The document summarizes findings from the Club of Rome study in the 1970s which looked at exponential growth trends in global population, agriculture, industry, natural resources and pollution. The study found that if these growth trends continued unchanged, the limits to growth would be reached within the next 100 years, likely resulting in a sudden decline in population and industrial capacity. However, the study also found that it was possible to establish sustainable ecological and economic stability by altering these growth trends through preventative action.

1. Döndü Kılınç
IDF Bilkent High School
IB ESS

2.  Studied by the Club of Rome (1970)
› Population
› Agricultural production
› Industrial production
› Natural resources
› Pollution
 These factors grow at exponential rate
 Revision for exponential rate

3.  Lilies on a pond -example
 The apparent suddenness with which the
exponential growth of a phenomenon
approaches to a fixed limit.
 If the predicted growth of world
population is correct then there is an
alarmingly short space of time for
preventive action.

4.  Physical necessities that support all
physiological and industrial activity (like
food, raw materials and fuels)
 Social neccesities (like peace, stability
and education)

6. Team assumed that there would be no great changes in
human values in future and produced this graph.

7.  If present trends continue, the limits to
growth will be reached in the next 100
years – the result will probably be a
sudden and uncontrollable decline in
population and industrial capabilities.
 It is possible to alter these growth trends
and to establish a condition of
ecological and economic stability that is
sustainable into the future.

8.  It’s a world model: not distinguish between
different parts of the world.
 Ignores spatial distribution of population,
resources, agriculture, industry and
pollution.
 People and resources do not always
coincide with space. Their distribution and
size are part of the world’s problem.
 The model emphasizes exponential growth
and not the rate of discovery of new
resources or of new users of resources.