition from short-run to long-run equilibrium when prices adjust over time.
1) The document discusses the business cycle and how the economy behaves in both the short run and long run. It analyzes GDP, recessions, unemployment, and economic indicators.
2) In the short run, prices are sticky but adjust over time, leading to different economic effects compared to the long run. The model separates real and nominal variables using aggregate demand and supply curves.
3) The long run aggregate supply curve is vertical, reflecting fixed levels of output, while the short run curve is horizontal due to price stickiness in the short term.
The document provides an overview of economic fluctuations and the business cycle. It discusses how the US economy entered a recession in late 2007, with GDP growth slowing and unemployment rising through early 2009. It then defines the business cycle as short-run fluctuations in output and employment. Finally, it introduces the concepts of aggregate demand, aggregate supply, and how the economy behaves differently in the short-run versus long-run due to price stickiness.
This document provides an overview of the IS-LM-BP model for analyzing macroeconomic equilibrium in an open economy. It defines the key components as:
1) The IS curve, which represents goods market equilibrium as a function of interest rates and income.
2) The LM curve, which represents money market equilibrium based on money demand and supply.
3) The BP curve, which depicts the combinations of interest rates and income that achieve balance of payments equilibrium.
Global macroeconomic equilibrium occurs at the point where the IS, LM, and BP curves intersect, indicating simultaneous equilibrium in the goods, money, and balance of payments markets. The document derives each curve and explains how shifts in monetary or fiscal policy
This document provides an overview of international trade and capital flows using a macroeconomic model. It begins by defining key terms like open economy, net exports, and bilateral trade balances. It then presents the national income accounting identity relating output, domestic spending, and net exports. The document goes on to develop a model showing how a country's trade balance is determined by the difference between national saving and investment. It uses this model to analyze the effects of changes in interest rates, fiscal policy, and investment on a country's trade balance. The summary concludes by applying the model to explain historical shifts in the large US trade deficit.
This lecture note introduces classical macroeconomic theory, which examines the linkages between interest rates, money, output, and inflation. It will first cover classical monetary theory, which assumes money is neutral and its supply only determines prices. It then presents a basic classical model of the real economy with aggregate supply and demand. Equilibrium output and interest rates are determined by the intersection of these curves. Money enters by facilitating transactions but does not affect real variables. Money demand depends on nominal income and interest rates, determining equilibrium money holdings and the price level.
Cu m com-mebe-mod-i-multiplier theory-keynesian approach-lecture-1Dr. Subir Maitra
1) The Simple Keynesian Model (SKM) is used to analyze business cycles and fluctuations in economic activity. It assumes prices are fixed in the short-run and demand determines output.
2) The SKM equilibrium occurs when actual expenditure (aggregate supply) equals planned expenditure (aggregate demand). This is shown as the point where the 45-degree aggregate supply line intersects the aggregate demand line.
3) In a closed economy without government, aggregate demand consists of consumption (C) and investment (I). Equilibrium income is determined by the consumption function C=C0+cY and investment function I=I0.
This document provides an overview of economic policy under fixed exchange rates. It discusses Robert Mundell's influential Mundell-Fleming model, which shows how monetary and fiscal policy can be used to achieve internal and external balance. The model is presented graphically using IS, LM, and BP curves. An increase in government spending is used as an example of how these curves shift in response to fiscal policy under fixed exchange rates.
This lecture outline covers policy analysis using the IS-LM model, including monetary policy, fiscal policy, and their interaction. It discusses shocks to the model and the adjustment from the short-run to the long-run. Key topics include the effects of monetary and fiscal policy on output and interest rates, estimates of fiscal multipliers, and the derivation of the aggregate demand curve from the IS-LM model.
Aggregate demand is the total demand for final goods and services in an economy at a given time and price level. It is the sum of consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports. The aggregate demand curve slopes downward, showing that as price levels increase, aggregate output decreases. Aggregate supply is the total supply of goods and services in an economy. In the short run, the aggregate supply curve slopes upward as firms are slow to adjust prices and wages. In the long run, as costs fully adjust, the aggregate supply curve becomes vertical at the natural level of output. Keynesian economics emphasizes that economies may fail to reach full employment without government intervention, due to sticky wages and prices and a tendency for increased savings to reduce
The document summarizes key aspects of Keynesian economics. It describes that:
1) Keynesian economics advocates for a mixed economy with an active role of government fiscal and monetary policies to manage aggregate demand and prevent inefficient macroeconomic outcomes from private sector decisions.
