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The SunShot Program




   The Dollar a Watt Team

Program Name or Ancillary Text   eere.energy.gov
Imagine a World…

                What if we had subsidy-free solar
                 electricity at an LCOE of 5-6 ¢/kWh ???
                • Scaling without Subsidies
                • Jobs and Competitiveness
                • National Energy Security
                • Healthy Environment




ARPA-E Summit                                       doe.energy.gov
Enabling this World




ARPA-E Summit          doe.energy.gov
What is SunShot?


    • Price and date targets
          – 5-6¢/kWh fully installed at the MW
            scale by 2020
          – Unsubsidized grid parity in residential
            and commercial markets by 2020

    • Transformational technologies
          – PV Modules
          – BOS
          – Power Electronics




ARPA-E Summit                                         doe.energy.gov
SunShot enables unsubsidized
             deployment of solar energy

             Total PV Generation Fraction
20%
18%       $1/Watt
          $1.50/Watt
16%
          SP targets
14%       $2/Watt
12%       Reference
10%
 8%
 6%
 4%
 2%
 0%
   2010          2020     2030       2040   2050
                                                                      Total PV Capacity
                                                 700
                                                          $1/Watt
                                                 600      $1.50/Watt
                                                 500      SP targets
      Goodrich, Margolis, et al                  400
                                                          $2/Watt
                                                          Reference
                                            GW




      NREL                                       300
                                                 200
                                                 100
                                                   0
                                                   2010        2020         2030          2040      2050
 ARPA-E Summit                                                                                   doe.energy.gov
SunShot enables unsubsidized
            deployment of solar energy
                $1/Watt 2030 Cumulative PV Capacity Map (375 GW total)




                                                                         Total PV Capacity
                                                                               (GW)



                                                                                <1
                                                                               1- 3
                                                                               3- 5
                                                                               5- 8
                $1/Watt 2050 Cumulative PV Capacity Map (610 GW total)
                                                                              8 - 12
                                                                              12 - 17
                                                                               > 17

    Goodrich, Margolis, et al
    NREL



ARPA-E Summit                                                                                doe.energy.gov
Taking a Team Approach
                                      R. Ramesh
                                    SunShot Director
      Minh Le                                                            Rajeev Ram
     PV Module       Module Task                          Power        Power Electronics
       EERE          Force (EERE)                      Electronics         ARPA-E
                                                        (ARPA-E)
                      GOAL : 50c                       GOAL 10c
                         /Watt                            /Watt


    Tex Wilkins                                                          Kevin Lynn
        CSP                                                          Systems Integration
       EERE                                                                EERE
                                                       Balance of
                      Fundamental                       Systems
                       Research                          (EERE)
                         (SC)                           GOAL:
  Jim Horwitz                                          40c /Watt     Jennifer De Cesaro
  Fundamental                                                          BOS-Software
    Science                      Rachel Tronstein &
                                                                           EERE
      OS                           John Lushetsky,
                           SunShot Strategic Planning, EERE

     Advisory Board : Bill Brinkman ( OS); Arun Majumdar (ARPA-E); Cathy Zoi (EERE)
ARPA-E Summit                                                                    doe.energy.gov
Core Funding Strategy



                                    Technologies not ready          Final phase may include
                                   for integration teams may        down select competition
                                    continue in development        for large scale deployment
                                                                     on Government facility.

                                     VERTICALLY INTEGRATED TEAMS




            (based on road maps)




ARPA-E Summit                                                                                   doe.energy.gov
R,D & D Roadmaps : Guiding Technology
     Development and Deployment


  • Roadmap for Module: Materials, manufacturing, integration,
    reliability testing
  • Roadmap for Power Electronics: Component innovations,
    communication protocols
  • Roadmap for Balance of System: Materials, Design,
    Automation
  • Industry, National Labs and Academia deeply involved in
    creating and implementing road maps




ARPA-E Summit                                            doe.energy.gov
Engaging the stakeholders



