SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 26
Download to read offline
Covid-19: how to face the crisis
and build the “new normal”
May 2020
2
Agenda
1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook
2 How OEMs can face the crisis
3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
3
Agenda
1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook
1.1 Possible developments based on past crises experiences
1.2 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
2 How OEMs can face the crisis
3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
4
2015
2018
2016
2017
2019
2020
16,4
14,5
12,1
16,1
16,9
23,4
17,6
18,4
21,6
20,0
14,5
23,4
17,1
15,4
12,2
23,7
15,4
16,6
17,117,1
24,4
16,0
24,4
16,9
15,915,9
17,1
16,8
23,7
16,0
16,6
23,3
20,0
16,8
Covid-19 is having a disruptive effect on automotive market in all the
main economies with gaps vs pre-crisis forecasts for 2020 up to 31%
Possible developments based on past crises experiences
-21.1%
-31.0%
Jan ’20 forecast As of today forecast Expected Covid-19 effect
Covid-19 impact on Passenger Car Sales 2015-2020F*
Units, Mio
Pre-Covid:
+7.8% vs. 2019
Post-Covid:
-15.0% vs. 2019
Pre-Covid:
-1.3% vs. 2019
Post-Covid:
-26.6% vs. 2019
Pre-Covid:
+8.7% vs. 2019
Post-Covid:
-24.9% vs. 2019
-25.7%
Source: * Arthur D. Little analysis on IHS early May ’20 forecast light vehicle sales. ** Western Europe and Central Europe: Austria, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia; Cyprus; Czech Republic; Denmark;
Estonia; Finland; France; Germany; Greece; Hungary; Iceland; Ireland; Italy; Latvia; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Macedonia; Malta; Netherlands; Norway; Poland; Portugal; Romania; Serbia; Slovakia;
Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; United Kingdom;
**
2020 Forecast
5
V-Shape:
Immediate
recovery of the
car market
The history of past crises says that car sales are more than proportionally
impacted by GDP decline and generally take 1-2 years more to recover
Possible developments based on past crises experiences
▪ Past economic crises show that
vehicle sales fluctuate in line
with the overall economy
▪ This pattern varies slightly by
geography but generally the
declines in car sales were
more intense than the overall
GDP contraction and the
recovery took longer
▪ Only in China the recovery
has a “V” shape
▪ Covid-19 impact will be
deeper that past crises
considering not only the car
demand decline but also the
supply-side shock due to
lockdowns and preventive
closures
GDP and car sales curve correlation
W-Shape:
Multiple bounds
preventing overall
long-term economic
stabilization L-Shape:
Severe decline
without any return
to growth for many
years
Time
1-2
years gap
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
U-Shape:
Car market recovery
delayed 1-2 years
w/r to GDP
GDP
Car sales
6
Considering past crises, in Europe car sales suffered more than the overall
economy returning to pre-crisis levels after 3 years
Notes: * Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and UK. ** Scrapping premium (“Abwrackprämie” in German) as an incentive for car
buyers significantly increased car sales especially in Germany; Western and Northern Europe without Germany shrunk by 10%.
Source: ACEA
Possible developments based on past crises experiences
GDP Car sales
Crisis Description Impact
EMS crisis
+ Gulf war
EMS crisis and limited consumer credit availability and
Gulf war raised oil prices
-6%
1 year to recover
-13%
3 years to recover
Financial crisis Consumer credit market collapse impacted middle class
-10%
3 years to recover
-5% (-10%)**
3 years to recover
Eurozone crisis
Several eurozone member states were unable to repay
or refinance their government debt or bail out banks
-4%
1 year to recover
-6%
2.5 years to recover
COVID crisis
Supply and demand shock impacting lower and middle
class, recession hits a stagnating new car market
-5% to -10%*
1-1.5 years to recover*
-20 to -35%*
3 years to recover*
1
2
3
Car sales crises last up to
3 years and exceed GDP decline
*
7
In the US crises showed car sales drop lasting twice the GDP decline and
be more severe than in Europe
Notes: *Consensus expectations for annualized figures and ADL extrapolation as of April 2020, GDP and Car Sales Compare Approximate
Annual Peaks vs Recovery
Source: World Bank, US BEA, Consensus Estimates from 10+ Banks and Economic Forecasts, Arthur D. Little
Possible developments based on past crises experiences
GDP Car sales
Crisis Description Impact
Early ’80s
recession
Federal reserve interest rate hike made financing
unaffordable for most customers
-2%
1 year to recover
-20%
2 years to recover
S&L crisis
+ Gulf war
S&L and bank failures limited consumer credit availability,
Gulf war raised oil prices
-0.1%
1 year to recover
-11%
2 years to recover
Financial crisis
Consumer credit market collapse impacted middle class.
Overall lengthened car ownership from 4 to 6 years
-3%
2 years to recover
-35%
3 years to recover
COVID crisis
Supply and demand shock impacting lower and middle
class, financial institutions in stronger position vs. ’08,
significantly older used car park could limit downside
-5% to -15%*
1-2 years to recover*
-20% to -40%*
≥3 years to recover*
1
2
3
Car sales recessions are on average
2x longer and 10x worse
8
China didn’t experience significant impacts. However car market has started
to suffer in 2018 for stricter limitations, Covid is giving an additional hit
Possible developments based on past crises experiences
GDP Car sales
Crisis Description Impact
SARS
2002/2003
First Corona-induced pandemic, impact on tourism and
Chinese economy
+9.6%
No significant impact
+36%
Boost of car sales
Financial crisis
2008
Credit crisis in western economies, Chinese GDP
growth reduced to 9%
+9.5%
No significant impact
+3.6%
Decreased growth,
strong catch up
Car market
decline
Lower new car sales due to limited registrations and less
favorable policies
+6.5%
Reduced GDP growth
-8%
2 years of car
market decline
COVID crisis
Very significant economic supply and demand shocks,
expected to be shorter than in Europe and the US, but
with consequences for exports
+3% to +5%* -10% to -20%
1
2
3
Negative trend on car market
expected to continue
– political interventions decisiveNotes: *e.g. China International Capital Corporation forecast from end of March (2.6% for 2020) included Corona-impact, Government economists stay
with original forecast of 6%
Source: IHS, World Bank
9
Agenda
1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook
1.1 Possible developments based on past crises experiences
1.2 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
2 How OEMs can face the crisis
3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
10
◼ Factors behind the earlier convergence
– Early commercialization of vaccines and therapeutic drugs
– Early clarification of the mechanism of deterioration
– Expansion of medical resources
It is expected that it will take several years for the economy to converge,
while the economic activity will have to be restrained during this period
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
Source: * Kissler et al., Science 14 Apr 2020 noted that social distance will be needed until 2022. Also, it was mentioned that there is a risk of relapse even after convergence. In developed countries, it may take about 5
years for group immunity to be established by natural infection (Mizuho Securities bajosman Three Report). Prepared ADL from various second information such as Kissler et al., Science 14 Apr 2020.
Covid-19 Convergence Scenario
Currently Partial convergence:1 to 5 years *
Hour
Convergence
◼ Delay factor of convergence
– Delay in vaccine development
– Reinfection was detected shortly after recovery.
– Drastic change in the nature of the mutation
Number
of patients
Limitations
of medical
resources
Economic
activity
Notes
◼ Development of vaccines and therapeutic agents
and expansion of medical resources may
shorten the duration
◼ As with seasonal influenza, infection and
convergence will be repeated *
◼ Economic activity is limited (with the Covid-19):
– UK strategy: repeated deregulation
– Limited enforcement of regulations and sustained economic
activity
– Cluster strategy
– Partial commitment (China’s strategy)
◼ Economic recovery (post Covid-19 era):
– Herd immunity acquired by vaccination or natural infection
– Pre-Covid economic activity resumed with reduced risk of
infection and aggravation
11
