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AI for
Finance
September 11th, 2020.
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen.
2
Dr. Kim K. Larsen / How do we Humans feel about AI?
How do you feel
about AI?
13%
50%
37%
Negative Neutral Positive
10% of respondents are enthusiastic about AI.
11% are uncomfortable or scared about AI.
Millennials are significantly more negative towards AI.
Women tend to be less enthusiastic than men towards AI.
SurveyMonkey surveys from August 2017 to August 2020.
2017 - 2020
2017 - 2020
Sentiment
Who we are serving
Their experience matter!
5
In the Future, do we need humans?
67%
33%
No
Yes
78%
22%
No
Yes
Do you believe that your job could
be replaced by an AI?
Do you believe your colleagues
jobs could be replaced by an AI?
Human decision making
17%
43%
40%
Infrequently
About half the time
Frequently
52%
32%
16%
Infrequently
About half the time
Frequently
Would you trust a critical
corporate decision made by a
fellow human expert or superior?
Would you trust a critical
corporate decision made by
an AI?
AI decision makingvs
Automation vs autonomy
Artificial Intelligence
“Most organizations reported some failures among
their AI projects with a quarter of them reporting up
to 50% failure rate.” (IDC, July 2019).
“Lack of skilled staff and unrealistic
expectations were identified as the top
reasons for failure.” (IDC, July 2019).
“Robotic process automation failure rate is 30% - 50%”
Ernst & Young.
“only 3% of organizations were able to scale RPA to 50
or more bots” Deloitte UK.
RPA
AI
- “Classic” RPA.
- Machine learning (ML)
incl. deep learning (DL).
- Natural Language
Processing (NLP).
- Natural Language
Generation.
- Computer vision (DL).
- Intelligent Automation
(RPA + AI).
- …
- Business Process Optimization
(e.g., cost reduction).
- Human complexity reduction (e.g.,
for complex processes).
- (Tedious) manual labor reduction.
- Customer Operations Processes &
interactions.
- Fraud / Anomaly detection.
- Advanced business analytics.
- Data driven decision making.
- ….
▪ Well defined or logical.
▪ Rule-based.
▪ Repetitive.
▪ Static or confined dynamical.
▪ Simple / simpler processes.
▪ Relative narrow processes.
▪ Simpler / narrower data context.
▪ Not exposed to biases & false outcomes.
▪ Infrastructure landscape fit, etc…
When AI?
What AI?
SPECIALISTIC
(NARROW)
AI
~100% of todays
use cases
Chat
Bots
How AI? Need to “Clean” Data!
Model /
Architecture
Quality Goals!
(to train the model, normally not as heavy to run it)
(need to beat “Flipping a Coin” or
Majority “Vote”)
It
Starts
Here!
Train Test
Computing power
Lots of Data!
(the more data, the higher quality should result
& the less complexity required … in general)
68%
of your data
often assumed
to be The “Normal”
Representing 95%
of all your data
Increasing
risk of bias &
neglect.
Increasing
risk of bias &
neglect.
“Anomalies” may hide here “Anomalies” may hide here
AIs are very much tuned to where
most data is available.
Regular pattern Anomaly
AIs are very good at pattern recognition and
modelling regularities as well as catching anomalies.
Source: Anodot https://www.anodot.com/blog/what-is-anomaly-detection/
Anomaly detection should be a mandatory system component
of any RPA, AI or Intelligent Automation implementation as for
infrastructure & business process monitoring & operations.
The 3Z Ambition
Access
Data Center = Cloud
Experience n = n + 1
AI Controllers
Learning Agents
Environment
Observations:
Customer interactions.
Actions
Reward
e.g., to achieve
desired outcomes
Many experience iterations
per relevant time unit.
3Z Principles
towards
Intelligent
Automation
Services
Customers
▪ Re-enforcement learning (ML/DL)
▪ Closing the loop.
▪ Dynamic machine learning.
▪ Anomaly detection on infrastructure
as well as Learning Agents / RPAAs.
“Closing the Loop”
Robotic
Proces Automation
No regret … if managed
Industrial-scaled AI
Higher complexity
Chat bot(s)
No regret … keep narrow
Anomaly detection
Essential & easy ROISpecialistic (narrow) AI
Simpler tasks … easy ROI
Intelligent Automation
(beyond RPA or RPA meets AI)
Higher complexity
1
THANK YOU!
Acknowledgement
Many thanks many industry colleagues who have
contributed with valuable insights, discussions &
comments throughout this work.
Also I would like to thank my wife Eva Varadi for
her patience during this work.
