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September 1, 2011

ACTION

Sell
Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
Return Potential: (20%)                                                                                                                  Equity Research

Squeezed by NB/TV downside and OPEX risk; downgrade to Sell
Source of opportunity                                                                Investment Profile
                                                                                     Low                                                                          High
We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral on: 1) downside to its 2011 NB
                                                                                     Growth                                                                       Growth
shipment target; 2) upside in its R&D expense trend; 3) unfavorable product
                                                                                     Returns *                                                                    Returns *
mix due to slowdown in corporate demand (from Dell) in 2H; 4) 2Q OP of
                                                                                     Multiple                                                                     Multiple
NT$1.96 bn is 39%/43% below GSe/Reuters consensus; 5) least                          Volatility                                                                   Volatility
diversification among the top three NB ODMs: mainly TVs (around 10% of                    Percentile           20th       40th       60th        80th       100th
                                                                                         Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
sales) but with downward revision and the least exposure to high-margin
                                                                                         Asia Pacific Technology Peer Group Average
servers. We think there is downside risk to Compal’s 2012 bullish NB growth
                                                                                   * Returns = Return on Capital For a complete description of the
guidance to low visibility. Lastly, we think Compal’s share price rally of 19%                                   investment profile measures please refer to
                                                                                                                 the disclosure section of this document.
from its recent trough (Aug 19) is not warranted by its fundamentals.

                                                                                   Key data                                                                         Current
Catalyst                                                                           Price (NT$)                                                                         31.10
Compal’s 42mn NB unit target (-13% yoy, vs previous GSe of 48.3mn) was             12 month price target (NT$)                                                         25.00
                                                                                   Market cap (NT$ mn / US$ mn)                                          136,666.2 / 4,708.0
lowered from 48 mn in Apr and 55 mn in Jan. The shortfall stems mainly             Foreign ownership (%)                                                                55.1
from: 1) slowdown in corporate demand in 2H vs 1H; 2) netbook orders
lost to Quanta; and 3) Acer’s order downside. Compal expects 3Q GM to                                                     12/10         12/11E          12/12E          12/13E
                                                                                   EPS (NT$) New                           5.38            3.19            3.71            4.40
improve slightly, but guided OPM to be flat on rising R&D cost. Compal             EPS revision (%)                         0.0          (17.4)          (17.2)             9.8
expects its 2012 NB shipment to grow 20% vs industry growth of 0%-5%.              EPS growth (%)                          10.9          (40.8)            16.3            18.6
                                                                                   EPS (dil) (NT$) New                     5.38            3.19            3.71            4.40
In our view, however, this will be a challenge as its share gains at Dell and      P/E (X)                                  5.8             9.7             8.4             7.1
                                                                                   P/B (X)                                  1.2             1.2             1.1             1.1
ASUSTeK may be offset by the potential order loss from Toshiba.                    EV/EBITDA (X)                            7.3             9.7             7.8             5.9
Compal’s 3Q/4Q NB shipments (both flat qoq) are also below previous GSe            Dividend yield (%)                       7.6             8.5             5.1             6.0
                                                                                   ROE (%)                                 22.1            12.6            13.9           15.2
of 1%/4%. We lower our 2011E/12E/13E sales by 13%/16%/12% and PAT by               CROCI (%)                              113.4            96.5          255.7           125.8
18%/18%/9% on lower NB/TV TV growth and slower margin recovery. We
expect the market to negatively react to Compal’s weak 2Q result and 2H            Price performance chart
                                                                                   42                                                                                     11,000
guidance, as well as its overly optimistic guidance for 2012.
                                                                                   40                                                                                     10,500
                                                                                   38                                                                                     10,000
Valuation                                                                          36                                                                                     9,500

We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral and cut our 12-m target price             34                                                                                     9,000
                                                                                   32                                                                                     8,500
to NT$25 from NT$32 (still on 7X NTM EPS) as we roll over to 4Q11-3Q12             30                                                                                     8,000
                                                                                   28                                                                                     7,500

Key risks                                                                          26                                                                                     7,000
                                                                                   Aug-10                Dec-10               Mar-11               Jun-11
Higher Acer NB shipments and higher efficiency in inland production.
                                                                                                   Compal Electronics (L)         Taiwan SE Weighted Index (R)
INVESTMENT LIST MEMBERSHIP
Asia Pacific Sell List                                                             Share price performance (%)                       3 month         6 month 12 month
                                                                                   Absolute                                             (10.5)          (10.5)   (13.4)
                                                                                   Rel. to Taiwan SE Weighted Index                        3.9           (0.6)   (14.8)

Coverage View: Neutral                                                             Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 8/31/2011 close.


Henry King                                                      Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies
+852-2978-0748 henry.king@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
Angel Wei
                                                                covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be
+886(2)2730-4187 angel.wei@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.   aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could
                                                                affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider
                                                                this report as only a single factor in making their investment
                                                                decision. For Reg AC see the end of the text. For other
                                                                important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to
                                                                www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-
                                                                US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts
                                                                with FINRA in the U.S.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.                                                                                                          Global Investment Research
September 1, 2011                                                                                                                                                   Compal Electronics (2324.TW)




 Compal Electronics: Summary Financials
Profit model (NT$ mn)                      12/10         12/11E         12/12E         12/13E     Balance sheet (NT$ mn)                               12/10          12/11E      12/12E      12/13E


