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Anticipating and Managing
          Change
          Tathagat Varma
       http://managewell.net




                 1
Pace of change is only getting …faster!!!




                                           2
           http://sprott.physics.wisc.edu/pickover/pc/changing-pace.html
Even Crayola crayons are not immune to change!




http://www.vizworld.com/2010/01/evolution-crayola-crayon-palette/   3
Change is…well…NORMAL!!!
No power...how to take shower?
Flat tyre...how to go office?
New technology…
New customer…
New manager…
New project…
New job…
New agile methodology…well…
                         4
If Change is Normal, then what is the Problem?




     People
      resist
    change!
                      5
So, why do people resist changes?



                                           Old Habits

                             Indictment
 Comfort
                             of the Past
  Zone
                              Practices

              Genuine
              concerns

   Fear
Uncertainty
  Doubt


                         6
Homeostasis

• The
    tendency of most complex systems to reach a state of
 equilibrium. The sense of balance that comes from
 operating in a stable environment is seductive. It
 masquerades as comfort. But it also leads to inertia – a
 powerful and limiting force.
• Eventhe most talented and well-intended individuals, if they
 are enveloped by the contentment of the status quo, don’t
 generally recognize their condition – or the ensuing risks that
 stagnation presented to their businesses. Management
 scholars and consultants label the phenomenon “resistance
 to change”…
…as a result, what do people do?

Disagree     Procrastinate       Pushback      Deny




 Reject         Refuse            Resist      Sabotage




                             8
But, what do we do instead?




        or

             9
So, how to bring about…




           10
Let’s back up a bit…




         11
So, what is change?




http://www.visualthesaurus.com/app/view
                                                   12
The Myths around Change
                                                                   Change
  Change is                                                      slows things
   absolute                                                         down
                                                     Chang
               Change is
                                                     e is an
               constraint                 Chang      event
                            Change is     e is a
                            an option     threat

                                        Change is
                            Change      disruptive
                            is costly                 Change
             Change is
                                                     is end of
               risky                                              Change
                                                        life
Change is                                                         can’t be
   an                                                            predicted
aberration
The Reality…                         Change is
Change
                                                                  safe
protects
                                                       Change is
   us
                                                         rebirth
  Change is                                    Change is
   the new                                      relative
    normal                           Change is
      Change                           creative
     makes us                Change is
       better
         Change               progress
        creates      Change is
        options      a process
           Change
           enables
             us


                                    14
Change in quotes

• We   all have big changes in our lives that are more
  or less a second chance – Harrison Ford
• If you don’t like change, you’re going to like
  irrelevance even less – General Eric Shinseki
• Change   brings opportunity – Nido Qubein
• It
   is not necessary to change. Survival is not
  mandatory – W Edwards Deming
• The bamboo that bends is stronger than the oak
  that resists – Japanese Proverb
Is Change good?




“I can’t understand why people
are frightened of new ideas. I
am frightened of the old ones”.
           -   John Cage, American Composer

                   16
Is Change bad?


Over the coming decades, an accelerating pace of
change will test the resilience of every society,
organization and individual. Luckily, perturbations
create opportunities as well as challenges. But the
balance of promise and peril confronting any
organization will depend on its capacity for adaption.
Hence the most important question for any company is
this: Are we changing as fast as the world around us?
                Gary Hamel, the Future of Management
                          17
Why change matters?



