CLIMADA is an open-source and open-access global probabilistic risk modelling and adaptation economics platform. It provides decision makers from local to national scales with a rigorous risk management approach to identify, assess, and propose cost-effective adaptation measures to address weather and climate risks. CLIMADA uses probabilistic hazard simulations and intensity-impact functions to quantify risk from events like tropical cyclones, floods, droughts and more. It then evaluates how risk may change in the future from socioeconomic development and climate change to help prioritize adaptation options.
- Multi Hazard (MH) analysis and design are complex matters, especially for the interactions between hazards;
- Performance Based Engineering is a promising approach for dealing with multi hazard. It has proven to work properly with a range of single hazard problems, and necessary modifications to the general procedure to take into account of the different interactions between hazard have been already conceived;
- Extensive tests have to be conducted on different applications of the MH PBE procedure in order to check the reliability and coherency of the obtained results in terms of total and partial risk for a given design solution;
- Accumulation of historical data and measures in a statistical database for the characterization/modelling of hazard interactions is still needed
- New approaches for coherently including in the framework accidental hazards like fire and explosions are needed.
Disaster Management Process And Significance PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
Counter great challenges with our content-ready disaster management process and significance PowerPoint presentation slides. The emergency management PPT templates ensure necessary strategies to provide prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. These disaster preparedness plan presentation illustrations help communities mitigate the potential adverse effects of a natural disaster. Our mitigation strategy PowerPoint slides cover all the necessary preventive measures such as risk mapping, calamity factors, catastrophe risk formula, disaster cycle, flood preparedness, and earthquake scale. Additionally, our disaster recovery plan PPT show focus on creating a plan to lessen the occurrences of disaster. This emergency management cycle PowerPoint illustration can be used for the other same subjects such as, cyclic disturbances prevention, hazard control, ecosystem stability, stochastic events, disaster recovery planning, climate resilience, sustainable development, business continuity, disaster risk reduction, mass fatality incident and natural catastrophe insurance program. Download our disaster management process and significance PPT visuals which are customizable. Get access to facilities beyond imagination with our Disaster Management Process And Significance PowerPoint Presentation Slides. You will have everything to gain.
This is the fifth lesson taught under the course - Climate Change and Global Environment at the Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
What is Risk ? What is Hazard ? What is Exposure ? What is Vulnerability ? What is Sensitivity ? What are the different types of risk analysis method followed in any type of risk assessment works? After going through the presentation one can understand the answer to all the above questions.
The Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction was held from 14 to 18 March 2015 in Sendai City, Miyagi Prefecture, Japan. Several thousand participants attended, including at related events linked to the World Conference under the umbrella of building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters. The United Nations General Assembly Resolution for 2013 on International Strategy for Disaster Reduction states that the World Conference will result in a concise, focused, forward-looking, and action-oriented outcome document and will have the following objectives:
* To complete assessment and review of the implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action;
* To consider the experience gained through the regional and national strategies/institutions and plans for disaster risk reduction and their recommendations as well as relevant regional agreements within the implementation of the Hyogo Framework of Action;
* To adopt a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction;
* To identify modalities of cooperation based on commitments to implement a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction;
* To determine modalities to periodically review the implementation of a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction.
Presentation courtesy of Dr Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction
Green Industry Policy in support of Net-Zero Emission achievements: Astika An...OECD Environment
"Challenges and best practices in financing to accelerate industry decarbonisation", OECD Series of Webinars on low carbon hydrogen and industry decarbonisation, 14 June 2023
IPCC, role of IPCC, IPCC AR5, key messages. approach in climate change mitigation, trends of green house gases, mitigation pathways and measures, mitigation policies and institutions,
This presentation was held during the 5th GIB Summit, May 27-28 2015.
