/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
1
2 F B B NB B F F B
10
ver 4.0b
by T. Fukuoka
I Evidence based medicine (EBM) ________ 2
II EBM _______________________________ 2
III 	
  _______________________________ 10
IV __________________ 11
IV ______________________________________________________ 11
V __________________________________ 14
VI ______________________________________________ 19
VII _________________________________________________ 19
VIII ____________________________________________ 20
IX ______________________________________________ 20
X _______________________________________________ 23
15年以上前の古い教材です。現在の学習教材
として使うのは不適です。ご注意ください。
あくまでも参考資料としてお使いください。
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
2
I y s n Evidence based medicine (EBM)
Evidence based medicine (EBM)
EBM
II y c EBM z
EBM
randomized control trial: RCT
1) u i p
y y gb W
A) LKN EK . z
(post hoc, ergo propter hoc: after this, therefore because of this)
...
B) x y
.....
.....
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
3
C) z v i
2) Randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical
trial
z i n z v z c gold standard u v
t W
A) v
randomize: To make random in arrangement, especially in order to control the
variables in an experiment.
B) v
blind: 2.a. Performed or made without the benefit of background information that
might prejudice the outcome or result: (exp) blind taste tests used in marketing
studies.
C) v xy W
placebo: 1.a. Medicine. A substance containing no medication and prescribed or
given to reinforce a patient's expectation to get well. b. An inactive substance or
preparation used as a control in an experiment or test to determine the
effectiveness of a medicinal drug.
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
4
D) gt u x vo xz W
3) z z y
A) a g W
B) z a fk
1.
2.
3.
1.
2.
3.
4.
etc.
C) z vgt z x z
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
4) xl yeo z p
A) u f nX x g
y i 9MF BM KC FKN FN F N L( ( ,
(a)
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
5
(b)
1957
(c)
Am J Cardiol 1: 46-50, 1958
50 2 6
34 11 5
(d)
(e)
RCT
N Engl J Med 260: 1115-1118, 1959
radomized double-blind controlled trial
(f)
(g)
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
6
(h)
radomized double-blind controlled trial
B) z z g
4 N MF 3MBBTB ;EB NF LM F B KC N FN F N L 1 F F
BLF B FK K L -
(a)
5 10	
 
