Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

Sea level rise science

1,053 views

Published on

Sea level rise on the Hudson Estuary: Sacha Spector, PhD, director of conservation science, Scenic Hudson share impacts associated with sea level rise including SLAMM, Sea Level Rise Affecting Marshes Model.

Published in: Science
  • DOWNLOAD FULL. BOOKS INTO AVAILABLE FORMAT ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. PDF EBOOK here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. EPUB Ebook here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. doc Ebook here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. PDF EBOOK here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. EPUB Ebook here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... 1.DOWNLOAD FULL. doc Ebook here { https://tinyurl.com/y8nn3gmc } ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... ......................................................................................................................... .............. Browse by Genre Available eBooks ......................................................................................................................... Art, Biography, Business, Chick Lit, Children's, Christian, Classics, Comics, Contemporary, Cookbooks, Crime, Ebooks, Fantasy, Fiction, Graphic Novels, Historical Fiction, History, Horror, Humor And Comedy, Manga, Memoir, Music, Mystery, Non Fiction, Paranormal, Philosophy, Poetry, Psychology, Religion, Romance, Science, Science Fiction, Self Help, Suspense, Spirituality, Sports, Thriller, Travel, Young Adult,
       Reply 
    Are you sure you want to  Yes  No
    Your message goes here

Sea level rise science

  1. 1. SEA LEVEL RISE ON THE ESTUARY
  2. 2. THE HUDSON RIVER VALLEY
  3. 3. WHAT IS SEA LEVEL?
  4. 4. WHAT IS SEA LEVEL?
  5. 5. MSL is defined as the zero elevation for a local area. MSL is usually described as a surface that is the arithmetic mean of hourly water elevations observed over a specific 19-year cycle. This definition averages out tidal highs and lows caused by the changing effects of the gravitational forces from the moon and sun. WHAT IS SEA LEVEL?
  6. 6. HOW DO WE TRACK SEA LEVEL? TIDE GAUGES SATELLITES GEOLOGY
  7. 7. A RISING RIVER ‣ Hudson River is over 12” higher than a century ago ‣ 21st Century SLR is much more rapid and seems to be accelerating 1856-2010: 1.7mm/yr 1996-2013: 3.7mm/yr rolling 5 year average 2000 - 2011: 6.76mm/yr Hudson River Sea Level 1856-2013 (in mm, observed at Manhattan
  8. 8. What causes the sea level to change?
  9. 9. What causes the sea level to change?
  10. 10. What causes the sea level to change?
  11. 11. LAND-BASED ICE CONTRIBUTION TO SEA LEVEL RISE
  12. 12. LAND-BASED ICE CONTRIBUTION TO SEA LEVEL RISE
  13. 13. What causes the sea level to change?
  14. 14. What causes the sea level to change?
  15. 15. What causes the sea level to change?
  16. 16. RELATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS TO SEA LEVEL RISE
  17. 17. SEA LEVEL RISE:
  18. 18. FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE
  19. 19. PREDICTING FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE OCEAN WARMING (THERMAL EXPANSION) GLACIERS AND ICE CAPS GREEENLAND ANTARCTICA TOTAL SEA LEVEL RISE Levermann A et al. PNAS 2013;110:13745-13750 2.3m/degree C 4.2ft/ degree F
  20. 20. Text PAST AND FUTURE SEA LEVEL RISE from Vermeer and Rahmstorf 2008
  21. 21. SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTIONS FOR HUDSON RIVER Shown is the central range (middle 67%) of values from model-based probabilities rounded to the nearest inch. 2 The rapid ice melt scenario is based on acceleration of recent rates of ice melt in the Greenland and West Antarctic Ice sheets and paleoclimate studies.
  22. 22. BIODIVERSITY WATERFRONTS INFRASTRUCTURE SEA-LEVEL RISE Resources at Risk
  23. 23. FLOODING
  24. 24. FLOODING
