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Enhancing results for National Adaptation
Planning (NAP)
1. Highly contextual in nature
2. Difficult to establish universal measurement, reporting and
verification systems
3. Challenge in articulating a qualityTheory of Change for
adaptation because of lack of clear casual pathways between
results hierarchies
4. Too many assumptions and risks; raises difficulties in
understanding how and why a certain change in adaptation
planning is desired
5. Requires clearer understanding of how multiple and
competing causal pathways will lead to one or more
anticipated results
Complexities of measuring adaptation indicators
Vision
Increased resilience and reduced vulnerability to the impacts of climate change in developing countries through long – term and contextual adaptation
measures
Final Outcomes
• Initiating and launching of the NAP process
• Identifying available information on climate
change impacts, vulnerability and
adaptation and assessing gaps/needs of the
enabling environment for the NAP process
• Addressing human/institutional/financial
capacity gaps to undertake the NAP process
• Prioritizing climate change adaptation in
national planning and budgets
• Developing a national adaptation
implementation strategy
• Enhancing capacity for planning and
implementation of adaptation
• Promoting coordination and synergy at the
regional level and with other multilateral
environmental agreements
• Analysing current climate and future climate
change scenarios
• Assessing climate vulnerabilities and
identifying adaptation options at the sector,
subnational, national and other appropriate
levels
• Reviewing and appraising adaptation options
• Compiling and communicating national
adaptation plans
Activities
(only indicative and
subject to
modification
in accordance with
the country’s context
and situation)
Outputs
- Improved governance mechanisms, institutional structures and technical capacities in place to design, implement and manage the NAP process
- Integration of climate change adaptation into relevant new and existing policies, development planning processes and strategies, within all relevant
sectors and at different levels
Laying the groundwork, addressing needs,
capacities and gaps
• NAP process launched
• Gap analysis and needs assessments of the
enabling environment for the NAP process
conducted and/or updated
• Institutional and human capacity needs and
challenges in undertaking the NAP process
assessed
M&E systems, public outreach plans
and advocacy strategies enhanced
• MRV systems for the NAP process
established
• Assessments, evaluations and
reporting of the NAP process
undertaken
• Effective advocacy and
communications strategies developed
to promote the NAP process
Preparatory elements
• National/sub – national climate change
profiles analysed and/or updated
• Climate vulnerabilities of natural systems and
development needs of
individuals/households/communities
assessed
• Adaptation options identified, reviewed and
appraised
• National adaptation plans aggregated and
shared among key stakeholders
• Climate information knowledge and
information planning and management
- Strengthened capacities of state actors in analyzing, sharing and communicating climate change adaptation investment information, options and
actions
- Monitoring and evaluation and knowledge management systems for NAPs in place to promote improved implementation of and learning outcomes
on the NAP process
ProposedTheory of Change for NAPs
Intermediate
Outcomes
Country capacities strengthened to implement
NAPs
• Climate change adaptation prioritized in
national plans and programmes
• Implementation strategies for NAP devised
• Human/institutional/financial capacities for
planning and implementation of adaptation
enhanced
• Complementarity and coherence established
with other climate finance mechanisms
• Development of concept notes and proposals
• NAP process aligned with INDCs/NDCs and
driven by country priorities
• Monitoring the NAP process
• Reviewing the NAP process to assess
progress, effectiveness and gaps
• Iteratively updating the national
adaptation plans
• Media, public outreach and advocacy
programs on the NAP process
• Regular reporting on progress and
effectiveness of the NAP process
• Limited skills and technical capacities
for the undertaking and management of
NAPs
Barriers
• Lack of baseline scenarios and
comprehensive assessments for
understanding complex climate
vulnerabilities
• Weak Institutional and inter-agency
coordination mechanisms
• Inadequate M&E Systems
Assumptions: Active engagement of the country in accessing GCF – financed NAP processes; core staffing in-country to produce NAP proposals and guide implementation for desired
impact; ability to identify and procure qualified international or national consultants; funds disbursed by GCF in a timely manner; adequate political stability for countries to manage change.
.
Risks: In some countries the political situation may not be conducive enough to design and implement NAP processes; national or sub–national accountability mechanisms may not be
strong enough to track the proper and appropriate utilization of funds; weak institutional systems and capacities to guide implementation of NAP processes.
• Coherence & complementarity: focus was not on reinventing the
wheel
• In-depth comparative analysis of indicators and M&E
approaches of the GCF against those of other climate finance
mechanisms
• Harmonization of indicators by themes (e.g. resilient livelihoods,
climate information services/EWS/ risk/vulnerability assessment
etc.)