2) Some of the major theories of Keynesian economics include the IS-LM model developed by John Hicks for determining policy, and the Phillips curve relationship between inflation and unemployment.
3) Keynes argued that deficit spending by the government during recessions could help stimulate the overall economy through a multiplier effect of increased consumption.
This document provides slides summarizing key concepts from Chapter 11 of a macroeconomics textbook, including:
1) How to use the IS-LM model to analyze the effects of fiscal policy, monetary policy, and economic shocks.
2) How the IS-LM model can be used to derive the aggregate demand curve and analyze short-run and long-run macroeconomic effects.
3) Examples of applying the IS-LM model to analyze the 2001 US recession and effects of monetary and fiscal policy responses.
This document provides an overview of Keynesian theory of income determination. It discusses some key concepts:
1) According to Keynes, the equilibrium level of national income and employment is determined by the interaction of aggregate demand (C+I) and aggregate supply (C+S). This equilibrium is called the effective demand point.
2) Effective demand represents the total spending in the economy that matches aggregate supply. It is the level of income and employment where there is no tendency to increase or decrease production.
3) The effective demand point may be below full employment, indicating underemployment. Government spending can increase aggregate demand and move the economy to a new equilibrium with higher income and full employment.
This document provides an overview of Keynesian theory of income determination. It discusses some key points:
1) According to Keynes, the equilibrium level of national income and employment is determined by the interaction of aggregate demand (C+I) and aggregate supply (C+S). This equilibrium is called the effective demand point.
2) The effective demand point may be below full employment, indicating under-employment. Government spending can increase aggregate demand and raise income to the full employment level.
3) Determinants of income are aggregate demand, influenced by consumption and investment, and aggregate supply, influenced by the level of employment. The equilibrium between these curves determines the effective demand point and income level.
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Short Answer (Answer 3 Questions)
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103:
Intermediate
Macroeconomics
Homework
4
Due
on
23rd
July
2015
Topic
7a:
Income
and
Spending
Conceptual
questions:
1. We call the model of income determination developed in this chapter a Keynesian
one. What makes it Keynesian, as opposed to classical?
2. What is an autonomous variable? What components of aggregate demand have
we specified, in this chapter, as being autonomous?
3. Why do we call mechanisms such as proportional income taxes and the welfare
system automatic stabilizers? Choose one of these mechanisms and explain
carefully how and why it affects fluctuations in output.
4. Show analytically what happens to the budget surplus when government increases
its expenditures.
Technical Questions:
5. Here we investigate a particular example of the model studied in Sections 9-2 and
9-3 with no government. Suppose the consumption function is given by C = 100 +
.8Y, while investment is given by I = 50.
a. What is the equilibrium level of income in this case?
b..
This document provides an overview of macroeconomics and the circular flow of income through several models. It discusses key concepts such as:
1. Macroeconomics studies the economy as a whole by looking at aggregates like total output and income, whereas microeconomics looks at individual units.
2. Common macroeconomic policy objectives are full employment, price stability, economic growth, and balance of payments equilibrium.
3. The circular flow of income can be modeled in a two-sector closed economy with households and firms or a three-sector model that includes government. Savings and investment are incorporated through financial markets to achieve equilibrium.
Independent Study - College of Wooster Research (2023-2024) FDI, Culture, Glo...AntoniaOwensDetwiler
"Does Foreign Direct Investment Negatively Affect Preservation of Culture in the Global South? Case Studies in Thailand and Cambodia."
Do elements of globalization, such as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), negatively affect the ability of countries in the Global South to preserve their culture? This research aims to answer this question by employing a cross-sectional comparative case study analysis utilizing methods of difference. Thailand and Cambodia are compared as they are in the same region and have a similar culture. The metric of difference between Thailand and Cambodia is their ability to preserve their culture. This ability is operationalized by their respective attitudes towards FDI; Thailand imposes stringent regulations and limitations on FDI while Cambodia does not hesitate to accept most FDI and imposes fewer limitations. The evidence from this study suggests that FDI from globally influential countries with high gross domestic products (GDPs) (e.g. China, U.S.) challenges the ability of countries with lower GDPs (e.g. Cambodia) to protect their culture. Furthermore, the ability, or lack thereof, of the receiving countries to protect their culture is amplified by the existence and implementation of restrictive FDI policies imposed by their governments.
