I downgrade Compal Electronics to Sell from Neutral due to downside risks to its 2011 notebook shipment target and margin recovery. Compal's 2Q operating profit of NT$1.96 billion missed consensus estimates. It also faces challenges meeting its overly optimistic 20% notebook shipment growth guidance for 2012 given potential order losses. I lower my earnings estimates and cut my target price to NT$25 per share.
Maroc Telecom reported full-year 2012 results with revenues in line with estimates and EBITDA above expectations. While the company expects EBITDA margins to remain stable in 2013, structural challenges remain due to ongoing price cuts and margin pressure in Morocco. The analyst incorporates the results into estimates and raises 2013-2015 EBITDA forecasts slightly but maintains a Sell rating due to risks from upcoming regulatory changes and competitive pressures that could impact margins. The 12-month price target is lowered to €6.8 based on a dividend yield valuation.
The document recommends buying shares of E Ink Holdings Inc. based on three key points:
1) E Ink's chairman reiterated strong 3Q11 revenue guidance and an increasing outlook for the e-reader market, reinforcing the company's structural growth thesis.
2) Strong sales ramp is expected as Amazon launches new Kindle and tablet devices for the holidays.
3) Upside risks remain to analyst earnings estimates as E Ink remains the dominant display supplier for e-readers.
Cinemax India posted modest revenue growth of 34.1% in 4QFY10 aided by seat additions and big-budget movies, but operating margins declined 138bps due to higher film distribution and rent expenses. Bottom-line grew 353% due to negative tax provisions. The analyst maintains a Buy rating but lowers FY2011-12 estimates and target price to Rs85 due to lower revenue growth expectations and higher costs.
Lear Corporation provided an update on its second-quarter 2005 financial results and full-year 2005 guidance. Key points include:
- Second-quarter net sales increased slightly but earnings declined significantly year-over-year due to lower production volumes, commodity cost pressures, and restructuring charges.
- Full-year 2005 guidance was lowered due to worse-than-expected industry production declines, higher restructuring costs, and unfavorable foreign exchange rates.
- Capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated in 2005 to support a record new product launch schedule before trending lower, while free cash flow will be negatively impacted by restructuring activities and timing of customer payments.
European entertainment imaging industry the new context after the economica...Thierry Perronnet
The document discusses changes in the film financing environment due to the economic crisis. Specifically, it notes that (1) reduced advertising revenue and public funding has decreased financing from broadcasters and producers; (2) new digital technologies have created new opportunities for content production and distribution but also increased price pressure; and (3) coproduction across multiple countries has become more common due to difficulties financing projects from a single source.
This document summarizes TIM Participações S.A.'s performance in 2Q08 and outlook for 2H08. Key highlights from 2Q08 include revenue growth of 6.5% QoQ driven by a 38.7% increase in handset sales, EBITDA growth of 19% YoY despite a 4pp decline in margins, and an 8.4% churn rate. For 2H08, TIM will focus on high-value postpaid segments, innovative VAS, capturing fixed-line opportunities, and improving profitability through cost controls. Financial results showed continued subscriber growth but pressure on ARPU and margins.
Siemens Ltd is an industrial conglomerate operating in industry, energy, and healthcare sectors. Some key points:
- Revenue declined 4% in FY2009 due to exiting IT services but profits grew 16% due to higher other income
- Operations are divided into industry, energy, and healthcare with diversified revenue streams
- Acquisitions help expand product range and increase market share
- Stock has outperformed the market with 39% returns YTD compared to Nifty's 18%
TIM Participações S.A. held its 9th annual conference in August 2008 to discuss the company's performance. The key highlights presented were:
1) The mobile telecom market in Brazil continued strong growth driven by increasing purchasing power of lower income classes and aggressive promotions. TIM was well positioned to capture opportunities in broadband and fixed line services.
2) In 2Q08, TIM's subscriber base grew 1% sequentially to 33.8 million despite an overall market drop. ARPU increased 1% through a new pre-paid promotion and focus on high-value post-paid customers.
3) For 2H08, TIM planned to refocus offers on high-margin customers, improve
Maroc Telecom reported full-year 2012 results with revenues in line with estimates and EBITDA above expectations. While the company expects EBITDA margins to remain stable in 2013, structural challenges remain due to ongoing price cuts and margin pressure in Morocco. The analyst incorporates the results into estimates and raises 2013-2015 EBITDA forecasts slightly but maintains a Sell rating due to risks from upcoming regulatory changes and competitive pressures that could impact margins. The 12-month price target is lowered to €6.8 based on a dividend yield valuation.
The document recommends buying shares of E Ink Holdings Inc. based on three key points:
1) E Ink's chairman reiterated strong 3Q11 revenue guidance and an increasing outlook for the e-reader market, reinforcing the company's structural growth thesis.
2) Strong sales ramp is expected as Amazon launches new Kindle and tablet devices for the holidays.
3) Upside risks remain to analyst earnings estimates as E Ink remains the dominant display supplier for e-readers.
Cinemax India posted modest revenue growth of 34.1% in 4QFY10 aided by seat additions and big-budget movies, but operating margins declined 138bps due to higher film distribution and rent expenses. Bottom-line grew 353% due to negative tax provisions. The analyst maintains a Buy rating but lowers FY2011-12 estimates and target price to Rs85 due to lower revenue growth expectations and higher costs.
Lear Corporation provided an update on its second-quarter 2005 financial results and full-year 2005 guidance. Key points include:
- Second-quarter net sales increased slightly but earnings declined significantly year-over-year due to lower production volumes, commodity cost pressures, and restructuring charges.
- Full-year 2005 guidance was lowered due to worse-than-expected industry production declines, higher restructuring costs, and unfavorable foreign exchange rates.
- Capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated in 2005 to support a record new product launch schedule before trending lower, while free cash flow will be negatively impacted by restructuring activities and timing of customer payments.
European entertainment imaging industry the new context after the economica...Thierry Perronnet
The document discusses changes in the film financing environment due to the economic crisis. Specifically, it notes that (1) reduced advertising revenue and public funding has decreased financing from broadcasters and producers; (2) new digital technologies have created new opportunities for content production and distribution but also increased price pressure; and (3) coproduction across multiple countries has become more common due to difficulties financing projects from a single source.
This document summarizes TIM Participações S.A.'s performance in 2Q08 and outlook for 2H08. Key highlights from 2Q08 include revenue growth of 6.5% QoQ driven by a 38.7% increase in handset sales, EBITDA growth of 19% YoY despite a 4pp decline in margins, and an 8.4% churn rate. For 2H08, TIM will focus on high-value postpaid segments, innovative VAS, capturing fixed-line opportunities, and improving profitability through cost controls. Financial results showed continued subscriber growth but pressure on ARPU and margins.
Siemens Ltd is an industrial conglomerate operating in industry, energy, and healthcare sectors. Some key points:
- Revenue declined 4% in FY2009 due to exiting IT services but profits grew 16% due to higher other income
- Operations are divided into industry, energy, and healthcare with diversified revenue streams
- Acquisitions help expand product range and increase market share
- Stock has outperformed the market with 39% returns YTD compared to Nifty's 18%
TIM Participações S.A. held its 9th annual conference in August 2008 to discuss the company's performance. The key highlights presented were:
1) The mobile telecom market in Brazil continued strong growth driven by increasing purchasing power of lower income classes and aggressive promotions. TIM was well positioned to capture opportunities in broadband and fixed line services.
2) In 2Q08, TIM's subscriber base grew 1% sequentially to 33.8 million despite an overall market drop. ARPU increased 1% through a new pre-paid promotion and focus on high-value post-paid customers.
3) For 2H08, TIM planned to refocus offers on high-margin customers, improve
The Progressive Corporation announced financial results for December 2005 and the full year 2005. For December, net income was $122.9 million, down 32% from the previous year due to an additional week of results in 2004. For the full year, net income was $1.393.9 billion, down 15% from 2004 which had 53 weeks of activity compared to 52 weeks in 2005. The company also held a conference call in March 2006 to discuss the full year 2005 results and filed its annual report with the SEC.
1) SpareBank 1 Gruppen reported significantly improved profits for the first quarter of 2011, with pre-tax profits of NOK 162 million, up from NOK 131 million in the same period the previous year.
2) Good investment returns contributed to strong profits of NOK 129 million in SpareBank 1 Livsforsikring, up from NOK 92 million the previous year.
3) Fewer winter-related insurance claims led to an improved claims ratio for SpareBank 1 Skadeforsikring.
1) PVR reported strong revenue growth of 133% year-over-year for the first quarter of FY2011, aided by a low base and additional screens. Operating margins expanded significantly.
2) Net profit was Rs. 5.1 crore compared to a loss last year, helped by revenue growth, margin expansion, lower interest expenses and higher other income.
3) The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on PVR stock due to strong expected growth rates over the next two years from additional screens and improving business metrics, with an increased target price of Rs. 199.
Gammon India reported a 12.5% year-over-year decrease in top-line revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 due to losses from a joint venture. EBITDA margins also declined year-over-year due to these losses. As a result of lower revenue and margins, bottom-line profit saw a 24.6% year-over-year decrease. The analyst values Gammon India using a sum-of-the-parts approach and maintains a neutral outlook due to the company's policy of non-disclosure regarding recent Italian acquisitions that could materially impact financials.
This document provides supplementary financial information for The Chubb Corporation for the quarter ending March 31, 2005. It includes:
- Consolidated balance sheet highlights showing total invested assets of $31.9 billion.
- Summaries of invested assets by corporate and property/casualty segments.
- Investment income after taxes for corporate and property/casualty segments.
- Property/casualty insurance group statutory surplus of $8.25 billion.
- Changes in net unpaid losses for various lines of business.
- Worldwide underwriting results by line of business, showing a total statutory underwriting income of $134.4 million.
This document provides an overview of IPTV Specialized Global Company. It discusses the company's capital structure, shareholders, core competencies in IPTV solutions, and major milestones from 2008-2009 including contracts, acquisitions, and financing activities. The company aims to be a leader in IPTV product development and total solutions through capabilities like full product portfolios, system integration expertise, and patented technologies.
WESCO reported first quarter 2009 results with sales down 16% and net income of $23.3 million. Cost reduction efforts are estimated to save $100 million in 2009 and liquidity remains strong at $365 million. Guidance forecasts 2009 revenues to decline 15-20% but expense reductions, a lower tax rate, and continued cash flow are expected to partially offset revenue declines. Capital expenditures are forecast at $16 million for 2009.
The document provides supplementary investor information for The Chubb Corporation as of December 31, 2005. It includes a consolidated balance sheet, details on share repurchase activity, summaries of invested assets and investment income for both corporate and property & casualty segments. It also provides property & casualty underwriting results for 2005 and 2004, including net premiums written and earned, losses incurred and expenses by line of business.
Journal Communications, Inc. is a media company that operates newspapers, television stations, radio stations, and websites across 12 states. The company generates most of its revenue from advertising sales. The analyst initiates coverage of Journal Communications with a Neutral rating and $8 price target due to concerns about weak advertising spending in 2008 and the company's exposure to struggling real estate markets. However, the company is transforming its business model and expanding its faster-growing internet and broadcast segments. The analyst expects the company's performance to improve in late 2008 and 2009 as the economy recovers and advertising spending increases.