I'm very interested in the future
because I plan to spend the rest
of my life there.
                 — Robert Wood Johnson,
                          Co-founder, J&J
                  18
Change Models

• Satir   Change Model
• Kubler-Ross   Grief Cycle
• Transitions

• Lewin    Force-Field Analysis
• Prosci   ADKAR Change Model
• Situational   Leadership
• Kotter   8-step Model
Satir Change Model
How to help during each stage


Stage   Description   How to help
1       Late Status   Encourage people to seek improvement information and
        Quo           concepts from outside the group
2       Resistance    Help people to open up, become more aware, and
                      overcome the reaction to deny, avoid or blame
3       Chaos         Help build a safe environment that enables people to
                      focus on their feelings, acknowledge their fear, and use
                      their support systems. Help management avoid any
                      attempt to short circuit this stage with magical solutions
4       Integration   Offer reassurance and help finding new methods for
                      coping with difficulties
5       New Status    Help people feel safe so that they can practice
        Quo
Kubler-Ross Grief Cycle


 Shock           Denial Stage       Anger Stage       Bargaining       Depression        Testing        Acceptance
Stage*:                                                 Stage            Stage           Stage*           Stage

• Initial           • Trying to       • Frustrated      • Seeking in     • Final         • Seeking        • Finally
  paralysis at        avoid the         outpouring        vain for a       realization     realistic        finding the
  hearing             inevitable.       of bottled-       way out.         of the          solutions.       way
  the bad                               up                                 inevitable.                      forward
  news.                                 emotion
Transitions
Lewin Force-field Analysis
“Unfreeze-Change-Refreeze”
ADKAR Model

•   ADKAR Change Management Model proposed by Jeff Hiatt
    and Timothy J. Creasey in “The Perfect Change”

•   It characterizes the process for individual change in 5 key
    steps:

    •   Awareness of the need to change

    •   Desire to participate and support the change

    •   Knowledge about how to change

    •   Ability to implement new skills and behavior

    •   Reinforcements to keep the change in place
Individual Change Process

    •   The time it takes for each individual to go through similar change
        could be different

    •   Hence, change management models can’t treat the organization
        as a homogeneous mass of people going through the change
        process at the same time



           Awareness        Desire     Knowledge         Ability       Reinforcement
A
         Awareness     Desire   Knowledge    Ability   Reinforcement
B

                                             Time
Organizational Change Process
•   In a large organization, people might not find out about
    change at the same time!
Successful Change

•   Change happens on two dimensions: business and people

•   Business Dimension:

    •   Business need or opportunity is identified

    •   Project is defined (scope and objectives)

    •   Business solution is designed (new processes, systems and org
        structure)

    •   New processes and systems are developed

    •   Solution is implemented into the organization

•   Successful change happens when both happen simultaneously
Situational Leadership Model
Kotter’s Eight Step Process


Establishing a      Creating the                     Communicating
                                   Developing a
   sense of           Guiding                         the Vision for
                                   Change Vision
   Urgency           Coalition                           Buy-In




Incorporating                                         Empowering
                   Never Letting     Generating
Changes into                                          Broad-based
                       Up          Short-term Wins
   Culture                                               Action
Can we anticipate or predict Change?

Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s
about the future.
                             – Niels Bohr, Physicist

Anticipate the difficult by managing the
easy.
              – Lao Tzu, Chinese Philosopher
                        32
Who Moved My Cheese?




Noticing Small Changes
Early Helps You Adapt To
The Bigger Changes That
Are Yet To Come.

          33
Who Moved My Cheese?




Smell The Cheese Often
So You Know When It Is
Getting Old.


          34
Our Iceberg Is Melting

   “…Icebergs are not like ice cubes. The bergs can
   have cracks inside called canals. The canals can
   lead to large air bubbles called caves. If the ice melts
   sufficiently, cracks can be exposed to water, which
   would then pour into the canals and caves.

   During a cold winter, the narrow canals filled with
   water can freeze quickly, trapping water inside the
   caves. But as the temperature goes lower and lower,
   the water in the caves will also freeze. Because a
   freezing liquid dramatically expans in volume, an
   iceberg could be broken into pieces.

   After a few minutes, Alice began to see why Fred was
   so deeply concerned. The magnitude of the problem
   could be…?”
              35
Indicators of impending change


• Merger,   Acquisition or Divestiture
• New   Product, Service or Market
• New   Technology
• New   Legislation
• New   Leader



                            36
So, what to do when I don’t know what lies ahead?




                        37
so...



change is a contant...and unstoppable
ignore at your peril
get up, smell, listen, read, network, talk, observe, ask
prepare for change…be curious
it can be done!