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
Deteriorating performance in the automotive industry
Spread of the new coronavirus
Restrictions on going out
Decline in automobile demand
Is a financial
crisis possible?
CCorona direct
strike industry
BHow long
will it last?
A
Reduction and suspension of production
of completed vehicles and parts
Decrease in income (wage
decrease, unemployment)
Restrictions on
consumption behavior
From the decline in stock
prices
Inverse asset effect
1 2 3
Demand
stimulation
measures
Compensation
for absence
from work
cash benefits
Economic
slowdown
(decrease in
household
consumption)
Urban
blockade
Request for
voluntary
restraint, etc.
Govern-
ment
response
Scheme of Covid-19 impact on automotive industry
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
Three major factors limit the automotive demand determining the decline
of the industry, government response is crucial
12
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
Depending on the Covid-19 convergence time, the income decline and
the development of a financial crisis, 3 scenarios might occur
Corona
convergence
scenario
Economic
scenario
Downside
(Expansion to Financial Crisis)
Base scenario : Partial
convergence of 1 to 5 years
Base
(Low Flying in the Real Economy)
Upside
The corona is suppressed by the first
wave, and the following elements recover
for a short time.
Prolonged response to Corona,
widespread and prolonged decline in
demand
Real Economic Slump Spreads to Financial
Economy
Decline in income
Restrictions on
consumption behavior
Impactontherealeconomy
(householdconsumption)
Decline in demand for workers in the
Corona direct strike industry
(Same as ←. Deeper)
← In addition to the decrease in demand
by other industrial workers
Decline in demand for restricted outings
Due to the market crash
Extreme decline in the demand of wealthy
people
Decline in demand from wealthy people
due to prolonged market stagnation
Inverse asset effect
Financial institutions' loan losses and
credit instability
Impact on the financial economy
(Lengthening the time) (Same as ←)
Short-term decline in the demand of
wealthy people due to the deteriorating
market
1
2
3
Automobile
demand
scenario
Prolonged slump in sales due to a
sharp decline in purchasing power
The decline in demand spread
throughout the country and to all
workers in all industries, and it is
time for recovery.
Temporary decline in sales, mainly
in restricted outings areas,
recovered quickly
IF THE FIRST WAVE STOPS AND EARLY
CONVERGENCE IS ACHIEVED.
IF THE CONVERGENCE IS WORSE THAN
EXPECTED.
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
13
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
Due to the prolonged Corona convergence and the persisting financial crisis,
according to the Base Scenario, 2019 volumes will be achieved again in 2023
89,7
95,9
99,0
101,5
89,7
84,2
95,8
89,7
68,4 69,1
88,8
92,1
89,4
91,4
94,0
97,1
99,6
101,5
66
68
70
72
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
74,8
CY19 CY22E
72,5
CY20E
77,4
CY21E
89,1
92,2
91,4
86,5
CY23E CY24E
99,4
CY25E
Global LightVehicle Sales Scenarios (2012-2025F)
Base
Upside
Downside
Pre-Covid forecast*
Source: * IHS early May ‘20 forecast. ** Reuters News on April 20, 2020
LCM CY20 Forecast : 71.0**
IHS CY20 Forecast : 69.6*
Units, Mio
▪ Lower impact on 2020 volumes with a
recovery to 2019 level by 2021 due to
early convergence of overall economy
Upside
Base
▪ Moderate recovery on pre-crisis
volumes across CY 22 and 23,
differentiated by geography
Base
▪ Due to the prolonged effects of the
financial crisis, the recovery is slow
even after restrictions are lifted; last
year’s level will be achieved only by the
end of the forecast window
Downside
14
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
The longer the duration of the convergence period, the more relevant
will be the available income factor respect the restrictions on consumes
Upside Base Downside
-9%
-8%
-4%
-5%
-16%
-3%
-2%
-5%
-1%
-6% -4% -2%
-24%
-4%
-18%
-10%
-6%
-2%
-13%
-2%
-5%
-3%
-1%
-2%
-1%
-1%
-19%
-3% -2% -1%
-3%
-13%
-4%
-16%
-9%
-3%
-11%
-5%
-3%
-18%
-11%
-8%
-2%-2%
-8% -7%
-2%
-24% -24%
-11%
-9%
Decrease
Number
(Mio units)
Rate of
decrease
CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E
0 0 0 0 0
-4.17 -2.30 -1.75 -1.19 -0.61 -0
-1.60 0 0 0 0 0
-11.23
-17.00 -2.30 -1.75 -1.19 -0.61 -0
-14.10 -8.02 -4.12 0 0 0
-4.47 -7.29 -4.77 -5.38 -3.77 -2.10
-2.60 -1.38 -0.88 -0.35 0 0
-21.18 -16.69 -9.77 -5.73 -3.77 -2.10
-14.10 -8.02 -4.12 0 0 0
-4.47 -11.69 -9.89 -8.14 -8.30 -6.96
-2.60 -2.67 -2.54 -2.42 -2.47 -2.51
-21.18 -22.38 -16.55 -10.55 -10.77 -9.47Total
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
Restrictions on consumption behaviour
Decline in income
Inverse asset effect
15
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
The low potential growth rate and the high elasticity of household
consumption with respect automobile demand widely affect mature markets
CAGR***Simulation Results (Base Case Sales by Region)
CY 19 to 22 CY 19 to 25
89,7
95,8
3,7
3,9
5,7
16,8
4,5
6,1
18,5
2,8
25,3
30,6
4,6
6,8
4,5
CY21E
20,6
CY25E
17,820,3
5,4
6,0
CY19 CY20E
2,8
3,3
4,4
CY23E
15,6
3,9
5,6
3,4
5,3
4,9
14,2
20,2
3,3
3,8
5,2
4,0
20,95,3
16,2
15,0
23,8
4,0
4,0
4,5
5,7
26,2
5,5
4,9
CY22E
4,9
20,0
28,5
4,8
5,4
5,2
18,7
29,6
CY24E
6,2
21,3
19,4
68,4
74,8
84,2
91,4
99,4
1.2% 3.2%
-6.1% -0.8%
-3.6% 0.5%
-0.5% 2.8%
-1.0% 3.4%
1.7% 6.6%
2.6% 6.1%
-2.1% 1.7%
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis *ASEAN + Oceania, ** 2 countries, India + Pakistan, *** CAGR : compound annual growth rate
-5.7% -1.5%
Greater China
Japan/KoreaNorth America
Europe South East Asia*
South America
Middle East/Africa
Indian Subcontinent **
Units, Mio
16
Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis
The huge investments required to face the current crisis could bring OEMs
to review their strategies
Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
Key MobilityTrends
New safety and social
distancing measures are strong
inhibitors of shared mobility,
potentially compromising its
future also in the mid-long
term
The huge investments for the
EV offensive could be
postponed and reallocated to
support current stocks
disposal (highly composed by
ICE vehicles). Public incentives
(at today focused on EV) could
be extended to new ICE cars
Shared
Mobility
Electrification
Autonomous
Driving
Connected
Services
What will be the impact of Covid-19 on OEMs’ strategy?
PossiblestrongimpactsofCovid-19
17
Agenda
1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook
2 How OEMs can face the crisis
3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
18
In order to tackle this extraordinary crisis, OEMs and NSCs need to act
fast and also with a mid-long term view…
Source: Arthur D. Little
How OEMs can face the crisis
Main considerations
◼ Unprecedented crisis, historic data cannot support to manage it.The impact on the demand is
brutal, however the recovery might start (hopefully) soon
◼ The time required for a full recovery is uncertain and variable by geography (China example
could be misleading for “traditional economies”)
◼ The risk for the companies is to focus their effort on the short term adapting quickly their
capabilities and their offers, without thinking about mid term recovery plan and next steps
◼ Companies need to structure their “War Room” differently than usual crisis management approaches in
order to:
‒ not only move beyond limiting the negative impact of the crisis (and sometime just
thinking on how to survive)
‒ but also take advantage of this situation to improve their competitive position.As
consequence of this crisis new business models are emerging and could change the way people
work and live even when we will be back to “normal life”
19
…arranging a “War Room” considering 5 key points
Source: Arthur D. Little
How OEMs can face the crisis
The 5 key points to manage the crisis
◼ Free cash: free cash-flow management is critical. It is not just a question of surviving, but foremost a
question of strategic agility to enable to leverage on the fast recovery and fast future growth
◼ Fast adaptation: changes to be done as soon as possible (immediately) in terms of capabilities and
offers. Pragmatism, agility and quick implementation remain the golden rules
◼ Fast recovery: this situation could end within 3-4 months from now (based on the Chinese experience
and ADL’s main scenario), the recovery phase needs to be thought of as from day 0. The ability to