Flevy.com - Finance and Valuation BasicsDavid Tracy
This is a partial preview of the document found here:
https://flevy.com/browse/business-document/finance-valuation-basics-106
Description:
This document explains the basics of financial analysis. It explains financial statements, financial ratios/comparables, and capital markets. This training presentation has been adopted from the ones used at global consulting firms.
Operating revenues for the company increased 5.9% to $14.36 billion in 2006 compared to $13.55 billion in 2005. Earnings were $1.573 billion, down 1.1% from $1.591 billion in the previous year. Basic and diluted earnings per share declined slightly from 2005 levels. The company's return on average common equity fell to 14.26% in 2006 from 15.17% in 2005. Total assets and market value of common stock both increased by over 7% year-over-year.
1 Q09 Earnings Eng Final[20090421134102809]Sang Park
The document provides LG Electronics' earnings release for the first quarter of 2009. It summarizes key financial results including:
- Consolidated sales of KRW 15.89 trillion, up 10.7% year-over-year but down 7.5% quarter-over-quarter. The operating profit margin was 0.12%.
- Sales and profit results for each business sector, including home entertainment, mobile communications, home appliances, and air conditioning. Most sectors saw sales growth year-over-year despite the economic recession.
- Parent company sales of KRW 7.07 trillion, up 2.1% year-over-year, with an operating profit of KRW 437 billion,
Présentation des résultats financiers Ericsson (Q3 2009)Ericsson France
currency was even stronger at 13%. The strong development was driven by
systems integration and consulting, while managed services sales were stable.
70
Margins were stable at 15% despite start-up costs for major new contracts.
60
Multimedia
Multimedia sales decreased 4% year-over-year. The decrease was mainly due to
the divestment of Ericsson Mobile Platforms in 2008. Excluding divested opera-
50
tions, sales increased 13% in local currency. Margins improved to 11% (9%) due
to efficiency gains and a better product mix.
40
30
Financial position
Net cash increased to SEK 33.9 billion at the
Compal Communications shares fell due to concerns over HP discontinuing its WebOS hardware business. However, the analyst believes this exaggerates the impact on Compal since it has limited exposure to HP/WebOS and has reallocated resources to other projects like Windows Phone.
The analyst reiterates a Buy rating based on Compal's opportunity as the sole ODM partner for Nokia's Windows Phone smartphones. Near-term catalysts include expected sales increases in August-December as new models launch. Upside to the 12-month price target of NT$50 is based on turnaround potential from Nokia's Windows Phone platform.
Risks include market acceptance of Nokia's Windows Phone strategy and outsourcing approach.
Goldman Sachs removes Cheng Uei Precision (Foxlink) from its Asia Pacific Conviction Buy List and downgrades the company to Neutral. The analyst sees limited upside potential to the revised target price of NT$85 due to a margin shortfall in the second quarter and expectations of weaker demand and falling prices for DRAM, one of Foxlink's key components. Earnings estimates are reduced for 2011, 2012, and 2013 to account for lower sales growth and net income. While remaining positive on Foxlink's fundamentals long term, the analyst suggests investors lock in gains at the current level.
Essel Propack reported a 1QFY2011 sales of Rs332 crore, which was flat compared to the previous year. EBITDA margin declined by 100 basis points to 16.9% due to higher raw material costs. Segmentally, growth was seen across regions except the Americas. Europe reduced its losses substantially. While margins saw pressure, cost cutting measures restricted the decline. The company remains focused on improving profitability through higher contribution from high-margin products.
1) Finolex Cables reported a 50.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 493.1 crore for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the electrical cables segment.
2) Operating margins declined to 8% from 15.2% in the prior year quarter due to higher raw material costs, though margins improved sequentially.
3) Net profit increased 4.5% year-over-year to Rs. 23 crore for the quarter despite margin pressure, with sales growth offsetting higher costs.
The document recommends buying shares of Compal Communications (8078.TW) and reiterates a "Buy" rating. It raises earnings estimates for 2012-2013 due to stronger expected sales from Nokia's launch of Windows Phone 7 smartphones, which Compal will manufacture. The analyst increases the 12-month price target to NT$70 from NT$52 previously. Key risks include disappointing Nokia smartphone demand and a weak macroeconomic environment.
Larsen & Toubro (L&T) reported a 17.8% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 9,330.8 crore for the second quarter of FY2011, exceeding estimates. However, operating margins of 10.8% were below expectations due to higher staff costs. Net profit of Rs. 650.2 crore was marginally above estimates. While top-line growth was strong, margins were impacted by costs, resulting in net profit slightly surpassing estimates. Order inflows were in line with expectations.
BHEL reported revenue growth of 19.1% year-over-year for the third quarter of FY2012, driven by strong execution. However, EBITDA margins contracted by 359 basis points due to higher raw material and other expenses. While the top and bottom lines met estimates, order inflows declined, raising concerns over future growth. Challenges in the power sector and increased competition threaten BHEL's long-term prospects. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating given structural issues facing earnings growth.
(1) The analyst upgrades Silitech Technology (3311.TW) to Buy from Sell and raises the target price to NT$95 from NT$52 based on the company leveraging its metal housing business to offset concerns about its declining keypad business.
(2) Silitech's recent design win for the popular Samsung Galaxy S2 phone provides evidence that its metal housing business can gain more customers and drive further growth in that business.
(3) The analyst expects Silitech's quarterly and yearly sales to improve compared to past declines as the metal housing business expands, helping to boost its share price over the next 2-3 quarters.
This document upgrades Silitech Technology (3311.TW) to a Buy rating from Sell and raises the target price. While structural concerns remain over its keypad business, Silitech has leveraged its growing metal housing business, securing a key design win with Samsung, to offset headwinds. The analyst expects (1) gradual improvement in year-over-year sales trends, (2) more design wins in metal housing, and (3) new product announcements to drive further growth. The upgraded rating and target price are based on raised earnings estimates through 2013 and an increased price-to-book valuation. Risks include severe competition in metal housing and slow handset demand.