                            38
one more thing...




        39
References

•   5 Reasons people resist change – Julie Rains

•   Satir Change Model

•   The Satir Change Model – Steven Smith

•   The 8-step Process for Leading Change – John Kotter

•   Transitions: Managing People and Organizational Change – Dai Williams




                                       40
Connect




           Twitter: @tathagatvarma
         Blog: http://managewell.net
      Email: tathagat.varma@gmail.com
Presentations: http://slideshare.net/managewell
                      41

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Anticipating and Managing Change

  • 1. Anticipating and Managing Change Tathagat Varma http://managewell.net 1
  • 2. Pace of change is only getting …faster!!! 2 http://sprott.physics.wisc.edu/pickover/pc/changing-pace.html
  • 3. Even Crayola crayons are not immune to change! http://www.vizworld.com/2010/01/evolution-crayola-crayon-palette/ 3
  • 4. Change is…well…NORMAL!!! No power...how to take shower? Flat tyre...how to go office? New technology… New customer… New manager… New project… New job… New agile methodology…well… 4
  • 5. If Change is Normal, then what is the Problem? People resist change! 5
  • 6. So, why do people resist changes? Old Habits Indictment Comfort of the Past Zone Practices Genuine concerns Fear Uncertainty Doubt 6
  • 7. Homeostasis • The tendency of most complex systems to reach a state of equilibrium. The sense of balance that comes from operating in a stable environment is seductive. It masquerades as comfort. But it also leads to inertia – a powerful and limiting force. • Eventhe most talented and well-intended individuals, if they are enveloped by the contentment of the status quo, don’t generally recognize their condition – or the ensuing risks that stagnation presented to their businesses. Management scholars and consultants label the phenomenon “resistance to change”…
  • 8. …as a result, what do people do? Disagree Procrastinate Pushback Deny Reject Refuse Resist Sabotage 8
  • 9. But, what do we do instead? or 9
  • 10. So, how to bring about… 10
  • 11. Let’s back up a bit… 11
  • 12. So, what is change? http://www.visualthesaurus.com/app/view 12
  • 13. The Myths around Change Change Change is slows things absolute down Chang Change is e is an constraint Chang event Change is e is a an option threat Change is Change disruptive is costly Change Change is is end of risky Change life Change is can’t be an predicted aberration
  • 14. The Reality… Change is Change safe protects Change is us rebirth Change is Change is the new relative normal Change is Change creative makes us Change is better Change progress creates Change is options a process Change enables us 14
  • 15. Change in quotes • We all have big changes in our lives that are more or less a second chance – Harrison Ford • If you don’t like change, you’re going to like irrelevance even less – General Eric Shinseki • Change brings opportunity – Nido Qubein • It is not necessary to change. Survival is not mandatory – W Edwards Deming • The bamboo that bends is stronger than the oak that resists – Japanese Proverb
  • 16. Is Change good? “I can’t understand why people are frightened of new ideas. I am frightened of the old ones”. - John Cage, American Composer 16
  • 17. Is Change bad? Over the coming decades, an accelerating pace of change will test the resilience of every society, organization and individual. Luckily, perturbations create opportunities as well as challenges. But the balance of promise and peril confronting any organization will depend on its capacity for adaption. Hence the most important question for any company is this: Are we changing as fast as the world around us? Gary Hamel, the Future of Management 17
  • 18. Why change matters? I'm very interested in the future because I plan to spend the rest of my life there. — Robert Wood Johnson, Co-founder, J&J 18
  • 19. Change Models • Satir Change Model • Kubler-Ross Grief Cycle • Transitions • Lewin Force-Field Analysis • Prosci ADKAR Change Model • Situational Leadership • Kotter 8-step Model