Total revenue                           844,508.3      700,177.9      787,661.7      894,860.6    Cash & equivalents                               34,831.7          45,287.5    43,945.1    47,238.6
Cost of goods sold                    (812,471.1)    (677,764.5)    (760,935.6)    (864,303.1)    Accounts receivable                             168,415.0         149,754.9   195,765.9   199,120.4
SG&A                                     (7,336.6)      (6,226.1)      (6,450.3)      (7,105.9)   Inventory                                        26,380.4          30,160.8    37,367.8    42,154.3
R&D                                      (6,416.6)      (7,252.3)      (8,805.5)      (8,770.1)   Other current assets                              1,363.3             934.3     1,115.3     1,170.8
Other operating profit/(expense)               0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0   Total current assets                            230,990.4         226,137.5   278,194.2   289,684.0
ESO expense                              (4,012.7)            0.0            0.0            0.0   Net PP&E                                          2,176.6           1,974.8     1,811.4     1,704.8
EBITDA                                   18,919.7         9,456.9      11,869.9       15,056.5    Net intangibles                                     894.9             845.2       845.2       845.2
Depreciation & amortization                (635.8)        (521.9)        (399.7)        (375.0)   Total investments                                     0.0               0.0         0.0         0.0
EBIT                                     18,283.9         8,935.0      11,470.3       14,681.5    Other long-term assets                           66,077.8          68,328.4    71,479.1    75,058.5
Interest income                              323.6          187.5          563.4          362.3   Total assets                                    300,139.7         297,285.9   352,329.9   367,292.6
Interest expense                           (120.9)        (120.9)        (120.9)        (120.9)
Income/(loss) from uncons. subs.           3,983.9        7,090.6        7,206.1        7,830.4   Accounts payable                                149,451.4         152,814.8   189,330.0   200,232.7
Others                                     4,092.4          450.0          200.0          200.0   Short-term debt                                       0.0               0.0         0.0         0.0
Pretax profits                           26,562.8       16,542.2       19,318.8       22,953.2    Other current liabilities                        37,511.9          34,918.8    37,373.9    38,107.0
Income tax                               (3,291.0)      (2,523.4)      (3,009.5)      (3,617.8)   Total current liabilities                       186,963.3         187,733.6   226,703.9   238,339.7
Minorities                                     0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0   Long-term debt                                        0.0               0.0         0.0         0.0
Net income pre-preferred dividends       23,271.8       14,018.8       16,309.3       19,335.4    Other long-term liabilities                          20.3              20.3        20.3        20.3
Preferred dividends                            0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0   Total long-term liabilities                          20.3              20.3        20.3        20.3
Net income (pre-exceptionals)            23,271.8       14,018.8       16,309.3       19,335.4    Total liabilities                               186,983.7         187,754.0   226,724.2   238,360.0
Post-tax exceptionals                          0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0
Net income                               23,271.8       14,018.8       16,309.3       19,335.4    Preferred shares                                      0.0               0.0         0.0         0.0
                                                                                                  Total common equity                             113,156.0         109,532.3   125,605.9   128,932.8
EPS (basic, pre-except) (NT$)                5.38           3.19           3.71           4.40    Minority interest                                     0.0               0.0         0.0         0.0
EPS (basic, post-except) (NT$)               5.38           3.19           3.71           4.40
EPS (diluted, post-except) (NT$)             5.38           3.19           3.71           4.40    Total liabilities & equity                      300,139.7         297,286.2   352,330.2   367,292.9
EPS excl. ESO expense (basic) (NT$)          7.30           4.09           3.71           4.40
EPS excl. ESO expense (dil.) (NT$)           7.30           4.09           3.71           4.40    BVPS (NT$)                                           26.18           24.93       28.58       29.34
DPS (NT$)                                    2.37           2.66           1.60           1.86
Dividend payout ratio (%)                    44.1           83.2           43.1           42.3
Free cash flow yield (%)                      9.5           17.1           (3.8)          11.0
                                                                                                  Ratios                                               12/10          12/11E      12/12E      12/13E
Growth & margins (%)                       12/10         12/11E         12/12E         12/13E     CROCI (%)                                            113.4             96.5      255.7       125.8
Sales growth                                34.9          (17.1)           12.5           13.6    ROE (%)                                                22.1            12.6        13.9        15.2
EBITDA growth                                1.4          (50.0)           25.5           26.8    ROA (%)                                                 7.9             4.7         5.0         5.4
EBIT growth                                  3.2          (51.1)           28.4           28.0    ROACE (%)                                              29.6            19.6        21.8        23.4
Net income growth                           21.2          (39.8)           16.3           18.6    Inventory days                                         16.7            15.2        16.2        16.8
EPS growth                                  10.9          (40.8)           16.3           18.6    Receivables days                                       69.9            82.9        80.1        80.5
Gross margin                                 3.8             3.2            3.4            3.4    Payable days                                           69.4            81.4        82.1        82.3
EBITDA margin                                2.2             1.4            1.5            1.7    Net debt/equity (%)                                  (30.8)          (41.3)      (35.0)      (36.6)
EBIT margin                                  2.2             1.3            1.5            1.6    Interest cover - EBIT (X)                              NM              NM          NM          NM

Cash flow statement (NT$ mn)               12/10         12/11E         12/12E         12/13E     Valuation                                            12/10          12/11E      12/12E      12/13E
Net income pre-preferred dividends      23,271.8       14,018.8        16,309.3      19,335.4
D&A add-back                                635.8          521.9          399.7          375.0    P/E (analyst) (X)                                       5.8            9.7          8.4         7.1
Minorities interests add-back                 0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0    P/B (X)                                                 1.2            1.2          1.1         1.1
Net (inc)/dec working capital           (1,925.5)      18,243.1      (16,702.9)        2,761.8    EV/EBITDA (X)                                           7.3            9.7          7.8         5.9
Other operating cash flow               (5,439.7)      (9,182.8)      (4,931.9)      (7,152.7)    EV/GCI (X)                                             10.1            NM           8.0        11.1
Cash flow from operations               16,542.3       23,601.0       (4,925.8)      15,319.5     Dividend yield (%)                                      7.6            8.5          5.1         6.0

Capital expenditures                      (152.6)        (210.1)        (236.3)        (268.5)
Acquisitions                            (2,577.6)      (2,800.7)      (3,150.6)      (3,579.4)
Divestitures                                  0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0
Others                                    (116.0)          207.9            0.0            0.0
Cash flow from investments              (2,846.2)      (2,802.9)      (3,386.9)      (3,847.9)

Dividends paid (common & pref)         (10,264.5)     (11,669.4)      (7,029.6)      (8,178.1)
Inc/(dec) in debt                        12,338.1       13,000.0      14,000.0             0.0
Common stock issuance (repurchase)            0.0            0.0            0.0            0.0
Other financing cash flows              (1,101.3)     (11,759.9)            0.0            0.0
Cash flow from financing                    972.3     (10,429.3)        6,970.4      (8,178.1)    Note: Last actual year may include reported and estimated data.
Total cash flow                          14,668.5       10,368.8      (1,342.3)        3,293.5    Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.




 Analyst Contributors

 Henry King
 henry.king@gs.com

 Angel Wei
 angel.wei@gs.com




 Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                                                               2
September 1, 2011                                                                                                                              Compal Electronics (2324.TW)


                                 Compal’s 2Q11 net earnings came in at NT$3.3bn (-6% qoq; -49 yoy), 2% above GSe but
                                 by 8% below Reuters consensus. Its 2Q OPM of 1.2% is far below GSe/Reuters consensus
                                 of 1.8%/2.0% mainly due to fewer scale improvements from OEMs’ order cuts (e.g. Acer)
                                 and rising R&D expenses. The 39% shortfall to GSe in OP is offset by a lower investment
                                 loss and forex gains. Compal also lowered its 2011shipments guidance: with NB from
                                 48mn to 42mn units; TV from 8mn to 6.5mn units; and tablets from 3.8mn to 3mn. It also
                                 expects flattish NB growth in both 3Q/4Q on muted 2H seasonality and a weak NB
                                 demand before Windows 8 launch by 4Q12.