anticipate the recovery and be better prepared than competitors can create a long lasting advantage
◼ Fast forward looking: structural decision could be made to be able to generate a long lasting
competitive advantage.This long term vision necessitates to have from day 0 a strategic vision
developed: it requires the right choice in resource allocation when the resources are under pressure
and when uncertainty is high
◼ Forward Organization & Communication: a large proportion of people are now interacting in
“virtual” ways. Keeping momentum and motivation in the new digital world, developing new process /
ways of working leveraging emerging technologies.This requires a strong focus on the short term
(especially on communication towards employees), but also needs to be seen as a way to implement
faster new effective digital organizations & behaviors
1
2
3
4
5
20
As shown by a recent ADL survey to Automotive&Manufacturing CEOs,
OEMs have started to react working in particular on FastAdaptation
Source: Arthur D. Little survey to Automotive&Manufacturing CEOs
How OEMs can face the crisis – The voice of CEOs
Fast Recovery
Fast Forward Looking
Fast Adaptation
Forward Organization &
Communication
Free Cash
75%
56%
58%
92%
69%
31%
63%
60%
23%
53%
24%
29%
56%
47%
35%
Adapt operations to quickly restore/protect P&L and ensure deliveries
Establish risks and mitigation plan regarding operations ramp-up
Forecast scenarios for the recovery plan
Actions to ensure workforce health & safety
Review implication for business model of the "new world"
Specific actions to free cash in the short term
Cash-flow forecast process 6–18 months
Develop new ways to reach customers
Assess free cash needs for recovery and forward looking
Develop specific offer/marketing and productivity plan
Frame uncertainty in terms of customer demand and environment
Review strategy, investment and development plan
Implement new communication channel & empower critical ressources
Scale up new digital ways of working
Embed the new ways of working in the regular organization
done planned not considered (yet)
However there are areas such as “Free Cash” and “Fast Recovery” that are now a key priority to assure
system financial sustainability and to speed up the restart
21
Agenda
1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook
2 How OEMs can face the crisis
3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
22
Liquidity, issue for all the
automotive supply chain players
and in particular for the retail
network
Processes for production,
logistic, sales and after sales to
be aligned to safety and social
distancing measures
Customers with changed
characteristics and needs to be
addressed in a different way
The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
Source: Arthur D. Little
The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
Short term Mid-long term
New customer journey
for sales and service
leveraging digitalization
Future retail with new sales
and service formats and retail
network engagement models
Shift in ownership, towards
more flexible models of car’s
use, subscription and financing
and mobility
Key issues
for OEMs
Ensure quick and effective restart Prepare the “new normal”
23
OEMs need to assure the financial stability of the system, implement safe
processes and address the new emerging needs of customers
Source: Arthur D. Little
The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Short term
◼ Health check / stress test of the retail network to understand its sustainability and
liquidity needs
◼ Identification of viable “ordinary” measures (e.g. payment conditions) to be adopted to
sustain dealerships and other key players of the supply chain
◼ Definition of “extraordinary” measures to inject liquidity into the system
Short term
Liquidity
Processes
Customers
Focus
◼ Assure all the necessary safety devices to minimize contagion risks
◼ Adapt internal and customer facing environments to all sanitary and social distancing
measures required
◼ Review marketing & communication activities focusing on digital channels
◼ Adapt sales and after sales processes in order to assure a safe interaction with customers
◼ Understand the new customer’s characteristics and needs to be addressed (B2B and
B2C)
◼ Develop new offers and pricing/payment solutions to meet customers difficulties and
define a proper communication strategy to promote them considering the new context
◼ Review of the Communication&Marketing Plan in terms of timing and channels
(increasing the incidence on digital)
Not exhaustive
24
The “new normal” will be very different from the last decade with some
trends reinforced and accelerated by the changes induced by the crisis
Source: Arthur D. Little
The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Mid-long term
◼ Leverage the momentum of crisis-induced change to prepare the organization for the era
of digitalization “from head to toe” (i.e., from HQ to dealers)
◼ Reshape the journey using new sales models, channels and tools to sell cars, after sales
and mobility services potentially with an increasing direct role of NSC
◼ Leverage new profit opportunities and generate higher revenues from the aftermarket
◼ Rethink the way to communicate and engage the customer focusing on digital channels
Mid-long term
New customer
journey
Future retail
Shift in
ownership
Focus
◼ Rethink the activities and the role of the retail network in “physical” and “digital” sales
and redesign the engagement model (e.g. towards an “agent model”)
◼ Review the market coverage strategy (e.g. dealers/stores/workshops density/capillarity
and locations) and sales/after sales formats (e.g. digitalized, emotional, specialized, etc.)
◼ New “flexible” models of car use based on subscriptions,private mid-long term rental or
leasing
◼ Solutions focused on mobility and not on the car (which may eventually be changed
during the period according to customer’s needs)
◼ Offering extension to new/additional services/products related to customer’s mobility
needs
Not exhaustive
25
Where Arthur D. Little can help you to address the key topics
The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Where ADL can support OEMs
Future retail
▪ Evolution of the engagement model for the
retail network (e.g. direct sales, agent model)
▪ Definition of the new sales & aftersales
formats and development of the new market
coverage strategy
Shift in ownership
▪ Development of new mobility services and
definition of related business models
▪ Definition of the sales proposition of the new
services offered
Customer Journey
▪ Digitalization of the Customer Journey (sales
and after sales)
▪ Develop on line sales models
▪ Develop a new independent aftermarket
strategy
Liquidity
▪ Analyze possible scenarios and the impacts on
retail network and supply chain financial health
▪ Review the retail network structure
▪ Define ordinary/extraordinary measures to
sustain the financial health of OEMs, NSCs and
dealerships
Processes
▪ Analyze the areas at risk according to current
regulation and identify the intervention
priorities and alternatives
▪ Develop new “Covid-free” processes
Customers
▪ Update/review customer profiling
▪ Redesign the sales proposition
War Room
• ▪ Establish a virtual war room to manage urgencies and boost the recovery with an eye also on mid-long term priorities
▪ Cross-departments steering and monitoring
www.adlittle.com
Fabrizio Arena
Partner Automotive
+39 335 123 2387
arena.fabrizio@adlittle.com
MassimilianoTortorella
Principal Automotive
+39 334 620 9636
tortorella.massimiliano@adlittle.com@
@
Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of
innovation since 1886.We are an acknowledged
thought leader in linking strategy, innovation and
transformation in technology-intensive and converging
industries.
We navigate our clients through changing business
ecosystems to uncover new growth opportunities.We
enable our clients to build innovation capabilities and
transform their organizations.
Our consultants have strong practical industry
experience combined with excellent knowledge of
key trends and dynamics.Arthur D. Little is present in
the most important business centers around the
world.We are proud to serve most of the Fortune
1000 companies, in addition to other leading firms
and public sector organizations.
For further information please visit www.adlittle.com.
Copyright © Arthur D. Little 2020.All rights reserved.

