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TelcoAI Summit Europe, November 2020.
Dr.Kim K Larsen, CTIOT-Mobile Netherlands.
NETWORKAUTOMATION& AUTONOMY
– AT PACE &SCALE
NG FULFILLMENT & ASSURANCE.
Anomaly Detection.
Incident “awareness”
Self-restoration/healing.
Change-management.
Network
Management
RT Resource
Management.
Self-optimization.
Intent based configs.
Congestion
management.
Network
Optimization
Anomaly Detection.
Pro-active (“RT”) UE
Management.
Closed-loop Customer
UE Management &
Operations.
User Experience
(UE)
milliseconds - minutes milliseconds - month milliseconds - hour
 zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch
BIG NETWORK DATA.
4
Timing
Action & Reaction
High Velocity
(events/sec)
Large Variety
(e.g., 10k+ event cats)
Very High
Volume
Event Process
approx. <1+>
Alarm per sec
approx. <30+>
Events per
millisecond
Daily (mobile) IP User Plane
Data 750+ Tera Byte
approx. 20 Mega Byte
per millisecond
Lots of Unstructured
data (e.g., ASCI, HEX,
BIN, HTML, …)
Illustration from a big telco network in Europe
milli-seconds to minutes
to hours to days in
response requirements.
BIGTELCO DATA IS NOT ALL GOLD
OR NEW OIL!
Automation vs Autonomy
Artificial Intelligence
Humansremain essential & involved
(machinesassisthumans)
Machine autonomy
(humansassistmachines)
C
Tool
Assistance
Level 1
Partial
Automation
Level 2
Model-based
Automation
Level 3
High
Autonomy
Level 4
Full
Autonomy
Level 5
Machine-assisted Automation
(Humans necessary although with decreasing
involvement)
Autonomous Operations
(Humans are no longer
involved)
Evolving towards Telco-cloud native
including cognitive (AI/ML) solutions (“salt &
pepper”)
Beyond Automation towards
Level 5 Network Operations
We are here today
CENTRALIZED
CONTROL?
(THINKINGPAGE)
1 Brain & 1 Heart
A (peripheral) nervous system with
limited autonomous intelligence.
Not designed for a lot of
redundancy.
Anomaly detection un-
sophisticated.
High degree of
Centralized Orchestration
& Control.
VSDE-CENTRALIZED
CONTROL?
(THINKINGPAGE)
9 Brains & 3 Hearts.
High degree of autonomy between
parts.
Highly redundant system design.
Anomaly detection un-sophisticated
(but also less critical).
High degree of De-
centralized
Orchestration & Control.
THE NETWORK VIEW
Machine Learning Apps
Big Data Process
North
South
Closed loop
optimization
Illustration
CHALLENGESWITHINDUSTRIAL ML.
NON-EXHAUSTIVE.
Machine Learning Agent / Model.
Entanglement
Machine Learning
Systems
mix signals together,
entangling them &
makes isolation of
improvements
largely impossible.
Correction Cascades Undeclared Consumers
  
m1 m’1 m’’1 m’’’’’’1
Once in place, a correction
cascade can create an
improvement deadlock, as
improving the accuracy of any
individual component actually
leads to system-level
detriments.
correction cascade
See also: D, Sculley et al (2015), “Hidden Technical Debts in Machine Learning”.
Official System
with Model M1 &
Output OM1
OM1
Undeclared
system w. M1
dependency
Undeclared consumers are
expensive at best and dangerous at
worst, because they create a
hidden tight coupling of a given
model to other parts of the
stack/system.
“WE HAVE LITTLE EXPERIENCEWITH
INTEGRATING ADVANCED
MACHINE LEARNING
IN INDUSTRIAL SCALE
COMPLEX SYSTEMS,
SUCH AS TELCONETWORKS”
Autonomous
Network
Project
ZSM ISG
ENI ISG
PoCs &
Use Cases
(e.g., China)
Grading
Standards
Autonomous
Network
Levels
Access
Data Center = Cloud
Experience n = n + 1
AI Controllers
Learning Agents
Environment
Observations:
Customer interactions.
Actions
Reward
e.g., to achieve
desired outcomes
Many experience iterations
per relevant time unit.
Towards
Intelligent
Automation
Services
Customers
 Re-enforcement learning (ML/DL)
 Closing the loop.
 Dynamic machine learning.
 Anomaly detection on infrastructure
as well as Learning Agents / RPAAs.
“Closing the Loop”
ZERO
TOUCH
Robotic
Proces Automation
No regret if managed … good ROI
Industrial-scaled AI
High complexity…longer term ROI
Chat bot*(s)
No regret … keep simple
Anomaly detection**
Essential & easy ROI
Specialistic (narrow) AI
Simpler tasks…shorter term ROI
Intelligent Automation
(beyond RPA or RPA meets AI)
Higher complexity…uncertain ROI
Check out (*) for advancing your bots https://www.convercx.com/ & (**) imo one of the most inspiring companies on anomaly detection https://www.anodot.com/
THANK YOU!
Acknowledgement
Manythanks tomany industry &corporate colleagues whohave contributed with valuable
insights, discussions &comments throughout this work. I wouldin particularlike tothank
Anodot* forinspiring my thinking on the importance ofanomaly detection in the widest
possible sense ofautonomous network operation Last but notleast, thanks tomy wife Eva
Varadifor her patience during this work.
Contact:
Email: kim.larsen@t-mobile.nl
Linkedin:www.linkedin.com/in/kimklarsen
Blogs:www.aistrategyblog.com & www.techneconomyblog.com
Twitter:@KimKLarsen
(*) https://www.anodot.com/

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Network Automation & Autonomy - At Pace & Scale.