                                 Exhibit 1: 2Q11 parent financial numbers


                                  Parent-only financials        2Q2011          2Q2011                       1Q2011       2Q2010       QoQ        YoY         Reuters
                                  (NT$ mn)                       Actual         GS est.     Difference        Actual       Actual        (%)       (%)      Consensus     Difference
                                  Revenue                       168,660         178,633          -5.6%       162,861      217,055      3.6%    -22.3%          176,552         -4.5%
                                  Gross profits                   5,214           6,140         -15.1%         5,084        8,709      2.6%    -40.1%
                                  Operating profits               1,955           3,194         -38.8%         1,930        5,422      1.3%    -63.9%            3,447       -43.3%
                                  Pretax earnings                 4,100           3,903           5.0%         3,833        7,800      7.0%    -47.4%            4,331         -5.3%
                                  Net earnings (NT$)              3,280           3,209           2.2%         3,497        6,437     -6.2%    -49.0%            3,549         -7.6%

                                  Gross margin                       3.1%           3.4%                         3.1%        4.0%
                                  Operating margin                   1.2%           1.8%                         1.2%        2.5%                                2.0%
                                  Net margin                         1.9%           1.8%                         2.1%        3.0%                                2.0%


                                 Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.




                                 Exhibit 2: Goldman Sachs revisions


                                  Parent-only financials   Revised          Original                     Revised        Original                Revised      Original
                                  (NT$ mn)                  2011E            2011E           Diff         2012E          2012E         Diff      2013E         2013E          Diff
                                  Revenue                  700,178          806,023        -13.1%        787,662        941,493      -16.3%     894,861      1,012,819      -11.6%
                                  Gross profits             22,413           28,926        -22.5%         26,726         34,040      -21.5%      30,557        35,938       -15.0%
                                  Operating profits          8,935           15,354        -41.8%         11,470         19,437      -41.0%      14,681       20,645        -28.9%
                                  Pretax earnings           16,542           20,111        -17.7%         19,319         23,319      -17.2%      22,953       20,884         9.9%
                                  Net earnings              14,019           17,133        -18.2%         16,309         19,881      -18.0%      19,335       17,775         8.8%

                                  Gross margin              3.2%             3.6%                         3.4%           3.6%                    3.4%          3.5%
                                  Operating margin          1.3%             1.9%                         1.5%           2.1%                    1.6%          2.0%
                                  Net margin                2.0%             2.1%                         2.1%           2.1%                    2.2%          1.8%


                                 Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.




                                 Exhibit 3: Key assumption changes


                                                            Revised           Original                    Revised         Original                Revised      Original
                                                           2011E             2011E          Diff         2012E           2012E        Diff       2013E        2013E           Diff
                                  NB shipment                41,300            48,300      -14.5%          45,718          55,415    -17.5%        53,338       60,909         -12%
                                  NB gross margin             3.14%             3.54%      -11.4%           3.33%           3.60%     -7.6%         3.33%        3.55%          -6%
                                  TV shipments                6,584             7,911      -16.8%           6,311           9,596    -34.2%         7,469       11,244         -34%
                                  Tablet shipments            2,766             2,581        7.1%           4,548           3,939     15.5%         5,421        4,413          23%


                                 Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates.




Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                                               3
September 1, 2011                                                                                                                                         Compal Electronics (2324.TW)


Exhibit 4: Compal’s quarterly parent P&L summary


                               1Q11      2Q11     3Q11E     4Q11E     1Q12E     2Q12E     3Q12E     4Q12E     1Q13E     2Q13E     3Q13E     4Q13E     2,010     2011E     2012E     2013E
Net sales                     162,861   168,148   179,376   189,794   168,440   176,546   207,628   235,048   206,158   209,590   230,212   248,900   844,508   700,178   787,662   894,861
Gross profits                   5,084     5,214     5,800     6,315     5,682     6,170     7,146     7,727     6,756     7,126     8,186     8,490    32,037    22,413    26,726    30,557
Operating profits (loss)        1,930     1,955     2,284     2,766     2,347     2,764     3,097     3,262     2,921     3,460     4,043     4,258    18,284     8,935    11,470    14,681
Pretax profits                  3,833     4,100     3,998     4,699     3,750     4,516     5,263     5,790     4,488     5,325     6,298     6,842    26,563    16,542    19,319    22,953
Net profits                     3,497     3,280     3,358     3,971     3,414     3,604     4,410     4,881     4,077     4,239     5,265     5,754    23,272    14,019    16,309    19,335

Ratio analysis
% of sales
Gross margins                    3.1%      3.1%      3.2%      3.3%      3.4%      3.5%      3.4%      3.3%      3.3%      3.4%      3.6%      3.4%      3.8%      3.2%      3.4%      3.4%
Operating margins                1.2%      1.2%      1.3%      1.5%      1.4%      1.6%      1.5%      1.4%      1.4%      1.7%      1.8%      1.7%      2.2%      1.3%      1.5%      1.6%
Tax rate (fully tax at 25%)      8.8%     20.0%     16.0%     15.5%      9.0%     20.2%     16.2%     15.7%      9.2%     20.4%     16.4%     15.9%     12.4%     15.3%     15.6%     15.8%
Net margins                      2.1%      2.0%      1.9%      2.1%      2.0%      2.0%      2.1%      2.1%      2.0%      2.0%      2.3%      2.3%      2.8%      2.0%      2.1%      2.2%

Qoq growth (%)
Sales                          -26.7%      3.2%      6.7%      5.8%    -11.3%      4.8%     17.6%     13.2%    -12.3%      1.7%      9.8%      8.1%
Gross profits                  -47.4%      2.5%     11.2%      8.9%    -10.0%      8.6%     15.8%      8.1%    -12.6%      5.5%     14.9%      3.7%
Operating profits              -67.3%      1.3%     16.8%     21.1%    -15.1%     17.8%     12.1%      5.3%    -10.4%     18.4%     16.9%      5.3%
Net profits                    -56.4%     -6.2%      2.4%     18.2%    -14.0%      5.5%     22.4%     10.7%    -16.5%      4.0%     24.2%      9.3%

Yoy growth (%)
Sales                           49.2%     37.9%      3.7%    -14.6%      3.4%      5.0%     15.8%     23.8%     22.4%     18.7%     10.9%      5.9%     34.9%    -17.1%     12.5%     13.6%
Gross profits                   -5.8%     -8.3%    -28.3%    -34.7%     11.8%     18.3%     23.2%     22.4%     18.9%     15.5%     14.6%      9.9%     11.1%    -30.0%     19.2%     14.3%
Operating profits              -42.2%    -42.9%    -54.8%    -53.1%     21.6%     41.4%     35.6%     17.9%     24.4%     25.2%     30.5%     30.6%      3.2%    -51.1%     28.4%     28.0%
Net profits                     24.9%      1.3%    -34.7%    -50.5%     -2.4%      9.9%     31.3%     22.9%     19.4%     17.6%     19.4%     17.9%     21.2%    -39.8%     16.3%     18.6%


Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates.




Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                                                      4
September 1, 2011                                                                                                               Compal Electronics (2324.TW)



Reg AC
I, Henry King, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or
companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this report.




Investment Profile
The Goldman Sachs Investment Profile provides investment context for a security by comparing key attributes of that security to its peer group and
market. The four key attributes depicted are: growth, returns, multiple and volatility. Growth, returns and multiple are indexed based on composites
of several methodologies to determine the stocks percentile ranking within the region's coverage universe.
The precise calculation of each metric may vary depending on the fiscal year, industry and region but the standard approach is as follows:
Growth is a composite of next year's estimate over current year's estimate, e.g. EPS, EBITDA, Revenue. Return is a year one prospective aggregate
of various return on capital measures, e.g. CROCI, ROACE, and ROE. Multiple is a composite of one-year forward valuation ratios, e.g. P/E, dividend
yield, EV/FCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/DACF, Price/Book. Volatility is measured as trailing twelve-month volatility adjusted for dividends.




