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CAPITAL BUDETING 
1
2 
OOuuttlliinnee 
 Projects 
 Investment Criteria 
 NPV v. IRR 
 Sources of NPV 
 Project Cash Flow Checklist
3 
PPrroojjeeccttss 
A project is any potential real investment 
opportunity 
Distinguish real from financial 
Mutually Exclusive - can do only one 
Independent - decision about one does not 
affect decision w/r/t the others 
Replacement - special case
IInnvveessttmmeenntt CCrriitteerriiaa 
Investment criteria are the rules by which we 
decide whether or not to accept a particular 
project; consider the following: 
Y ear Project A Project B 
0 (10,000) (10,000) 
1 6,500 3,500 
2 3,000 3,500 
3 3,000 3,500 
4 1,000 3,500 
4
AAccccoouunnttiinngg RRaattee ooff RReettuurrnn 
ARR = Avg. Income / Avg. Investment 
Uses Income rather than Cash Flow 
5 
Ignores Time Value of Money
6 
PPaayybbaacckk 
Years needed to recover initial investment 
To Find: Calculate where cumulative cash 
flows become positive 
Project A: 2 1/6 years 
Project B: 2 6/7 years
PPrroobblleemmss wwiitthh PPaayybbaacckk 
Ignores Time Value of Money 
Can use Discounted Payback; Why? 
Ignores CF’s after payback 
To see: Assume Project B’s cash flow in 
year 4 is 1,000,000; how does this affect 
payback 
7
8 
NNeett PPrreesseenntt VVaalluuee 
This rule is always consistent with 
maximizing the value of the firm 
Economically, take all projects for which 
benefits  costs (in PV dollars) 
Mathematically, sum the present values of 
all the cash flows
NNeett PPrreesseenntt VVaalluuee 
= å - 
R CF 
NPV i 0 
9 
n CF 
i 
1 (1 ) 
i 
= +
10 
NNPPVV eexxaammppllee 
Year Project A Project B 
0 (10,000) (10,000) 
1 5,804 3.125 
2 2,392 2.790 
3 2,135 2,491 
4 636 2,224 
967 630
IInntteerrnnaall RRaattee ooff RReettuurrnn ((IIRRRR)) 
IRR - That rate which causes NPV to = 0. 
11 
0 = i CF 
nå 
i i=1 (1+IRR) 
- 0 CF
12 
IIRRRR 
Independent Projects - select all projects for 
which IRR  Cost of Capital 
Mutually Exclusive - select project with 
highest IRR 
Use ‘well-designed’ spreadsheet
CCoommppaarriissoonn ooff NNPPVV  IIRRRR 
Business people are accustomed to thinking 
in rates of return, so does it matter which of 
NPV or IRR we use? 
Independent - the two rules are equivalent 
NPV  0 == IRR  Cost of Capital 
13
CCoommppaarriissoonn ooff NNPPVV  IIRRRR 
Mutually Exclusive Projects - can get 
different answers 
14 
NPV Profile for Example 
Reinvestment Assumption
NNPPVV vv.. IIRRRR EExxaammppllee 
Project 1: (100,000) 125,000 
Project 2: 1,000 2,000 
NPV IRR 
Project 1 13,636 25% 
Project 2 818 100% 
15
NNPPVV vv.. IIRRRR,, ccoonntt.. 
16 
IRR == Do Project 2 
NPV == Do Project 1 
Problem: Reinvestment Assumption 
What are you going to do with the other 
$99,000?
PPrrooffiittaabbiilliittyy IInnddeexx 
PV Cash Inflows / PV Cash Outflows 
Independent: Choose all with PI  1 
Mutually Exclusive: Choose highest PI 
Project 1: 1.136 
Project 2: 1.818 
May be useful for capital rationing 
17
OOtthheerr RReeaall OOppttiioonnss 
18 
Option to Expand 
Option to Abandon 
Strategic Options 
Excluding biases NPV down 
Decision Tree: Capital Budgeting should be 
dynamic, not static
19 
SSoouurrccee ooff NNPPVV 
Market Opportunities - ‘deviations from 
equilibrium’ 
 Economies of Scale 
 Cost Advantages 
 Product differentiation 
 Distribution Advantage 
 Regulatory Protection
RReelleevvaanntt CCaasshh FFlloowwss 
20 
We can always write: 
EBIT 
+ Depreciation 
- Taxes (t x EBIT) 
= Operating Cash Flow 
- Δ NWC 
- Capital Spending 
= FCF
21 
CCaasshh FFlloowwss 
1. Focus on Cash Flows; not accounting #’s 
Depreciation 
Not a cash flow 
Affects Cash Flow through depreciation 
Capital spending 
Capitalized for accounting purposes 
Cash outflow for finance purposes
PPrroojjeecctt CCaasshh FFlloowwss 
2 Focus on Incremental Cash Flows 
“What is different if project is accepted?” 
 Sunk Costs - those costs which have been 
incurred and are not affected by project 
decision 
 Opportunity Cost - highest value use of an 
asset if not used in project 
22
PPrroojjeecctt CCFF’’ss,, ccoonntt.. 
3 Externalities - less obvious costs/benefits 
which should be included in analysis 
4 Change in NWC - often a cash outflow 
initially and cash inflow at end 
5 Cash flows should be after tax 
23 
ΔRev/Exp x (1-t) 
Depreciation x t 
6 Do not include interest as a cash flow
PPrroojjeecctt CCFF’’ss,, ccoonntt.. 