The Progressive Corporation announced financial results for December 2005 and the full year 2005. For December, net income was $122.9 million, down 32% from the previous year due to an additional week of results in 2004. For the full year, net income was $1.393.9 billion, down 15% from 2004 which had 53 weeks of activity compared to 52 weeks in 2005. The company also held a conference call in March 2006 to discuss the full year 2005 results and filed its annual report with the SEC.
1) SpareBank 1 Gruppen reported significantly improved profits for the first quarter of 2011, with pre-tax profits of NOK 162 million, up from NOK 131 million in the same period the previous year.
2) Good investment returns contributed to strong profits of NOK 129 million in SpareBank 1 Livsforsikring, up from NOK 92 million the previous year.
3) Fewer winter-related insurance claims led to an improved claims ratio for SpareBank 1 Skadeforsikring.
1) PVR reported strong revenue growth of 133% year-over-year for the first quarter of FY2011, aided by a low base and additional screens. Operating margins expanded significantly.
2) Net profit was Rs. 5.1 crore compared to a loss last year, helped by revenue growth, margin expansion, lower interest expenses and higher other income.
3) The analyst maintains a "Buy" rating on PVR stock due to strong expected growth rates over the next two years from additional screens and improving business metrics, with an increased target price of Rs. 199.
Gammon India reported a 12.5% year-over-year decrease in top-line revenue for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2010 due to losses from a joint venture. EBITDA margins also declined year-over-year due to these losses. As a result of lower revenue and margins, bottom-line profit saw a 24.6% year-over-year decrease. The analyst values Gammon India using a sum-of-the-parts approach and maintains a neutral outlook due to the company's policy of non-disclosure regarding recent Italian acquisitions that could materially impact financials.
This document provides supplementary financial information for The Chubb Corporation for the quarter ending March 31, 2005. It includes:
- Consolidated balance sheet highlights showing total invested assets of $31.9 billion.
- Summaries of invested assets by corporate and property/casualty segments.
- Investment income after taxes for corporate and property/casualty segments.
- Property/casualty insurance group statutory surplus of $8.25 billion.
- Changes in net unpaid losses for various lines of business.
- Worldwide underwriting results by line of business, showing a total statutory underwriting income of $134.4 million.
This document provides an overview of IPTV Specialized Global Company. It discusses the company's capital structure, shareholders, core competencies in IPTV solutions, and major milestones from 2008-2009 including contracts, acquisitions, and financing activities. The company aims to be a leader in IPTV product development and total solutions through capabilities like full product portfolios, system integration expertise, and patented technologies.
WESCO reported first quarter 2009 results with sales down 16% and net income of $23.3 million. Cost reduction efforts are estimated to save $100 million in 2009 and liquidity remains strong at $365 million. Guidance forecasts 2009 revenues to decline 15-20% but expense reductions, a lower tax rate, and continued cash flow are expected to partially offset revenue declines. Capital expenditures are forecast at $16 million for 2009.
The document provides supplementary investor information for The Chubb Corporation as of December 31, 2005. It includes a consolidated balance sheet, details on share repurchase activity, summaries of invested assets and investment income for both corporate and property & casualty segments. It also provides property & casualty underwriting results for 2005 and 2004, including net premiums written and earned, losses incurred and expenses by line of business.
Journal Communications, Inc. is a media company that operates newspapers, television stations, radio stations, and websites across 12 states. The company generates most of its revenue from advertising sales. The analyst initiates coverage of Journal Communications with a Neutral rating and $8 price target due to concerns about weak advertising spending in 2008 and the company's exposure to struggling real estate markets. However, the company is transforming its business model and expanding its faster-growing internet and broadcast segments. The analyst expects the company's performance to improve in late 2008 and 2009 as the economy recovers and advertising spending increases.
Flevy.com - Finance and Valuation BasicsDavid Tracy
This is a partial preview of the document found here:
https://flevy.com/browse/business-document/finance-valuation-basics-106
Description:
This document explains the basics of financial analysis. It explains financial statements, financial ratios/comparables, and capital markets. This training presentation has been adopted from the ones used at global consulting firms.
Operating revenues for the company increased 5.9% to $14.36 billion in 2006 compared to $13.55 billion in 2005. Earnings were $1.573 billion, down 1.1% from $1.591 billion in the previous year. Basic and diluted earnings per share declined slightly from 2005 levels. The company's return on average common equity fell to 14.26% in 2006 from 15.17% in 2005. Total assets and market value of common stock both increased by over 7% year-over-year.
1 Q09 Earnings Eng Final[20090421134102809]Sang Park
The document provides LG Electronics' earnings release for the first quarter of 2009. It summarizes key financial results including:
- Consolidated sales of KRW 15.89 trillion, up 10.7% year-over-year but down 7.5% quarter-over-quarter. The operating profit margin was 0.12%.
- Sales and profit results for each business sector, including home entertainment, mobile communications, home appliances, and air conditioning. Most sectors saw sales growth year-over-year despite the economic recession.
- Parent company sales of KRW 7.07 trillion, up 2.1% year-over-year, with an operating profit of KRW 437 billion,
Présentation des résultats financiers Ericsson (Q3 2009)Ericsson France
currency was even stronger at 13%. The strong development was driven by
systems integration and consulting, while managed services sales were stable.
70
Margins were stable at 15% despite start-up costs for major new contracts.
60
Multimedia
Multimedia sales decreased 4% year-over-year. The decrease was mainly due to
the divestment of Ericsson Mobile Platforms in 2008. Excluding divested opera-
50
tions, sales increased 13% in local currency. Margins improved to 11% (9%) due
to efficiency gains and a better product mix.