(b)
JAMA 180: 439, 1962
10	
 
(c)
2500 ”gastric freezing machine”
(d) RCT
N Engl J Med 281: 16, 1969
30/68 44 GF 35/69 51
GF
(e)
gastric freezing
(f)
GF
2500 RCT
(g)
RCT
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
7
C) y f nev g
z yr t z
4FP F F 2: B 7 K 1 F F LM F B KC M FK K M B 7KN --
(a)
(b) RCT
N Engl J Med 291: 1324-1326, 1974
212
(c)
(d) RCT =meta-analysis
JAMA 260: 1910-1916, 1988
14 9155
1/3
(e) RCT =meta-analysis
Circulation 86: 764-773, 1992
1970 1990
1970 4.32 4.51 1990 0.11
0.35 *
*: 1990 1/3
1970 1990 0.19 0.24
(f)
1980
(g)
RCT
RCT
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
8
(h)
RCT
RCT
D) ez z
(a)
(b)
(c)
(d)
(e)
(f)
(nifedipine)
5) z
1.
” EB B EK KC F P FK ”
2.
RCT ” EB B EK KC
B P FK ”
3. MR
” EB B EK KC F FK ”
” EB B EK KC NB P FK ”
6) vi a z z
A) z
5B B 8 ;BR KKG KC F BM B F F B M B 	
  6FLLF K : B
-- 1E L BM ((
(a) case report
case report
(b) case series study
case report
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
9
RCT
(c) case control study
2
retrospective study
RCT
(d) cohort study
cohort study prospective study
case control study
(e) RCT
III-3)
B) y
level
Level 1 1 2
Level 2 1 2
Level 3
Level 4
Level 5
Level
Level 5
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
10
1 2 X 2
III z g
1) vx yg
A) y patient)
B) ev i v(intervention
C) x outocome
D) z
2) i n y x m
A) MEDLINE exi
keyword keyword
B)
C) y r v y k
D) yv y b yeo
100
50 1 0.5 2
1 200 1
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
11
E) y ev uat g ua z
y g
IV z
MEDLINE
keyword
1) y i
A) ua
B) z x z
C) zmgt z z y r
D) z uz x
a b
c d
Y=a/(a+b) =c/(c+d)
RR RR=Y/X
relative risk reduction: RRR RRR=1-RR or RRR=[(X Y)/X]
absolute risk reduction: ARR ARR=X Y
number needed to treat: NNT 1/ARR
20% 10 RR 1/2 RRR 50
ARR 10 NNT 10 4 2
RR 1/2 RRR 50 ARR 2 NNT 50
NNT 1
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
12
3 /3
E) z z keyword
Clinical trial (publication type)
Randomized controlled trial (publication type)
2) y i
A) ua
B) z x z
C) zmgt z z y r
D) z z uz x
a b
c d
a/(a+c) d/(b+d)
positive predictive value: PPV a/(a+b)
negative predictive value: NPV d/(c+d)
(likelihood ratio of positive test: LR(+) / 1 or
a/(a+c)/b/(b+d)
(likelihood ratio of negative test: LR( ) (1 )/ or
c/(a+c)/d/(b+d)
LR ℃10 0.1
LR 5-10 0.1-0.2
LR 2-5 0.2-0.5
LR 2 ℃0.5
LR 1
E) z z keyword
Sensitivity and specificity --Explode
Diaginosis&(px)
3) y i
A) ua
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
13
B) z x z
C) zmgt z z y r
D) z z uz x
5
stage
2
derivation sample validation sample
E) z z keyword
Cohort studies---Explode
Prognosis (text word)
4) y i
A) ua
B) z x z
C) zmgt z z y r
D) z z uz x
case-control study RCT
cohort study
a b
c d
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
14
RCT prospective cohort study relative risk: RR
RR=a/(a+b)/c/(c+d)
RR 3.0 3
case-control study RR Odds ratio: OR
case-control study
case control
a/(a+b)
c/(c+d) 1 case 1 control 2 control
case-control study 2
OR=a/c/b/d=a*d/b*c
OR 3 case control 3
E) z z keyword
risk (text word)
Cohort studies---Explode
5) /
A) ua
B) z x z
C) zmgt z z y r
D) / uz x
2
E) z z keyword
meta-analysis (publication type)
review (publication type)
V n tz
gnev y g oi W y z
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
15
g v k W MBC. 1 -,
	
  z y sb y i
x
zX v m y vsb yr t z g W
z
1-1 10000
1-2
1-3 1000
500 500
1-4 1000
1-5 10
5 5
1-6 10
2-1 A B A
10 5 5 B 10
4 6
2-2 A B A
10 5 5 B 10
1 9
3-1 A B A
100 50 50 B 100
51 49
3-2 A B
A 100 50 50 B 100
10 90
4-1 A B A
1000 500 500 B 10
501 499
4-2 A B A
1000 500 500 B 1000
100 900
2) y y c z
A) x y
B) n y
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
16
3) mz z vmz
A) y vsb
100
1
2 50 1
3 50 4
4 10
B) y sb
6
×
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
17
C) y sb
D)
RCT
4) y z
y z y gn mz z
i
A)
X A E
A, B, C, D X A, B, C, E X
A, B, D, E X A, C, D, E X
4 A X
ref:
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
18
B)
C)
)	
  mz zz
	
 
	
 
	
 
	
  	
  	
 
	
  	
  	
 
	
  15 	
  15 	
 
	
  	
 
	