GCF’s Results Management Framework:
An update
Revised
Indicator
Rationale Measurement Protocol
Improved quality
of lives of direct
and indirect
beneficiaries
Same or similar indicators used
in two climate finance
mechanisms
Proxies can be used such as material living
conditions (income, consumption, assets,
infrastructure) and Human Development
Index (HDI)
Current indicator:Total number of direct and indirect beneficiaries
Review of Existing Indicators
Revised
Indicator
Rationale Measurement Protocol
Degree of
integration of
climate change
adaptation
approaches in
national and
sector planning
Same or similar indicators used
in two climate finance
mechanisms
Qualitative and quantitative assessment of
various strategies, policies and plans by
way of corporate or community
scorecards, multi-variate studies
Current indicator: Institutional and regulatory systems that improve for
climate resilience and their effective coordination
Review of Existing Indicators
Revised
Indicator
Rationale Measurement Protocol
Extent of
adoption of
climate-resilient
technologies and
practices
COP 23 guidance to report
progress on technology
Same or similar indicators used
in one climate finance
mechanism
Hardware and software e.g., number of
technology transfer licenses/facilities
and/or projects/programs
Current indicator: Number of technologies and innovative solutions
transferred or licensed to promote climate resilience as a result of GCF
support
Review of Existing Indicators
B.22
(Mar 2019)
B.23
(Jul 2019)
B.24
(Oct 2019)
B.25 onwards
(2020)
Next Steps
Revise and update the design of an
integrated RMF including result areas,
indicators, and measurement protocols
Develop methodologies, protocols and
guidance against mitigation and adaptation
indicators in the combined IF/RMF/PMFs
for AEs and EEs
Approach: GCF’s ‘fit-for-purpose’ results architecture through integration of
frameworks, Board decisions and policies relevant to results management
Part II:
Enhancing Implementation, Monitoring
and Reporting of NAP Proposals
Effective and efficient Implementation: A Must for Results
Results
Time -
bound
Quality
Quantity
CostResults
Monitoring and ReportingTools
MonitoringTools
a. Progress Reports
b. Financial Reports
✓ Audited and
Unaudited
reports
c. Interim Progress
Reports (IPRs)
d. Project Completion
Reports (PCRs)
What We Monitor?
• Deliverables: e.g. study reports
• Milestones: e.g. launch of
climate information system by 30
April 2019
• Targets: e.g. 100 participations
(disaggregated by gender)
trained in adaptation planning
• Outputs: e.g. sectoral adaptation
action plans
• Outcomes: e.g. consolidated
NationalAdaptation Plan by 30
April 2019
• Impacts: e.g.
adoption/replication/scaling of
contextual adaptation practices
Implementation Challenges and Solutions
Challenges
• Inadequate implementation
arrangements
• Lack of concrete and
measurable baseline,
milestones and deliverables
• Too many deliverables
• Delays in reporting
• Delays in disbursements
• Inadequate expenditure
• Extension/Restructuring
• Change in scope
• Change in Budget
Solutions
• Ensure “Quality at Entry” of
projects
• Establish effective M&E system
• Adhere to the Implementation
Timetable
• Engage effectively with the
stakeholders – DPs, NDAs,
Communities, GCF, etc.
• Focus on delivery of outputs and
outcomes
• Communicate with the GCF if any
issues arise
• Keep GCF informed of innovations
ideas, good practices etc.

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9.2.2 Regional TEM-A Part III

  • 1. Enhancing results for National Adaptation Planning (NAP)
  • 2. 1. Highly contextual in nature 2. Difficult to establish universal measurement, reporting and verification systems 3. Challenge in articulating a qualityTheory of Change for adaptation because of lack of clear casual pathways between results hierarchies 4. Too many assumptions and risks; raises difficulties in understanding how and why a certain change in adaptation planning is desired 5. Requires clearer understanding of how multiple and competing causal pathways will lead to one or more anticipated results Complexities of measuring adaptation indicators
  • 3. Vision Increased resilience and reduced vulnerability to the impacts of climate change in developing countries through long – term and contextual adaptation measures Final Outcomes • Initiating and launching of the NAP process • Identifying available information on climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation and assessing gaps/needs of the enabling environment for the NAP process • Addressing human/institutional/financial capacity gaps to undertake the NAP process • Prioritizing climate change adaptation in national planning and budgets • Developing a national adaptation implementation strategy • Enhancing capacity for planning and implementation of adaptation • Promoting coordination and synergy at the regional level and with other multilateral environmental agreements • Analysing current climate and future climate change scenarios • Assessing climate vulnerabilities and identifying adaptation options at the sector, subnational, national and other appropriate levels • Reviewing and appraising adaptation options • Compiling and communicating national adaptation plans Activities (only indicative and subject to modification in accordance with the country’s context and situation) Outputs - Improved governance mechanisms, institutional structures and technical capacities in place to design, implement and manage the NAP process - Integration of climate change adaptation into relevant new and existing policies, development planning processes and strategies, within all relevant sectors and at different levels Laying the groundwork, addressing needs, capacities and gaps • NAP process launched • Gap analysis and needs assessments of the enabling environment for the NAP process conducted and/or updated • Institutional and human capacity needs and challenges in undertaking the NAP process assessed M&E systems, public outreach plans and advocacy strategies enhanced • MRV systems for the NAP process established • Assessments, evaluations and reporting of the NAP process undertaken • Effective advocacy and communications strategies developed to promote the NAP process Preparatory elements • National/sub – national