    •    Dollar a Watt Workshop, August 2010
    •    Solar Roundtable, Jan 13
    •    Soft BOS workshop Feb 9
    •    Power Electronics Workshop Feb 8
    •    Hard BOS workshop Feb 9
    •    Manufacturing/Demonstration workshop March
    •    CSP workshop : March 2
    •    This workshop
    •    Website, blogsite,…
    •    More to come …

ARPA-E Summit                      12                 doe.energy.gov
Algorithms : PV Module
                     Technologies

     $
    Watt
         ∝
           Manufacturing Cost
              Efficiency
                                   η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF
 Efficiency




ARPA-E Summit                                           doe.energy.gov
Barriers based investment :
CIGS Modules
    $
   Watt
        ∝
          Manufacturing Cost
             Efficiency
                                         η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF
         $3.50

         $3.00

         $2.50

         $2.00
 $/WDC




                 $3.50
         $1.50                   $0.42
                                         $0.28
         $1.00
                         $1.70                   $0.28
                                                         $0.22
         $0.50
                                                                 $0.50
         $0.00




ARPA-E Summit                              16                            doe.energy.gov
Approach to 50c/W Modules:
CIGS Modules

    $
   Watt
        ∝
          Manufacturing Cost
             Efficiency
                                                    η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF
                                      Cost
                Drivers             Reduction                                   Pathways
                                                Technical Risk
                                    Potential
  Materials cost and availability     High         Medium        Thinner layers or replacement with
  (Indium, selenium, cadmium)                                    Earth abundant and benign materials
                                                                 (e.g., CZTS, ZnS, …)
  Transparent Conductors              High           Low         ITO alternative materials and/or
                                                                 deposition methodologies
  Large scale spatial uniformity      High         Medium        Improved in-situ metrology, thermal
  and improved throughput                                        control, and elimination of chemical
  with same or lower cost of                                     bath CdS
  capital
  Glass and/or Encapsulants          Medium        Medium        Flexible low-cost front and backsheets
                                                                 with low WVTR (i.e., ultrabarriers, glass
                                                                 replacement)
  Operational costs of               Medium        Medium        Eliminate batch selenization, alternative
  selenization ovens                                             deposition methodologies (e.g.,
                                                                 atmospheric deposition).
ARPA-E Summit                                          17                                            doe.energy.gov
Barriers based investments:
CIGS Modules

    $
   Watt
        ∝
          Manufacturing Cost
             Efficiency
                                             η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF
                            Potential
                                         Technical
                              Current                                Pathways
           Action                          Risk
                             Increase
                            (mA/cm2)
 Larger band gap junction      2.5        Medium      Replace CdS ( e.g. 2.5 eV) with wide
 partner                                              bandgap emitter (i.e., ZnS (3.1 eV))
 Improved TCO                  1.5        Medium      Develop TCO with high conductivity,
                                                      transparency, environmental stability
                                                      (i.e., a-InZnO)
 Reduce CdS window             1.5        Medium      Develop 20 nm thick continuous CdS
 layer thickness                                      layer without shunting.
 Minimize reflection off       1.5      Medium        Develop a suitable low cost anti-
 CIGS surface                                         reflection coating
 Improved monolithic           1           Low        Reduce line width of laser/mechanical
 integration                                          scribing
ARPA-E Summit                                    18                                       doe.energy.gov
Barriers based investments:
CIGS Modules

    $
   Watt
        ∝
          Manufacturing Cost
             Efficiency
                                           η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF

                            Potential
                                        Technical
                             Voltage
                Action                    Risk                Pathways
                            Increase
                               (V)
     Increase the Ga/In       0.1       Medium      Increase CIGS deposition
     ratio in CIGS by a                             temperature via higher
     factor of 2 to 3                               temperature glass substrates
                                                    or alternative stable
                                                    substrates.
     Improve the absorber     0.05      Medium      Implement in-situ quality
     carrier lifetime and                           control at minimal additional
     concentration                                  cost

ARPA-E Summit                                19                                 doe.energy.gov
Barriers based investments:
CIGS Modules