 
;83
;83
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
19
VI y
EBM
RCT
RCT RCT
RCT
RCT
level 1 2
VII
1.
2. RCT
3. RCT RCT
4. 34 8
35 8 2 36 5 3
3
5.
1 10 1
2
3 RCT
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
20
4 RCT
5 100
1
VIII
1) z
207 z vx gn zW x z u x W
y gn b i W
Moore, DS. The basic practice of statistics. W. H. Freeman and Company, 1995.
8000
Glantz SA. Primer of biostatistics. (4th ed.) McGraw Hill, 1997. 4500
Sackett, DL, et al; Clinical epidemiology. (2nd ed.) Little, Brown Company, 1991
7000
2) f y n z
x z z uz vgtz z t
yo f x n z
1994 EBM
EBM
R. K. Riegelman
1991
1996
× 1996
1997
T. 1993
J. R. 1995 ×
IX
1) v z
(clinical significancy)
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
21
50
25
number
needed to treat (NNT)
2) z v EBM vgt
EBM level level 3
5
A) uz
1960 (phocomelia) 2
1959
1961
case series
Lentz 20
50 1961 11 15
11 20
11 26 11 28
phocomelia
1961 4 3 phocomelia
10 11 3 6
11 27
1961 10 phocomelia
2
10 8
1961 12 16 Lancet
1962 1 6 Lancet 1962
2 10 Lancet
350
13
7 4 7 2 phocomelia
1 4
300
phocomelia 2
40 phocomelia 75
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
22
16000 phocomelia
1
7 phocomelia
phocomelia
B) Lenz
(Lenz ) 300
phocomelia
phocomelia phocomelia
90 2 92
22 186 208
112 188 300
Lenz
phocomelia 9
phocomelia
C) Lenz y i
Lenz
44
5 17
phocomelia
phecomelia
phocomelia
1 phecomelia
Lenz 10% phocomelia
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
23
phocomelia
D) y i
Lenz
1961 11 28
1962 3 1962 4
1962 9 1962 2
phocomelia 1000 1963
219 1961
Lenz Lenz
z x n z u n vgt h d
gt W
x z x z z f v
z y y ht W u x i n y z
y t b a W
X
case control study, 10
case report, 9
case series study, 9
case-control study, 15
cohort study, 10
Evidence based medicine, 2
4 N MF 3MBBTB, 6
NNT, 23
phocomelia, 23
/EBM 1999/05/06 1:09
24
randomized control trial, 2
, 2
, 20
, 19
, 9
, 15
, 17
, 13
, 18
, 9
, 4
, 18
, 20
. cohort
study
, 20
, 23
, 20
. case
series study
. case report
, 18
, 17
, 13
, 20
, 2
, 13
, 16
, 18
, 13
, 13
, 5
, 3
, 23
, 17
, 6
, 3
, 9
, 16
, 18
, 5, 18
, 3
.
, 13
.
z , 7
, 23
, 10
, 19
, 12

