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The New Inlet and its Evolution since Sandy
Charles Flagg, Research Professor
Stony Brook University
Roger Flood, Professor
Robert Wilson, Assoc. Professor
Dong-Ming Yang, Graduate Student
Rich Giannotti, Pilot
Don Richards, Pilot
Rich Weissmann, Photographer
Mike Ferigno, Photographer
Justin Flagg, Photographer
Brian Wasser, Photographer

http://po.msrc.sunysb.edu/GSB
April 9, 2005

C. Flagg
November 3, 2012 ~0900 EDT (~1300 GMT)

C. Flagg and R. Giannotti
Nov 3

Nov 11

Nov 11

Nov 29

Nov 18

Courtesy of Patti Rafferty, NPS
Jan 6
Nov 29

Dec 20

Jan 6
January 27, 2013
February 2, 2013
February 14, 2013
March 10, 2013
Shoreline Analysis by the National Park Service

Courtesy of Patti Rafferty, NPS
Oblique Aerial Photo taken on Sunday March 10

C. Flagg and R. Giannotti
Hi-Tech Bathymetric Surveying Technique
RTK GPS

December 7, 2012

Fathometer

March 17, 2013
Courtesy of P. Rafferty, NPS
February 22 Bathymetric Survey of the inlet

Roger Flood
SoMAS, Stony Brook Univ.
Bottom Profiles at Northern End of Inlet
Great South Bay Observatory
Funded by New York Department of State
Sensors deployed at the Bellport marina since 2004
Sea Bird Electronics “SeaCat”, SBE 16 and SBE 16Plus
Temperature and salinity

Temperature, salinity, sea Level,
chlorophyll and turbidity
Great South Bay Buoy #1
Deployed ~2 mi south of Sayville
Pre-inlet responses of the ocean and eastern bay to strong winds

High waves
can over-top
the dunes

Low salinity river
waters enter the bay

mean water level
Waves scour
the beach

Bay waters flow
up river
Tides Before and After Hurricane Sandy and
the opening of the Breach at Old Inlet

Amplitude and Phase of the M2 tidal constituent, 12.42 hour period
Before Hurricane Sandy

After Hurricane Sandy

Amplitude, m

Phase, Deg

Amplitude, m

Phase, Deg

Bellport

0.16

102.8

0.16

93.8

Barrett Beach

0.15

100.3

0.15

99.0

Fire Island
Inlet

0.23

11.7

0.22

12.4

Tanner Park

0.20

63.1

0.19

62.6

Amplitude is ½ the tide range
USGS tide gauge
at Lindenhurst
We have seen Wide Spread Sea Level Fluctuations
Woods Hole

Bellport
Lindehurst

Atlantic City

Chesapeake Bay
What Happens in Great South Bay is Often the Result of Ocean Forcing
Comparison of Previous Winter Water Level Fluctuations

Sandy
Bellport Bay Nitrogen Load
data from 2010 thru 2012
Post Sandy

Data courtesy of the
Suffolk County Department of Health Services
The New Inlet is a dynamic system that responds to tides, storm surges and ocean
waves, and it will continue to evolve.
As part of this evolution, the inlet will continue to move west.
Although the inlet has increased in size since it was formed, it is uncertain whether this
trend will continue as we move into the summer period with milder weather when sand
typically is deposited on the beach.
The inlet is relatively small compared to the other inlets and this is reflected in the lack
of change in the tide range at Bellport and the Great South Bay in general.
There is an increased exchange of waters with the ocean in the eastern Great South Bay
and this will undoubtedly improve the water quality of the area.
We have experienced unusually frequent storms over the past months which have
caused repeated local flooding through a combination of ocean and local Bay response
to winds.
The Bay closely matches low-frequency ocean sea level changes and the existence of the
new inlet has little to no impact on the Bay’s response.

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Bellport mar 23_2013

  • 1. The New Inlet and its Evolution since Sandy Charles Flagg, Research Professor Stony Brook University Roger Flood, Professor Robert Wilson, Assoc. Professor Dong-Ming Yang, Graduate Student Rich Giannotti, Pilot Don Richards, Pilot Rich Weissmann, Photographer Mike Ferigno, Photographer Justin Flagg, Photographer Brian Wasser, Photographer http://po.msrc.sunysb.edu/GSB
  • 3. November 3, 2012 ~0900 EDT (~1300 GMT) C. Flagg and R. Giannotti
  • 4. Nov 3 Nov 11 Nov 11 Nov 29 Nov 18 Courtesy of Patti Rafferty, NPS Jan 6
  • 10. Shoreline Analysis by the National Park Service Courtesy of Patti Rafferty, NPS
  • 11. Oblique Aerial Photo taken on Sunday March 10 C. Flagg and R. Giannotti
  • 12. Hi-Tech Bathymetric Surveying Technique RTK GPS December 7, 2012 Fathometer March 17, 2013
  • 13. Courtesy of P. Rafferty, NPS
  • 14. February 22 Bathymetric Survey of the inlet Roger Flood SoMAS, Stony Brook Univ.
  • 15. Bottom Profiles at Northern End of Inlet
  • 16. Great South Bay Observatory Funded by New York Department of State
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  • 18. Sensors deployed at the Bellport marina since 2004 Sea Bird Electronics “SeaCat”, SBE 16 and SBE 16Plus Temperature and salinity Temperature, salinity, sea Level, chlorophyll and turbidity
  • 19. Great South Bay Buoy #1 Deployed ~2 mi south of Sayville
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  • 23. Pre-inlet responses of the ocean and eastern bay to strong winds High waves can over-top the dunes Low salinity river waters enter the bay mean water level Waves scour the beach Bay waters flow up river
  • 24. Tides Before and After Hurricane Sandy and the opening of the Breach at Old Inlet Amplitude and Phase of the M2 tidal constituent, 12.42 hour period Before Hurricane Sandy After Hurricane Sandy Amplitude, m Phase, Deg Amplitude, m Phase, Deg Bellport 0.16 102.8 0.16 93.8 Barrett Beach 0.15 100.3 0.15 99.0 Fire Island Inlet 0.23 11.7 0.22 12.4 Tanner Park 0.20 63.1 0.19 62.6 Amplitude is ½ the tide range
  • 25. USGS tide gauge at Lindenhurst
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  • 27. We have seen Wide Spread Sea Level Fluctuations Woods Hole Bellport Lindehurst Atlantic City Chesapeake Bay
  • 28. What Happens in Great South Bay is Often the Result of Ocean Forcing
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  • 30. Comparison of Previous Winter Water Level Fluctuations Sandy
  • 31. Bellport Bay Nitrogen Load data from 2010 thru 2012 Post Sandy Data courtesy of the Suffolk County Department of Health Services
  • 32. The New Inlet is a dynamic system that responds to tides, storm surges and ocean waves, and it will continue to evolve. As part of this evolution, the inlet will continue to move west. Although the inlet has increased in size since it was formed, it is uncertain whether this trend will continue as we move into the summer period with milder weather when sand typically is deposited on the beach. The inlet is relatively small compared to the other inlets and this is reflected in the lack of change in the tide range at Bellport and the Great South Bay in general. There is an increased exchange of waters with the ocean in the eastern Great South Bay and this will undoubtedly improve the water quality of the area. We have experienced unusually frequent storms over the past months which have caused repeated local flooding through a combination of ocean and local Bay response to winds. The Bay closely matches low-frequency ocean sea level changes and the existence of the new inlet has little to no impact on the Bay’s response.