The document summarizes scenarios from a UK government foresight project on intelligent infrastructure systems. It explores six scenarios - Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure, Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure, High Impact Transport, Low Impact Transport, Perpetual Motion, and Tribal Trading. These scenarios vary based on the level of technology applied and attitudes toward reducing personal transport demand and resource limits. The scenarios suggest that reducing personal transport use long-term requires focusing on access over mobility and that decisive changes are likely only through rationing or pricing, which face political challenges.
Giles Perkins. Head of Future Mobility, WSP is Guest Speaker for a CILT Green Series webinar on Smart and Sustainable Mobility: Delivering Low Carbon Places
Based on a future vision of a multi-modal, end-to-end UK mobility system please describe your view of the role of Customer Experience in achieving this vision and where experience from other industry sectors can be used to add value
Sustainable Mobility Planning in Mumbai - Examples from EuropeDon Guikink
India has huge challenges regarding sustainable development and urban mobility planning. the EU has, together with local partners in Mumbai, facilitated a number of workshops to exchange experiences between Europe and India.
How can we make the transition to more sustainable urban mobility? Examples on concrete solutions from around the world - from SUSTAINIA's publications: Global Opportunity Report, SUSTAINIA100 and CITIES100.
Intelligent Transportation and Smart Communities share the same needs. Starting with the apex event of the Intelligent Transportation spacecraft landing on Comet 67p, the strategic requirements of the field are reviewed with new insights.
Giles Perkins. Head of Future Mobility, WSP is Guest Speaker for a CILT Green Series webinar on Smart and Sustainable Mobility: Delivering Low Carbon Places
Based on a future vision of a multi-modal, end-to-end UK mobility system please describe your view of the role of Customer Experience in achieving this vision and where experience from other industry sectors can be used to add value
Sustainable Mobility Planning in Mumbai - Examples from EuropeDon Guikink
India has huge challenges regarding sustainable development and urban mobility planning. the EU has, together with local partners in Mumbai, facilitated a number of workshops to exchange experiences between Europe and India.
How can we make the transition to more sustainable urban mobility? Examples on concrete solutions from around the world - from SUSTAINIA's publications: Global Opportunity Report, SUSTAINIA100 and CITIES100.
Intelligent Transportation and Smart Communities share the same needs. Starting with the apex event of the Intelligent Transportation spacecraft landing on Comet 67p, the strategic requirements of the field are reviewed with new insights.
Following an EU China partnership agreement on urbanisation, a group of high level officials from China visited Brussels in June 2015. I presented a key note on Urban mobility planning practices in Europe.
Professor Alan McKinnon, Kühne Logistics University is Guest Speaker for a CILT Green Series Webinar examining green technology and sustainability issues in relation to the logistics and transport sector
Open Source, Open Data: Driving Innovation in Smart CitiesDataWorks Summit
A city is a system of systems with independent objectives and governance for transportation, energy, healthcare, safety, security, and infrastructure. A smart city relies on data to be the connectivity between independent functions, and open data to be the building blocks for citizen-centered design, inclusion, and sustainability. Big Data is not about size – it is about finding new life-changing and transformational opportunities using data.
From Smart Mobility and Smart Energy to improved Public Health, Safety, & Governance – this session will discuss how cities are delivering better citizen services leveraging open source technology with a consistent governance and security framework that spans the data center and the public clouds.
Data integration is the key to ensuring that a city’s attempts to become an intelligent system of systems doesn’t result in a system of silos. A single view requires the capability to integrate transactional data from traditional data stores with person generated data, unstructured data, and machine sensor (IoT) data. The key to managing such a range of data is a capability that allows for both scaling analytic workloads and the preservation of detailed data with unexplored value, as both are vital to future growth potential.
Key Takeaways:
Understand the common use cases that tier 1, tier 2, and emerging cities are undertaking to deliver tactical results and progress towards policy objectives.
Understand the role of a shared catalog, unified security and consistent governance in building a secure, trusted, and connected capability.
Commission on Travel Demand Shared Mobility Inquiry Evidence Session 2CREDSUK
The Commission on Travel Demand is an expert group established as part of CREDS (Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions) to explore how to reduce the energy and carbon emissions associated with transport.