40
30
Financial position
Net cash increased to SEK 33.9 billion at the
Compal Communications shares fell due to concerns over HP discontinuing its WebOS hardware business. However, the analyst believes this exaggerates the impact on Compal since it has limited exposure to HP/WebOS and has reallocated resources to other projects like Windows Phone.
The analyst reiterates a Buy rating based on Compal's opportunity as the sole ODM partner for Nokia's Windows Phone smartphones. Near-term catalysts include expected sales increases in August-December as new models launch. Upside to the 12-month price target of NT$50 is based on turnaround potential from Nokia's Windows Phone platform.
Risks include market acceptance of Nokia's Windows Phone strategy and outsourcing approach.
Goldman Sachs removes Cheng Uei Precision (Foxlink) from its Asia Pacific Conviction Buy List and downgrades the company to Neutral. The analyst sees limited upside potential to the revised target price of NT$85 due to a margin shortfall in the second quarter and expectations of weaker demand and falling prices for DRAM, one of Foxlink's key components. Earnings estimates are reduced for 2011, 2012, and 2013 to account for lower sales growth and net income. While remaining positive on Foxlink's fundamentals long term, the analyst suggests investors lock in gains at the current level.
Essel Propack reported a 1QFY2011 sales of Rs332 crore, which was flat compared to the previous year. EBITDA margin declined by 100 basis points to 16.9% due to higher raw material costs. Segmentally, growth was seen across regions except the Americas. Europe reduced its losses substantially. While margins saw pressure, cost cutting measures restricted the decline. The company remains focused on improving profitability through higher contribution from high-margin products.
1) Finolex Cables reported a 50.4% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 493.1 crore for the first quarter of FY2011, driven by strong growth in the electrical cables segment.
2) Operating margins declined to 8% from 15.2% in the prior year quarter due to higher raw material costs, though margins improved sequentially.
3) Net profit increased 4.5% year-over-year to Rs. 23 crore for the quarter despite margin pressure, with sales growth offsetting higher costs.
The document recommends buying shares of Compal Communications (8078.TW) and reiterates a "Buy" rating. It raises earnings estimates for 2012-2013 due to stronger expected sales from Nokia's launch of Windows Phone 7 smartphones, which Compal will manufacture. The analyst increases the 12-month price target to NT$70 from NT$52 previously. Key risks include disappointing Nokia smartphone demand and a weak macroeconomic environment.
Larsen & Toubro (L&T) reported a 17.8% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 9,330.8 crore for the second quarter of FY2011, exceeding estimates. However, operating margins of 10.8% were below expectations due to higher staff costs. Net profit of Rs. 650.2 crore was marginally above estimates. While top-line growth was strong, margins were impacted by costs, resulting in net profit slightly surpassing estimates. Order inflows were in line with expectations.
BHEL reported revenue growth of 19.1% year-over-year for the third quarter of FY2012, driven by strong execution. However, EBITDA margins contracted by 359 basis points due to higher raw material and other expenses. While the top and bottom lines met estimates, order inflows declined, raising concerns over future growth. Challenges in the power sector and increased competition threaten BHEL's long-term prospects. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating given structural issues facing earnings growth.
(1) The analyst upgrades Silitech Technology (3311.TW) to Buy from Sell and raises the target price to NT$95 from NT$52 based on the company leveraging its metal housing business to offset concerns about its declining keypad business.
(2) Silitech's recent design win for the popular Samsung Galaxy S2 phone provides evidence that its metal housing business can gain more customers and drive further growth in that business.
(3) The analyst expects Silitech's quarterly and yearly sales to improve compared to past declines as the metal housing business expands, helping to boost its share price over the next 2-3 quarters.
This document upgrades Silitech Technology (3311.TW) to a Buy rating from Sell and raises the target price. While structural concerns remain over its keypad business, Silitech has leveraged its growing metal housing business, securing a key design win with Samsung, to offset headwinds. The analyst expects (1) gradual improvement in year-over-year sales trends, (2) more design wins in metal housing, and (3) new product announcements to drive further growth. The upgraded rating and target price are based on raised earnings estimates through 2013 and an increased price-to-book valuation. Risks include severe competition in metal housing and slow handset demand.
Radiant Opto-Electronics is expected to report weaker sales in December 2011 compared to previous guidance due to order delays for tablet components and weaker notebook shipments, leading analysts to lower 2011 and 2012 earnings estimates slightly. However, the analysts maintain a "Buy" rating and see growth resuming in the second quarter of 2012 as tablet orders increase ahead of new product launches and short-term notebook component issues are resolved. The target price is lowered to NT$115 based on revised earnings estimates but the company is still seen as having strong design capabilities and stable revenue contributions long-term.
Nagarjuna Construction Company (NCC) reported disappointing 1QFY2011 results with revenues growing only 8.5% year-over-year, below expectations. Operating margins were in line with estimates at 9.7% however. The company maintained full-year revenue guidance of Rs5,800cr. NCC has a strong order backlog of Rs16,051cr, providing revenue visibility. While results were below estimates, management sees potential in its diversified operations and order backlog. The stock remains undervalued and analysts maintain a "Buy" rating given growth opportunities.
BHEL reported revenue growth of 19.1% year-over-year for the third quarter of FY2012, while margins contracted. Profit growth was subdued at 2% due to higher costs. Order inflows declined compared to the first half, as the company faced order cancellations and increased competition. While the stock valuation seems reasonable, structural issues in the power sector pose challenges to BHEL's long-term growth prospects. The analyst maintains a Neutral rating given concerns over declining order book growth and earnings pressure going forward.