My study abroad in Bali, Indonesia, inspired this research topic as I noticed how globalization is changing the culture of its people. I learned their language and way of life which helped me understand the beauty and importance of cultural preservation. I believe we could all benefit from learning new perspectives as they could help us ideate solutions to contemporary issues and empathize with others.
An accounting information system (AIS) refers to tools and systems designed for the collection and display of accounting information so accountants and executives can make informed decisions.
South Dakota State University degree offer diploma Transcriptynfqplhm
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The Impact of Generative AI and 4th Industrial RevolutionPaolo Maresca
This infographic explores the transformative power of Generative AI, a key driver of the 4th Industrial Revolution. Discover how Generative AI is revolutionizing industries, accelerating innovation, and shaping the future of work.
Economic Risk Factor Update: June 2024 [SlideShare]Commonwealth
May’s reports showed signs of continued economic growth, said Sam Millette, director, fixed income, in his latest Economic Risk Factor Update.
For more market updates, subscribe to The Independent Market Observer at https://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Every business, big or small, deals with outgoing payments. Whether it’s to suppliers for inventory, to employees for salaries, or to vendors for services rendered, keeping track of these expenses is crucial. This is where payment vouchers come in – the unsung heroes of the accounting world.
A toxic combination of 15 years of low growth, and four decades of high inequality, has left Britain poorer and falling behind its peers. Productivity growth is weak and public investment is low, while wages today are no higher than they were before the financial crisis. Britain needs a new economic strategy to lift itself out of stagnation.
Scotland is in many ways a microcosm of this challenge. It has become a hub for creative industries, is home to several world-class universities and a thriving community of businesses – strengths that need to be harness and leveraged. But it also has high levels of deprivation, with homelessness reaching a record high and nearly half a million people living in very deep poverty last year. Scotland won’t be truly thriving unless it finds ways to ensure that all its inhabitants benefit from growth and investment. This is the central challenge facing policy makers both in Holyrood and Westminster.
What should a new national economic strategy for Scotland include? What would the pursuit of stronger economic growth mean for local, national and UK-wide policy makers? How will economic change affect the jobs we do, the places we live and the businesses we work for? And what are the prospects for cities like Glasgow, and nations like Scotland, in rising to these challenges?
OJP data from firms like Vicinity Jobs have emerged as a complement to traditional sources of labour demand data, such as the Job Vacancy and Wages Survey (JVWS). Ibrahim Abuallail, PhD Candidate, University of Ottawa, presented research relating to bias in OJPs and a proposed approach to effectively adjust OJP data to complement existing official data (such as from the JVWS) and improve the measurement of labour demand.
Enhancing Asset Quality: Strategies for Financial Institutionsshruti1menon2
Ensuring robust asset quality is not just a mere aspect but a critical cornerstone for the stability and success of financial institutions worldwide. It serves as the bedrock upon which profitability is built and investor confidence is sustained. Therefore, in this presentation, we delve into a comprehensive exploration of strategies that can aid financial institutions in achieving and maintaining superior asset quality.
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OER 6 IS - LM Model
1. Chapter Ten 1
Aggregate Demand 1:
Building the IS-LM Model
®
A PowerPointTutorial
To Accompany
MACROECONOMICS, 7th. Edition
N. Gregory Mankiw
Tutorial written by:
Mannig J. Simidian
B.A. in Economics with Distinction, Duke University
M.P.A., Harvard University Kennedy School of Government
M.B.A., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sloan School of Management
2. Chapter Ten 2
The Great Depression caused many economists to question the
validity of classical economic theory (from Chapters 3-6). They
believed they needed a new model to explain such a pervasive
economic downturn and to suggest that government policies might
ease some of the economic hardship that society was experiencing.