The presentation and more information on the Global Infrastructure Basel Foundation are available on www.gib-foundation.org
- Multi Hazard (MH) analysis and design are complex matters, especially for the interactions between hazards;
- Performance Based Engineering is a promising approach for dealing with multi hazard. It has proven to work properly with a range of single hazard problems, and necessary modifications to the general procedure to take into account of the different interactions between hazard have been already conceived;
- Extensive tests have to be conducted on different applications of the MH PBE procedure in order to check the reliability and coherency of the obtained results in terms of total and partial risk for a given design solution;
- Accumulation of historical data and measures in a statistical database for the characterization/modelling of hazard interactions is still needed
- New approaches for coherently including in the framework accidental hazards like fire and explosions are needed.
Disaster Management Process And Significance PowerPoint Presentation SlidesSlideTeam
Counter great challenges with our content-ready disaster management process and significance PowerPoint presentation slides. The emergency management PPT templates ensure necessary strategies to provide prevention, preparedness, response, and recovery. These disaster preparedness plan presentation illustrations help communities mitigate the potential adverse effects of a natural disaster. Our mitigation strategy PowerPoint slides cover all the necessary preventive measures such as risk mapping, calamity factors, catastrophe risk formula, disaster cycle, flood preparedness, and earthquake scale. Additionally, our disaster recovery plan PPT show focus on creating a plan to lessen the occurrences of disaster. This emergency management cycle PowerPoint illustration can be used for the other same subjects such as, cyclic disturbances prevention, hazard control, ecosystem stability, stochastic events, disaster recovery planning, climate resilience, sustainable development, business continuity, disaster risk reduction, mass fatality incident and natural catastrophe insurance program. Download our disaster management process and significance PPT visuals which are customizable. Get access to facilities beyond imagination with our Disaster Management Process And Significance PowerPoint Presentation Slides. You will have everything to gain.
This is the fifth lesson taught under the course - Climate Change and Global Environment at the Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka
What is Risk ? What is Hazard ? What is Exposure ? What is Vulnerability ? What is Sensitivity ? What are the different types of risk analysis method followed in any type of risk assessment works? After going through the presentation one can understand the answer to all the above questions.
The Third UN World Conference on Disaster Risk Reduction was held from 14 to 18 March 2015 in Sendai City, Miyagi Prefecture, Japan. Several thousand participants attended, including at related events linked to the World Conference under the umbrella of building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters. The United Nations General Assembly Resolution for 2013 on International Strategy for Disaster Reduction states that the World Conference will result in a concise, focused, forward-looking, and action-oriented outcome document and will have the following objectives:
* To complete assessment and review of the implementation of the Hyogo Framework for Action;
* To consider the experience gained through the regional and national strategies/institutions and plans for disaster risk reduction and their recommendations as well as relevant regional agreements within the implementation of the Hyogo Framework of Action;
* To adopt a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction;
* To identify modalities of cooperation based on commitments to implement a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction;
* To determine modalities to periodically review the implementation of a post-2015 framework for disaster risk reduction.
Presentation courtesy of Dr Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction
Green Industry Policy in support of Net-Zero Emission achievements: Astika An...OECD Environment
"Challenges and best practices in financing to accelerate industry decarbonisation", OECD Series of Webinars on low carbon hydrogen and industry decarbonisation, 14 June 2023
IPCC, role of IPCC, IPCC AR5, key messages. approach in climate change mitigation, trends of green house gases, mitigation pathways and measures, mitigation policies and institutions,
This presentation was held during the 5th GIB Summit, May 27-28 2015.
The presentation and more information on the Global Infrastructure Basel Foundation are available on www.gib-foundation.org
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
Resilience: Global Imperative for 2013 and Beyond_Mesh evans april 25 2013Peter C. Evans, PhD
Identifies key forces that are driving the need for resilient as well as sustainable resilient energy infrastructure. The presentation argues that work need greater technology innovation to support RSI (resilient, sustainable infrastructure).
5th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2014 Integrative Risk Management - The role of science, technology & practice 24-28 August 2014 in Davos, Switzerland
DSD-Kampala 2023 Modelling in support of decision making - RussellDeltares
Presentation by Bobby Russell (Deltares) at the Symposium Models and decision-making in the wake of climate uncertainties, during the Deltares Software Days - Kampala 2023 (DSD-Kampala 2023). Wednesday, 4 October 2023, Kampala, Uganda.