Quantum
Quantum is Goldman Sachs' proprietary database providing access to detailed financial statement histories, forecasts and ratios. It can be used for
in-depth analysis of a single company, or to make comparisons between companies in different sectors and markets.




GS SUSTAIN
GS SUSTAIN is a global investment strategy aimed at long-term, long-only performance with a low turnover of ideas. The GS SUSTAIN focus list
includes leaders our analysis shows to be well positioned to deliver long term outperformance through sustained competitive advantage and
superior returns on capital relative to their global industry peers. Leaders are identified based on quantifiable analysis of three aspects of corporate
performance: cash return on cash invested, industry positioning and management quality (the effectiveness of companies' management of the
environmental, social and governance issues facing their industry).




Disclosure Appendix

Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s)
Henry King: Asia Pacific Technology.
Asia Pacific Technology: AAC Technologies, Acer, Advanced Semiconductor, Advanced Semiconductor (ADR), ASUSTeK Computer, AU Optronics,
BYD Electronic, Catcher Technology, Cheng Uei Precision (Foxlink), Chimei Innolux, China Wireless Technologies, Chipbond Technology Corp.,
Compal Communications, Compal Electronics, Coretronic, Delta Electronics, E Ink Holdings Inc, Epistar, Everlight Electronics, Foxconn Int'l Holdings,
Foxconn Technology, Hon Hai Precision, HTC Corp., Kinsus Interconnect Technology, Largan Precision, Lenovo Group, Lite-On Technology, Nan Ya
PCB, Novatek Microelectronics, Pegatron, Powertech Technology, Quanta Computer, Radiant Opto-Electronics, Siliconware Precision, Siliconware
Precision (ADR), Silitech Technology, SK C&C, TCL Communication, TPK Holding, TPV Technology, Tripod Technology, Unimicron, Wintek, Wistron,
Young Fast Optoelectronics.

Company-specific regulatory disclosures
The following disclosures relate to relationships between The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (with its affiliates, "Goldman Sachs") and companies
covered by the Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs and referred to in this research.
Goldman Sachs expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Compal Electronics
(NT$31.10)

Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
Goldman Sachs Investment Research global coverage universe

                             Rating Distribution                            Investment Banking Relationships
                    Buy              Hold             Sell                  Buy             Hold             Sell
  Global            32%            54%            14%                   52%          41%             37%
As of July 1, 2011, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 3,167 equity securities. Goldman Sachs assigns stocks as
Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so assigned are deemed Neutral. Such assignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for
the purposes of the above disclosure required by NASD/NYSE rules. See 'Ratings, Coverage groups and views and related definitions' below.


Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                    5
September 1, 2011                                                                                                                            Compal Electronics (2324.TW)



Price target and rating history chart(s)
      Com pal Ele ctronics (2324.TW)                                                       Stock Price Currency : Taiw an Dollar
                                        Goldman Sachs rating and stock price target history
       60                                                                                                                  10,000
                                                    46.09                                      44             30
                     25.37       24.39                                 44.13
                                                  44.13                           48.05                                    9,000
       50       31.23      18.54      33.18                                               43
                                                               52.96
               40.01               26.35                                                                                   8,000
                                                                                                                   32
       40
                                                                                                                           7,000
       30                                                                49.03       47
                                                                                                                           6,000
                                                     47.07                                               42
       20                                                                                                                  5,000
                                                       49.03
       10                                                                                                                  4,000
                   Aug 31                Sep 6        Mar 30
 Stock Price




                                                                                                                               Index Price
                             N                 B                    N
               A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J
                  2008             2009                    2010            2011
          Source: Goldman Sachs Investment Research for ratings and price targets; FactSet closing prices as of 6/30/2011.
                                                     Rating                          Covered by Henry King
            Jul 1, 2008 B
                                                     Price target
                                                        Price target at removal           Not covered by current analyst
                                                        Taiw an SE Weighted
                                                        Index

 The price targets show n should be considered in the context of all prior published Goldman Sachs research, w hich may or
 may not have included price targets, as w ell as developments relating to the company, its industry and f inancial markets.




Regulatory disclosures

Disclosures required by United States laws and regulations
See company-specific regulatory disclosures above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to in this report: manager
or co-manager in a pending transaction; 1% or other ownership; compensation for certain services; types of client relationships; managed/co-
managed public offerings in prior periods; directorships; for equity securities, market making and/or specialist role. Goldman Sachs usually makes a
market in fixed income securities of issuers discussed in this report and usually deals as a principal in these securities.
The following are additional required disclosures: Ownership and material conflicts of interest: Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts,
professionals reporting to analysts and members of their households from owning securities of any company in the analyst's area of coverage.
Analyst compensation: Analysts are paid in part based on the profitability of Goldman Sachs, which includes investment banking revenues.
Analyst as officer or director: Goldman Sachs policy prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts or members of their households from
serving as an officer, director, advisory board member or employee of any company in the analyst's area of coverage. Non-U.S. Analysts: Non-U.S.
analysts may not be associated persons of Goldman Sachs & Co. and therefore may not be subject to NASD Rule 2711/NYSE Rules 472 restrictions
on communications with subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by the analysts.
Distribution of ratings: See the distribution of ratings disclosure above. Price chart: See the price chart, with changes of ratings and price targets
in prior periods, above, or, if electronic format or if with respect to multiple companies which are the subject of this report, on the Goldman Sachs
website at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html.