 $
Watt
     ∝
       Manufacturing Cost
          Efficiency
                                             η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF

                                             Technical
                              Potential FF                        Pathways
                 Action                        Risk
                               Increase


           Reduce parasitic      0.10          Low       Improve the density, phase,
           leakage current                               and crystallinity of the
                                                         absorber


           Reduce contact        0.07          Low       Improved TCO and contact
           resistance                                    grid combination



ARPA-E Summit                                   20                                doe.energy.gov
Balance of System




ARPA-E Summit        doe.energy.gov
Power Electronics for Commercial
           Rooftop Solar

                            Goal: Module level MPPT (>98%)

                            Barrier: Cost & reliability

                            Approach: DC/DC       or      DC/AC   module   integrated
                            converters

    Goal: Light weight, roof-top inverter
        99%, 200-500kW, eliminates DC conduit and wiring

    Barrier: High-frequency switches and magnetics
        AC switches (for current drive architectures)

    Approach: Wide-bandgap switches with advanced magnetic materials

                   Actively Engaging the Stakeholders:
                Extracts from Power Electronics Workshop
ARPA-E Summit                                                                doe.energy.gov
Power Electronics for
                   Utility Scale Solar

Goal: Consolidate the number of inverters
e.g., 20 MW installation will have 20 x 1MW inverters

Barrier: Longer wiring, limited by loss

Approach: Higher DC bus voltages
       DC/DC boost converters at module string (w/ MPPT)

Goal: Improve power quality while delivering cost
    high frequency electronics - improved EMI, reduced harmonics

Barrier: - Low loss, high-voltage switches and magnetics
    - Utility ‘ownership’ of line frequency transformer

Approach: Wide-bandgap switches with advanced magnetic materials

                    Actively Engaging the Stakeholders:
                 Extracts from Power Electronics Workshop
 ARPA-E Summit                                                     doe.energy.gov
Balance of Systems : A complex
              beast to tackle!!



                                               Today   2014     2017




     BOS is different for Utility vs. Commercial vs. Residential

ARPA-E Summit                                                 doe.energy.gov
Utility Scale BOS

•    Opportunity for small improvements in a range of areas

•    Three elements of the strategy:
      1. Design innovations
      2. Materials and Mechanics
      3. Installation approaches and automation



                                                                       Automation




Plug and Play with BIPV                Wiring, Frameworks, Mechanics
ARPA-E Summit                                                                   doe.energy.gov
PV BOS Hard Costs Workshop


• Topic 1: Transformational Building Integrated
  Photovoltaic (BIPV) Modules (Cost Target <$2/W)
     – Develop a business case for integrating PV into a roofing product
       with the potential for GW’s of installations
     – Develop a partnership with a roofing company
     – Encourage the Integration of Power
       Electronics
     – Demonstrate a form factor and
       installation design that reduces the
       temperature of both the PV cell and
       the roof assembly
     – Develop a highly reliability product
       with lifetimes of 20 years or more
     – Demonstrate a form factor that can
       be quickly and easily installed.

ARPA-E Summit                             26                           doe.energy.gov
Why SunShot ?

                                    1995: 43%
      • Global Competitiveness                  2000: 27%


                                                            2009: 6%
                • Energy Security

        • Environmental Issues

       • Life without subsidies




ARPA-E Summit                                                          doe.energy.gov
Thank You




                ramamoorthy.ramesh@ee.doe.gov




ARPA-E Summit                        doe.energy.gov

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Arpa e doe dollar per watt 2 28 2011 workshop