In 1936, John Maynard Keynes wrote The General Theory of
Employment, Interest, and Money. In it, he proposed a new way to
analyze the economy, which he presented as an alternative to
the classical theory.
Keynes proposed that low aggregate demand is responsible for the low
income and high unemployment that characterize economic downturns.
He criticized the notion that aggregate supply alone determines national
income.
3. Chapter Ten 3
In 2008 and 2009, as the United States and Europe descended into a recession, the Keynesian
theory of the business cycle was often in the news. Policymakers around the world debated how
best to increase aggregate demand with both monetary and fiscal policy.
4. Chapter Ten 4
“Keynesian” means different things to different
people. It’s useful to think of the basic textbook
Keynesian model as an elaboration and extension
of the “classical theory.” Its variable velocity
of money and “sticky” prices reflects Keynes’s
belief that the Classical model’s shortcomings arose
from its overly-strict assumptions of constant
velocity and highly flexible wages and prices.
The model of aggregate demand (AD) can be split into two parts:
IS model of the “goods market” and the
LM model of the “money market.” “IS stands for Investment Saving,
Whereas LM stands for Liquidity Money.”
5. Chapter Ten 5
Price level, P
Income, Output, Y
SRAS
AD
Y* Y*'
AD'
AD''
Y*''
In the short run, when the price level is fixed, shifts in
the aggregate demand curve lead to changes in
national income, Y.
The model of aggregate demand developed in this chapter called
the IS-LM is the leading interpretation of Keynes’ work. The IS-LM
model takes the price level as given and shows what causes income to
change. It shows what causes AD to shift.
The Keynesian model can be viewed as showing what
causes the aggregate demand curve to shift.
6. Chapter Ten 6
IS (investment and saving)
model of the
‘goods market’
LM (liquidity and money)
model of the ‘money market
7. Chapter Ten 7
The IS curve (which stands for investment
saving) plots the relationship between the
interest rate and the level of income that
arises in the market for goods and services.
The LM curve (which stands for liquidity and
money) plots the relationship between the
interest rate and the level of income that
arises in the money market.
8. Chapter Ten 8
In the General Theory of Money, Interest and Employment (1936),
Keynes proposed that an economy’s total income was, in the short
run, determined largely by the desire to spend by households, firms,
and the government. The more people want to spend, the more goods
and services firms can sell. The more firms can sell, the more
output they will choose to produce and the more workers they will
choose to hire. Thus, the problem during recessions and depressions,
according to Keynes, was inadequate spending.
The Keynesian cross is an attempt to model this insight.
Because the interest rate influences both investment and money
demand, it is the variable that links the two parts of the IS-LM model.
The model shows how interactions between these markets determine
the position and slope of the aggregate demand curve, and therefore,
the level of national income in the short run.
9. Chapter Ten 9
The Keynesian cross shows how income Y is determined for given levels
of planned investment I and fiscal policy G and T. We can use this
model to show how income changes when one of the exogenous
variables change. Actual expenditure is the amount households, firms
and the government spend on goods and services (GDP). Planned
expenditure is the amount households, firms, and the government
would like to spend on goods and services. The economy is in
equilibrium when: Actual Expenditure = Planned Expenditure or Y = E
Expenditure, E
Income, output, Y
Actual expenditure, Y=E
Planned expenditure,
E = C + I + G
Y YY*
10. Chapter Ten 10
Expenditure, E
Income, output, Y
Actual expenditure, Y = E
Planned expenditure,
E = C + I + G
Y2 Y1Y*
The 45-degree line (Y=E) plots the points where this condition holds.
With the addition of the planned-expenditure function, this diagram
becomes the Keynesian cross.
How does the economy get to this equilibrium? Inventories play an
important role in the adjustment process. Whenever the economy is
not in equilibrium, firms experience unplanned changes in inventories,
and this induces them to change production levels. Changes in
production in turn influence total income and expenditure, moving the
economy toward equilibrium.
11. Chapter Ten 11
Consider how changes in government purchases affect the economy.
Because government purchases are one component of expenditure,
higher government purchases result in higher planned expenditure,
for any given level of income.