Contact:
Email: kim.larsen@t-mobile.nl
Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/kimklarsen
Blogs: www.aistrategyblog.com & www.techneconomyblog.com
Twitter: @KimKLarsen

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AI for Finance

  • 1. AI for Finance September 11th, 2020. Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen.
  • 2. 2 Dr. Kim K. Larsen / How do we Humans feel about AI?
  • 3. How do you feel about AI? 13% 50% 37% Negative Neutral Positive 10% of respondents are enthusiastic about AI. 11% are uncomfortable or scared about AI. Millennials are significantly more negative towards AI. Women tend to be less enthusiastic than men towards AI. SurveyMonkey surveys from August 2017 to August 2020. 2017 - 2020 2017 - 2020 Sentiment
  • 4. Who we are serving Their experience matter!
  • 5. 5 In the Future, do we need humans? 67% 33% No Yes 78% 22% No Yes Do you believe that your job could be replaced by an AI? Do you believe your colleagues jobs could be replaced by an AI?
  • 6. Human decision making 17% 43% 40% Infrequently About half the time Frequently 52% 32% 16% Infrequently About half the time Frequently Would you trust a critical corporate decision made by a fellow human expert or superior? Would you trust a critical corporate decision made by an AI? AI decision makingvs
  • 7. Automation vs autonomy Artificial Intelligence “Most organizations reported some failures among their AI projects with a quarter of them reporting up to 50% failure rate.” (IDC, July 2019). “Lack of skilled staff and unrealistic expectations were identified as the top reasons for failure.” (IDC, July 2019). “Robotic process automation failure rate is 30% - 50%” Ernst & Young. “only 3% of organizations were able to scale RPA to 50 or more bots” Deloitte UK.
  • 8. RPA AI - “Classic” RPA. - Machine learning (ML) incl. deep learning (DL). - Natural Language Processing (NLP). - Natural Language Generation. - Computer vision (DL). - Intelligent Automation (RPA + AI). - … - Business Process Optimization (e.g., cost reduction). - Human complexity reduction (e.g., for complex processes). - (Tedious) manual labor reduction. - Customer Operations Processes & interactions. - Fraud / Anomaly detection. - Advanced business analytics. - Data driven decision making. - ….
  • 9. ▪ Well defined or logical. ▪ Rule-based. ▪ Repetitive. ▪ Static or confined dynamical. ▪ Simple / simpler processes. ▪ Relative narrow processes. ▪ Simpler / narrower data context. ▪ Not exposed to biases & false outcomes. ▪ Infrastructure landscape fit, etc… When AI?
  • 10. What AI? SPECIALISTIC (NARROW) AI ~100% of todays use cases Chat Bots
  • 11. How AI? Need to “Clean” Data! Model / Architecture Quality Goals! (to train the model, normally not as heavy to run it) (need to beat “Flipping a Coin” or Majority “Vote”) It Starts Here! Train Test Computing power Lots of Data! (the more data, the higher quality should result & the less complexity required … in general)
  • 12.
  • 13. 68% of your data often assumed to be The “Normal” Representing 95% of all your data Increasing risk of bias & neglect. Increasing risk of bias & neglect. “Anomalies” may hide here “Anomalies” may hide here AIs are very much tuned to where most data is available.
  • 14. Regular pattern Anomaly AIs are very good at pattern recognition and modelling regularities as well as catching anomalies. Source: Anodot https://www.anodot.com/blog/what-is-anomaly-detection/ Anomaly detection should be a mandatory system component of any RPA, AI or Intelligent Automation implementation as for infrastructure & business process monitoring & operations.
  • 16. Access Data Center = Cloud Experience n = n + 1 AI Controllers Learning Agents Environment Observations: Customer interactions. Actions Reward e.g., to achieve desired outcomes Many experience iterations per relevant time unit. 3Z Principles towards Intelligent Automation Services Customers ▪ Re-enforcement learning (ML/DL) ▪ Closing the loop. ▪ Dynamic machine learning. ▪ Anomaly detection on infrastructure as well as Learning Agents / RPAAs. “Closing the Loop”
  • 17. Robotic Proces Automation No regret … if managed Industrial-scaled AI Higher complexity Chat bot(s) No regret … keep narrow Anomaly detection Essential & easy ROISpecialistic (narrow) AI Simpler tasks … easy ROI Intelligent Automation (beyond RPA or RPA meets AI) Higher complexity
  • 18. 1
  • 19. THANK YOU! Acknowledgement Many thanks many industry colleagues who have contributed with valuable insights, discussions & comments throughout this work. Also I would like to thank my wife Eva Varadi for her patience during this work. Contact: Email: kim.larsen@t-mobile.nl Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/kimklarsen Blogs: www.aistrategyblog.com & www.techneconomyblog.com Twitter: @KimKLarsen