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PULSES IN PAKISTAN FOR FOOD AND
NUTRITIONAL SECURITY
Stephen Davies, Saqib Shahzad and Wajiha Saeed
A Presentation to the Pulses for Sustainable Agriculture and Human Health
Conference
New Delhi, India
May 31, 2016
www.ifpri.org
Pulses Situation in Pakistan
 There has been almost no growth or fractional growth of
food legumes in last 30 years (GOP 2006; GOP 2008).
 Major pulses grown in Pakistan include desi chickpeas
(gram), lentils (masoor), mung beans, black matpe (mash
beans).
 Mostly cultivation of pulses are on marginal lands and
rain-fed areas.
 Important source of protein with increasing demand due
to population growth in Pakistan.
 Less use of fertilizer in pulses - specially in chickpea.
www.ifpri.org
Pulses Situation in Pakistan (contd.)
 Chickpea can perform well under conditions of moisture
stress in marginal soils.
 The Thal desert cannot support major cash crops due to
low fertility and lack of irrigation, is called the “home of
chickpea”.
 Cultivation of Mungbean is concentrated in Punjab and in
Kharif season (July October). About 75% cultivation
follows mungbean - wheat crop rotation.
 Source: http://old.parc.gov.pk/1SubDivisions/NARCCSI/CSI/pulses.html
www.ifpri.org
Pulses Situation in Pakistan (contd.)
 Chickpea and lentils compete in the Rabi season with
wheat for limited water supplies.
 Wheat uses 24 MAF of canal water out of total of 31.4
MAF available in Rabi, so little water is available for food
legumes.
 Wheat yield is 2.45 tons/ha against food legumes yield of
0.429 tons/ha for chickpea and 0.723 tons/ha for mung
beans.
www.ifpri.org
A GRAPHICAL TOUR
www.ifpri.org
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Years
Area and Production of Pulses in Pakistan
Area (000
hectares)
Production
(000
tonnes)
Linear
(Area (000
hectares))
Linear
(Productio
n (000
tonnes))
www.ifpri.org
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
Years
Production and Total Supply of Major Pulses
in Pakistan
Production
(000
tonnes)
Total
Supply (P +
I)
www.ifpri.org
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Kgs/Hectare
Years
Yields of Major Pulses in Pakistan
Gram
Mash
Mung
Linear
(Gram)
www.ifpri.org
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
WheatPrice
PulsesPrice
Years
Real Prices of major Pulses and Wheat
Gram
Mung
Wheat
www.ifpri.org
The Supply of Pulses in Pakistan
 Tend to behave as subsistence crops
• Supply not always responsive to own-price (esp. Gram &
Maash)
 Grown mostly in areas with low-intensity cropping
• Cropping-intensity found to have a negative effect on
pulse production
 Lack of R&D related to pulses and/or prioritization
by govt. are possible reasons
• Pulses except Mung had a negative trend coefficient over
the period 1970-93
• Turned positive more recently
• Mung may be benefitting
Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
www.ifpri.org
The Supply of Pulses in Pakistan
(contd.)
 Investments in irrigation at the national level have not
benefitted pulses
• Negative or no association with increased irrigation overall
• But positive association with rainfall & own area under irrigation
 Greater weather risks negatively effects all pulses but not
Gram
 Higher wages have negative effect on pulse production as
well
• Suggests need for improving varieties (to have synchronized
maturity) and mechanization to reduce labor-intensity of harvest
Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
www.ifpri.org
The Demand for Pulses in Pakistan
 Pulses have been shown to have high demand
elasticity (0.6 to 0.8)
• Much higher price elasticity than wheat (~0.3)
• Comparable to higher-quality foods (milk, meat, rice)
• Though, more recent study suggests it is low (for Mung
and Gram)
 Pulses generally perceived to be inferior goods: not
preferred at higher income levels
• Found to be not exactly true: consistently found to have
positive income elasticities
Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
www.ifpri.org
The Demand for Pulses in Pakistan (contd.)
 May be substitutes for milk & fruit (particularly
Mungbean)
 Either independent of cereals or complementary; Gram
possibly a substitute of wheat (disagreement across
studies)
 Found to complement vegetables and meat (Lentil was
the exception which substitutes for these)
 Income and population pressures can be expected to
continue to exert demand pressures on pulses
Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
www.ifpri.org
 Wheat procurement price has possible negative
effects on pulses growth
 Some dimensions in Mung Bean, possibly from R&D
 More consistent import program might raise
consumption
 Possible programs to raise yields in dryland areas
could be pro-poor and might reduce Malnutrition
Conclusions
www.ifpri.org
References
 Mubarik Ali and Abedullah. 1998. “Supply, demand,
and policy environment for Pulses in Pakistan”.
Pakistan Development Review 37:1.