How Critical Infrastructure Orients International Relief in Cascading Disaste...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
Implications of Cascading Effects for the EU Floods Directive, Gianluca PESCA...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
NJ Future Sandy One Year Later Risk Linkin Oct 29 2013New Jersey Future
Innovative insurance and re-insurance products for the public sector in the wake of Superstorm Sandy. Part of the Sandy One Year Later conference Oct. 29, 2013, at Monmouth University, co-presented by the Union of Concerned Scientists and the Recovery Fund as well as New Jersey Future and Monmouth University.
Australia is experiencing a major nationwide surge in infrastructure investment. At the same time, significant Federal and State Government climate change policy is being formulated, announcements are being made about the ramifications of future sea level rise, and extreme weather events including bushfires, heatwaves, heavy rainfall and flooding are highlighting the vulnerability of Australia’s existing infrastructure to climate change.
These fast-emerging climate change risks to infrastructure were the trigger for this Rapid-Response Summit “by the private sector, for the private sector.” Specifically, the summit’s aim was to explore the implications of climate change for the future of infrastructure risk management and transition in Australia.
These risks were considered from the perspectives of multiple stakeholders, drawing on their wide-reaching expertise and lengthy experience. The format consisted of speaker sessions, panels, and discussions which aimed to focus on key issues and identify the challenges facing the sector.
Civil Protection Forum 2015: Draft programMario Robusti
The European Civil Protection Forum is organised by the European Commission, Directorate General Humanitarian Aid and Civil Protection (DG ECHO) every two years.
Turning Black into Green - Incorporating DRR into Social and Economic Develop...Global Risk Forum GRFDavos
6th International Disaster and Risk Conference IDRC 2016 Integrative Risk Management - Towards Resilient Cities. 28 August - 01 September 2016 in Davos, Switzerland
What is the point of small housing associations.pptxPaul Smith
Given the small scale of housing associations and their relative high cost per home what is the point of them and how do we justify their continued existance
Many ways to support street children.pptxSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
This session provides a comprehensive overview of the latest updates to the Uniform Administrative Requirements, Cost Principles, and Audit Requirements for Federal Awards (commonly known as the Uniform Guidance) outlined in the 2 CFR 200.
With a focus on the 2024 revisions issued by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), participants will gain insight into the key changes affecting federal grant recipients. The session will delve into critical regulatory updates, providing attendees with the knowledge and tools necessary to navigate and comply with the evolving landscape of federal grant management.
Learning Objectives:
- Understand the rationale behind the 2024 updates to the Uniform Guidance outlined in 2 CFR 200, and their implications for federal grant recipients.
- Identify the key changes and revisions introduced by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in the 2024 edition of 2 CFR 200.
- Gain proficiency in applying the updated regulations to ensure compliance with federal grant requirements and avoid potential audit findings.
- Develop strategies for effectively implementing the new guidelines within the grant management processes of their respective organizations, fostering efficiency and accountability in federal grant administration.
ZGB - The Role of Generative AI in Government transformation.pdfSaeed Al Dhaheri
This keynote was presented during the the 7th edition of the UAE Hackathon 2024. It highlights the role of AI and Generative AI in addressing government transformation to achieve zero government bureaucracy
Russian anarchist and anti-war movement in the third year of full-scale warAntti Rautiainen
Anarchist group ANA Regensburg hosted my online-presentation on 16th of May 2024, in which I discussed tactics of anti-war activism in Russia, and reasons why the anti-war movement has not been able to make an impact to change the course of events yet. Cases of anarchists repressed for anti-war activities are presented, as well as strategies of support for political prisoners, and modest successes in supporting their struggles.