EBM入門 書き直し4

  • 1.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 1 2F B B NB B F F B 10 ver 4.0b by T. Fukuoka I Evidence based medicine (EBM) ________ 2 II EBM _______________________________ 2 III _______________________________ 10 IV __________________ 11 IV ______________________________________________________ 11 V __________________________________ 14 VI ______________________________________________ 19 VII _________________________________________________ 19 VIII ____________________________________________ 20 IX ______________________________________________ 20 X _______________________________________________ 23 15年以上前の古い教材です。現在の学習教材 として使うのは不適です。ご注意ください。 あくまでも参考資料としてお使いください。
  • 2.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 2 Iy s n Evidence based medicine (EBM) Evidence based medicine (EBM) EBM II y c EBM z EBM randomized control trial: RCT 1) u i p y y gb W A) LKN EK . z (post hoc, ergo propter hoc: after this, therefore because of this) ... B) x y ..... .....
  • 3.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 3 C)z v i 2) Randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial z i n z v z c gold standard u v t W A) v randomize: To make random in arrangement, especially in order to control the variables in an experiment. B) v blind: 2.a. Performed or made without the benefit of background information that might prejudice the outcome or result: (exp) blind taste tests used in marketing studies. C) v xy W placebo: 1.a. Medicine. A substance containing no medication and prescribed or given to reinforce a patient's expectation to get well. b. An inactive substance or preparation used as a control in an experiment or test to determine the effectiveness of a medicinal drug.
  • 4.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 4 D)gt u x vo xz W 3) z z y A) a g W B) z a fk 1. 2. 3. 1. 2. 3. 4. etc. C) z vgt z x z 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 4) xl yeo z p A) u f nX x g y i 9MF BM KC FKN FN F N L( ( , (a)
  • 5.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 5 (b) 1957 (c) AmJ Cardiol 1: 46-50, 1958 50 2 6 34 11 5 (d) (e) RCT N Engl J Med 260: 1115-1118, 1959 radomized double-blind controlled trial (f) (g)
  • 6.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 6 (h) radomizeddouble-blind controlled trial B) z z g 4 N MF 3MBBTB ;EB NF LM F B KC N FN F N L 1 F F BLF B FK K L - (a) 5 10 (b) JAMA 180: 439, 1962 10 (c) 2500 ”gastric freezing machine” (d) RCT N Engl J Med 281: 16, 1969 30/68 44 GF 35/69 51 GF (e) gastric freezing (f) GF 2500 RCT (g) RCT
  • 7.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 7 C)y f nev g z yr t z 4FP F F 2: B 7 K 1 F F LM F B KC M FK K M B 7KN -- (a) (b) RCT N Engl J Med 291: 1324-1326, 1974 212 (c) (d) RCT =meta-analysis JAMA 260: 1910-1916, 1988 14 9155 1/3 (e) RCT =meta-analysis Circulation 86: 764-773, 1992 1970 1990 1970 4.32 4.51 1990 0.11 0.35 * *: 1990 1/3 1970 1990 0.19 0.24 (f) 1980 (g) RCT RCT
  • 8.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 8 (h) RCT RCT D)ez z (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (nifedipine) 5) z 1. ” EB B EK KC F P FK ” 2. RCT ” EB B EK KC B P FK ” 3. MR ” EB B EK KC F FK ” ” EB B EK KC NB P FK ” 6) vi a z z A) z 5B B 8 ;BR KKG KC F BM B F F B M B 6FLLF K : B -- 1E L BM (( (a) case report case report (b) case series study case report
  • 9.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 9 RCT (c)case control study 2 retrospective study RCT (d) cohort study cohort study prospective study case control study (e) RCT III-3) B) y level Level 1 1 2 Level 2 1 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level Level 5
  • 10.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 10 12 X 2 III z g 1) vx yg A) y patient) B) ev i v(intervention C) x outocome D) z 2) i n y x m A) MEDLINE exi keyword keyword B) C) y r v y k D) yv y b yeo 100 50 1 0.5 2 1 200 1
  • 11.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 11 E)y ev uat g ua z y g IV z MEDLINE keyword 1) y i A) ua B) z x z C) zmgt z z y r D) z uz x a b c d Y=a/(a+b) =c/(c+d) RR RR=Y/X relative risk reduction: RRR RRR=1-RR or RRR=[(X Y)/X] absolute risk reduction: ARR ARR=X Y number needed to treat: NNT 1/ARR 20% 10 RR 1/2 RRR 50 ARR 10 NNT 10 4 2 RR 1/2 RRR 50 ARR 2 NNT 50 NNT 1