 Saima Rani, Hassnain Shah, Umar Farooq and Bushra
Rehman. (2014). “Supply, demand, and policy
environment for Pulses in Pakistan”. Pakistan J. Agric.
Res. Vol. 27 No.2.
THANK YOU!

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IFPRI- Pulses in Pakistan for Food and Nutritional Security, Stephen Davies, IFPRI

  • 1. PULSES IN PAKISTAN FOR FOOD AND NUTRITIONAL SECURITY Stephen Davies, Saqib Shahzad and Wajiha Saeed A Presentation to the Pulses for Sustainable Agriculture and Human Health Conference New Delhi, India May 31, 2016
  • 2. www.ifpri.org Pulses Situation in Pakistan  There has been almost no growth or fractional growth of food legumes in last 30 years (GOP 2006; GOP 2008).  Major pulses grown in Pakistan include desi chickpeas (gram), lentils (masoor), mung beans, black matpe (mash beans).  Mostly cultivation of pulses are on marginal lands and rain-fed areas.  Important source of protein with increasing demand due to population growth in Pakistan.  Less use of fertilizer in pulses - specially in chickpea.
  • 3. www.ifpri.org Pulses Situation in Pakistan (contd.)  Chickpea can perform well under conditions of moisture stress in marginal soils.  The Thal desert cannot support major cash crops due to low fertility and lack of irrigation, is called the “home of chickpea”.  Cultivation of Mungbean is concentrated in Punjab and in Kharif season (July October). About 75% cultivation follows mungbean - wheat crop rotation.  Source: http://old.parc.gov.pk/1SubDivisions/NARCCSI/CSI/pulses.html
  • 4. www.ifpri.org Pulses Situation in Pakistan (contd.)  Chickpea and lentils compete in the Rabi season with wheat for limited water supplies.  Wheat uses 24 MAF of canal water out of total of 31.4 MAF available in Rabi, so little water is available for food legumes.  Wheat yield is 2.45 tons/ha against food legumes yield of 0.429 tons/ha for chickpea and 0.723 tons/ha for mung beans.
  • 6. www.ifpri.org 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Years Area and Production of Pulses in Pakistan Area (000 hectares) Production (000 tonnes) Linear (Area (000 hectares)) Linear (Productio n (000 tonnes))
  • 7. www.ifpri.org 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Years Production and Total Supply of Major Pulses in Pakistan Production (000 tonnes) Total Supply (P + I)
  • 10. www.ifpri.org The Supply of Pulses in Pakistan  Tend to behave as subsistence crops • Supply not always responsive to own-price (esp. Gram & Maash)  Grown mostly in areas with low-intensity cropping • Cropping-intensity found to have a negative effect on pulse production  Lack of R&D related to pulses and/or prioritization by govt. are possible reasons • Pulses except Mung had a negative trend coefficient over the period 1970-93 • Turned positive more recently • Mung may be benefitting Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
  • 11. www.ifpri.org The Supply of Pulses in Pakistan (contd.)  Investments in irrigation at the national level have not benefitted pulses • Negative or no association with increased irrigation overall • But positive association with rainfall & own area under irrigation  Greater weather risks negatively effects all pulses but not Gram  Higher wages have negative effect on pulse production as well • Suggests need for improving varieties (to have synchronized maturity) and mechanization to reduce labor-intensity of harvest Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
  • 12. www.ifpri.org The Demand for Pulses in Pakistan  Pulses have been shown to have high demand elasticity (0.6 to 0.8) • Much higher price elasticity than wheat (~0.3) • Comparable to higher-quality foods (milk, meat, rice) • Though, more recent study suggests it is low (for Mung and Gram)  Pulses generally perceived to be inferior goods: not preferred at higher income levels • Found to be not exactly true: consistently found to have positive income elasticities Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
  • 13. www.ifpri.org The Demand for Pulses in Pakistan (contd.)  May be substitutes for milk & fruit (particularly Mungbean)  Either independent of cereals or complementary; Gram possibly a substitute of wheat (disagreement across studies)  Found to complement vegetables and meat (Lentil was the exception which substitutes for these)  Income and population pressures can be expected to continue to exert demand pressures on pulses Sources: Ali and Abedullah (1998); Rani et. al. (2014).
  • 14. www.ifpri.org  Wheat procurement price has possible negative effects on pulses growth  Some dimensions in Mung Bean, possibly from R&D  More consistent import program might raise consumption  Possible programs to raise yields in dryland areas could be pro-poor and might reduce Malnutrition Conclusions
  • 15. www.ifpri.org References  Mubarik Ali and Abedullah. 1998. “Supply, demand, and policy environment for Pulses in Pakistan”. Pakistan Development Review 37:1.  Saima Rani, Hassnain Shah, Umar Farooq and Bushra Rehman. (2014). “Supply, demand, and policy environment for Pulses in Pakistan”. Pakistan J. Agric. Res. Vol. 27 No.2.