2018 SXSW EDU PanelPicker proposal by the U.S. Department of Transportation's Intelligent Transportation Systems Professional Capacity Building Program and its industry partners
Presentation on "Shared Mobility & BRT" at Bus Rapid Transit and Private Transit Symposium, sponsored by the Volvo Research and Educational Foundations, at UC Berkeley in October 2015
La customer experience è direttamente collegata all’esperienza della forza lavoro che - per impattare positivamente sulla customer experience - dovrebbe essere: coinvolta, produttiva ed empatia con il brand.
Following an EU China partnership agreement on urbanisation, a group of high level officials from China visited Brussels in June 2015. I presented a key note on Urban mobility planning practices in Europe.
Professor Alan McKinnon, Kühne Logistics University is Guest Speaker for a CILT Green Series Webinar examining green technology and sustainability issues in relation to the logistics and transport sector
Open Source, Open Data: Driving Innovation in Smart CitiesDataWorks Summit
A city is a system of systems with independent objectives and governance for transportation, energy, healthcare, safety, security, and infrastructure. A smart city relies on data to be the connectivity between independent functions, and open data to be the building blocks for citizen-centered design, inclusion, and sustainability. Big Data is not about size – it is about finding new life-changing and transformational opportunities using data.
From Smart Mobility and Smart Energy to improved Public Health, Safety, & Governance – this session will discuss how cities are delivering better citizen services leveraging open source technology with a consistent governance and security framework that spans the data center and the public clouds.
Data integration is the key to ensuring that a city’s attempts to become an intelligent system of systems doesn’t result in a system of silos. A single view requires the capability to integrate transactional data from traditional data stores with person generated data, unstructured data, and machine sensor (IoT) data. The key to managing such a range of data is a capability that allows for both scaling analytic workloads and the preservation of detailed data with unexplored value, as both are vital to future growth potential.
Key Takeaways:
Understand the common use cases that tier 1, tier 2, and emerging cities are undertaking to deliver tactical results and progress towards policy objectives.
Understand the role of a shared catalog, unified security and consistent governance in building a secure, trusted, and connected capability.
Commission on Travel Demand Shared Mobility Inquiry Evidence Session 2CREDSUK
The Commission on Travel Demand is an expert group established as part of CREDS (Centre for Research into Energy Demand Solutions) to explore how to reduce the energy and carbon emissions associated with transport.
2018 SXSW EDU PanelPicker proposal by the U.S. Department of Transportation's Intelligent Transportation Systems Professional Capacity Building Program and its industry partners
Presentation on "Shared Mobility & BRT" at Bus Rapid Transit and Private Transit Symposium, sponsored by the Volvo Research and Educational Foundations, at UC Berkeley in October 2015
La customer experience è direttamente collegata all’esperienza della forza lavoro che - per impattare positivamente sulla customer experience - dovrebbe essere: coinvolta, produttiva ed empatia con il brand.
Future of transport Insights from Discussions Building on an Initial Perspe...Future Agenda
The initial perspective on the Future of Transport kicked off the Future Agenda 2.0 global discussions taking place through 2015. This summary builds on the initial view and is updated as we progress the futureagenda2.0 programme. www.futureagenda.org
Bambucluster's point of view on how IoT can be a key enabler of Smart Mobility/ transportation solutions. Presented on June 14th, 2017 at the the BrightTALK Internet of Everything summit:
https://summits.brighttalk.com/webinar/iot-enabled-smart-mobility-hype-or-reality/
Urban mobility has always been about moving people from location to location through motorized personal or public transport. However, the proliferation of sensors, smartphones and intelligent high bandwidth networks are compelling towns & cities around the world to re-think urban mobility and consider technology enablers to drive towards a vision of “smart” mobility. Furthermore, the fundamental assumptions underpinning mobility are being challenged.
The Internet Of Things (IotT) has been touted as a promising technology enabler to deliver on a vision of smart mobility. We will examine the current state of IoT ecosystems, IoT enabled smart mobility efforts across the globe and help delineate the architectural considerations and cross-industry industry collaboration that would be essential to successfully deliver on smart mobility initiatives. A simple use case around a town/city smart mobility service will be used to illustrate our approach.
Summary of the output from the problem framing workshop for the GeoVation Challenge 'How can we improve transport in Britain?' held at the London Transport Museum on 19 January 2011.