Thumbnail picture is by MediaZona, you may read their report on anti-war arson attacks in Russia here: https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/13/burn-map
Links:
Autonomous Action
http://Avtonom.org
Anarchist Black Cross Moscow
http://Avtonom.org/abc
Solidarity Zone
https://t.me/solidarity_zone
Memorial
https://memopzk.org/, https://t.me/pzk_memorial
OVD-Info
https://en.ovdinfo.org/antiwar-ovd-info-guide
RosUznik
https://rosuznik.org/
Uznik Online
http://uznikonline.tilda.ws/
Russian Reader
https://therussianreader.com/
ABC Irkutsk
https://abc38.noblogs.org/
Send mail to prisoners from abroad:
http://Prisonmail.online
YouTube: https://youtu.be/c5nSOdU48O8
Spotify: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/libertarianlifecoach/episodes/Russian-anarchist-and-anti-war-movement-in-the-third-year-of-full-scale-war-e2k8ai4
A process server is a authorized person for delivering legal documents, such as summons, complaints, subpoenas, and other court papers, to peoples involved in legal proceedings.
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
Understanding the Challenges of Street ChildrenSERUDS INDIA
By raising awareness, providing support, advocating for change, and offering assistance to children in need, individuals can play a crucial role in improving the lives of street children and helping them realize their full potential
Donate Us
https://serudsindia.org/how-individuals-can-support-street-children-in-india/
#donatefororphan, #donateforhomelesschildren, #childeducation, #ngochildeducation, #donateforeducation, #donationforchildeducation, #sponsorforpoorchild, #sponsororphanage #sponsororphanchild, #donation, #education, #charity, #educationforchild, #seruds, #kurnool, #joyhome
Jennifer Schaus and Associates hosts a complimentary webinar series on The FAR in 2024. Join the webinars on Wednesdays and Fridays at noon, eastern.
Recordings are on YouTube and the company website.
https://www.youtube.com/@jenniferschaus/videos
1. CLIMADA – an open-source and -access global
probabilistic risk modelling and
adaptation economics platform
NAP Expo: “Raising adaptation ambition by advancing National Adaptation Plans”
8 to 12 April 2019, Songdo, Republic of Korea
Evelyn Mühlhofer, Prof. Dr. David N. Bresch, Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich/MeteoSwiss
www.wcr.ethz.ch, CLIMADA: https://github.com/davidnbresch/climada_python
2. Guyana: Flash flood
risk to a developing
urban area
Tanzan
ia
Tanzania: Drought
risk to health and
power generation
Samoa: Risk of sea level
rise to a small island
state
Florida: Hurricane risk to
public and private assets
Mali: Risk of climate
zone shift to agriculture
India: Drought risk to
agriculture
US Gulf Coast:
Hurricane risk to the
energy system
New York: Cyclones
and surge risk to a
metropolis
Hull, UK: Flood and
storm risk to urban
property
China: Drought risk
to agriculture
El Salvador: Flood
and landslide risk to
vulnerable people
Bangladesh: Flood risk
to a fast-developing city
Caribbean: Hurricane
risk to small islands
8x
THE WORLD BANK
>20 adaptation case studies worldwide
3. Overview
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
2
4. • Introduction
• Economics of Climate Adaptation
• Risk
• CLIMADA
• Outputs
• Core Components
• Input
• Hands-on demonstrations in Python: Example of Tropical Cyclone Risk in
Bangladesh
• Discussion
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
3
6. “Provide decision makers on local to national scales with the facts and methods necessary to design and execute
an adaptation strategy to natural hazards in a changing climate, in a robust and replicable way”
Rigorous risk management approach to
(1) identify and …
(2) assess (quantify) risk today, additional risk due to socio-economic development and climate change
(3) Propose, appraise and prioritize a basket of adaptation measures to address weather and
climate risk on an economic basis (e.g. cost-benefit metric)
Supported by the open-source & -access CLIMADA simulation platform