  • 12.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 12 3/3 E) z z keyword Clinical trial (publication type) Randomized controlled trial (publication type) 2) y i A) ua B) z x z C) zmgt z z y r D) z z uz x a b c d a/(a+c) d/(b+d) positive predictive value: PPV a/(a+b) negative predictive value: NPV d/(c+d) (likelihood ratio of positive test: LR(+) / 1 or a/(a+c)/b/(b+d) (likelihood ratio of negative test: LR( ) (1 )/ or c/(a+c)/d/(b+d) LR ℃10 0.1 LR 5-10 0.1-0.2 LR 2-5 0.2-0.5 LR 2 ℃0.5 LR 1 E) z z keyword Sensitivity and specificity --Explode Diaginosis&(px) 3) y i A) ua
  • 13.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 13 B)z x z C) zmgt z z y r D) z z uz x 5 stage 2 derivation sample validation sample E) z z keyword Cohort studies---Explode Prognosis (text word) 4) y i A) ua B) z x z C) zmgt z z y r D) z z uz x case-control study RCT cohort study a b c d
  • 14.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 14 RCTprospective cohort study relative risk: RR RR=a/(a+b)/c/(c+d) RR 3.0 3 case-control study RR Odds ratio: OR case-control study case control a/(a+b) c/(c+d) 1 case 1 control 2 control case-control study 2 OR=a/c/b/d=a*d/b*c OR 3 case control 3 E) z z keyword risk (text word) Cohort studies---Explode 5) / A) ua B) z x z C) zmgt z z y r D) / uz x 2 E) z z keyword meta-analysis (publication type) review (publication type) V n tz gnev y g oi W y z
  • 15.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 15 gv k W MBC. 1 -, z y sb y i x zX v m y vsb yr t z g W z 1-1 10000 1-2 1-3 1000 500 500 1-4 1000 1-5 10 5 5 1-6 10 2-1 A B A 10 5 5 B 10 4 6 2-2 A B A 10 5 5 B 10 1 9 3-1 A B A 100 50 50 B 100 51 49 3-2 A B A 100 50 50 B 100 10 90 4-1 A B A 1000 500 500 B 10 501 499 4-2 A B A 1000 500 500 B 1000 100 900 2) y y c z A) x y B) n y
  • 16.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 16 3)mz z vmz A) y vsb 100 1 2 50 1 3 50 4 4 10 B) y sb 6 ×
  • 17.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 17 C)y sb D) RCT 4) y z y z y gn mz z i A) X A E A, B, C, D X A, B, C, E X A, B, D, E X A, C, D, E X 4 A X ref:
  • 18.
  • 19.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 19 VIy EBM RCT RCT RCT RCT RCT level 1 2 VII 1. 2. RCT 3. RCT RCT 4. 34 8 35 8 2 36 5 3 3 5. 1 10 1 2 3 RCT
  • 20.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 20 4RCT 5 100 1 VIII 1) z 207 z vx gn zW x z u x W y gn b i W Moore, DS. The basic practice of statistics. W. H. Freeman and Company, 1995. 8000 Glantz SA. Primer of biostatistics. (4th ed.) McGraw Hill, 1997. 4500 Sackett, DL, et al; Clinical epidemiology. (2nd ed.) Little, Brown Company, 1991 7000 2) f y n z x z z uz vgtz z t yo f x n z 1994 EBM EBM R. K. Riegelman 1991 1996 × 1996 1997 T. 1993 J. R. 1995 × IX 1) v z (clinical significancy)
  • 21.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 21 50 25 number neededto treat (NNT) 2) z v EBM vgt EBM level level 3 5 A) uz 1960 (phocomelia) 2 1959 1961 case series Lentz 20 50 1961 11 15 11 20 11 26 11 28 phocomelia 1961 4 3 phocomelia 10 11 3 6 11 27 1961 10 phocomelia 2 10 8 1961 12 16 Lancet 1962 1 6 Lancet 1962 2 10 Lancet 350 13 7 4 7 2 phocomelia 1 4 300 phocomelia 2 40 phocomelia 75
  • 22.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 22 16000phocomelia 1 7 phocomelia phocomelia B) Lenz (Lenz ) 300 phocomelia phocomelia phocomelia 90 2 92 22 186 208 112 188 300 Lenz phocomelia 9 phocomelia C) Lenz y i Lenz 44 5 17 phocomelia phecomelia phocomelia 1 phecomelia Lenz 10% phocomelia
  • 23.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 23 phocomelia D)y i Lenz 1961 11 28 1962 3 1962 4 1962 9 1962 2 phocomelia 1000 1963 219 1961 Lenz Lenz z x n z u n vgt h d gt W x z x z z f v z y y ht W u x i n y z y t b a W X case control study, 10 case report, 9 case series study, 9 case-control study, 15 cohort study, 10 Evidence based medicine, 2 4 N MF 3MBBTB, 6 NNT, 23 phocomelia, 23
  • 24.
    /EBM 1999/05/06 1:09 24 randomizedcontrol trial, 2 , 2 , 20 , 19 , 9 , 15 , 17 , 13 , 18 , 9 , 4 , 18 , 20 . cohort study , 20 , 23 , 20 . case series study . case report , 18 , 17 , 13 , 20 , 2 , 13 , 16 , 18 , 13 , 13 , 5 , 3 , 23 , 17 , 6 , 3 , 9 , 16 , 18 , 5, 18 , 3 . , 13 . z , 7 , 23 , 10 , 19 , 12