  • 1. The SunShot Program The Dollar a Watt Team Program Name or Ancillary Text eere.energy.gov
  • 2. Imagine a World… What if we had subsidy-free solar electricity at an LCOE of 5-6 ¢/kWh ??? • Scaling without Subsidies • Jobs and Competitiveness • National Energy Security • Healthy Environment ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 3. Enabling this World ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 4. What is SunShot? • Price and date targets – 5-6¢/kWh fully installed at the MW scale by 2020 – Unsubsidized grid parity in residential and commercial markets by 2020 • Transformational technologies – PV Modules – BOS – Power Electronics ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 5. SunShot enables unsubsidized deployment of solar energy Total PV Generation Fraction 20% 18% $1/Watt $1.50/Watt 16% SP targets 14% $2/Watt 12% Reference 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Total PV Capacity 700 $1/Watt 600 $1.50/Watt 500 SP targets Goodrich, Margolis, et al 400 $2/Watt Reference GW NREL 300 200 100 0 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 6. SunShot enables unsubsidized deployment of solar energy $1/Watt 2030 Cumulative PV Capacity Map (375 GW total) Total PV Capacity (GW) <1 1- 3 3- 5 5- 8 $1/Watt 2050 Cumulative PV Capacity Map (610 GW total) 8 - 12 12 - 17 > 17 Goodrich, Margolis, et al NREL ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 7. Taking a Team Approach R. Ramesh SunShot Director Minh Le Rajeev Ram PV Module Module Task Power Power Electronics EERE Force (EERE) Electronics ARPA-E (ARPA-E) GOAL : 50c GOAL 10c /Watt /Watt Tex Wilkins Kevin Lynn CSP Systems Integration EERE EERE Balance of Fundamental Systems Research (EERE) (SC) GOAL: Jim Horwitz 40c /Watt Jennifer De Cesaro Fundamental BOS-Software Science Rachel Tronstein & EERE OS John Lushetsky, SunShot Strategic Planning, EERE Advisory Board : Bill Brinkman ( OS); Arun Majumdar (ARPA-E); Cathy Zoi (EERE) ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 8. Core Funding Strategy Technologies not ready Final phase may include for integration teams may down select competition continue in development for large scale deployment on Government facility. VERTICALLY INTEGRATED TEAMS (based on road maps) ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 9. R,D & D Roadmaps : Guiding Technology Development and Deployment • Roadmap for Module: Materials, manufacturing, integration, reliability testing • Roadmap for Power Electronics: Component innovations, communication protocols • Roadmap for Balance of System: Materials, Design, Automation • Industry, National Labs and Academia deeply involved in creating and implementing road maps ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 10. Engaging the stakeholders • Dollar a Watt Workshop, August 2010 • Solar Roundtable, Jan 13 • Soft BOS workshop Feb 9 • Power Electronics Workshop Feb 8 • Hard BOS workshop Feb 9 • Manufacturing/Demonstration workshop March • CSP workshop : March 2 • This workshop • Website, blogsite,… • More to come … ARPA-E Summit 12 doe.energy.gov
  • 11. Algorithms : PV Module Technologies $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF Efficiency ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 12. Barriers based investment : CIGS Modules $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF $3.50 $3.00 $2.50 $2.00 $/WDC $3.50 $1.50 $0.42 $0.28 $1.00 $1.70 $0.28 $0.22 $0.50 $0.50 $0.00 ARPA-E Summit 16 doe.energy.gov
  • 13. Approach to 50c/W Modules: CIGS Modules $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF Cost Drivers Reduction Pathways Technical Risk Potential Materials cost and availability High Medium Thinner layers or replacement with (Indium, selenium, cadmium) Earth abundant and benign materials (e.g., CZTS, ZnS, …) Transparent Conductors High Low ITO alternative materials and/or deposition methodologies Large scale spatial uniformity High Medium Improved in-situ metrology, thermal and improved throughput control, and elimination of chemical with same or lower cost of bath CdS capital Glass and/or Encapsulants Medium Medium Flexible low-cost front and backsheets with low WVTR (i.e., ultrabarriers, glass replacement) Operational costs of Medium Medium Eliminate batch selenization, alternative selenization ovens deposition methodologies (e.g., atmospheric deposition). ARPA-E Summit 17 doe.energy.gov