National Aluminium's (Nalco) net revenue in 1QFY2011 increased 40.2% year-over-year to Rs. 1,292 crore, driven by higher realizations and sales volumes. Net profit increased 124.8% to Rs. 284 crore. EBITDA margin expanded significantly to 30.5% due to declines in raw material, power, and staff costs. While aluminum and chemical segments saw revenue growth, the energy segment's revenue declined 25.1% despite higher power generation. The company continues to face challenges around coal supply and has limited growth visibility beyond current expansion plans.
Jyoti Structures reported a 16.5% year-over-year increase in revenue to Rs. 564 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with net profit growing 18% to Rs. 26 crore. Order intake declined 37% from the previous year due to lower tendering from Power Grid Corporation of India and state utilities. The company maintained an order backlog of Rs. 4,106 crore and expects the backlog to reach Rs. 5,000 crore by the end of fiscal year 2011 as tendering activity picks up. Analysts maintain a buy recommendation on Jyoti Structures due to large growth opportunities in India's power transmission sector and Jyoti
Patel Engineering reported a 9.2% year-over-year increase in net sales for the first quarter of FY2011 despite high exposure to politically volatile Andhra Pradesh markets. Operating margins came in at 16.9%, slightly above estimates. The company maintained its guidance of 20% revenue growth for FY2011. Patel Engineering has a large order backlog of Rs. 8,000 crore and expects to gain further orders in the growing hydropower sector in India. However, the stock has underperformed peers recently due to concerns over Andhra Pradesh exposure, but these are believed to be short term issues.
Crompton Greaves reported a 4.7% year-over-year increase in consolidated sales to Rs. 2,302 crores for the first quarter of FY2011. EBITDA grew 19.8% to Rs. 297 crores due to lower expenses and improved operational efficiencies. Net profit increased 19.5% to Rs. 190.8 crores. The consumer products and industrial systems segments saw robust growth, while the power systems segment remained weak with a 1.9% sales decline. Going forward, the company expects its power systems segment, which accounts for 63% of revenue, to drive growth as massive capacity expansion in the power sector provides investment opportunities in transmission and distribution.
Rallis India reported 1QFY2011 results that were below expectations due to lower-than-estimated EBITDA margins of 11.6%, despite revenue growth of 21.8% that exceeded estimates. While revenue growth was driven by strong domestic demand and export revival, higher other expenses restricted improvement in operating margins. Looking ahead, management expects industry growth of 10-12% in FY2011 on expectations of normal monsoons, and the company is positioned to outpace industry growth. However, the brokerage maintains a Neutral rating given margins were below estimates and the stock is trading at fair valuations.
The document provides an analysis of Consolidated Construction Consortium's (CCCL) 4QFY2010 results and outlook. Some key points:
- CCCL reported 33.2% revenue growth for 4QFY2010 inline with estimates, but order inflow for FY2010 was below expectations at Rs2,166cr.
- The company's current order book stands at Rs3,392cr, providing 1.4x revenue visibility for FY2011, which is lower than peers.
- The analyst expects 19.2% revenue CAGR for CCCL over FY2010-2012 on the back of its order book and recovery in private capex.
- C
BGR Energy Systems reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue grew 191% year-over-year to Rs. 905 crore, driven by execution of EPC projects. Net profit increased 205.6% to Rs. 61 crore. Margins were compressed due to higher raw material costs but execution of large EPC contracts provides good revenue visibility. The company maintains its neutral rating on BGR Energy Systems due to its order backlog, transformation into a full EPC provider through potential JV with Hitachi, and growth opportunities in the power sector.
NTPC reported a 7.8% year-over-year increase in net sales to Rs. 12,944 crores in the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, driven by lower plant load factors. Operating profit fell 9.6% year-over-year to Rs. 3,345 crores due to higher fuel and employee expenses. Net profit declined 16.1% to Rs. 1,842 crores for the quarter. While NTPC added new capacity, plant load factors declined for some key plants, affecting power generation and margins. The company plans further large capacity additions over the next two fiscal years to drive future growth.
PMI is a Taiwan-based sewing machine manufacturer. In 2014, its quarterly sales growth was between 5-30% year-over-year and its annual net profit increased 47% to NT$316 million. PMI has a strong presence in the Asian sewing machine market with a focus on the Chinese market which accounts for over 50% of its revenue. It expects continued revenue growth over the next two years driven by the implementation of free trade agreements in Asia including the TPP.
1) The document provides financial information and forecasts for a Taiwanese company for 2013-2015. Key metrics like revenue, earnings per share (EPS), and EBITDA are presented on a quarterly and annual basis.
2) EPS is forecast to increase from NT$2.06 in 2013 to NT$2.23 in 2014. Revenue is projected to grow by 6.5% annually from NT$34.7 billion in 2013 to NT$37.9 billion in 2014.
3) EBITDA margins are expected to remain stable around 10% for both 2013 and 2014.
- The document provides financial information and forecasts for a Taiwanese technology company for 3Q13, 4Q13, and 2014.
- For 3Q13, revenue was NT$5.073 billion, a 0.4% QoQ decrease but 5.7% YoY increase. Earnings per share (EPS) was NT$1.15.
- For 4Q13, revenue is forecasted to be NT$5.080 billion, a 0.5% QoQ decrease but 7.3% YoY increase. EPS is forecasted to be NT$1.07.
- For 2014, revenue is forecasted to be NT$12.440 billion and EPS
1) The document discusses KGI Securities' analysis of the compact camera module (CCM) market and key players in 4Q13-1Q14. It forecasts that CCM shipments will decline 15-25% quarter-over-quarter during this period due to seasonality.
2) It provides details on the market share and outlook for major CCM suppliers like TPK, GIS, and LG Innotek, noting that Apple's transition to in-house CCM production for new MacBook lines will significantly impact TPK.
