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A WORLD OF INSECURITY
GLOBAL SURPLUS
Worldwide, calorie supply is
23% higher than required.
Although at a regional level
there is more than enough food
available, significant variation
exists at the national level —
Haiti and the Central African
Republic, for instance, both have
13% deficits. And availability is
no guarantee of food security.
Access to food, which is
determined by factors such as
location, affordability and
gender, also has a part to play.
AFRICA
17% surplus OCEANIA
14% surplus
NORTH AMERICA
46% surplus
CENTRAL
AMERICA
27% surplus
SOUTH AMERICA
31% surplus
CARIBBEAN
15% surplus
EUROPE
30% surplus
ASIA
20% surplus
97.5%
INCREASEThe daily supply of meat per
person almost doubled
between 1963 and 2013
(see page S18).
SUPPLY MAKE-UP
Globally, cereals are the biggest
source of energy. In Asia, they
made up around 50% of the
region’s daily energy supply in
2013. Sugar and fats made up
the biggest share of North
America’s and Oceania’s daily
energy supply.
OVER AND UNDER
Malnutrition includes both the
over- and underconsumption of
calories. According to the World
Health Organization, nearly 40%
of Oceania’s population is
obese. The highest rates of
undernutrition are in Africa and
the Caribbean, where around
20% of people fail to get
enough calories.
of the global population is
undernourished, equivalent
to around 795 million
people — the fewest people
since records began
in 1990.
10.8%
Population(%)
Africa AsiaEuropeNorth
America
South
America
Central
America
OceaniaCaribbean
Malnutrition is a global problem. With population and consumption set to rise over the
coming decades, achieving food security will require action on many fronts. By Julie Gould,
infographic by Mohamed Ashour.
Malnutrition is a global problem. With population and consumption set to rise over the
coming decades, achieving food security will require action on many fronts. By Julie Gould,
infographic by Mohamed Ashour.
Obese
Undernourished
Estimate (<5%)
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
Dailyfoodsupply(%)
North America Europe AsiaAfricaSouth
America
Central
America
OceaniaCaribbean
Fruit and vegetablesCereals Sugar and fat Dairy and eggs Meat and fish Other
100
80
60
40
20
0
FOOD SECURITYOUTLOOK
xxxxxxxxxx
xxxxxxxxx
STOPPING
THE WASTE
Globally, most
pre-household food
waste is fresh produce.
As the population has
grown, so has the
amount of waste. It is
now 74% higher than
it was 30 years ago.
The only region to
significantly reduce
waste is Europe, where
it has almost halved
since 1987.
PRODUCTION BOOST
GROWING GAINS
Food crop production increased significantly in the past half century. The
quantity of cereals grown for human consumption has more than tripled since
1961, while cultivation of vegetables and melons has increased nearly fivefold.
DOING MORE
WITH MORE
The growth in global
production has been
driven more by
rising yields than by
increases in land
used. This varies
regionally, however.
In sub-Saharan
Africa, for example,
cropland expansion
has had the larger
impact.
Annualwaste(milliontonnes)
Yield(tonnesperhectare)
Billiontonnes
Millionhectares
Sources: Food and Agriculture Organization and World Health Organization
Cereal import dependency ratio (%; 2009–11)
AUSTRALIA
exports
nearly 80%
of the wheat
it produces.
ARGENTINA
exports more
cereals
compared with
its consump-
tion than any
other nation.
EGYPT
is the biggest
importer of wheat.
In total, around
40% of its food
supply is imported
(see page S14).
Relative to its
population, South
America has the
highest levels of
food waste. This is
driven by sugar —
the crop accounts
for nearly 50% of
South America’s
food waste.
* value < 2 million
26 COUNTRIES
including Barbados,
Kuwait, Congo and
Papua New Guinea
imported more
than 90% of their
cereals between
2009 and 2011.
SPREAD IT AROUND
Many countries do not have
enough land or water resources to
feed their population and have to
rely on potentially volatile global
trade markets. In 2010, around
80% of countries were net
importers of cereals. Caribbean
nations are especially dependent
on imports, whereas South
American and European countries
are the biggest net exporters.