Expenditure, E
Income, output, Y
Actual expenditure, Y=E
Planned expenditure,
E = C + I + G
Y1Y*
DG
An increase in government purchases of DG raises planned expenditure
by that amount for any given level of income. The equilibrium moves
from A to B and income rises. Note that the increase in income Y
exceeds the increase in government purchases DG.
Thus, fiscal policy has a multiplied effect on income.
A
B
12. Chapter Ten 12
If government spending were to increase by $1, then you might expect
equilibrium output (Y) to also rise by $1.
But it doesn’t! The multiplier shows that the change in demand for
output (Y) will be larger than the initial change in spending. Here’s why:
When there is an increase in government spending (DG), income rises by
DG as well. The increase in income will raise consumption by MPC
DG, where MPC is the marginal propensity to consume. The increase in
consumption raises expenditure and income again. The second increase
in income of MPC DG again raises consumption, this time by MPC
(MPC DG), which again raises income and so on.
So, the multiplier process helps explain fluctuations in the demand for
output. For example, if something in the economy decreases investment
spending, then people whose incomes have decreased will spend less,
thereby driving equilibrium demand down even further.
13. Chapter Ten 13
The government-purchases multiplier is:
DY/DG = 1 + MPC + MPC2 + MPC3 + …
DY/DG = 1 / 1 - MPC
The tax multiplier is:
DY/DT = - MPC / (1 - MPC)
14. Chapter Ten 14
A Mankiw
Macroeconomics
Case Study
Increasing Government
Purchases to Stimulate the
Economy:
The Obama Spending Plan
When President Obama took office in 2009, the economy was undergoing a significant recession.
He proposed a package that would cost the government about $800 billion, or about 5% of annual
GDP. The package included some tax cuts and higher transfer payments, but much of it was made
up of increases in government purchases of goods and services.
15. Chapter Ten 15
Let’s now add the relationship between the interest rate and investment
to our model, writing the level of planned investment as: I = I (r).
On the next slide, the investment function is graphed downward
sloping showing the inverse relationship between investment
and the interest rate. To determine how income changes when the
interest rate changes, we combine the investment function with the
Keynesian-cross diagram.
The IS curve summarizes this relationship between the interest rate
and the level of income. In essence, the IS curve combines the interaction
between I and Y demonstrated by the Keynesian cross. Because an
increase in the interest rate causes planned investment to fall, which in
turn causes income to fall, the IS curve slopes downward.
16. Chapter Ten 16
E
Income, output, Y
Y = E
Planned expenditure,
E = C + I + G
r
Income, output, Y
r
Investment, I
I(r) IS
An increase in the interest
rate (in graph a), lowers
planned investment,
which shifts planned
expenditure downward (in
graph b) and lowers
income (in graph c).
(a)
(b)
(c)
17. Chapter Ten 17
In summary, the IS curve shows the combinations of the interest rate
and the level of income that are consistent with equilibrium in the
market for goods and services. The IS curve is drawn for a given fiscal
policy. Changes in fiscal policy that raise the demand for goods and
services shift the IS curve to the right. Changes in fiscal policy that
reduce the demand for goods and services shift the IS curve to the left.
18. Chapter Ten 18
r
M/PM/P
Supply
Now that we’ve derived the IS part of AD, it’s now time to complete the
model of AD by adding a money market equilibrium schedule, the LM
curve. To develop this theory, we begin with the supply of real money
balances (M/P); both of these variables are taken to be exogenously
given. This yields a vertical supply curve.
Now, consider the demand for real money balances,
L. The theory of liquidity preference suggests
that a higher interest rate lowers the quantity of
real balances demanded, because r is the
opportunity cost of holding money.
Demand, L (r)
The supply and demand for real money balances
determine the interest rate. At the equilibrium
interest rate, the quantity of money balances
demanded equals the quantity supplied.
20. Chapter Ten 20
(M/P)d = L (r,Y)
The quantity of real money balances demanded is negatively related
to the interest rate (because r is the opportunity cost of holding money)
and positively related to income (because of transactions demand).
21. Chapter Ten 21
r
M/PM/P
Supply
Demand, L (r,Y)
Since the price level is fixed, a reduction in the money supply reduces
the supply of real balances. Notice the equilibrium interest rate rose.