  • 1. TelcoAI Summit Europe, November 2020. Dr.Kim K Larsen, CTIOT-Mobile Netherlands. NETWORKAUTOMATION& AUTONOMY – AT PACE &SCALE
  • 2.
  • 3. NG FULFILLMENT & ASSURANCE. Anomaly Detection. Incident “awareness” Self-restoration/healing. Change-management. Network Management RT Resource Management. Self-optimization. Intent based configs. Congestion management. Network Optimization Anomaly Detection. Pro-active (“RT”) UE Management. Closed-loop Customer UE Management & Operations. User Experience (UE) milliseconds - minutes milliseconds - month milliseconds - hour  zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch  zero-human-touch
  • 4. BIG NETWORK DATA. 4 Timing Action & Reaction High Velocity (events/sec) Large Variety (e.g., 10k+ event cats) Very High Volume Event Process approx. <1+> Alarm per sec approx. <30+> Events per millisecond Daily (mobile) IP User Plane Data 750+ Tera Byte approx. 20 Mega Byte per millisecond Lots of Unstructured data (e.g., ASCI, HEX, BIN, HTML, …) Illustration from a big telco network in Europe milli-seconds to minutes to hours to days in response requirements.
  • 5. BIGTELCO DATA IS NOT ALL GOLD OR NEW OIL!
  • 6. Automation vs Autonomy Artificial Intelligence Humansremain essential & involved (machinesassisthumans) Machine autonomy (humansassistmachines)
  • 7. C Tool Assistance Level 1 Partial Automation Level 2 Model-based Automation Level 3 High Autonomy Level 4 Full Autonomy Level 5 Machine-assisted Automation (Humans necessary although with decreasing involvement) Autonomous Operations (Humans are no longer involved) Evolving towards Telco-cloud native including cognitive (AI/ML) solutions (“salt & pepper”) Beyond Automation towards Level 5 Network Operations We are here today
  • 8. CENTRALIZED CONTROL? (THINKINGPAGE) 1 Brain & 1 Heart A (peripheral) nervous system with limited autonomous intelligence. Not designed for a lot of redundancy. Anomaly detection un- sophisticated. High degree of Centralized Orchestration & Control.
  • 9. VSDE-CENTRALIZED CONTROL? (THINKINGPAGE) 9 Brains & 3 Hearts. High degree of autonomy between parts. Highly redundant system design. Anomaly detection un-sophisticated (but also less critical). High degree of De- centralized Orchestration & Control.
  • 10. THE NETWORK VIEW Machine Learning Apps Big Data Process North South Closed loop optimization Illustration
  • 11. CHALLENGESWITHINDUSTRIAL ML. NON-EXHAUSTIVE. Machine Learning Agent / Model. Entanglement Machine Learning Systems mix signals together, entangling them & makes isolation of improvements largely impossible. Correction Cascades Undeclared Consumers    m1 m’1 m’’1 m’’’’’’1 Once in place, a correction cascade can create an improvement deadlock, as improving the accuracy of any individual component actually leads to system-level detriments. correction cascade See also: D, Sculley et al (2015), “Hidden Technical Debts in Machine Learning”. Official System with Model M1 & Output OM1 OM1 Undeclared system w. M1 dependency Undeclared consumers are expensive at best and dangerous at worst, because they create a hidden tight coupling of a given model to other parts of the stack/system.
  • 12. “WE HAVE LITTLE EXPERIENCEWITH INTEGRATING ADVANCED MACHINE LEARNING IN INDUSTRIAL SCALE COMPLEX SYSTEMS, SUCH AS TELCONETWORKS” Autonomous Network Project ZSM ISG ENI ISG PoCs & Use Cases (e.g., China) Grading Standards Autonomous Network Levels
  • 13. Access Data Center = Cloud Experience n = n + 1 AI Controllers Learning Agents Environment Observations: Customer interactions. Actions Reward e.g., to achieve desired outcomes Many experience iterations per relevant time unit. Towards Intelligent Automation Services Customers  Re-enforcement learning (ML/DL)  Closing the loop.  Dynamic machine learning.  Anomaly detection on infrastructure as well as Learning Agents / RPAAs. “Closing the Loop” ZERO TOUCH
  • 14. Robotic Proces Automation No regret if managed … good ROI Industrial-scaled AI High complexity…longer term ROI Chat bot*(s) No regret … keep simple Anomaly detection** Essential & easy ROI Specialistic (narrow) AI Simpler tasks…shorter term ROI Intelligent Automation (beyond RPA or RPA meets AI) Higher complexity…uncertain ROI Check out (*) for advancing your bots https://www.convercx.com/ & (**) imo one of the most inspiring companies on anomaly detection https://www.anodot.com/
  • 15. THANK YOU! Acknowledgement Manythanks tomany industry &corporate colleagues whohave contributed with valuable insights, discussions &comments throughout this work. I wouldin particularlike tothank Anodot* forinspiring my thinking on the importance ofanomaly detection in the widest possible sense ofautonomous network operation Last but notleast, thanks tomy wife Eva Varadifor her patience during this work. Contact: Email: kim.larsen@t-mobile.nl Linkedin:www.linkedin.com/in/kimklarsen Blogs:www.aistrategyblog.com & www.techneconomyblog.com Twitter:@KimKLarsen (*) https://www.anodot.com/

Editor's Notes

  1. Inspired by the 5 levels of autonomous driving; Level 1: Driver assistance, Level 2: Partial automation, Level 3: Conditional automation, Level 4: High Automation, Level 5: Full Automation.
  2. PNS (peripheral nervous system) includes motor neurons (autonomous nervous system), parasympathetic nervous system and enteric nervous system.
  3. Giant Pacific Octopus have 3 hearts, 9 brains and blue blood (which is architecturally irrelevant for this story).
  4. Good to keep in mind that not all fruits are low hanging!