Harvested cropland
has increased by
around 21%
ANNUAL
WASTE PER
CAPITA
Fruit and
vegetables
51%
Meat, fish
and other
1%
Cereals
24%
Dairy
and eggs
5%
Sugar
and fat
19%
Cereals Vegetables and
melons
Fruit excluding
melons
Roots and
tubers
North America
Central America
Caribbean
South America
Europe
Africa
Asia
Oceania
North America
Central America
Caribbean*
South America
Europe
Africa
Asia
Oceania*
–200–150–100–5050 0100 1987 2013
1961 2014
0
10
20
30
40
50
20141961
743
903
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1961 2014
425%
85%
294%
221%
NET EXPORTNET IMPORT
0
100
200
300
400
500
2 7 A P R I L 2 0 1 7 | V O L 5 4 4 | N A T U R E | S 7
FOOD SECURITY OUTLOOK

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A world of insecurity

  • 1. A WORLD OF INSECURITY GLOBAL SURPLUS Worldwide, calorie supply is 23% higher than required. Although at a regional level there is more than enough food available, significant variation exists at the national level — Haiti and the Central African Republic, for instance, both have 13% deficits. And availability is no guarantee of food security. Access to food, which is determined by factors such as location, affordability and gender, also has a part to play. AFRICA 17% surplus OCEANIA 14% surplus NORTH AMERICA 46% surplus CENTRAL AMERICA 27% surplus SOUTH AMERICA 31% surplus CARIBBEAN 15% surplus EUROPE 30% surplus ASIA 20% surplus 97.5% INCREASEThe daily supply of meat per person almost doubled between 1963 and 2013 (see page S18). SUPPLY MAKE-UP Globally, cereals are the biggest source of energy. In Asia, they made up around 50% of the region’s daily energy supply in 2013. Sugar and fats made up the biggest share of North America’s and Oceania’s daily energy supply. OVER AND UNDER Malnutrition includes both the over- and underconsumption of calories. According to the World Health Organization, nearly 40% of Oceania’s population is obese. The highest rates of undernutrition are in Africa and the Caribbean, where around 20% of people fail to get enough calories. of the global population is undernourished, equivalent to around 795 million people — the fewest people since records began in 1990. 10.8% Population(%) Africa AsiaEuropeNorth America South America Central America OceaniaCaribbean Malnutrition is a global problem. With population and consumption set to rise over the coming decades, achieving food security will require action on many fronts. By Julie Gould, infographic by Mohamed Ashour. Malnutrition is a global problem. With population and consumption set to rise over the coming decades, achieving food security will require action on many fronts. By Julie Gould, infographic by Mohamed Ashour. Obese Undernourished Estimate (<5%) 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Dailyfoodsupply(%) North America Europe AsiaAfricaSouth America Central America OceaniaCaribbean Fruit and vegetablesCereals Sugar and fat Dairy and eggs Meat and fish Other 100 80 60 40 20 0 FOOD SECURITYOUTLOOK
  • 2. xxxxxxxxxx xxxxxxxxx STOPPING THE WASTE Globally, most pre-household food waste is fresh produce. As the population has grown, so has the amount of waste. It is now 74% higher than it was 30 years ago. The only region to significantly reduce waste is Europe, where it has almost halved since 1987. PRODUCTION BOOST GROWING GAINS Food crop production increased significantly in the past half century. The quantity of cereals grown for human consumption has more than tripled since 1961, while cultivation of vegetables and melons has increased nearly fivefold. DOING MORE WITH MORE The growth in global production has been driven more by rising yields than by increases in land used. This varies regionally, however. In sub-Saharan Africa, for example, cropland expansion has had the larger impact. Annualwaste(milliontonnes) Yield(tonnesperhectare) Billiontonnes Millionhectares Sources: Food and Agriculture Organization and World Health Organization Cereal import dependency ratio (%; 2009–11) AUSTRALIA exports nearly 80% of the wheat it produces. ARGENTINA exports more cereals compared with its consump- tion than any other nation. EGYPT is the biggest importer of wheat. In total, around 40% of its food supply is imported (see page S14). Relative to its population, South America has the highest levels of food waste. This is driven by sugar — the crop accounts for nearly 50% of South America’s food waste. * value < 2 million 26 COUNTRIES including Barbados, Kuwait, Congo and Papua New Guinea imported more than 90% of their cereals between 2009 and 2011. SPREAD IT AROUND Many countries do not have enough land or water resources to feed their population and have to rely on potentially volatile global trade markets. In 2010, around 80% of countries were net importers of cereals. Caribbean nations are especially dependent on imports, whereas South American and European countries are the biggest net exporters. Harvested cropland has increased by around 21% ANNUAL WASTE PER CAPITA Fruit and vegetables 51% Meat, fish and other 1% Cereals 24% Dairy and eggs 5% Sugar and fat 19% Cereals Vegetables and melons Fruit excluding melons Roots and tubers North America Central America Caribbean South America Europe Africa Asia Oceania North America Central America Caribbean* South America Europe Africa Asia Oceania* –200–150–100–5050 0100 1987 2013 1961 2014 0 10 20 30 40 50 20141961 743 903 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 1961 2014 425% 85% 294% 221% NET EXPORTNET IMPORT 0 100 200 300 400 500 2 7 A P R I L 2 0 1 7 | V O L 5 4 4 | N A T U R E | S 7 FOOD SECURITY OUTLOOK