https://github.com/CLIMADA-project/climada_python
Guidebook for Practitioners & Methodology:
www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/PDF/Download-Center/Materialien/2016_No6_Guidebook_Economics-of-Climate-Adaptation_EN.pdf
https://www.ethz.ch/content/dam/ethz/special-interest/usys/ied/wcr-dam/documents/Economics_of_Climate_Adaptation_ECA.pdf
Economics of Climate Adaptation (ECA)
7. ECA (2) - Risk Quantification
Risk
today
Total future
risk
Socio-
Economic
Development
Projections
Climate change
Scenarios
IncreasingRisk
April 8, 2019 Risk Analysis & Adaptation Option Appraisal. Evelyn Mühlhofer,
WCR Group, ETH Zürich
16
8. Climate change
ECA (2) - Risk Quantification
risk = hazard x
exposure x
vulnerability
(= probability x intensity)
9. General finding1:
40-60% of risk can be cost-effectively avoided up to 2030Total future
risk
Climate
adaptation
Residual
risk
• General finding: 40-60%
of risk can be cost-
effectively avoided up to
2030
• Further reduction only at
(excessively) high costs or
not at all
ECA (3) Economic Appraisal of Options
Reduced
Damage
10. ECA (3) - Economic Appraisal of Options
benefit/costratio(US$/US$)
Cumulated number of lives saved over timespan X
Climate
adaptation
Residual
risk
Reduced
Damage
Reduced
Damage
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
9
11. 1. Problem definition, Goal
7. Implementation
6. Decision (?)
NO
NO
Criteria
met?
Problem
defined
correctly?
2. Decision criteria
3. Risk analysis
4. Identify options
Simulation
platform
8. Monitoring
5. Options appraisal
see e.g : Souvignet, Wieneke, Müller & Bresch, 2016: Economics of Climate Adaptation (ECA) - Guidebook for Practitioners. Materials on Development Financing, UNU, KfW.
https://www.kfw-entwicklungsbank.de/PDF/Download-Center/Materialien/2016_No6_Guidebook_Economics-of-Climate-Adaptation_EN.pdf Figure based upon IPCC und UKCIP
Decision Cycle, ECA and CLIMADA
12. CLIMADA
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
11
13. CLIMADA Outputs
0
5
10
15
5
3
4
12
Lossamount109
+ 152%
Annual Expected Loss (AEL)
2012 today's
expected loss
Incremental increase
from economic
gow th; no climate
change
Incremental increase
from climate change
2030, total
expected loss
USFL MiamiDadeBrow ardPalmBeach2012 TCNA hazard event set 2012
USFL MiamiDadeBrow ardPalmBeach2030 TCNA hazard event set 2012
USFL MiamiDadeBrow ardPalmBeach2030 climate change scenario based on TCNA hazard event set 2012
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
12
14. Screen Shot 2019-03-28 at 14.50.27
impact
intensity
CLIMADA
probabilistic
event-based
simulation
vulnerability
exposure
hazard
resilience measures
outputs:
Risk analysis
Risk mapping
Early Warning
Economic appraisal of
measures
Quantification of
uncertainty
CLIMADA: Components
15. CLIMADA: Open Access & Open Source
https://github.com/CLIMADA-project/climada_python and
https://climada-python.readthedocs.io/en/latest/install.html
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
14
16. Demo…
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
15
18. CLIMADA: Hazard
Hazard Type Coverage Resolution
Tropical Cyclone global 10x10km and 1x1 km
European winter storms Europe 10x10km
Earthquake and Volcano global 10x10km and 1x1 km
Wildfire global 10x10km and 1x1 km
Flood (Rivers) global 1x1 km
Landslides global 1x1 km
Droughts global 10x10km and 1x1 km
Format: for each geo-coded point frequency, intensity & time of event
Data sources: modular, default provides global open-source data
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
17
19. Demo…
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
18
2007 Super Clyclonic Storm SIDR
Damage: $1.7 billion (2007 USD)
Fatalities: 3,447–15,000
Highest 3-min sustained wind speed: 215 km/h
20. CLIMADA: Exposure
• LitPop
• night light intensities and gridded population count
• 1kmx1km
• BlackMarble
• night light intensities for a specific year
• 1kmx1km resolution
• Monetary asset values (non-financial wealth, GDP, ..)