More Related Content

What's hot

Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021Fabrizio Arena
 
Case study jong sikahn_0723
Case study jong sikahn_0723Case study jong sikahn_0723
Case study jong sikahn_0723Jong-Sik Ahn
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020 Fabrizio Arena
 
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...SlideTeam
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019 Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive report May 2020
Arthur D. Little  Automotive report May 2020Arthur D. Little  Automotive report May 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report May 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019Fabrizio Arena
 
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019 Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019 Fabrizio Arena
 

What's hot (20)

Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report December 2019 (FY)
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2021
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report March 2021
 
Case study jong sikahn_0723
Case study jong sikahn_0723Case study jong sikahn_0723
Case study jong sikahn_0723
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2021
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report September 2020
 
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Global Automotive Market Report June 2020
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report April 2020
 
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies On Movie Theater Indu...
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report November 2019
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report May 2019
 
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018
Arthur D.Little Automotive report Jan _2018
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report October 2020
 
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020
Arthur D. Little - Covid19 impact on automotive industry_update June 2020
 
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019
Arthur D.Little - Global Automotive Report June_2019
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report August 2019
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive report May 2020
Arthur D. Little  Automotive report May 2020Arthur D. Little  Automotive report May 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive report May 2020
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report January 2020
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report October 2019
 
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019 Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019
Arthur D. Little Global Automotive Report March 2019
 

Similar to How OEMs can build the "new normal

Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020
Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020 Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020
Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020 Inovev
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020 Fabrizio Arena
 
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services Aslı Yerci Eren
 
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 220200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2Martin Hattrup
 
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016PwC España
 
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...SlideTeam
 
The Return of Travel
The Return of TravelThe Return of Travel
The Return of TravelI Meet Hotel
 
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Response
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic ResponseCovid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Response
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Responseaakash malhotra
 
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdf
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdfCARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdf
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdfDeepakRauniar
 
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...OECD Berlin Centre
 
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the Caribbean
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the CaribbeanCOVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the Caribbean
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the CaribbeanCaribbean Development Bank
 
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive Aftermarket
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive AftermarketCOVID-19 Effects on European Automotive Aftermarket
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive AftermarketAndrew Goh
 
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsMcKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsMartin Hattrup
 
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies OECD Berlin Centre
 
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsCOVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsMcKinsey & Company
 
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industry
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industryImpacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industry
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industrySaidh KESSACI
 
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015 Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015 Jaime Cubillo Fleming
 

Similar to How OEMs can build the "new normal (20)

Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020
Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020 Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020
Coronavirus Crisis: Impact on the European Automotive Industry in 2020
 
Yf econ update-2020-04_v1.0
Yf econ update-2020-04_v1.0Yf econ update-2020-04_v1.0
Yf econ update-2020-04_v1.0
 
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020 Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020
Arthur D. Little Automotive Report February 2020
 
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services
 
WEI2020.pdf
WEI2020.pdfWEI2020.pdf
WEI2020.pdf
 
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 220200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2
20200610 Covid 19 - Global Auto Consumer Insights_Wave 2
 
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
Capital-Infraestructure-spending-outlook-2016
 
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...
Coronavirus Impact Assessment And Mitigation Strategies In Oil And Gas Indust...
 
Lyes Boudiaf
Lyes Boudiaf Lyes Boudiaf
Lyes Boudiaf
 
The Return of Travel
The Return of TravelThe Return of Travel
The Return of Travel
 
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Response
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic ResponseCovid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Response
Covid-19 Following Up On The Immediate Economic Response
 
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdf
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdfCARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdf
CARE Rating Report- Covid Impact on India Inc.pdf
 
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...
Accelerating Transformation: The Role of Investment in Germany and the EU to ...
 