Additional disclosures required under the laws and regulations of jurisdictions other than the United
States
The following disclosures are those required by the jurisdiction indicated, except to the extent already made above pursuant to United States laws
and regulations. Australia: This research, and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian
Corporations Act. Brazil: Disclosure information in relation to CVM Instruction 483 is available at http://www.gs.com/worldwide/brazil/gir/index.html.
Where applicable, the Brazil-registered analyst primarily responsible for the content of this research report, as defined in Article 16 of CVM
Instruction 483, is the first author named at the beginning of this report, unless indicated otherwise at the end of the text. Canada: Goldman Sachs
& Co. has approved of, and agreed to take responsibility for, this research in Canada if and to the extent it relates to equity securities of Canadian
issuers. Analysts may conduct site visits but are prohibited from accepting payment or reimbursement by the company of travel expenses for such
visits. Hong Kong: Further information on the securities of covered companies referred to in this research may be obtained on request from
Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. India: Further information on the subject company or companies referred to in this research may be obtained from
Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Limited; Japan: See below. Korea: Further information on the subject company or companies referred to
in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch. Russia: Research reports distributed in the Russian Federation
are not advertising as defined in the Russian legislation, but are information and analysis not having product promotion as their main purpose and
do not provide appraisal within the meaning of the Russian legislation on appraisal activity. Singapore: Further information on the covered
companies referred to in this research may be obtained from Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte. (Company Number: 198602165W). Taiwan: This
material is for reference only and must not be reprinted without permission. Investors should carefully consider their own investment risk.
Investment results are the responsibility of the individual investor. United Kingdom: Persons who would be categorized as retail clients in the
United Kingdom, as such term is defined in the rules of the Financial Services Authority, should read this research in conjunction with prior
Goldman Sachs research on the covered companies referred to herein and should refer to the risk warnings that have been sent to them by
Goldman Sachs International. A copy of these risks warnings, and a glossary of certain financial terms used in this report, are available from
Goldman Sachs International on request.
European Union: Disclosure information in relation to Article 4 (1) (d) and Article 6 (2) of the European Commission Directive 2003/126/EC is
available at http://www.gs.com/client_services/global_investment_research/europeanpolicy.html which states the European Policy for Managing
Conflicts of Interest in Connection with Investment Research.
Japan: Goldman Sachs Japan Co., Ltd. is a Financial Instrument Dealer under the Financial Instrument and Exchange Law, registered with the
Kanto Financial Bureau (Registration No. 69), and is a member of Japan Securities Dealers Association (JSDA) and Financial Futures Association of
Japan (FFAJ). Sales and purchase of equities are subject to commission pre-determined with clients plus consumption tax. See company-specific
disclosures as to any applicable disclosures required by Japanese stock exchanges, the Japanese Securities Dealers Association or the Japanese
Securities Finance Company.

Ratings, coverage groups and views and related definitions
Buy (B), Neutral (N), Sell (S) -Analysts recommend stocks as Buys or Sells for inclusion on various regional Investment Lists. Being assigned a Buy
or Sell on an Investment List is determined by a stock's return potential relative to its coverage group as described below. Any stock not assigned
as a Buy or a Sell on an Investment List is deemed Neutral. Each regional Investment Review Committee manages various regional Investment
Lists to a global guideline of 25%-35% of stocks as Buy and 10%-15% of stocks as Sell; however, the distribution of Buys and Sells in any particular



Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                               6
September 1, 2011                                                                                                            Compal Electronics (2324.TW)


coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent
investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return.
Return potential represents the price differential between the current share price and the price target expected during the time horizon associated
with the price target. Price targets are required for all covered stocks. The return potential, price target and associated time horizon are stated in
each report adding or reiterating an Investment List membership.
Coverage groups and views: A list of all stocks in each coverage group is available by primary analyst, stock and coverage group at
http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. The analyst assigns one of the following coverage views which represents the analyst's investment
outlook on the coverage group relative to the group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Attractive (A). The investment outlook over the
following 12 months is favorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Neutral (N). The investment outlook
over the following 12 months is neutral relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation. Cautious (C). The investment
outlook over the following 12 months is unfavorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.
Not Rated (NR). The investment rating and target price have been removed pursuant to Goldman Sachs policy when Goldman Sachs is acting in
an advisory capacity in a merger or strategic transaction involving this company and in certain other circumstances. Rating Suspended (RS).
Goldman Sachs Research has suspended the investment rating and price target for this stock, because there is not a sufficient fundamental basis
for determining, or there are legal, regulatory or policy constraints around publishing, an investment rating or target. The previous investment
rating and price target, if any, are no longer in effect for this stock and should not be relied upon. Coverage Suspended (CS). Goldman Sachs has
suspended coverage of this company. Not Covered (NC). Goldman Sachs does not cover this company. Not Available or Not Applicable (NA).
The information is not available for display or is not applicable. Not Meaningful (NM). The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded.

Global product; distributing entities
The Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs produces and distributes research products for clients of Goldman Sachs, and
pursuant to certain contractual arrangements, on a global basis. Analysts based in Goldman Sachs offices around the world produce equity
research on industries and companies, and research on macroeconomics, currencies, commodities and portfolio strategy. This research is
disseminated in Australia by Goldman Sachs & Partners Australia Pty Ltd (ABN 21 006 797 897) on behalf of Goldman Sachs; in Brazil by Goldman
Sachs do Brasil Banco Múltiplo S.A.; in Canada by Goldman Sachs & Co. regarding Canadian equities and by Goldman Sachs & Co. (all other
research); in Hong Kong by Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.; in India by Goldman Sachs (India) Securities Private Ltd.; in Japan by Goldman Sachs
Japan Co., Ltd.; in the Republic of Korea by Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., Seoul Branch; in New Zealand by Goldman Sachs & Partners New
Zealand Limited on behalf of Goldman Sachs; in Russia by OOO Goldman Sachs; in Singapore by Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte. (Company
Number: 198602165W); and in the United States of America by Goldman Sachs & Co. Goldman Sachs International has approved this research in
connection with its distribution in the United Kingdom and European Union.
European Union: Goldman Sachs International, authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, has approved this research in
connection with its distribution in the European Union and United Kingdom; Goldman Sachs & Co. oHG, regulated by the Bundesanstalt für
Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht, may also distribute research in Germany.

General disclosures
This research is for our clients only. Other than disclosures relating to Goldman Sachs, this research is based on current public information that we
consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. We seek to update our research as
appropriate, but various regulations may prevent us from doing so. Other than certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large
majority of reports are published at irregular intervals as appropriate in the analyst's judgment.
Goldman Sachs conducts a global full-service, integrated investment banking, investment management, and brokerage business. We have
investment banking and other business relationships with a substantial percentage of the companies covered by our Global Investment Research
Division. Goldman Sachs & Co., the United States broker dealer, is a member of SIPC (http://www.sipc.org).
Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies to our clients and our
proprietary trading desks that reflect opinions that are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Our asset management area, our
proprietary trading desks and investing businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations or views
expressed in this research.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in,
act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.
This research is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be
illegal. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of
individual clients. Clients should consider whether any advice or recommendation in this research is suitable for their particular circumstances and,
if appropriate, seek professional advice, including tax advice. The price and value of investments referred to in this research and the income from
them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may
occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments.
Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options, and other derivatives, give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all
investors. Investors should review current options disclosure documents which are available from Goldman Sachs sales representatives or at
http://www.theocc.com/about/publications/character-risks.jsp. Transactions cost may be significant in option strategies calling for multiple purchase
and sales of options such as spreads. Supporting documentation will be supplied upon request.
All research reports are disseminated and available to all clients simultaneously through electronic publication to our internal client websites. Not
all research content is redistributed to our clients or available to third-party aggregators, nor is Goldman Sachs responsible for the redistribution of
our research by third party aggregators. For all research available on a particular stock, please contact your sales representative or go to
http://360.gs.com.
Disclosure information is also available at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html or from Research Compliance, 200 West Street, New York, NY
10282.
Copyright 2011 Goldman Sachs.
No part of this material may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or (ii) redistributed without the
prior written consent of The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.




Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research                                                                                                                     7

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2324

  • 1. September 1, 2011 ACTION Sell Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Return Potential: (20%) Equity Research Squeezed by NB/TV downside and OPEX risk; downgrade to Sell Source of opportunity Investment Profile Low High We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral on: 1) downside to its 2011 NB Growth Growth shipment target; 2) upside in its R&D expense trend; 3) unfavorable product Returns * Returns * mix due to slowdown in corporate demand (from Dell) in 2H; 4) 2Q OP of Multiple Multiple NT$1.96 bn is 39%/43% below GSe/Reuters consensus; 5) least Volatility Volatility diversification among the top three NB ODMs: mainly TVs (around 10% of Percentile 20th 40th 60th 80th 100th Compal Electronics (2324.TW) sales) but with downward revision and the least exposure to high-margin Asia Pacific Technology Peer Group Average servers. We think there is downside risk to Compal’s 2012 bullish NB growth * Returns = Return on Capital For a complete description of the guidance to low visibility. Lastly, we think Compal’s share price rally of 19% investment profile measures please refer to the disclosure section of this document. from its recent trough (Aug 19) is not warranted by its fundamentals. Key data Current Catalyst Price (NT$) 31.10 Compal’s 42mn NB unit target (-13% yoy, vs previous GSe of 48.3mn) was 12 month price target (NT$) 25.00 Market cap (NT$ mn / US$ mn) 136,666.2 / 4,708.0 lowered from 48 mn in Apr and 55 mn in Jan. The shortfall stems mainly Foreign ownership (%) 55.1 from: 1) slowdown in corporate demand in 2H vs 1H; 2) netbook orders lost to Quanta; and 3) Acer’s order downside. Compal expects 3Q GM to 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E EPS (NT$) New 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40 improve slightly, but guided OPM to be flat on rising R&D cost. Compal EPS revision (%) 0.0 (17.4) (17.2) 9.8 expects its 2012 NB shipment to grow 20% vs industry growth of 0%-5%. EPS growth (%) 10.9 (40.8) 16.3 18.6 EPS (dil) (NT$) New 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40 In our view, however, this will be a challenge as its share gains at Dell and P/E (X) 5.8 9.7 8.4 7.1 P/B (X) 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 ASUSTeK may be offset by the potential order loss from Toshiba. EV/EBITDA (X) 7.3 9.7 7.8 5.9 Compal’s 3Q/4Q NB shipments (both flat qoq) are also below previous GSe Dividend yield (%) 7.6 8.5 5.1 6.0 ROE (%) 22.1 12.6 13.9 15.2 of 1%/4%. We lower our 2011E/12E/13E sales by 13%/16%/12% and PAT by CROCI (%) 113.4 96.5 255.7 125.8 18%/18%/9% on lower NB/TV TV growth and slower margin recovery. We expect the market to negatively react to Compal’s weak 2Q result and 2H Price performance chart 42 11,000 guidance, as well as its overly optimistic guidance for 2012. 40 10,500 38 10,000 Valuation 36 9,500 We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral and cut our 12-m target price 34 9,000 32 8,500 to NT$25 from NT$32 (still on 7X NTM EPS) as we roll over to 4Q11-3Q12 30 8,000 28 7,500 Key risks 26 7,000 Aug-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Higher Acer NB shipments and higher efficiency in inland production. Compal Electronics (L) Taiwan SE Weighted Index (R) INVESTMENT LIST MEMBERSHIP Asia Pacific Sell List Share price performance (%) 3 month 6 month 12 month Absolute (10.5) (10.5) (13.4) Rel. to Taiwan SE Weighted Index 3.9 (0.6) (14.8) Coverage View: Neutral Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 8/31/2011 close. Henry King Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies +852-2978-0748 henry.king@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Angel Wei covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be +886(2)2730-4187 angel.wei@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC see the end of the text. For other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non- US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S. The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Global Investment Research
  • 2. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Compal Electronics: Summary Financials Profit model (NT$ mn) 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E Balance sheet (NT$ mn) 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E Total revenue 844,508.3 700,177.9 787,661.7 894,860.6 Cash & equivalents 34,831.7 45,287.5 43,945.1 47,238.6 Cost of goods sold (812,471.1) (677,764.5) (760,935.6) (864,303.1) Accounts receivable 168,415.0 149,754.9 195,765.9 199,120.4 SG&A (7,336.6) (6,226.1) (6,450.3) (7,105.9) Inventory 26,380.4 30,160.8 37,367.8 42,154.3 R&D (6,416.6) (7,252.3) (8,805.5) (8,770.1) Other current assets 1,363.3 934.3 1,115.3 1,170.8 Other operating profit/(expense) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total current assets 230,990.4 226,137.5 278,194.2 289,684.0 ESO expense (4,012.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net PP&E 2,176.6 1,974.8 1,811.4 1,704.8 EBITDA 18,919.7 9,456.9 11,869.9 15,056.5 Net intangibles 894.9 845.2 845.2 845.2 Depreciation & amortization (635.8) (521.9) (399.7) (375.0) Total investments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EBIT 18,283.9 8,935.0 11,470.3 14,681.5 Other long-term assets 66,077.8 68,328.4 71,479.1 75,058.5 Interest income 323.6 187.5 563.4 362.3 Total assets 300,139.7 297,285.9 352,329.9 367,292.6 Interest expense (120.9) (120.9) (120.9) (120.9) Income/(loss) from uncons. subs. 3,983.9 7,090.6 7,206.1 7,830.4 Accounts payable 149,451.4 152,814.8 189,330.0 200,232.7 Others 4,092.4 450.0 200.0 200.0 Short-term debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Pretax profits 26,562.8 16,542.2 19,318.8 22,953.2 Other current liabilities 37,511.9 34,918.8 37,373.9 38,107.0 Income tax (3,291.0) (2,523.4) (3,009.5) (3,617.8) Total current liabilities 186,963.3 187,733.6 226,703.9 238,339.7 Minorities 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Long-term debt 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net income pre-preferred dividends 23,271.8 14,018.8 16,309.3 19,335.4 Other long-term liabilities 20.3 20.3 20.3 20.3 Preferred dividends 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total long-term liabilities 20.3 20.3 20.3 20.3 Net income (pre-exceptionals) 23,271.8 14,018.8 16,309.3 19,335.4 Total liabilities 186,983.7 187,754.0 226,724.2 238,360.0 Post-tax exceptionals 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Net income 23,271.8 14,018.8 16,309.3 19,335.4 Preferred shares 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total common equity 113,156.0 109,532.3 125,605.9 128,932.8 EPS (basic, pre-except) (NT$) 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40 Minority interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 EPS (basic, post-except) (NT$) 