A Reduction in the
Money Supply: -DM/P
Supply'
22. Chapter Ten 22
r
M/PM/P
Supply
L (r,Y)'
L (r,Y)
r1
r2
r
Y
LM
An increase in income raises money demand, which increases the
interest rate; this is called an increase in transactions demand
for money. The LM curve summarizes these changes in the money
market equilibrium.
23. Chapter Ten 23
r
M/P
L (r,Y)
r
Y
LM
M/P
Supply
A contraction in the money supply raises the interest rate that equilibrates
the money market. Why? Because a higher interest rate is needed to
convince people to hold a smaller quantity of real balances.
As a result of the decrease in the money supply, LM shifts upward.
r1 r1
M´/P
Supply'
LM'
r2 r2
24. Chapter Ten 24
r
Y
LM(P0)IS
r0
Y0
The intersection of the IS curve/equation, Y= C (Y-T) + I(r) + G and
the LM curve/equation M/P = L(r, Y) determines the level of aggregate
demand. The intersection of the IS and LM curves represents
simultaneous equilibrium in the market for goods and services and in
the market for real money balances for given values of government
spending, taxes, the money supply, and the price level.
25. Chapter Ten 25
Aggregate Demand II:
Applying the IS-LM Model
®
A PowerPointTutorial
To Accompany
MACROECONOMICS, 7th. Edition
N. Gregory Mankiw
Tutorial written by:
Mannig J. Simidian
B.A. in Economics with Distinction, Duke University
M.P.A., Harvard University Kennedy School of Government
M.B.A., Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sloan School of Management
26. Chapter Ten 26
Now that we’ve assembled the
IS-LM model of aggregate
demand, let’s apply it to three
issues:
1) Causes of fluctuations in
national income
2) How IS-LM fits into the
model of aggregate supply and
aggregate demand in Chapter 9
3) The Great Depression
r
Y
LM(P0)IS
r0
Y0
27. Chapter Ten 27
The intersection of the IS curve and the LM
curve determines the level of national income,
and the interest rate for a given price level. If the
IS or LM curve shifts, the short-run equilibrium
of the economy changes, and national income
fluctuates. Let’s examine how changes in policy
and shocks to the economy can cause these
curves to shift.
29. Chapter Ten 29
LMr
Y
IS
A
+DG Consider an increase in government purchases.
This will raise the level of income by DG/(1- MPC).
IS´
B
The IS curve shifts to the right by DG/(1- MPC) which raises income
and the interest rate.
30. Chapter Ten 30
LMr
Y
IS
A
-DT Consider a decrease in taxes of DT.
This will raise the level of income by
DT × MPC/(1- MPC).
IS´
B
The IS curve shifts to the right by DT × MPC/(1- MPC) which raises
income and the interest rate.
32. Chapter Ten 32
ISr
Y
LM
A
LM
B
+DM Consider an increase in the money supply.
The LM curve shifts downward and lowers the interest rate which raises
income. Why? Because when the Fed increases the supply of money, people
have more money than they want to hold at the prevailing interest rate. As a
result, they start depositing this extra money in banks or use it to buy bonds.
The interest rate r then falls until people are willing to hold all the extra
money that the Fed has created; this brings the money market to a new
equilibrium. The lower interest rate, in turn, has ramifications for the goods
market. A lower interest rate stimulates planned investment, which increases
planned expenditure, production, and income Y.
33. Chapter Ten 33
The IS-LM model shows that monetary policy influences income by
changing the interest rate. This conclusion sheds light on our analysis
of monetary policy in Chapter 9. In that chapter we showed that in
the short run, when prices are sticky, an expansion in the money
supply raises income. But we didn’t discuss how a monetary
expansion induces greater spending on goods and services—a process
called the monetary transmission mechanism.
The IS-LM model shows that an increase in the money supply lowers
the interest rate, which stimulates investment and thereby expands the
demand for goods and services.
34. Chapter Ten 34
The IS-LM model shows how monetary and fiscal policy influence
the equilibrium level of income. The predictions of the model,
however, are qualitative, not quantitative. The IS-LM model that
shows that increases in government purchases raise GDP and that
increases in taxes lower GDP. But, when economists analyze specific
policy proposals, they must know the direction and size of the effect.