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the Caribbean
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the CaribbeanCOVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the Caribbean
COVID-19: Implications and Policy Responses for the Caribbean
 
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive Aftermarket
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive AftermarketCOVID-19 Effects on European Automotive Aftermarket
COVID-19 Effects on European Automotive Aftermarket
 
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsMcKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
McKinsey COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
 
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies
Covid-19 and the automotive sector in CEE economies
 
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer InsightsCOVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
COVID-19 Auto & Mobility Consumer Insights
 
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industry
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industryImpacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industry
Impacts and implications_of_covid-19_for_the_energy_industry
 
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015 Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015
Panorama COFACE Barometre+Sector+Risk Octubre 2015
 

Recently uploaded

Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Callshivangimorya083
 
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service Manual
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service ManualJohn Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service Manual
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service ManualExcavator
 
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdf
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdfJohn Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdf
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdfExcavator
 
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHER
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHERUNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHER
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHERunosafeads
 
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journey
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journeyThe 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journey
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journeyHyundai Motor Group
 
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLES
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLESUNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLES
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLESDineshKumar4165
 
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024AHOhOops1
 
Russian Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...
Russian  Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...Russian  Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...
Russian Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...shivangimorya083
 
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 person
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 personDelhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 person
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 personshivangimorya083
 
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhi
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhiHauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhi
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhiHot Call Girls In Sector 58 (Noida)
 
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...Call girls in Ahmedabad High profile
 
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...shivangimorya083
 
Dubai Call Girls Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubai
Dubai Call Girls  Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In DubaiDubai Call Girls  Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubai
Dubai Call Girls Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubaikojalkojal131
 
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024AHOhOops1
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | Noida
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | NoidaFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | Noida
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | NoidaMalviyaNagarCallGirl
 
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To Appear
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To AppearWhat Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To Appear
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To AppearJCL Automotive
 

Recently uploaded (20)

(INDIRA) Call Girl Kolkata Call Now 8617697112 Kolkata Escorts
(INDIRA) Call Girl Kolkata Call Now 8617697112 Kolkata Escorts(INDIRA) Call Girl Kolkata Call Now 8617697112 Kolkata Escorts
(INDIRA) Call Girl Kolkata Call Now 8617697112 Kolkata Escorts
 
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip CallDelhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Whatsapp Hard And Sexy Vip Call
 
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service Manual
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service ManualJohn Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service Manual
John Deere 300 3029 4039 4045 6059 6068 Engine Operation and Service Manual
 
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdf
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdfJohn Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdf
John Deere 200lc Excavator Operation And Tests Repair Manual.pdf
 
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHER
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHERUNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHER
UNOSAFE ELEVATOR PRIVATE LTD BANGALORE BROUCHER
 
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journey
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journeyThe 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journey
The 10th anniversary, Hyundai World Rally Team's amazing journey
 
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLES
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLESUNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLES
UNIT-III-TRANSMISSION SYSTEMS REAR AXLES
 
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
BLUE VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
 
Russian Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...
Russian  Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...Russian  Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...
Russian Call Girls Delhi Indirapuram {9711199171} Aarvi Gupta ✌️Independent ...
 
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 person
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 personDelhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 person
Delhi Call Girls Saket 9711199171 ☎✔👌✔ Full night Service for more than 1 person
 
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhi
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhiHauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhi
Hauz Khas Call Girls ☎ 7042364481 independent Escorts Service in delhi
 
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 7042364481 Escort Service 24x7 Delhi
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 7042364481 Escort Service 24x7 DelhiCall Girls In Kirti Nagar 7042364481 Escort Service 24x7 Delhi
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 7042364481 Escort Service 24x7 Delhi
 
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...
Night 7k to 12k Low Rate Call Girls Ahmedabad 👉 BOOK NOW 8617697112 👈 ♀️ nigh...
 
Hotel Escorts Sushant Golf City - 9548273370 Call Girls Service in Lucknow, c...
Hotel Escorts Sushant Golf City - 9548273370 Call Girls Service in Lucknow, c...Hotel Escorts Sushant Golf City - 9548273370 Call Girls Service in Lucknow, c...
Hotel Escorts Sushant Golf City - 9548273370 Call Girls Service in Lucknow, c...
 
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...
Hot And Sexy 🥵 Call Girls Delhi Daryaganj {9711199171} Ira Malik High class G...
 
Dubai Call Girls Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubai
Dubai Call Girls  Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In DubaiDubai Call Girls  Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubai
Dubai Call Girls Size E6 (O525547819) Call Girls In Dubai
 
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 📱 9999965857 🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 📱  9999965857  🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICECall Girls In Kirti Nagar 📱  9999965857  🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
Call Girls In Kirti Nagar 📱 9999965857 🤩 Delhi 🫦 HOT AND SEXY VVIP 🍎 SERVICE
 
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
GREEN VEHICLES the kids picture show 2024
 
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | Noida
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | NoidaFULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | Noida
FULL ENJOY - 9953040155 Call Girls in Sector 61 | Noida
 
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To Appear
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To AppearWhat Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To Appear
What Causes BMW Chassis Stabilization Malfunction Warning To Appear
 