  • 14. Barriers based investments: CIGS Modules $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF Potential Technical Current Pathways Action Risk Increase (mA/cm2) Larger band gap junction 2.5 Medium Replace CdS ( e.g. 2.5 eV) with wide partner bandgap emitter (i.e., ZnS (3.1 eV)) Improved TCO 1.5 Medium Develop TCO with high conductivity, transparency, environmental stability (i.e., a-InZnO) Reduce CdS window 1.5 Medium Develop 20 nm thick continuous CdS layer thickness layer without shunting. Minimize reflection off 1.5 Medium Develop a suitable low cost anti- CIGS surface reflection coating Improved monolithic 1 Low Reduce line width of laser/mechanical integration scribing ARPA-E Summit 18 doe.energy.gov
  • 15. Barriers based investments: CIGS Modules $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF Potential Technical Voltage Action Risk Pathways Increase (V) Increase the Ga/In 0.1 Medium Increase CIGS deposition ratio in CIGS by a temperature via higher factor of 2 to 3 temperature glass substrates or alternative stable substrates. Improve the absorber 0.05 Medium Implement in-situ quality carrier lifetime and control at minimal additional concentration cost ARPA-E Summit 19 doe.energy.gov
  • 16. Barriers based investments: CIGS Modules $ Watt ∝ Manufacturing Cost Efficiency η ∝ J SC ⋅VOC ⋅ FF Technical Potential FF Pathways Action Risk Increase Reduce parasitic 0.10 Low Improve the density, phase, leakage current and crystallinity of the absorber Reduce contact 0.07 Low Improved TCO and contact resistance grid combination ARPA-E Summit 20 doe.energy.gov
  • 17. Balance of System ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 18. Power Electronics for Commercial Rooftop Solar Goal: Module level MPPT (>98%) Barrier: Cost & reliability Approach: DC/DC or DC/AC module integrated converters Goal: Light weight, roof-top inverter 99%, 200-500kW, eliminates DC conduit and wiring Barrier: High-frequency switches and magnetics AC switches (for current drive architectures) Approach: Wide-bandgap switches with advanced magnetic materials Actively Engaging the Stakeholders: Extracts from Power Electronics Workshop ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 19. Power Electronics for Utility Scale Solar Goal: Consolidate the number of inverters e.g., 20 MW installation will have 20 x 1MW inverters Barrier: Longer wiring, limited by loss Approach: Higher DC bus voltages DC/DC boost converters at module string (w/ MPPT) Goal: Improve power quality while delivering cost high frequency electronics - improved EMI, reduced harmonics Barrier: - Low loss, high-voltage switches and magnetics - Utility ‘ownership’ of line frequency transformer Approach: Wide-bandgap switches with advanced magnetic materials Actively Engaging the Stakeholders: Extracts from Power Electronics Workshop ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 20. Balance of Systems : A complex beast to tackle!! Today 2014 2017 BOS is different for Utility vs. Commercial vs. Residential ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 21. Utility Scale BOS • Opportunity for small improvements in a range of areas • Three elements of the strategy: 1. Design innovations 2. Materials and Mechanics 3. Installation approaches and automation Automation Plug and Play with BIPV Wiring, Frameworks, Mechanics ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 22. PV BOS Hard Costs Workshop • Topic 1: Transformational Building Integrated Photovoltaic (BIPV) Modules (Cost Target <$2/W) – Develop a business case for integrating PV into a roofing product with the potential for GW’s of installations – Develop a partnership with a roofing company – Encourage the Integration of Power Electronics – Demonstrate a form factor and installation design that reduces the temperature of both the PV cell and the roof assembly – Develop a highly reliability product with lifetimes of 20 years or more – Demonstrate a form factor that can be quickly and easily installed. ARPA-E Summit 26 doe.energy.gov
  • 23. Why SunShot ? 1995: 43% • Global Competitiveness 2000: 27% 2009: 6% • Energy Security • Environmental Issues • Life without subsidies ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov
  • 24. Thank You ramamoorthy.ramesh@ee.doe.gov ARPA-E Summit doe.energy.gov