• Population
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
19
21. Demo…
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
20
23. Demo…
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
22
24. CLIMADA: Risk Quantification (I)
• “Risk” ~ “Impact” ~ “Expected Damage”
• Combination of all three elements – Exposure, Hazard, Vulnerability
• per year or per specified time frame, damage exceedance curve
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
23
26. CLIMADA: Risk Quantification (II)
• Total Future Risk =
• Risk today
• + Risk from socio-economic development
• + Risk from climate change
• From Today‘s to Future Risk
• Same procedure as before: Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability
• Modifications:
• Change Exposure (population / asset values)
• Change Hazard Set (frequency / intensity)
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
25
27. CLIMADA: Adaptation Measure
Parametrization
• Modifies Hazard
• Frequency
• Intensity
• Modifies Impact Function
• Shift
• Reduction
• Cut-off
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
26
28. CLIMADA: Adaptation Measure
Parametrization - Example
• Building Code in Miami, FL:
• Houses must be built to withstand wind intensities up to 140 mph
(62.5 m/s)
• Targets Impact function: Cut-off
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
27
29. Demo…
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
28
30. CLIMADA: Adaptation Measure Appraisal
• Same procedure as before: Hazard, Exposure, Vulnerability
• Comparison of damage: total risk before & after modifications
• Weighting against implementation costs
Cost-Benefit metrics
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
29
35. Back-up
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
34
36. Risk assessment (2)
Cost-benefit analysis (3)
Roadmap
Aligning risk appetite with development priorities
Incorporating further criteria to cost-benefit ratio
(Re-)prioritizing risk reduction and transfer measures
Integrating into NAP and related planning documents
Develop a roadmap including priority initiatives
Using this roadmap and business case for funding discussions
Speed-up implementation with additional funding; strengthen resilience
The Business Case for Adaptation (2) + (3)
Risk
today
Socio-
Economic
Developm
ent
Total
future
risk
Climate
change
38. Note on inputs – the user defines it all!
▪ Links to many databases, easiest interface via Excel
▪ Expects data to be geo-encoded
▪ Garbage in – garbage out, i.e. climada supports data cleaning, but does not do it on its own ;-)
All documented in https://github.com/davidnbresch/climada/blob/master/docs/climada_manual.pdf
CLIMADA
40. What skills & data are required?
Level of skills needed by field
of expertise
From: Materials on
Development Financing:
Economics of Climate
Adaptation (ECA) -
Guidebook for Practitioners,
KfW Development Bank
April 8, 2019
Risk Analysis & Adaptation Option Appraisal. Evelyn Mühlhofer,
WCR Group, ETH Zürich
39
42. Deployment
• package manager: pip, conda
• virtual environment: conda, virtualenv, pipenv
• packaging: setuptools
• version control:
• GitHub
• fork to GitLab at MeteoSwiss
• coding rules:
• pylint
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
41
43. Tutorials / Manual
• In Jupyter Notebook currently available:
• Hazard (1x general / 1x Tropical Cylcones)
• Exposure (1x general / 1x LitPop /1x BlackMarble)
• Impact Functions
• Manual in written text form
• KfW ECA Guidebook
11 April 2019
CLIMADA risk assessment & adaptation economics platform,
Evelyn Mühlhofer, WCR Group, ETH Zürich
42
44. Useful Data SourcesWe do mention key sources in the respective climada modules, but some data we came across is worth mentioning in more general terms.
• http://www.naturalearthdata.com and directly http://www.naturalearthdata.com/downloads: global shape files (see e.g. climada_shaperead and the
module country_risk). One will likely need the MATLAB mapping toolbox to ease working with these files. Could be used to either improve hazard sets
(e.g. using location of reefs in surge model…) or assets.
• http://download.geofabrik.de: highly detailed shape files for most countries (e.g. more than 1.5 mio shapes of building’s outlines in Switzerland).