How OEMs can build the "new normal

  • 1. Covid-19: how to face the crisis and build the “new normal” May 2020
  • 2. 2 Agenda 1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook 2 How OEMs can face the crisis 3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
  • 3. 3 Agenda 1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook 1.1 Possible developments based on past crises experiences 1.2 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis 2 How OEMs can face the crisis 3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
  • 4. 4 2015 2018 2016 2017 2019 2020 16,4 14,5 12,1 16,1 16,9 23,4 17,6 18,4 21,6 20,0 14,5 23,4 17,1 15,4 12,2 23,7 15,4 16,6 17,117,1 24,4 16,0 24,4 16,9 15,915,9 17,1 16,8 23,7 16,0 16,6 23,3 20,0 16,8 Covid-19 is having a disruptive effect on automotive market in all the main economies with gaps vs pre-crisis forecasts for 2020 up to 31% Possible developments based on past crises experiences -21.1% -31.0% Jan ’20 forecast As of today forecast Expected Covid-19 effect Covid-19 impact on Passenger Car Sales 2015-2020F* Units, Mio Pre-Covid: +7.8% vs. 2019 Post-Covid: -15.0% vs. 2019 Pre-Covid: -1.3% vs. 2019 Post-Covid: -26.6% vs. 2019 Pre-Covid: +8.7% vs. 2019 Post-Covid: -24.9% vs. 2019 -25.7% Source: * Arthur D. Little analysis on IHS early May ’20 forecast light vehicle sales. ** Western Europe and Central Europe: Austria, Belgium, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia; Cyprus; Czech Republic; Denmark; Estonia; Finland; France; Germany; Greece; Hungary; Iceland; Ireland; Italy; Latvia; Lithuania; Luxembourg; Macedonia; Malta; Netherlands; Norway; Poland; Portugal; Romania; Serbia; Slovakia; Slovenia; Spain; Sweden; Switzerland; United Kingdom; ** 2020 Forecast
  • 5. 5 V-Shape: Immediate recovery of the car market The history of past crises says that car sales are more than proportionally impacted by GDP decline and generally take 1-2 years more to recover Possible developments based on past crises experiences ▪ Past economic crises show that vehicle sales fluctuate in line with the overall economy ▪ This pattern varies slightly by geography but generally the declines in car sales were more intense than the overall GDP contraction and the recovery took longer ▪ Only in China the recovery has a “V” shape ▪ Covid-19 impact will be deeper that past crises considering not only the car demand decline but also the supply-side shock due to lockdowns and preventive closures GDP and car sales curve correlation W-Shape: Multiple bounds preventing overall long-term economic stabilization L-Shape: Severe decline without any return to growth for many years Time 1-2 years gap Source: Arthur D. Little analysis U-Shape: Car market recovery delayed 1-2 years w/r to GDP GDP Car sales
  • 6. 6 Considering past crises, in Europe car sales suffered more than the overall economy returning to pre-crisis levels after 3 years Notes: * Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland and UK. ** Scrapping premium (“Abwrackprämie” in German) as an incentive for car buyers significantly increased car sales especially in Germany; Western and Northern Europe without Germany shrunk by 10%. Source: ACEA Possible developments based on past crises experiences GDP Car sales Crisis Description Impact EMS crisis + Gulf war EMS crisis and limited consumer credit availability and Gulf war raised oil prices -6% 1 year to recover -13% 3 years to recover Financial crisis Consumer credit market collapse impacted middle class -10% 3 years to recover -5% (-10%)** 3 years to recover Eurozone crisis Several eurozone member states were unable to repay or refinance their government debt or bail out banks -4% 1 year to recover -6% 2.5 years to recover COVID crisis Supply and demand shock impacting lower and middle class, recession hits a stagnating new car market -5% to -10%* 1-1.5 years to recover* -20 to -35%* 3 years to recover* 1 2 3 Car sales crises last up to 3 years and exceed GDP decline *
  • 7. 7 In the US crises showed car sales drop lasting twice the GDP decline and be more severe than in Europe Notes: *Consensus expectations for annualized figures and ADL extrapolation as of April 2020, GDP and Car Sales Compare Approximate Annual Peaks vs Recovery Source: World Bank, US BEA, Consensus Estimates from 10+ Banks and Economic Forecasts, Arthur D. Little Possible developments based on past crises experiences GDP Car sales Crisis Description Impact Early ’80s recession Federal reserve interest rate hike made financing unaffordable for most customers -2% 1 year to recover -20% 2 years to recover S&L crisis + Gulf war S&L and bank failures limited consumer credit availability, Gulf war raised oil prices -0.1% 1 year to recover -11% 2 years to recover Financial crisis Consumer credit market collapse impacted middle class. Overall lengthened car ownership from 4 to 6 years -3% 2 years to recover -35% 3 years to recover COVID crisis Supply and demand shock impacting lower and middle class, financial institutions in stronger position vs. ’08, significantly older used car park could limit downside -5% to -15%* 1-2 years to recover* -20% to -40%* ≥3 years to recover* 1 2 3 Car sales recessions are on average 2x longer and 10x worse
  • 8. 8 China didn’t experience significant impacts. However car market has started to suffer in 2018 for stricter limitations, Covid is giving an additional hit Possible developments based on past crises experiences GDP Car sales Crisis Description Impact SARS 2002/2003 First Corona-induced pandemic, impact on tourism and Chinese economy +9.6% No significant impact +36% Boost of car sales Financial crisis 2008 Credit crisis in western economies, Chinese GDP growth reduced to 9% +9.5% No significant impact +3.6% Decreased growth, strong catch up Car market decline Lower new car sales due to limited registrations and less favorable policies +6.5% Reduced GDP growth -8% 2 years of car market decline COVID crisis Very significant economic supply and demand shocks, expected to be shorter than in Europe and the US, but with consequences for exports +3% to +5%* -10% to -20% 1 2 3 Negative trend on car market expected to continue – political interventions decisiveNotes: *e.g. China International Capital Corporation forecast from end of March (2.6% for 2020) included Corona-impact, Government economists stay with original forecast of 6% Source: IHS, World Bank
  • 9. 9 Agenda 1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook 1.1 Possible developments based on past crises experiences 1.2 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis 2 How OEMs can face the crisis 3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
  • 10. 10 ◼ Factors behind the earlier convergence – Early commercialization of vaccines and therapeutic drugs – Early clarification of the mechanism of deterioration – Expansion of medical resources It is expected that it will take several years for the economy to converge, while the economic activity will have to be restrained during this period Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis Source: * Kissler et al., Science 14 Apr 2020 noted that social distance will be needed until 2022. Also, it was mentioned that there is a risk of relapse even after convergence. In developed countries, it may take about 5 years for group immunity to be established by natural infection (Mizuho Securities bajosman Three Report). Prepared ADL from various second information such as Kissler et al., Science 14 Apr 2020. Covid-19 Convergence Scenario Currently Partial convergence:1 to 5 years * Hour Convergence ◼ Delay factor of convergence – Delay in vaccine development – Reinfection was detected shortly after recovery. – Drastic change in the nature of the mutation Number of patients Limitations of medical resources Economic activity Notes ◼ Development of vaccines and therapeutic agents and expansion of medical resources may shorten the duration ◼ As with seasonal influenza, infection and convergence will be repeated * ◼ Economic activity is limited (with the Covid-19): – UK strategy: repeated deregulation – Limited enforcement of regulations and sustained economic activity – Cluster strategy – Partial commitment (China’s strategy) ◼ Economic recovery (post Covid-19 era): – Herd immunity acquired by vaccination or natural infection – Pre-Covid economic activity resumed with reduced risk of infection and aggravation