  • 21. How to help during each stage Stage Description How to help 1 Late Status Encourage people to seek improvement information and Quo concepts from outside the group 2 Resistance Help people to open up, become more aware, and overcome the reaction to deny, avoid or blame 3 Chaos Help build a safe environment that enables people to focus on their feelings, acknowledge their fear, and use their support systems. Help management avoid any attempt to short circuit this stage with magical solutions 4 Integration Offer reassurance and help finding new methods for coping with difficulties 5 New Status Help people feel safe so that they can practice Quo
  • 22. Kubler-Ross Grief Cycle Shock Denial Stage Anger Stage Bargaining Depression Testing Acceptance Stage*: Stage Stage Stage* Stage • Initial • Trying to • Frustrated • Seeking in • Final • Seeking • Finally paralysis at avoid the outpouring vain for a realization realistic finding the hearing inevitable. of bottled- way out. of the solutions. way the bad up inevitable. forward news. emotion
  • 26. ADKAR Model • ADKAR Change Management Model proposed by Jeff Hiatt and Timothy J. Creasey in “The Perfect Change” • It characterizes the process for individual change in 5 key steps: • Awareness of the need to change • Desire to participate and support the change • Knowledge about how to change • Ability to implement new skills and behavior • Reinforcements to keep the change in place
  • 27. Individual Change Process • The time it takes for each individual to go through similar change could be different • Hence, change management models can’t treat the organization as a homogeneous mass of people going through the change process at the same time Awareness Desire Knowledge Ability Reinforcement A Awareness Desire Knowledge Ability Reinforcement B Time
  • 28. Organizational Change Process • In a large organization, people might not find out about change at the same time!
  • 29. Successful Change • Change happens on two dimensions: business and people • Business Dimension: • Business need or opportunity is identified • Project is defined (scope and objectives) • Business solution is designed (new processes, systems and org structure) • New processes and systems are developed • Solution is implemented into the organization • Successful change happens when both happen simultaneously
  • 31. Kotter’s Eight Step Process Establishing a Creating the Communicating Developing a sense of Guiding the Vision for Change Vision Urgency Coalition Buy-In Incorporating Empowering Never Letting Generating Changes into Broad-based Up Short-term Wins Culture Action
  • 32. Can we anticipate or predict Change? Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future. – Niels Bohr, Physicist Anticipate the difficult by managing the easy. – Lao Tzu, Chinese Philosopher 32
  • 33. Who Moved My Cheese? Noticing Small Changes Early Helps You Adapt To The Bigger Changes That Are Yet To Come. 33
  • 34. Who Moved My Cheese? Smell The Cheese Often So You Know When It Is Getting Old. 34
  • 35. Our Iceberg Is Melting “…Icebergs are not like ice cubes. The bergs can have cracks inside called canals. The canals can lead to large air bubbles called caves. If the ice melts sufficiently, cracks can be exposed to water, which would then pour into the canals and caves. During a cold winter, the narrow canals filled with water can freeze quickly, trapping water inside the caves. But as the temperature goes lower and lower, the water in the caves will also freeze. Because a freezing liquid dramatically expans in volume, an iceberg could be broken into pieces. After a few minutes, Alice began to see why Fred was so deeply concerned. The magnitude of the problem could be…?” 35
  • 36. Indicators of impending change • Merger, Acquisition or Divestiture • New Product, Service or Market • New Technology • New Legislation • New Leader 36
  • 37. So, what to do when I don’t know what lies ahead? 37
  • 38. so... change is a contant...and unstoppable ignore at your peril get up, smell, listen, read, network, talk, observe, ask prepare for change…be curious it can be done! 38
  • 40. References • 5 Reasons people resist change – Julie Rains • Satir Change Model • The Satir Change Model – Steven Smith • The 8-step Process for Leading Change – John Kotter • Transitions: Managing People and Organizational Change – Dai Williams 40
  • 41. Connect Twitter: @tathagatvarma Blog: http://managewell.net Email: tathagat.varma@gmail.com Presentations: http://slideshare.net/managewell 41

