The document outlines various predictions for the healthcare industry in 2016-2019. Key predictions include: 1) By 2019, 25% of healthcare organizations will use digital wayfinding tools and 25% will have chief data officers; 2) By 2018, risk-based contracting will increase to 30% of provider payments and virtual assistants will be used for 25% of medical decisions; 3) Technologies like wearables, computer-assisted surgery, and cognitive computing will be increasingly adopted between 2016-2018 to improve care and reduce costs.

1. Analyst Health Care Predictions 2016
Christopher Manfredi

2. By 2019, 25% of HDOs will use experiential way-finding to
enhance the patient experience and competitive differentiation.
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must
Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change

3. By 2019, only 25% of the plethora of provider
population health IT vendors/products will survive
despite a large increase in HDO purchasing.
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must
Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change

4. By 2019, 25% of HDOs will have a dedicated chief data officer
for strategic information governance and tactical management
of data.
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must
Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change

5. By 2019, 30% of nurse call systems will have been replaced
with real-time communications and collaboration solutions.
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must
Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change

6. By 2019, wearable devices plus Internet of Things
(IoT) platforms will be used to monitor at least 30%
of hip and knee replacement patients.
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must
Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change

7. By 2018, 25% of consumers will use a virtual
assistant as a first consult in making medical
decisions.
Predicts 2016: U.S. Healthcare Payers Are
Challenged to Become Digital Health Payers

8. Downward Pressure of the Healthcare Economy
Will Increase Risk-Based Contracting to 30% of
Provider Payments by 2017, Resulting in
Premium Increases of Just 2–3% for 2018
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

9. By 2018, Physicians Will Use Cognitive Solutions to Identify the
Most Effective Treatment for 50% of Complex Cancer Patients,
Resulting in a 10% Reduction in Mortality and 10% in Cost
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

10. By 2018, Industry Cloud Will Be Viewed as the Top Market
Entry Strategy for Tech and Industrial Companies, as Leaders of
IT and Industry Unite to Tear Down Traditional Barriers to Entry
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

11. By 2018, Surgeons Will Use Computer-Assisted or
Robotic Surgery Techniques to Assist in Planning,
Simulating, and Performing 50% of the Most
Complex Surgeries
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

12. One Out of Three Individuals Will Have Their Healthcare
Records Compromised by Cyberattacks in 2016
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

13. By 2018, Because of More Frequent Drug Launches, Pharma
Adoption of Global Launch Sequence Optimization Solutions Will
Grow by 50%, Saving the Industry Billions in Potential Lost Revenue
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

14. Virtual Care Will Become Routine by 2018, and by 2020,
80% of Consumer Service Interactions Will Make Use of
IoT and Big Data to Improve Quality, Value, and Timeliness
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

15. By 2018, 30% of Worldwide Healthcare Systems Will Employ Real-
Time Cognitive Analysis to Provide Personalized Care Leveraging
Patient's Clinical Data, Directly Supported by RWE Data
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

16. Through 2017, Healthcare IT Services Buyers Will Consolidate IT
Services Spending in the Hands of 5–10 Largest Service Providers
for Each Subvertical at Double the Industry Growth Rates
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

17. 2016 Will See Third Platform (Digital) Acute
Care HIS and EHR Begin to Come to Market,
and Early Adopters Will Get Started on Digital
Transformation in 2017–2019
IDC FutureScape: Worldwide Healthcare 2016 Predictions

18. “Wearables” become “Ther-ables”
Electric Utility Trends And Predictions10 Big Healthcare Predictions for 2016

19. End of life care grabs headlines, and hospice usage
doubles among ACOs and capitated doctors
10 Big Healthcare Predictions for 2016

20. Pop Health goes Pop. Some notable analytics companies will
disappear or pivot to become medical providers because their
current provider customers are unable to derive enough value
from their pop health analytical tools.
10 Big Healthcare Predictions for 2016

21. 2016 is the year when we finally pay attention
to Vulnerable Populations to lower medical
costs
Top 5 predictions for 2016 in health tech and services

22. Interoperability will continue to be a top issue in 2016
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

23. Healthcare Consumerism will gain ground, enabled
by increased investment in digital technologies
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

24. Big data analytics will struggle to prove its value
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

25. More healthcare startups will run afoul of regulators
and several healthcare apps will shut down
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

26. Value-based train picks up steam, especially for
those slow to embrace alternate payment models
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

27. Integrating devices and device data into care
delivery processes will remain a niche activity.
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

28. Demand increases for consumer-grade user
experiences in healthcare enterprise software.
5 healthcare technology predictions for 2016

29. References
Predicts 2016: Healthcare Provider CIOs Must Address the Clear Signposts of IT's Sea Change
5 healthcare Technology Predictions for 2016
Predicts 2016: U.S. Healthcare Payers Are Challenged to Become Digital Health Payers
10 Big Healthcare Predictions for 2016
Top 5 Predictions for 2016 in Health Tech and Services