Could be used in conjunction with climada module country_risk to further refine the asset base. See also http://www.openstreetmap.org/about,
https://mapzen.com and http://planet.openstreetmap.org
• Also www.diva-gis.org/gdata and www.diva-gis.org/Data for GIS data almost any country and also www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/urban-
atlas
• GIS data for Seychelles https://www.webgis.gov.sc/map_default.phtml
• SRTM elevation data (3-arc seconds resolution ~90m) http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org/SELECTION/inputCoord.asp and generally http://srtm.csi.cgiar.org
• Hydrosheds, based on SRTM, manipulated for river routing http://hydrosheds.cr.usgs.gov/index.php
• http://www.geoportal.org/web/guest/geo_home_stp
• https://www.drought.gov/drought/content/products-current-drought-and-monitoring-drought-indicators/palmer-drought-severity-index
• http://beta.sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/collection/gpw-v4/sets/browse population density, water bodies, admin center points with population
estimates (http://beta.sedac.ciesin.columbia.edu/data/set/gpw-v4-admin-unit-center-points-population-estimates)
• https://search.earthdata.nasa.gov earth data search
• https://datahub.io/ open data sets of various kinds
• http://databank.worldbank.org/data/home.aspx macroeconomic data
• http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=subnational-population sub-national population (admin1)
• http://www.trademap.org/Index.aspx trade statistics
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45. • http://www.cger.nies.go.jp/gcp/population-and-gdp.html population and GDP
• http://data.footprintnetwork.org global country-level data on footprint etc.
• https://hazards.fema.gov/femaportal/wps/portal/NFHLWMSkmzdownload FEMA, US
• http://www.nws.noaa.gov/gis/shapepage.htm NOAA shape files (mainly US)
• http://www.mapcruzin.com/free-netherlands-arcgis-maps-shapefiles.htm NLD shape files, http://www.mapcruzin.com/do-it-
yourself-gis-maps-shapefiles/ mainly US and http://www.mapcruzin.com/free-world-country-arcgis-maps-shapefiles.htm global
• http://floodobservatory.colorado.edu floods
• https://freegisdata.rtwilson.com good global overview of free GIS data
• https://www.census.gov/geo/maps-data/data/cbf/cbf_msa.html US census
• https://data.oecd.org/gdp/real-gdp-forecast.htm OECD GDP past and future
• http://colorbrewer2.org good color scales to print well etc.
• http://www.reefbase.org global coral reef data, good preview via http://www.reefbase.org/gis_maps/default.aspx
• http://datadryad.org/resource/doi:10.5061/dryad.dk1j0 Gridded global datasets for GDP and Human Development Index over
1990-2015
• http://maps.elie.ucl.ac.be/CCI/viewer/ land cover map, resolution 10arcsec (300m)
• http://www.globallandcover.com/GLC30Download/index.aspx 30m land cover map
• See also e.g. http://data.geocomm.com/catalog
• https://pmm.nasa.gov/applications/global-landslide-model landslide model/map
• http://ghsl.jrc.ec.europa.eu/data.php global human settlement layer
• Models
• http://www.hrc-lab.org Hydrologic Research Center, (local) flood model
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46. Contact
Prof. Dr. David N. Bresch
Head of the Weather and Climate Risks Group
dbresch@ethz.ch
Dr. Grabiela Aznar Siguan
Senior Researcher, Implementation of CLIMADA Python
gabriela.aznar@usys.ethz.ch
Evelyn Mühlhofer
Research Associate
evelyn.muehlhofer@usys.ethz.ch
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47. References
Images
p. 18 Wikipedia
p. 20 Maps of Bangladesh Blogspot (http://maps-of-bangladesh.blogspot.com/ ) ; World-Map
(http://ontheworldmap.com/bangladesh/large-detailed-map-of-bangladesh-with-cities.html )
p. 22 Getty Images; K. Emanuel (2011) Global Warming Effects on U.S. Hurricane Damage.
p. 27 SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON TROPICAL CYCLONES
(https://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/wwrp/tmr/otherfileformats/documents/4_2.pdf )
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