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This document provides an analysis of the DRAM market and key memory manufacturers for 2013-2014. It forecasts that DRAM bit shipments will increase 7.4% in 2014 with demand growth from servers, PCs and mobile devices. PC DRAM bit shipments are expected to rise 15.5% in 2014 while mobile DRAM will increase 25.6%. Manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix are expected to benefit from this growth in the DRAM market.
Pegatron's stock price is NT$43.80. Macquarie maintains its Outperform rating and raises its 12-month target price to NT$55 from NT$51. Pegatron remains well positioned as the major supplier of Apple's iPhone mini, and iPad mini demand has been better than expected. Macquarie also expects upside from Pegatron's non-core business Casetek and higher-than-expected non-notebook business margins. Macquarie raises its 2013-2014 EPS estimates and sees upside catalysts from new order gains and improving revenue and margins.
Pegatron remains an outperform stock with a 12-month target price of NT$55. The analyst expects solid iPhone mini shipments and margins to drive earnings upside in 2013. Demand for the iPad mini is also better than expected. Rising profits from Casetek also provide upside risk to EPS growth. The consensus EPS estimate for 2013 is conservative and the stock valuation remains attractive.
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Ensuring robust asset quality is not just a mere aspect but a critical cornerstone for the stability and success of financial institutions worldwide. It serves as the bedrock upon which profitability is built and investor confidence is sustained. Therefore, in this presentation, we delve into a comprehensive exploration of strategies that can aid financial institutions in achieving and maintaining superior asset quality.
Enhancing Asset Quality: Strategies for Financial Institutions
2324
1. September 1, 2011
ACTION
Sell
Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
Return Potential: (20%) Equity Research
Squeezed by NB/TV downside and OPEX risk; downgrade to Sell
Source of opportunity Investment Profile
Low High
We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral on: 1) downside to its 2011 NB
Growth Growth
shipment target; 2) upside in its R&D expense trend; 3) unfavorable product
Returns * Returns *
mix due to slowdown in corporate demand (from Dell) in 2H; 4) 2Q OP of
Multiple Multiple
NT$1.96 bn is 39%/43% below GSe/Reuters consensus; 5) least Volatility Volatility
diversification among the top three NB ODMs: mainly TVs (around 10% of Percentile 20th 40th 60th 80th 100th
Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
sales) but with downward revision and the least exposure to high-margin
Asia Pacific Technology Peer Group Average
servers. We think there is downside risk to Compal’s 2012 bullish NB growth
* Returns = Return on Capital For a complete description of the
guidance to low visibility. Lastly, we think Compal’s share price rally of 19% investment profile measures please refer to
the disclosure section of this document.
from its recent trough (Aug 19) is not warranted by its fundamentals.
Key data Current
Catalyst Price (NT$) 31.10
Compal’s 42mn NB unit target (-13% yoy, vs previous GSe of 48.3mn) was 12 month price target (NT$) 25.00
Market cap (NT$ mn / US$ mn) 136,666.2 / 4,708.0
lowered from 48 mn in Apr and 55 mn in Jan. The shortfall stems mainly Foreign ownership (%) 55.1
from: 1) slowdown in corporate demand in 2H vs 1H; 2) netbook orders
lost to Quanta; and 3) Acer’s order downside. Compal expects 3Q GM to 12/10 12/11E 12/12E 12/13E
EPS (NT$) New 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40
improve slightly, but guided OPM to be flat on rising R&D cost. Compal EPS revision (%) 0.0 (17.4) (17.2) 9.8
expects its 2012 NB shipment to grow 20% vs industry growth of 0%-5%. EPS growth (%) 10.9 (40.8) 16.3 18.6
EPS (dil) (NT$) New 5.38 3.19 3.71 4.40
In our view, however, this will be a challenge as its share gains at Dell and P/E (X) 5.8 9.7 8.4 7.1
P/B (X) 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1
ASUSTeK may be offset by the potential order loss from Toshiba. EV/EBITDA (X) 7.3 9.7 7.8 5.9
Compal’s 3Q/4Q NB shipments (both flat qoq) are also below previous GSe Dividend yield (%) 7.6 8.5 5.1 6.0
ROE (%) 22.1 12.6 13.9 15.2
of 1%/4%. We lower our 2011E/12E/13E sales by 13%/16%/12% and PAT by CROCI (%) 113.4 96.5 255.7 125.8
18%/18%/9% on lower NB/TV TV growth and slower margin recovery. We
expect the market to negatively react to Compal’s weak 2Q result and 2H Price performance chart
42 11,000
guidance, as well as its overly optimistic guidance for 2012.
40 10,500
38 10,000
Valuation 36 9,500
We downgrade Compal to Sell from Neutral and cut our 12-m target price 34 9,000
32 8,500
to NT$25 from NT$32 (still on 7X NTM EPS) as we roll over to 4Q11-3Q12 30 8,000
28 7,500
Key risks 26 7,000
Aug-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11
Higher Acer NB shipments and higher efficiency in inland production.
Compal Electronics (L) Taiwan SE Weighted Index (R)
INVESTMENT LIST MEMBERSHIP
Asia Pacific Sell List Share price performance (%) 3 month 6 month 12 month
Absolute (10.5) (10.5) (13.4)
Rel. to Taiwan SE Weighted Index 3.9 (0.6) (14.8)
Coverage View: Neutral Source: Company data, Goldman Sachs Research estimates, FactSet. Price as of 8/31/2011 close.
Henry King Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies
+852-2978-0748 henry.king@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C.
Angel Wei
covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be
+886(2)2730-4187 angel.wei@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could
affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider
this report as only a single factor in making their investment
decision. For Reg AC see the end of the text. For other
important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to
www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. Analysts employed by non-
US affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts
with FINRA in the U.S.