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40 EPS (diluted, post-except) (NT$) 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40 Total liabilities & equity 300,139.7 297,286.2 352,330.2 367,292.9 EPS excl. ESO expense (basic) (NT$) 7.30 4.09 3.71 4.40 EPS excl. ESO expense (dil.) (NT$) 7.30 4.09 3.71 4.40 BVPS (NT$) 26.18 24.93 28.58 29.34 DPS (NT$) 2.37 2.66 1.60 1.86 Dividend payout ratio (%) 44.1 83.2 43.1 42.3 Free cash flow yield (%) 9.5 17.1 (3.8) 11.0 Ratios 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E Growth & margins (%) 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E CROCI (%) 113.4 96.5 255.7 125.8 Sales growth 34.9 (17.1) 12.5 13.6 ROE (%) 22.1 12.6 13.9 15.2 EBITDA growth 1.4 (50.0) 25.5 26.8 ROA (%) 7.9 4.7 5.0 5.4 EBIT growth 3.2 (51.1) 28.4 28.0 ROACE (%) 29.6 19.6 21.8 23.4 Net income growth 21.2 (39.8) 16.3 18.6 Inventory days 16.7 15.2 16.2 16.8 EPS growth 10.9 (40.8) 16.3 18.6 Receivables days 69.9 82.9 80.1 80.5 Gross margin 3.8 3.2 3.4 3.4 Payable days 69.4 81.4 82.1 82.3 EBITDA margin 2.2 1.4 1.5 1.7 Net debt/equity (%) (30.8) (41.3) (35.0) (36.6) EBIT margin 2.2 1.3 1.5 1.6 Interest cover - EBIT (X) NM NM NM NM Cash flow statement (NT$ mn) 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E Valuation 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E Net income pre-preferred dividends 23,271.8 14,018.8 16,309.3 19,335.4 D&A add-back 635.8 521.9 399.7 375.0 P/E (analyst) (X) 5.8 9.7 8.4 7.1 Minorities interests add-back 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 P/B (X) 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 Net (inc)/dec working capital (1,925.5) 18,243.1 (16,702.9) 2,761.8 EV/EBITDA (X) 7.3 9.7 7.8 5.9 Other operating cash flow (5,439.7) (9,182.8) (4,931.9) (7,152.7) EV/GCI (X) 10.1 NM 8.0 11.1 Cash flow from operations 16,542.3 23,601.0 (4,925.8) 15,319.5 Dividend yield (%) 7.6 8.5 5.1 6.0 Capital expenditures (152.6) (210.1) (236.3) (268.5) Acquisitions (2,577.6) (2,800.7) (3,150.6) (3,579.4) Divestitures 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Others (116.0) 207.9 0.0 0.0 Cash flow from investments (2,846.2) (2,802.9) (3,386.9) (3,847.9) Dividends paid (common & pref) (10,264.5) (11,669.4) (7,029.6) (8,178.1) Inc/(dec) in debt 12,338.1 13,000.0 14,000.0 0.0 Common stock issuance (repurchase) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Other financing cash flows (1,101.3) (11,759.9) 0.0 0.0 Cash flow from financing 972.3 (10,429.3) 6,970.4 (8,178.1) Note: Last actual year may include reported and estimated data. Total cash flow 14,668.5 10,368.8 (1,342.3) 3,293.5 Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Analyst Contributors Henry King henry.king@gs.com Angel Wei angel.wei@gs.com Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 2
  • 3. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Compal’s 2Q11 net earnings came in at NT$3.3bn (-6% qoq; -49 yoy), 2% above GSe but by 8% below Reuters consensus. Its 2Q OPM of 1.2% is far below GSe/Reuters consensus of 1.8%/2.0% mainly due to fewer scale improvements from OEMs’ order cuts (e.g. Acer) and rising R&D expenses. The 39% shortfall to GSe in OP is offset by a lower investment loss and forex gains. Compal also lowered its 2011shipments guidance: with NB from 48mn to 42mn units; TV from 8mn to 6.5mn units; and tablets from 3.8mn to 3mn. It also expects flattish NB growth in both 3Q/4Q on muted 2H seasonality and a weak NB demand before Windows 8 launch by 4Q12. Exhibit 1: 2Q11 parent financial numbers Parent-only financials 2Q2011 2Q2011 1Q2011 2Q2010 QoQ YoY Reuters (NT$ mn) Actual GS est. Difference Actual Actual (%) (%) Consensus Difference Revenue 168,660 178,633 -5.6% 162,861 217,055 3.6% -22.3% 176,552 -4.5% Gross profits 5,214 6,140 -15.1% 5,084 8,709 2.6% -40.1% Operating profits 1,955 3,194 -38.8% 1,930 5,422 1.3% -63.9% 3,447 -43.3% Pretax earnings 4,100 3,903 5.0% 3,833 7,800 7.0% -47.4% 4,331 -5.3% Net earnings (NT$) 3,280 3,209 2.2% 3,497 6,437 -6.2% -49.0% 3,549 -7.6% Gross margin 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.0% Operating margin 1.2% 1.8% 1.2% 2.5% 2.0% Net margin 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Exhibit 2: Goldman Sachs revisions Parent-only financials Revised Original Revised Original Revised Original (NT$ mn) 2011E 2011E Diff 2012E 2012E Diff 2013E 2013E Diff Revenue 700,178 806,023 -13.1% 787,662 941,493 -16.3% 894,861 1,012,819 -11.6% Gross profits 22,413 28,926 -22.5% 26,726 34,040 -21.5% 30,557 35,938 -15.0% Operating profits 8,935 15,354 -41.8% 11,470 19,437 -41.0% 14,681 20,645 -28.9% Pretax earnings 16,542 20,111 -17.7% 19,319 23,319 -17.2% 22,953 20,884 9.9% Net earnings 14,019 17,133 -18.2% 16,309 19,881 -18.0% 19,335 17,775 8.8% Gross margin 3.2% 3.6% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% Operating margin 1.3% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% Net margin 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 1.8% Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Exhibit 3: Key assumption changes Revised Original Revised Original Revised Original 2011E 2011E Diff 2012E 2012E Diff 2013E 2013E Diff NB shipment 41,300 48,300 -14.5% 45,718 55,415 -17.5% 53,338 60,909 -12% NB gross margin 3.14% 3.54% -11.4% 3.33% 3.60% -7.6% 3.33% 3.55% -6% TV shipments 6,584 7,911 -16.8% 6,311 9,596 -34.2% 7,469 11,244 -34% Tablet shipments 2,766 2,581 7.1% 4,548 3,939 15.5% 5,421 4,413 23% Source: Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 3
  • 4. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Exhibit 4: Compal’s quarterly parent P&L summary 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11E 4Q11E 1Q12E 2Q12E 3Q12E 4Q12E 1Q13E 2Q13E 3Q13E 4Q13E 2,010 2011E 2012E 2013E Net sales 162,861 168,148 179,376 189,794 168,440 176,546 207,628 235,048 206,158 209,590 230,212 248,900 844,508 700,178 787,662 894,861 Gross profits 5,084 5,214 5,800 6,315 5,682 6,170 7,146 7,727 6,756 7,126 8,186 8,490 32,037 22,413 26,726 30,557 Operating profits (loss) 1,930 1,955 2,284 2,766 2,347 2,764 3,097 3,262 2,921 3,460 4,043 4,258 18,284 8,935 11,470 14,681 Pretax profits 3,833 4,100 3,998 4,699 3,750 4,516 5,263 5,790 4,488 5,325 6,298 6,842 26,563 16,542 19,319 22,953 Net profits 3,497 3,280 3,358 3,971 3,414 3,604 4,410 4,881 4,077 4,239 5,265 5,754 23,272 14,019 16,309 19,335 Ratio analysis % of sales Gross margins 3.1% 3.1% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 3.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% Operating margins 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.2% 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% Tax rate (fully tax at 25%) 8.8% 20.0% 16.0% 15.5% 9.0% 20.2% 16.2% 15.7% 9.2% 20.4% 16.4% 15.9% 12.4% 15.3% 15.6% 15.8% Net margins 2.1% 2.0% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 2.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% Qoq growth (%) Sales -26.7% 3.2% 6.7% 5.8% -11.3% 4.8% 17.6% 13.2% -12.3% 1.7% 9.8% 8.1% Gross profits -47.4% 2.5% 11.2% 8.9% -10.0% 8.6% 15.8% 8.1% -12.6% 5.5% 14.9% 3.7% Operating profits -67.3% 1.3% 16.8% 21.1% -15.1% 17.8% 12.1% 5.3% -10.4% 18.4% 16.9% 5.3% Net profits -56.4% -6.2% 2.4% 18.2% -14.0% 5.5% 22.4% 10.7% -16.5% 4.0% 24.2% 9.3% Yoy growth (%) Sales 49.2% 37.9% 3.7% -14.6% 3.4% 5.0% 15.8% 23.8% 22.4% 18.7% 10.9% 5.9% 34.9% -17.1% 12.5% 13.6% Gross profits -5.8% -8.3% -28.3% -34.7% 11.8% 18.3% 23.2% 22.4% 18.9% 15.5% 14.6% 9.9% 11.1% -30.0% 19.2% 14.3% Operating profits -42.2% -42.9% -54.8% -53.1% 21.6% 41.4% 35.6% 17.9% 24.4% 25.2% 30.5% 30.6% 3.2% -51.1% 28.4% 28.0% Net profits 24.9% 1.3% -34.7% -50.5% -2.4% 9.9% 31.3% 22.9% 19.4% 17.6% 19.4% 17.9% 21.2% -39.8% 16.3% 18.6% Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 4