  25. 25. A NEW NORMAL STORM SURGE EVENTS ‣ Number or frequency of events: trend unclear ‣ Higher intensity events ‣ Greater frequency of surge events in warmer years
  26. 26. HURRICANE SANDY
  27. 27. 2011: Hurricane Irene ‣ 4.5FT STORM SURGE 2012: Hurricane Sandy ‣ 6.25FT STORM SURGE A NEW NORMAL STORM SURGE EVENTS
  28. 28. COASTAL HAZARD: Coastal Inundation
  29. 29. ACCELERATING COASTAL RISKS .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 .2 3 adapted from Climate Central ‣ elevated coastal storm heights and impacts 2100 sealevelrise
  30. 30. 6” 12” 18” 24” 30” 36” 42” 48” 54” 100yr 500yr MODELING SEA-LEVEL RISE ALONG THE HUDSON RIVER ESTUARY ‣ 9300+ acres inundated by 2100 ‣ 11,000+ acres at risk of greater flooding frequency/depth
  31. 31. SEA-LEVEL RISE IN THE HUDSON RIVER ESTUARY Tools ‣ Sea Level Rise Mapper www.scenichudson.org/slr Sea Level Rise Mapper Sea level rise is accelerating along the Hudson River, promising to transform riverfront communities and the ecology of the Estuary. This site provides tools and resources for communities to plan for a more resilient future. About Sea Level Rise News Mapping Waterfront Forums Task Forces Kingston Resources Legal Tools Smart Growth Principles Science Sources Case Studies SEA LEVEL RISE
  32. 32. SEA-LEVEL RISE IN THE HUDSON RIVER ESTUARY Tools ‣ Inundation Zones ‣ FEMA Flood Zones ‣ Census Information ‣ Tidal Wetlands & SAV ‣ Municipal Assets ‣ Brownfields and HazMat sites ‣ Community Summaries Sea Level Rise Mapper Sea level rise is accelerating along the Hudson River, promising to transform riverfront communities and the ecology of the Estuary. This site provides tools and resources for communities to plan for a more resilient future. About Sea Level Rise News Mapping Waterfront Forums Task Forces Kingston Resources Legal Tools Smart Growth Principles Science Sources Case Studies SEA LEVEL RISE
  33. 33. FUTURE INUNDATION AREAS
  34. 34. DATA LAYERS
  35. 35. DATA LAYERS
  36. 36. COMMUNITY SUMMARIES
  37. 37. PEOPLE AT RISK At Risk From Flooding At Risk From Flooding HOUSEHOLDS Inundation Flooding PEOPLE Inundation Flooding 3,654 11,929 6,911 22,221
  38. 38. ASSETS AT RISK 72” of SLR RAIL LINES 102 miles 401 miles inundation flooding
  39. 39. ASSETS AT RISK 72” of SLR RAIL LINES 102 miles 401 miles BROWNFIELDS & HAZMATS 51 sites 195 sites inundation flooding
  40. 40. ASSETS AT RISK 72” of SLR RAIL LINES 102 miles 401 miles BROWNFIELDS & HAZMATS 51 sites 195 sites TREATMENT PLANTS 3 plants 11 plants inundation flooding
  41. 41. VULNERABLE INFRASTRUCTURE Wastewater Treatment Plants
  42. 42. VULNERABLE INFRASTRUCTURE Wastewater Treatment Plants
  43. 43. TIDAL WETLANDS OF THE HUDSON
  44. 44. THE RETURN OF HUDSON RIVER ISLANDS
  45. 45. THE FUTURE OF TIDAL HABITATS 5,000 years ago Today sediment and peat formation Future wetland migration potential where there is vacant land complete wetland loss where shoreline is hardened
  46. 46. 200720202040206020802100 Transitional Scrub-Shrub Tidal Swamp Irreg.-Flooded Marsh Regularly-Flooded Marsh Vegetated Tidal Flat Tidal Flat Developed Upland Undeveloped Upland Upland Wetland
  47. 47. 200720202040206020802100 Transitional Scrub-Shrub Tidal Swamp Irreg.-Flooded Marsh Regularly-Flooded Marsh Vegetated Tidal Flat Tidal Flat Developed Upland Undeveloped Upland Upland Wetland
  48. 48. GET AHEAD OF THE CURVE ‣ How can we reduce risks to people, property and nature? ‣ What should our goals be for addressing climate change? “Skate to where the puck is going to be...” - Wayne Gretsky “Manage the unavoidable, and avoid the unmanageable” - Rip Rapson
  49. 49. RESOURCES ‣ SCENIC HUDSON www.scenichudson.org/slr ‣ CLIMATE CENTRAL www.sealevel.climatecentral.or g ‣ US GLOBAL CHANGE RESEARCH PROGRAM www.globalchange.gov/browse /educators ‣ HUDSON RIVER ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS OBSERVING SYSTEM www.hrecos.org

×