Macroeconometric models describe the economy quantitatively,
rather than just qualitatively.
36. Chapter Ten 36
You probably noticed from the IS and LM diagrams that r and Y were on
the two axes. Now we’re going to bring a third variable, the price level
(P) into the analysis. We can accomplish this by linking both two-
dimensional graphs.
r
P Y
Y
IS
LM(P1)
A
A
AD
To derive AD, start at point A in the top
graph. Now increase the price level from P1
to P2.
An increase in P lowers the value of real money
balances, and Y, shifting LM leftward to point B.
The +DP triggers a sequence of events that end
with a -DY, the inverse relationship that defines
the downward slope of AD.
Notice that r increased. Since r increased, we know
that investment will decrease, as it just got more
costly to take on various investment projects. This
sets off a multiplier process since -DI causes a –DY.
The - DY triggers -DC as we move up the IS curve.
LM(P2)
B
BP2
P1
37. Chapter Ten 37
+DG
This translates into a rightward shift of the IS and AD curves.
LM (P2)
Suppose there is a +DG.
In the short run, we move along SRAS from
point A to point B.
But as the output market clears, in the long-run,
the price level will increase from P0 to P2.
This +DP decreases the value of real money
balances, which translates into a leftward shift
of the LM curve.
Finally, this leaves us at point C in both diagrams.
r
P
Y
Y
IS
LM(P0)
A
D
P
0
AD´
IS´
SRAS
A
A
B
B
P2
C
C
LRAS
Y = C (Y-T) + I(r) + G
M/ P = L (r, Y)
38. Chapter Ten 38
Now it’s time to determine the effects on the variables in the economy.
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
Remember that SR is the movement
from A to B.
+, because Y moved from Y* to Y´
0, because prices are sticky in the SR.
+, because a +DY leads to a rise in r
as IS slides along the LM curve.
+, because a +DY increases the level of
consumption (C=C(Y-T)).
– , since r increased, the level of
investment decreased.
Y
P
r
C
I
r
P
Y
Y
IS LM(P0)
AD
P0
AD´
IS´
SRAS
A
A
B
B
P2
C
C
LRAS
*Y Y´
LM(P2)
39. Chapter Ten 39
+, in order to eliminate the excess demand at P0.
0, because rising P shifts LM to left, returning
Y to Y* as required by long-run LRAS.
+, reflecting the leftward shift in LM due
to +DP
0, since both Y and T are back to their initial
levels (C=C(Y-T))
– – , since r has risen even more due to the
+DP.
Y
P
r
C
I
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
Remember that LR is the movement from A to C.
r
P
Y
Y
IS LM(P0)
A
D
P0
AD´
IS´
SRAS
A
A
B
B
P2
C
C
LRAS
*Y Y´
LM(P2)
40. Chapter Ten 40
LM
B
AD´
B
Notice that M/ was increased, thus increasing the value of the real money
supply which translates into a rightward shift of the LM and AD curves.
Suppose there is a +DM.
Look at the appropriate equation
that captures the M term:
In the short run, we move along SRAS from
point A to point B.
But as the output market clears, in the long run,
the price level will increase from P0 to P2.
This +DP decreases the value of the
real money supply which translates into a
leftward shift of the LM curve.
Finally, this leaves us at point C in both diagrams.
C
AD
ISr
P
Y
Y
LM(P0)
P
0
SRAS
A
A
LRAS
= C
P2
M/ P = L (r, Y)
M/ P = L (r, Y)
41. Chapter Ten 41
Now it’s time to determine the effects on the variables in the economy.
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
Remember that SR is the
movement from A to B.
+, because Y moved from Y* to Y´.
0, because prices are sticky in the SR.
–, because a +DY leads to a decrease in r
as LM slides along the IS curve.
+, because a +DY increases the level of
consumption (C=C(Y-T)).
+ , since r increased, the level of
investment decreased.
Y
P
r
C
I
LM
B
AD´
B
C
AD
ISr
P
Y
Y
LM(P0)
P0
SRAS
A
A
LRAS
= C
P2
(P2)
Y´Y*
42. Chapter Ten 42
+, in order to eliminate the excess demand at P0.
0, because rising P shifts LM to left, returning
Y to Y* as required by LRAS.