  • 11. 11 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis Deteriorating performance in the automotive industry Spread of the new coronavirus Restrictions on going out Decline in automobile demand Is a financial crisis possible? CCorona direct strike industry BHow long will it last? A Reduction and suspension of production of completed vehicles and parts Decrease in income (wage decrease, unemployment) Restrictions on consumption behavior From the decline in stock prices Inverse asset effect 1 2 3 Demand stimulation measures Compensation for absence from work cash benefits Economic slowdown (decrease in household consumption) Urban blockade Request for voluntary restraint, etc. Govern- ment response Scheme of Covid-19 impact on automotive industry Source: Arthur D. Little analysis Three major factors limit the automotive demand determining the decline of the industry, government response is crucial
  • 12. 12 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis Depending on the Covid-19 convergence time, the income decline and the development of a financial crisis, 3 scenarios might occur Corona convergence scenario Economic scenario Downside (Expansion to Financial Crisis) Base scenario : Partial convergence of 1 to 5 years Base (Low Flying in the Real Economy) Upside The corona is suppressed by the first wave, and the following elements recover for a short time. Prolonged response to Corona, widespread and prolonged decline in demand Real Economic Slump Spreads to Financial Economy Decline in income Restrictions on consumption behavior Impactontherealeconomy (householdconsumption) Decline in demand for workers in the Corona direct strike industry (Same as ←. Deeper) ← In addition to the decrease in demand by other industrial workers Decline in demand for restricted outings Due to the market crash Extreme decline in the demand of wealthy people Decline in demand from wealthy people due to prolonged market stagnation Inverse asset effect Financial institutions' loan losses and credit instability Impact on the financial economy (Lengthening the time) (Same as ←) Short-term decline in the demand of wealthy people due to the deteriorating market 1 2 3 Automobile demand scenario Prolonged slump in sales due to a sharp decline in purchasing power The decline in demand spread throughout the country and to all workers in all industries, and it is time for recovery. Temporary decline in sales, mainly in restricted outings areas, recovered quickly IF THE FIRST WAVE STOPS AND EARLY CONVERGENCE IS ACHIEVED. IF THE CONVERGENCE IS WORSE THAN EXPECTED. Source: Arthur D. Little analysis
  • 13. 13 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis Due to the prolonged Corona convergence and the persisting financial crisis, according to the Base Scenario, 2019 volumes will be achieved again in 2023 89,7 95,9 99,0 101,5 89,7 84,2 95,8 89,7 68,4 69,1 88,8 92,1 89,4 91,4 94,0 97,1 99,6 101,5 66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 74,8 CY19 CY22E 72,5 CY20E 77,4 CY21E 89,1 92,2 91,4 86,5 CY23E CY24E 99,4 CY25E Global LightVehicle Sales Scenarios (2012-2025F) Base Upside Downside Pre-Covid forecast* Source: * IHS early May ‘20 forecast. ** Reuters News on April 20, 2020 LCM CY20 Forecast : 71.0** IHS CY20 Forecast : 69.6* Units, Mio ▪ Lower impact on 2020 volumes with a recovery to 2019 level by 2021 due to early convergence of overall economy Upside Base ▪ Moderate recovery on pre-crisis volumes across CY 22 and 23, differentiated by geography Base ▪ Due to the prolonged effects of the financial crisis, the recovery is slow even after restrictions are lifted; last year’s level will be achieved only by the end of the forecast window Downside
  • 14. 14 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis The longer the duration of the convergence period, the more relevant will be the available income factor respect the restrictions on consumes Upside Base Downside -9% -8% -4% -5% -16% -3% -2% -5% -1% -6% -4% -2% -24% -4% -18% -10% -6% -2% -13% -2% -5% -3% -1% -2% -1% -1% -19% -3% -2% -1% -3% -13% -4% -16% -9% -3% -11% -5% -3% -18% -11% -8% -2%-2% -8% -7% -2% -24% -24% -11% -9% Decrease Number (Mio units) Rate of decrease CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E CY20E CY21E CY22E CY23E CY24E CY25E 0 0 0 0 0 -4.17 -2.30 -1.75 -1.19 -0.61 -0 -1.60 0 0 0 0 0 -11.23 -17.00 -2.30 -1.75 -1.19 -0.61 -0 -14.10 -8.02 -4.12 0 0 0 -4.47 -7.29 -4.77 -5.38 -3.77 -2.10 -2.60 -1.38 -0.88 -0.35 0 0 -21.18 -16.69 -9.77 -5.73 -3.77 -2.10 -14.10 -8.02 -4.12 0 0 0 -4.47 -11.69 -9.89 -8.14 -8.30 -6.96 -2.60 -2.67 -2.54 -2.42 -2.47 -2.51 -21.18 -22.38 -16.55 -10.55 -10.77 -9.47Total Source: Arthur D. Little analysis Restrictions on consumption behaviour Decline in income Inverse asset effect
  • 15. 15 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis The low potential growth rate and the high elasticity of household consumption with respect automobile demand widely affect mature markets CAGR***Simulation Results (Base Case Sales by Region) CY 19 to 22 CY 19 to 25 89,7 95,8 3,7 3,9 5,7 16,8 4,5 6,1 18,5 2,8 25,3 30,6 4,6 6,8 4,5 CY21E 20,6 CY25E 17,820,3 5,4 6,0 CY19 CY20E 2,8 3,3 4,4 CY23E 15,6 3,9 5,6 3,4 5,3 4,9 14,2 20,2 3,3 3,8 5,2 4,0 20,95,3 16,2 15,0 23,8 4,0 4,0 4,5 5,7 26,2 5,5 4,9 CY22E 4,9 20,0 28,5 4,8 5,4 5,2 18,7 29,6 CY24E 6,2 21,3 19,4 68,4 74,8 84,2 91,4 99,4 1.2% 3.2% -6.1% -0.8% -3.6% 0.5% -0.5% 2.8% -1.0% 3.4% 1.7% 6.6% 2.6% 6.1% -2.1% 1.7% Source: Arthur D. Little analysis *ASEAN + Oceania, ** 2 countries, India + Pakistan, *** CAGR : compound annual growth rate -5.7% -1.5% Greater China Japan/KoreaNorth America Europe South East Asia* South America Middle East/Africa Indian Subcontinent ** Units, Mio
  • 16. 16 Automotive market 2020-2025 scenario analysis The huge investments required to face the current crisis could bring OEMs to review their strategies Source: Arthur D. Little analysis Key MobilityTrends New safety and social distancing measures are strong inhibitors of shared mobility, potentially compromising its future also in the mid-long term The huge investments for the EV offensive could be postponed and reallocated to support current stocks disposal (highly composed by ICE vehicles). Public incentives (at today focused on EV) could be extended to new ICE cars Shared Mobility Electrification Autonomous Driving Connected Services What will be the impact of Covid-19 on OEMs’ strategy? PossiblestrongimpactsofCovid-19
  • 17. 17 Agenda 1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook 2 How OEMs can face the crisis 3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
  • 18. 18 In order to tackle this extraordinary crisis, OEMs and NSCs need to act fast and also with a mid-long term view… Source: Arthur D. Little How OEMs can face the crisis Main considerations ◼ Unprecedented crisis, historic data cannot support to manage it.The impact on the demand is brutal, however the recovery might start (hopefully) soon ◼ The time required for a full recovery is uncertain and variable by geography (China example could be misleading for “traditional economies”) ◼ The risk for the companies is to focus their effort on the short term adapting quickly their capabilities and their offers, without thinking about mid term recovery plan and next steps ◼ Companies need to structure their “War Room” differently than usual crisis management approaches in order to: ‒ not only move beyond limiting the negative impact of the crisis (and sometime just thinking on how to survive) ‒ but also take advantage of this situation to improve their competitive position.As consequence of this crisis new business models are emerging and could change the way people work and live even when we will be back to “normal life”