  • 5. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Reg AC I, Henry King, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. Investment Profile The Goldman Sachs Investment Profile provides investment context for a security by comparing key attributes of that security to its peer group and market. The four key attributes depicted are: growth, returns, multiple and volatility. Growth, returns and multiple are indexed based on composites of several methodologies to determine the stocks percentile ranking within the region's coverage universe. The precise calculation of each metric may vary depending on the fiscal year, industry and region but the standard approach is as follows: Growth is a composite of next year's estimate over current year's estimate, e.g. EPS, EBITDA, Revenue. Return is a year one prospective aggregate of various return on capital measures, e.g. CROCI, ROACE, and ROE. Multiple is a composite of one-year forward valuation ratios, e.g. P/E, dividend yield, EV/FCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/DACF, Price/Book. Volatility is measured as trailing twelve-month volatility adjusted for dividends. Quantum Quantum is Goldman Sachs' proprietary database providing access to detailed financial statement histories, forecasts and ratios. It can be used for in-depth analysis of a single company, or to make comparisons between companies in different sectors and markets. GS SUSTAIN GS SUSTAIN is a global investment strategy aimed at long-term, long-only performance with a low turnover of ideas. The GS SUSTAIN focus list includes leaders our analysis shows to be well positioned to deliver long term outperformance through sustained competitive advantage and superior returns on capital relative to their global industry peers. Leaders are identified based on quantifiable analysis of three aspects of corporate performance: cash return on cash invested, industry positioning and management quality (the effectiveness of companies' management of the environmental, social and governance issues facing their industry). Disclosure Appendix Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s) Henry King: Asia Pacific Technology. Asia Pacific Technology: AAC Technologies, Acer, Advanced Semiconductor, Advanced Semiconductor (ADR), ASUSTeK Computer, AU Optronics, BYD Electronic, Catcher Technology, Cheng Uei Precision (Foxlink), Chimei Innolux, China Wireless Technologies, Chipbond Technology Corp., Compal Communications, Compal Electronics, Coretronic, Delta Electronics, E Ink Holdings Inc, Epistar, Everlight Electronics, Foxconn Int'l Holdings, Foxconn Technology, Hon Hai Precision, HTC Corp., Kinsus Interconnect Technology, Largan Precision, Lenovo Group, Lite-On Technology, Nan Ya PCB, Novatek Microelectronics, Pegatron, Powertech Technology, Quanta Computer, Radiant Opto-Electronics, Siliconware Precision, Siliconware Precision (ADR), Silitech Technology, SK C&C, TCL Communication, TPK Holding, TPV Technology, Tripod Technology, Unimicron, Wintek, Wistron, Young Fast Optoelectronics. Company-specific regulatory disclosures The following disclosures relate to relationships between The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (with its affiliates, "Goldman Sachs") and companies covered by the Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs and referred to in this research. Goldman Sachs expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Compal Electronics (NT$31.10) Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships Goldman Sachs Investment Research global coverage universe Rating Distribution Investment Banking Relationships Buy Hold Sell Buy Hold Sell Global 32% 54% 14% 52% 41% 37% As of July 1, 2011, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 3,167 equity securities. Goldman Sachs assigns stocks as Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so assigned are deemed Neutral. Such assignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for the purposes of the above disclosure required by NASD/NYSE rules. See 'Ratings, Coverage groups and views and related definitions' below. Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 5
  • 6. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) Price target and rating history chart(s) Com pal Ele ctronics (2324.TW) Stock Price Currency : Taiw an Dollar Goldman Sachs rating and stock price target history 60 10,000 46.09 44 30 25.37 24.39 44.13 44.13 48.05 9,000 50 31.23 18.54 33.18 43 52.96 40.01 26.35 8,000 32 40 7,000 30 49.03 47 6,000 47.07 42 20 5,000 49.03 10 4,000 Aug 31 Sep 6 Mar 30 Stock Price Index Price N B N A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: Goldman Sachs Investment Research for ratings and price targets; FactSet closing prices as of 6/30/2011. Rating Covered by Henry King Jul 1, 2008 B Price target Price target at removal Not covered by current analyst Taiw an SE Weighted Index The price targets show n should be considered in the context of all prior published Goldman Sachs research, w hich may or may not have included price targets, as w ell as developments relating to the company, its industry and f inancial markets. Regulatory disclosures Disclosures required by United States laws and regulations See company-specific regulatory disclosures above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to in this report: manager or co-manager in a pending transaction; 1% or other ownership; compensation for certain services; types of client relationships; managed/co- managed public offerings in prior periods; directorships; for equity securities, market making and/or specialist role. 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  • 7. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW) coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return. Return potential represents the price differential between the current share price and the price target expected during the time horizon associated with the price target. Price targets are required for all covered stocks. The return potential, price target and associated time horizon are stated in each report adding or reiterating an Investment List membership. Coverage groups and views: A list of all stocks in each coverage group is available by primary analyst, stock and coverage group at http://www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. 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