Keolis, a major player in digital mobility, has announced at the 2017 Netexplo Forum the results of its first international digital mobility observatory.
The observatory targeted 13 smart cities across five continents, to better understand the impact of the digital revolution on the use of public transport.
Three common expectations and 10 fundamentals for the passenger experience of tomorrow have emerged from the studies.
This research illustrates Keolis’ proximity with cities, its commitment to enhance the passenger experience, and to create the smart transport networks of tomorrow.
Fastrack Institute Overview - September 2019.pptxJelly84
Overview of Fastrack Institute - A non-profit organization with a mission to inspire, educate and empower cities and their citizens to find cutting edge, scalable ways to solve urban challenges 10X faster and cheaper than previously thought possible. - September 2019
Pedestrian and Bicycle Resources in Rural and Small Town CommunitiesRPO America
During the 2017 National Regional Transportation Conference, Shari Schaftlein shared information and resources developed by the Federal Highway Administration's Office of Human Environment. These resources focus on bicycle and pedestrian infrastructure in a multimodal context in rural and small communities.
Sustainability is gaining attention and transportation is no exception. MaaS is gaining popularity as the sustainable solution for transportation however associated with number of challenges that are discussed in the presentation. Read more about this topic on: https://roshnirhymes.blogspot.com/2023/08/navigating-sustainable-mobility.html
2011 National ITS Update - 2 25-11 public versionraymurphy9533
The 2011 National ITS Update is a hilevel overview by Ray Murphy of US DOT/FHWA major ITS Initiatives - including the Five Year ITS Strategic Research Plan (2010 – 2014) Major ITS Initiatives such as Applications for the Environment: Real-Time Information Synthesis (AERIS), the Clarus Initiative, the Vehicle Data Translator (VDT), the Integrated Mobile Observing (IMO) Project, and the Connected Vehicle Initiative.
1. Learning from the UK’s Intelligent Infrastructure Scenarios Andrew Curry, The Futures Company
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3. Summarising the scenarios Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport Low impact Transport Good Intentions Urban Colonies Perpetual Motion Tribal Trading
4. Technology applied Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport Low impact Transport Perpetual Motion
5. Designing out demand Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport 4 MJP Architects, ‘Sustainable Suburbia’ Low impact Transport Urban Colonies ‘ At a gross density of 50 dph, 5,000 dwellings can be within a 10 minute walk of public services, schools and viable public transport.’
6. The impact of resource limits Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport Low impact Transport 4 Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Tribal Trading
7. Reduction through rationing Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport 4 Economic Insecurity Low impact Transport Good Intentions
8. Accepting of Intelligent Infrastructure Resistant to Intelligent Infrastructure High Impact Transport Low impact Transport Economic Insecurity Good Intentions Perpetual Motion Tribal Trading Urban Colonies
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11. “ How do you want your kids to live? Do you want to walk or drive to get bread? That's the basis of thinking about cities.” http://www.resurgence.org/magazine/article518-CITIES-OF-JOY.html Enrique Penalosa
There are some factors which are contexts for the scenarios – such as energy and resource shortages, increasingly pervasive technology, increasing population, and also an ageing population. These looked at the UK, but the stories are relevant for any affluent economy with a measure of car dependency. Attitudes to infrastructure At one extreme, there is the ‘digital native’ generation, which has grown up using technology and is confident that technology will continue to deliver and protect. Personal data and identity are protected; and continuous investment in physical and IT infrastructure allows the development of systems that are flexible, adaptive and integrated. Businesses take advantage of the integrated intelligent infrastructure to form wide-reaching networks. At the other extreme, intelligent technologies are in place, but are not integrated. Terrorism, viruses, identity theft and fear of disruption and instability mean that people are mistrustful of integrated intelligent systems. Economic uncertainties add to their risk aversion. People rely on legacy infrastructure – or even bypass it where possible. Groups of businesses, and the affluent, use private networks and services. Transport Impact At one extreme on this axis, high carbon emissions, continuing dependence on oil, and a significant waste footprint all contribute to high environmental impact. Social impacts – noise levels, land take and lower social and community cohesion – are prevalent. At the other extreme, clean-fuel technologies have reduced carbon emissions, the waste footprint has shrunk and resource constraints have forced manufacturers to emphasise product longevity. The social impact of faster transport, however, remains equivocal and segments of the community may still be excluded because of uneven access to transport.