  • 19. 19 …arranging a “War Room” considering 5 key points Source: Arthur D. Little How OEMs can face the crisis The 5 key points to manage the crisis ◼ Free cash: free cash-flow management is critical. It is not just a question of surviving, but foremost a question of strategic agility to enable to leverage on the fast recovery and fast future growth ◼ Fast adaptation: changes to be done as soon as possible (immediately) in terms of capabilities and offers. Pragmatism, agility and quick implementation remain the golden rules ◼ Fast recovery: this situation could end within 3-4 months from now (based on the Chinese experience and ADL’s main scenario), the recovery phase needs to be thought of as from day 0. The ability to anticipate the recovery and be better prepared than competitors can create a long lasting advantage ◼ Fast forward looking: structural decision could be made to be able to generate a long lasting competitive advantage.This long term vision necessitates to have from day 0 a strategic vision developed: it requires the right choice in resource allocation when the resources are under pressure and when uncertainty is high ◼ Forward Organization & Communication: a large proportion of people are now interacting in “virtual” ways. Keeping momentum and motivation in the new digital world, developing new process / ways of working leveraging emerging technologies.This requires a strong focus on the short term (especially on communication towards employees), but also needs to be seen as a way to implement faster new effective digital organizations & behaviors 1 2 3 4 5
  • 20. 20 As shown by a recent ADL survey to Automotive&Manufacturing CEOs, OEMs have started to react working in particular on FastAdaptation Source: Arthur D. Little survey to Automotive&Manufacturing CEOs How OEMs can face the crisis – The voice of CEOs Fast Recovery Fast Forward Looking Fast Adaptation Forward Organization & Communication Free Cash 75% 56% 58% 92% 69% 31% 63% 60% 23% 53% 24% 29% 56% 47% 35% Adapt operations to quickly restore/protect P&L and ensure deliveries Establish risks and mitigation plan regarding operations ramp-up Forecast scenarios for the recovery plan Actions to ensure workforce health & safety Review implication for business model of the "new world" Specific actions to free cash in the short term Cash-flow forecast process 6–18 months Develop new ways to reach customers Assess free cash needs for recovery and forward looking Develop specific offer/marketing and productivity plan Frame uncertainty in terms of customer demand and environment Review strategy, investment and development plan Implement new communication channel & empower critical ressources Scale up new digital ways of working Embed the new ways of working in the regular organization done planned not considered (yet) However there are areas such as “Free Cash” and “Fast Recovery” that are now a key priority to assure system financial sustainability and to speed up the restart
  • 21. 21 Agenda 1 Covid-19 impact and global automotive market outlook 2 How OEMs can face the crisis 3 The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal”
  • 22. 22 Liquidity, issue for all the automotive supply chain players and in particular for the retail network Processes for production, logistic, sales and after sales to be aligned to safety and social distancing measures Customers with changed characteristics and needs to be addressed in a different way The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” Source: Arthur D. Little The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” Short term Mid-long term New customer journey for sales and service leveraging digitalization Future retail with new sales and service formats and retail network engagement models Shift in ownership, towards more flexible models of car’s use, subscription and financing and mobility Key issues for OEMs Ensure quick and effective restart Prepare the “new normal”
  • 23. 23 OEMs need to assure the financial stability of the system, implement safe processes and address the new emerging needs of customers Source: Arthur D. Little The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Short term ◼ Health check / stress test of the retail network to understand its sustainability and liquidity needs ◼ Identification of viable “ordinary” measures (e.g. payment conditions) to be adopted to sustain dealerships and other key players of the supply chain ◼ Definition of “extraordinary” measures to inject liquidity into the system Short term Liquidity Processes Customers Focus ◼ Assure all the necessary safety devices to minimize contagion risks ◼ Adapt internal and customer facing environments to all sanitary and social distancing measures required ◼ Review marketing & communication activities focusing on digital channels ◼ Adapt sales and after sales processes in order to assure a safe interaction with customers ◼ Understand the new customer’s characteristics and needs to be addressed (B2B and B2C) ◼ Develop new offers and pricing/payment solutions to meet customers difficulties and define a proper communication strategy to promote them considering the new context ◼ Review of the Communication&Marketing Plan in terms of timing and channels (increasing the incidence on digital) Not exhaustive
  • 24. 24 The “new normal” will be very different from the last decade with some trends reinforced and accelerated by the changes induced by the crisis Source: Arthur D. Little The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Mid-long term ◼ Leverage the momentum of crisis-induced change to prepare the organization for the era of digitalization “from head to toe” (i.e., from HQ to dealers) ◼ Reshape the journey using new sales models, channels and tools to sell cars, after sales and mobility services potentially with an increasing direct role of NSC ◼ Leverage new profit opportunities and generate higher revenues from the aftermarket ◼ Rethink the way to communicate and engage the customer focusing on digital channels Mid-long term New customer journey Future retail Shift in ownership Focus ◼ Rethink the activities and the role of the retail network in “physical” and “digital” sales and redesign the engagement model (e.g. towards an “agent model”) ◼ Review the market coverage strategy (e.g. dealers/stores/workshops density/capillarity and locations) and sales/after sales formats (e.g. digitalized, emotional, specialized, etc.) ◼ New “flexible” models of car use based on subscriptions,private mid-long term rental or leasing ◼ Solutions focused on mobility and not on the car (which may eventually be changed during the period according to customer’s needs) ◼ Offering extension to new/additional services/products related to customer’s mobility needs Not exhaustive
  • 25. 25 Where Arthur D. Little can help you to address the key topics The OEMs agenda towards the “new normal” – Where ADL can support OEMs Future retail ▪ Evolution of the engagement model for the retail network (e.g. direct sales, agent model) ▪ Definition of the new sales & aftersales formats and development of the new market coverage strategy Shift in ownership ▪ Development of new mobility services and definition of related business models ▪ Definition of the sales proposition of the new services offered Customer Journey ▪ Digitalization of the Customer Journey (sales and after sales) ▪ Develop on line sales models ▪ Develop a new independent aftermarket strategy Liquidity ▪ Analyze possible scenarios and the impacts on retail network and supply chain financial health ▪ Review the retail network structure ▪ Define ordinary/extraordinary measures to sustain the financial health of OEMs, NSCs and dealerships Processes ▪ Analyze the areas at risk according to current regulation and identify the intervention priorities and alternatives ▪ Develop new “Covid-free” processes Customers ▪ Update/review customer profiling ▪ Redesign the sales proposition War Room • ▪ Establish a virtual war room to manage urgencies and boost the recovery with an eye also on mid-long term priorities ▪ Cross-departments steering and monitoring
  • 26. www.adlittle.com Fabrizio Arena Partner Automotive +39 335 123 2387 arena.fabrizio@adlittle.com MassimilianoTortorella Principal Automotive +39 334 620 9636 tortorella.massimiliano@adlittle.com@ @ Arthur D. Little has been at the forefront of innovation since 1886.We are an acknowledged thought leader in linking strategy, innovation and transformation in technology-intensive and converging industries. We navigate our clients through changing business ecosystems to uncover new growth opportunities.We enable our clients to build innovation capabilities and transform their organizations. Our consultants have strong practical industry experience combined with excellent knowledge of key trends and dynamics.Arthur D. Little is present in the most important business centers around the world.We are proud to serve most of the Fortune 1000 companies, in addition to other leading firms and public sector organizations. For further information please visit www.adlittle.com. Copyright © Arthur D. Little 2020.All rights reserved.