Editor's Notes

  1. From 8 colors in 1903, now there are over 120 colors!
  2. Kurt Lewin developed a conceptual model for understanding the nature of change and resistance he called Force Field Analysis (Figure 1). Lewin postulated that an organization, society, or culture finds itself at any given time held in balance between forces moving the group toward change (driving forces) and forces maintaining the status quo (restraining forces). In this dynamic understanding, change occurs when the valence of driving forces exceeds that of the restraining forces, demanding a simultaneous effort to increase and highlight the driving forces as well as reduce, minimize, and eliminate the restraining forces. Force field analysis accounts for balance of power, helps identify the major stake holders, and helps identify how to engage the issues and people needed for successful transformation (3). Steps in a successful force field analysis include articulating the current situation, describing the desired situation; imagining what will happen if no action is taken; identifying the forces driving change toward the desired outcome; identifying the resistances against the desired outcome; understanding the forces (are they valid? can they be changed? which are critical?); and planning how to increase the driving forces and decrease the restraining forces (3).
  3. Within organizational settings, change cannot occur without an “unfreezing” of the status quo. A distortion must be introduced into the organization in order for an unfreezing to occur. The unfreezing process begins as (1) the driving forces for change become more prevalent, (2) when restraining forces are diminished, or (3) as a result of a combination of both of these occurrences (McShane and Von Glinow, 2008, p. 489).For instance, driving forces for change become more pronounced when someone new is inserted into a key point within the structure of the organization. In a church setting, this can occur when a new pastor or elder is called to serve the congregation. This person may, knowingly or not, begin an unfreezing process that moves the organization in a new direction. “Change rarely occurs by increasing driving forces alone, however, because the restraining forces often adjust to counterbalance the driving forces” (p. 492).Restraining forces can be diminished when key leaders or managers within an organization relocate, retire, or pass away. If a person was influential within the organization, these types of events can easily begin to move the group in a new direction. If restraining forces are declining as driving forces for change are increasing, then movement from the status quo to a new condition is probably inevitable. Thus, the process of unfreezing begins.The unfreezing process can create great tension and disharmony within the organization. The disequilibrium that results can generate a considerable amount of stress for those who desire no movement from the existing state of affairs. Those in positions of authority must handle this instability with great care and gracious understanding for those who are uncomfortable with the movement to a new condition. Disgruntled and disenchanted people, even if in the minority, can be a great hindrance to the growth of any organization. Effective resistance to change can take many forms that undermine the goals of the leaders who are trying to move the organization to a better position in order to accomplish their mission.Rather than resenting the reality of resistance, leaders and managers would do well to consider the brute fact that many people oppose change simply because they fear the process of change itself. The following six items are forces that resist organizational change, adapted from McShane and Von Glinow (2008). These forces are manifest to some degree in all organizational settings, even, regrettably, in churches:(1)  Direct costs. People tend to block actions that they perceive will cost them something. This cost is weighed socially, economically, or psychologically.(2)  Saving face. Some resist change as a political strategy in order to enhance their personal reputation within the organization.(3)  Fear of the unknown. People resist change out of worry that they will not be able to properly adjust and acclimate themselves to the new environment.(4)  Breaking routines. People are creatures of habit. They like to stay within their comfort zones by continuing routine role patterns that make life predictable. Changes within their workplace or place of worship are viewed with as much gravitas as changes that take place within their own living rooms. Also, people simply do not wish to invest the time and energy necessary in order to learn new role patterns.(5)  Incongruent organizational systems. Social and psychological rewards accompany certain role patterns within any organization. People do not wish to alter such well-known unspoken social structures.(6)  Incongruent team dynamics. Groups develop and enforce conformity to a set of norms that guide behavior. However, conformity to existing team/group norms may discourage people from accepting organizational change. In the eyes of those who resist change, new norms that conflict with the status quo must be eliminated (p. 490-91).