 Replacement problem - should you keep an 
existing asset, or replace it with a new one 
 Δ in Cash Flows 
 Net of tax proceeds from disposal of 
existing asset 
24

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Capital budgeting 28

  • 2. 2 OOuuttlliinnee Projects Investment Criteria NPV v. IRR Sources of NPV Project Cash Flow Checklist
  • 3. 3 PPrroojjeeccttss A project is any potential real investment opportunity Distinguish real from financial Mutually Exclusive - can do only one Independent - decision about one does not affect decision w/r/t the others Replacement - special case
  • 4. IInnvveessttmmeenntt CCrriitteerriiaa Investment criteria are the rules by which we decide whether or not to accept a particular project; consider the following: Y ear Project A Project B 0 (10,000) (10,000) 1 6,500 3,500 2 3,000 3,500 3 3,000 3,500 4 1,000 3,500 4
  • 5. AAccccoouunnttiinngg RRaattee ooff RReettuurrnn ARR = Avg. Income / Avg. Investment Uses Income rather than Cash Flow 5 Ignores Time Value of Money
  • 6. 6 PPaayybbaacckk Years needed to recover initial investment To Find: Calculate where cumulative cash flows become positive Project A: 2 1/6 years Project B: 2 6/7 years
  • 7. PPrroobblleemmss wwiitthh PPaayybbaacckk Ignores Time Value of Money Can use Discounted Payback; Why? Ignores CF’s after payback To see: Assume Project B’s cash flow in year 4 is 1,000,000; how does this affect payback 7
  • 8. 8 NNeett PPrreesseenntt VVaalluuee This rule is always consistent with maximizing the value of the firm Economically, take all projects for which benefits costs (in PV dollars) Mathematically, sum the present values of all the cash flows
  • 9. NNeett PPrreesseenntt VVaalluuee = å - R CF NPV i 0 9 n CF i 1 (1 ) i = +
  • 10. 10 NNPPVV eexxaammppllee Year Project A Project B 0 (10,000) (10,000) 1 5,804 3.125 2 2,392 2.790 3 2,135 2,491 4 636 2,224 967 630
  • 11. IInntteerrnnaall RRaattee ooff RReettuurrnn ((IIRRRR)) IRR - That rate which causes NPV to = 0. 11 0 = i CF nå i i=1 (1+IRR) - 0 CF
  • 12. 12 IIRRRR Independent Projects - select all projects for which IRR Cost of Capital Mutually Exclusive - select project with highest IRR Use ‘well-designed’ spreadsheet
  • 13. CCoommppaarriissoonn ooff NNPPVV IIRRRR Business people are accustomed to thinking in rates of return, so does it matter which of NPV or IRR we use? Independent - the two rules are equivalent NPV 0 == IRR Cost of Capital 13
  • 14. CCoommppaarriissoonn ooff NNPPVV IIRRRR Mutually Exclusive Projects - can get different answers 14 NPV Profile for Example Reinvestment Assumption
  • 15. NNPPVV vv.. IIRRRR EExxaammppllee Project 1: (100,000) 125,000 Project 2: 1,000 2,000 NPV IRR Project 1 13,636 25% Project 2 818 100% 15
  • 16. NNPPVV vv.. IIRRRR,, ccoonntt.. 16 IRR == Do Project 2 NPV == Do Project 1 Problem: Reinvestment Assumption What are you going to do with the other $99,000?
  • 17. PPrrooffiittaabbiilliittyy IInnddeexx PV Cash Inflows / PV Cash Outflows Independent: Choose all with PI 1 Mutually Exclusive: Choose highest PI Project 1: 1.136 Project 2: 1.818 May be useful for capital rationing 17
  • 18. OOtthheerr RReeaall OOppttiioonnss 18 Option to Expand Option to Abandon Strategic Options Excluding biases NPV down Decision Tree: Capital Budgeting should be dynamic, not static
  • 19. 19 SSoouurrccee ooff NNPPVV Market Opportunities - ‘deviations from equilibrium’ Economies of Scale Cost Advantages Product differentiation Distribution Advantage Regulatory Protection
  • 20. RReelleevvaanntt CCaasshh FFlloowwss 20 We can always write: EBIT + Depreciation - Taxes (t x EBIT) = Operating Cash Flow - Δ NWC - Capital Spending = FCF
  • 21. 21 CCaasshh FFlloowwss 1. Focus on Cash Flows; not accounting #’s Depreciation Not a cash flow Affects Cash Flow through depreciation Capital spending Capitalized for accounting purposes Cash outflow for finance purposes
  • 22. PPrroojjeecctt CCaasshh FFlloowwss 2 Focus on Incremental Cash Flows “What is different if project is accepted?” Sunk Costs - those costs which have been incurred and are not affected by project decision Opportunity Cost - highest value use of an asset if not used in project 22
  • 23. PPrroojjeecctt CCFF’’ss,, ccoonntt.. 3 Externalities - less obvious costs/benefits which should be included in analysis 4 Change in NWC - often a cash outflow initially and cash inflow at end 5 Cash flows should be after tax 23 ΔRev/Exp x (1-t) Depreciation x t 6 Do not include interest as a cash flow
  • 24. PPrroojjeecctt CCFF’’ss,, ccoonntt.. Replacement problem - should you keep an existing asset, or replace it with a new one Δ in Cash Flows Net of tax proceeds from disposal of existing asset 24