climate change profiles analysed and/or updated • Climate vulnerabilities of natural systems and development needs of individuals/households/communities assessed • Adaptation options identified, reviewed and appraised • National adaptation plans aggregated and shared among key stakeholders • Climate information knowledge and information planning and management - Strengthened capacities of state actors in analyzing, sharing and communicating climate change adaptation investment information, options and actions - Monitoring and evaluation and knowledge management systems for NAPs in place to promote improved implementation of and learning outcomes on the NAP process ProposedTheory of Change for NAPs Intermediate Outcomes Country capacities strengthened to implement NAPs • Climate change adaptation prioritized in national plans and programmes • Implementation strategies for NAP devised • Human/institutional/financial capacities for planning and implementation of adaptation enhanced • Complementarity and coherence established with other climate finance mechanisms • Development of concept notes and proposals • NAP process aligned with INDCs/NDCs and driven by country priorities • Monitoring the NAP process • Reviewing the NAP process to assess progress, effectiveness and gaps • Iteratively updating the national adaptation plans • Media, public outreach and advocacy programs on the NAP process • Regular reporting on progress and effectiveness of the NAP process • Limited skills and technical capacities for the undertaking and management of NAPs Barriers • Lack of baseline scenarios and comprehensive assessments for understanding complex climate vulnerabilities • Weak Institutional and inter-agency coordination mechanisms • Inadequate M&E Systems Assumptions: Active engagement of the country in accessing GCF – financed NAP processes; core staffing in-country to produce NAP proposals and guide implementation for desired impact; ability to identify and procure qualified international or national consultants; funds disbursed by GCF in a timely manner; adequate political stability for countries to manage change. . Risks: In some countries the political situation may not be conducive enough to design and implement NAP processes; national or sub–national accountability mechanisms may not be strong enough to track the proper and appropriate utilization of funds; weak institutional systems and capacities to guide implementation of NAP processes.
  • 4. • Coherence & complementarity: focus was not on reinventing the wheel • In-depth comparative analysis of indicators and M&E approaches of the GCF against those of other climate finance mechanisms • Harmonization of indicators by themes (e.g. resilient livelihoods, climate information services/EWS/ risk/vulnerability assessment etc.) GCF’s Results Management Framework: An update
  • 5. Revised Indicator Rationale Measurement Protocol Improved quality of lives of direct and indirect beneficiaries Same or similar indicators used in two climate finance mechanisms Proxies can be used such as material living conditions (income, consumption, assets, infrastructure) and Human Development Index (HDI) Current indicator:Total number of direct and indirect beneficiaries Review of Existing Indicators
  • 6. Revised Indicator Rationale Measurement Protocol Degree of integration of climate change adaptation approaches in national and sector planning Same or similar indicators used in two climate finance mechanisms Qualitative and quantitative assessment of various strategies, policies and plans by way of corporate or community scorecards, multi-variate studies Current indicator: Institutional and regulatory systems that improve for climate resilience and their effective coordination Review of Existing Indicators
  • 7. Revised Indicator Rationale Measurement Protocol Extent of adoption of climate-resilient technologies and practices COP 23 guidance to report progress on technology Same or similar indicators used in one climate finance mechanism Hardware and software e.g., number of technology transfer licenses/facilities and/or projects/programs Current indicator: Number of technologies and innovative solutions transferred or licensed to promote climate resilience as a result of GCF support Review of Existing Indicators
  • 8. B.22 (Mar 2019) B.23 (Jul 2019) B.24 (Oct 2019) B.25 onwards (2020) Next Steps Revise and update the design of an integrated RMF including result areas, indicators, and measurement protocols Develop methodologies, protocols and guidance against mitigation and adaptation indicators in the combined IF/RMF/PMFs for AEs and EEs Approach: GCF’s ‘fit-for-purpose’ results architecture through integration of frameworks, Board decisions and policies relevant to results management
  • 9. Part II: Enhancing Implementation, Monitoring and Reporting of NAP Proposals
  • 10. Effective and efficient Implementation: A Must for Results Results Time - bound Quality Quantity CostResults
  • 11. Monitoring and ReportingTools MonitoringTools a. Progress Reports b. Financial Reports ✓ Audited and Unaudited reports c. Interim Progress Reports (IPRs) d. Project Completion Reports (PCRs) What We Monitor? • Deliverables: e.g. study reports • Milestones: e.g. launch of climate information system by 30 April 2019 • Targets: e.g. 100 participations (disaggregated by gender) trained in adaptation planning • Outputs: e.g. sectoral adaptation action plans • Outcomes: e.g. consolidated NationalAdaptation Plan by 30 April 2019 • Impacts: e.g. adoption/replication/scaling of contextual adaptation practices
  • 12. Implementation Challenges and Solutions Challenges • Inadequate implementation arrangements • Lack of concrete and measurable baseline, milestones and deliverables • Too many deliverables • Delays in reporting • Delays in disbursements • Inadequate expenditure • Extension/Restructuring • Change in scope • Change in Budget Solutions • Ensure “Quality at Entry” of projects • Establish effective M&E system • Adhere to the Implementation Timetable • Engage effectively with the stakeholders – DPs, NDAs, Communities, GCF, etc. • Focus on delivery of outputs and outcomes • Communicate with the GCF if any issues arise • Keep GCF informed of innovations ideas, good practices etc.