0, reflecting the leftward shift in LM due
to +DP, restoring r to its original level.
0, since both Y and T are back to their initial
levels (C=C(Y-T)).
0, since Y or r has not changed.
Y
P
r
C
I
For the variables Y, P, and r, you can read the effects right off the diagrams.
Remember that LR is the movement from A to C.
Notice that the only LR impact of an
increase in the money supply was an
increase in the price level.
LM
B
AD´
B
C
= C
P2
AD
ISr
P
Y
Y
LM(P0)
P0
SRAS
A
A
LRAS
Y´Y*
44. Chapter Ten 44
LM(P0)
1) +DC causes the IS curve to shift
right to IS‘.
SRAS
2) This leads to a rightward shift in AD
to AD’.
Short Run:
Move from A to B.
Long Run:
Market clears at P0 to P2
from B to C.
3) +DP causes LM(P0) to shift leftward
to LM(P2) due to the lowering of the
real value of the money supply.
r
Y
P
Y
IS
AD
IS'
P0
AD'
LRAS
LM(P2)
A
A
B
B
P2
C
C
Y = C (Y-T) + I(r) + G
M/ P = L (r, Y)
45. Chapter Ten 45
Short
Run:
Y +
P 0
r +
C +
I -
Long
Run:
0
+
++
+
--
SRAS
r
Y
P
Y
IS
AD
IS'
P0
AD'
LRAS
LM(P2)
A
A
B
B
P2
C
C
LM(P0)
46. Chapter Ten 46
The spending hypothesis suggests that perhaps the cause of the
decline may have been a contractionary shift of the IS curve.
The money hypothesis attempts to explain the effects of the historical
fall of the money supply of 25 percent from 1929 to 1933, during which
time unemployment rose from 3.2 percent to 25.2 percent.
Some economists say that deflation worsened the Great Depression.
They argue that the deflation may have turned what in 1931 was a
typical economic downturn into an unprecedented period of high
unemployment and depressed income. Because the falling money
supply was possibly responsible for the falling price level, it could
very well have been responsible for the severity of the depression. Let’s
see how changes in the price level affect income in the IS-LM model.
47. Chapter Ten 47
A Mankiw
Macroeconomics
Case Study
The Financial Crisis and the
Economic Downturn of 2008 and 2009
In 2008, the economy experienced a financial crisis stemming
mainly from the 20% fall in housing prices across the nation.
This had four main repercussions:
1) Rise in mortgage defaults and house foreclosures
2) Large losses at the various financial institutions that owned
Mortgage-backed securities
3) Rise in stock market volatility, which led to a decline in
consumer confidence
In January 2009, President Barack Obama proposed to increase he proposed to increase
government spending to stimulate AD.This is almost surely not going to prevent the
economy from dipping further into a downward spiral.
48. Chapter Ten 48
In the IS-LM model, falling prices raise income. For any given
supply of money M, a lower price level implies higher real
money balances, M/P. An increase in real money balances causes
an expansionary shift in the LM curve, which leads to higher
income.
Another way in which falling prices increase income is called
the Pigou effect. In the 1930s, economist Arthur Pigou pointed out
that real money balances are part of household wealth. As prices fall
and real money balances rise, households increase their
consumption spending and the IS curve shifts to the right.
49. Chapter Ten 49
There are two theories to explain how falling prices could depress
income rather than raise it.
1) Debt-deflation theory, unexpected falls in the price level
2) Effects of expected inflation
Debt-deflation theory redistributes wealth between creditors and
debtors. A fall in the price level raises the real amount of the debt.
The impoverishment of the debtors causes them to spend less, and
creditors to spend more. If their propensities to consume are the
same, there is no aggregate effect. But, if debtors reduce more than
the amount that creditors increase spending, the net effect on
aggregate demand is a reduction. This contracts IS, and reduces
national income.
50. Chapter Ten 50
LM
Y
IS
A
IS´
B
An expected deflation (a negative value of pe) raises the real interest
rate for any given nominal interest rate, and this depresses investment
spending. The reduction in investment shifts the IS curve downward.
The level of income and the nominal interest rate (i) fall, but the real
interest rate (r) rises.
i2
r1 = i1
r2
interest rate, i