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Global Investment Research
5. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
Reg AC
I, Henry King, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject company or
companies and its or their securities. I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this report.
Investment Profile
The Goldman Sachs Investment Profile provides investment context for a security by comparing key attributes of that security to its peer group and
market. The four key attributes depicted are: growth, returns, multiple and volatility. Growth, returns and multiple are indexed based on composites
of several methodologies to determine the stocks percentile ranking within the region's coverage universe.
The precise calculation of each metric may vary depending on the fiscal year, industry and region but the standard approach is as follows:
Growth is a composite of next year's estimate over current year's estimate, e.g. EPS, EBITDA, Revenue. Return is a year one prospective aggregate
of various return on capital measures, e.g. CROCI, ROACE, and ROE. Multiple is a composite of one-year forward valuation ratios, e.g. P/E, dividend
yield, EV/FCF, EV/EBITDA, EV/DACF, Price/Book. Volatility is measured as trailing twelve-month volatility adjusted for dividends.
Quantum
Quantum is Goldman Sachs' proprietary database providing access to detailed financial statement histories, forecasts and ratios. It can be used for
in-depth analysis of a single company, or to make comparisons between companies in different sectors and markets.
GS SUSTAIN
GS SUSTAIN is a global investment strategy aimed at long-term, long-only performance with a low turnover of ideas. The GS SUSTAIN focus list
includes leaders our analysis shows to be well positioned to deliver long term outperformance through sustained competitive advantage and
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Disclosure Appendix
Coverage group(s) of stocks by primary analyst(s)
Henry King: Asia Pacific Technology.
Asia Pacific Technology: AAC Technologies, Acer, Advanced Semiconductor, Advanced Semiconductor (ADR), ASUSTeK Computer, AU Optronics,
BYD Electronic, Catcher Technology, Cheng Uei Precision (Foxlink), Chimei Innolux, China Wireless Technologies, Chipbond Technology Corp.,
Compal Communications, Compal Electronics, Coretronic, Delta Electronics, E Ink Holdings Inc, Epistar, Everlight Electronics, Foxconn Int'l Holdings,
Foxconn Technology, Hon Hai Precision, HTC Corp., Kinsus Interconnect Technology, Largan Precision, Lenovo Group, Lite-On Technology, Nan Ya
PCB, Novatek Microelectronics, Pegatron, Powertech Technology, Quanta Computer, Radiant Opto-Electronics, Siliconware Precision, Siliconware
Precision (ADR), Silitech Technology, SK C&C, TCL Communication, TPK Holding, TPV Technology, Tripod Technology, Unimicron, Wintek, Wistron,
Young Fast Optoelectronics.
Company-specific regulatory disclosures
The following disclosures relate to relationships between The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (with its affiliates, "Goldman Sachs") and companies
covered by the Global Investment Research Division of Goldman Sachs and referred to in this research.
Goldman Sachs expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months: Compal Electronics
(NT$31.10)
Distribution of ratings/investment banking relationships
Goldman Sachs Investment Research global coverage universe
Rating Distribution Investment Banking Relationships
Buy Hold Sell Buy Hold Sell
Global 32% 54% 14% 52% 41% 37%
As of July 1, 2011, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research had investment ratings on 3,167 equity securities. Goldman Sachs assigns stocks as
Buys and Sells on various regional Investment Lists; stocks not so assigned are deemed Neutral. Such assignments equate to Buy, Hold and Sell for
the purposes of the above disclosure required by NASD/NYSE rules. See 'Ratings, Coverage groups and views and related definitions' below.
Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 5
6. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
Price target and rating history chart(s)
Com pal Ele ctronics (2324.TW) Stock Price Currency : Taiw an Dollar
Goldman Sachs rating and stock price target history
60 10,000
46.09 44 30
25.37 24.39 44.13
44.13 48.05 9,000
50 31.23 18.54 33.18 43
52.96
40.01 26.35 8,000
32
40
7,000
30 49.03 47
6,000
47.07 42
20 5,000
49.03
10 4,000
Aug 31 Sep 6 Mar 30
Stock Price
Index Price
N B N
A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J J A S O N D J F MA M J
2008 2009 2010 2011
Source: Goldman Sachs Investment Research for ratings and price targets; FactSet closing prices as of 6/30/2011.
Rating Covered by Henry King
Jul 1, 2008 B
Price target
Price target at removal Not covered by current analyst
Taiw an SE Weighted
Index
The price targets show n should be considered in the context of all prior published Goldman Sachs research, w hich may or
may not have included price targets, as w ell as developments relating to the company, its industry and f inancial markets.
Regulatory disclosures
Disclosures required by United States laws and regulations
See company-specific regulatory disclosures above for any of the following disclosures required as to companies referred to in this report: manager
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Ratings, coverage groups and views and related definitions
Buy (B), Neutral (N), Sell (S) -Analysts recommend stocks as Buys or Sells for inclusion on various regional Investment Lists. Being assigned a Buy
or Sell on an Investment List is determined by a stock's return potential relative to its coverage group as described below. Any stock not assigned
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Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 6
7. September 1, 2011 Compal Electronics (2324.TW)
coverage group may vary as determined by the regional Investment Review Committee. Regional Conviction Buy and Sell lists represent
investment recommendations focused on either the size of the potential return or the likelihood of the realization of the return.
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outlook over the following 12 months is unfavorable relative to the coverage group's historical fundamentals and/or valuation.
Not Rated (NR). The investment rating and target price have been removed pursuant to Goldman Sachs policy when Goldman Sachs is acting in
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Goldman Sachs Research has suspended the investment rating and price target for this stock, because there is not a sufficient fundamental basis
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