Taking the scenarios briefly in turn: Perpetual motion is a story about the application of technlogy to transport. There’s a lot of innovation in the car sector about technology – most of which privileges the car user at the expense of the rest. In terms of increasing the quality of the urban environment – more interesting are the ways in which transport information and services are using social media and open data. The technology innovations about identity and payment which make pay as you go car use possible. And even the use of social media to improve the effectiveness of car-sharing.
Urban colonies is a scenario about designing out demand by replacing mobility with access. It’s about increasing density – the chart above the picture shows the tight correlation between density and energy consumption. Of course, a lot of this is beginning to happen – with the liveable streets agenda. The critical density is 50 dwellings per hectare according to research from an English architecture practice – this creates enough density for services and transport hubs to be within a ten minute walk – which is a threshold for not turning to the car.
The scenarios on the left are about limits being imposed. At the bottom, resource intensive personal transport and no management technology leads to a world of overshoot and collapse – this is the world of limits to growth. We know from the evidence that changes in prices does change transport behaviour, eventually, but not by much. We also know that the bottlenecks and constraints make for an uneven transition in which it is hard to maintain social cohesion. The depiction of this scenario in the report is extreme – it is probably closer to 2075 than 2055 – but this was necessary to make a point about the risks of unmanaged transition.
So if unmanaged shift ends in social disaster, what does managed shift look like? The 15 or so European cities which have introduced congestion charging tell the story. Where political leaders have managed to introduce simple road pricing, then it has become more popular afterwards. (As the chart of attitudes in Stockholm shows, though still barely at 50% support). The technology matters and so does trust – resistance to road pricing plans in the UK has been partly about the satellite tracking technology which would be involved – people saw this as being intrusive (the British state is intrusive enough already). But if we are to reduce car use as much as we need to do to get carbon emissions down fast enough – using technology for rationing seems inevitable.
So those are the scenarios – the illustrations, by the way, were done for the project by Foster Partners. There is a little more information about each in the annex to my presentation. What are the implications for urban transport policy?
“ Perpetual Motion describes a society driven by constant information, consumption and competition. In this world, instant communication and continuing globalisation have fuelled growth: demand for travel remains strong. New, cleaner, fuel technologies are increasingly popular. Road use is causing less environmental damage, although the volume and speed of traffic remains high. Aviation still relies on carbon fuels and remains expensive. It is increasingly replaced by ‘telepresencing’ technology (for business) and rapid train systems (for travel).”
“ In Urban Colonies, investment in technology primarily focuses on minimising environmental impacts. In this world, good environmental practice is at the heart of the UK’s economic and social policies; sustainable buildings, distributed power generation and new urban planning policies have created compact, sustainable cities. Transport is permitted only if green and clean – car use is still energyexpensive and is restricted. Public transport – electric and low-energy – is efficient and widely used. Competitive cities have the IT infrastructure needed to link high-value knowledge businesses, but there is poor integration of IT supporting transport systems. Rural areas have become more isolated, effectively acting as food and bio-fuel sources for cities. Consumption has fallen. Resource use is now a fundamental part of the tax system and disposable items are less popular.”
“ Tribal Trading describes a world that has been through a sharp and savage energy shock. The world has stabilised, but only after a global recession has left millions unemployed. The global economic system is severely damaged and infrastructure is falling into disrepair. Long-distance travel is a luxury that few can afford and, for most people, the world has shrunk to their own community. Cities have declined and local food production and services have increased. Canals and sea-going vessels carry freight: the rail network is worthwhile only for high-value long-distance cargoes and trips. There are still some cars, but local transport is typically by bike and by horse. There are local conflicts over resources: lawlessness and mistrust are high. The state does what it can – but its power has been eroded.”
“ Good Intentions describes a world in which the need to reduce carbon emissions constrains personal mobility. A tough national surveillance system ensures that people travel only if they have sufficient carbon ‘points’. Intelligent cars monitor and report on the environmental cost of journeys. In-car systems adjust speed to minimise emissions. Traffic volumes have fallen and mass transportation is used more widely. Businesses have adopted energy-efficient practices: they use sophisticated wireless identification and tracking systems to optimise logistics and distribution. Some rural areas pool community carbon credits for local transport provision but many are struggling. There are concerns that the world has not yet done enough to respond to the human activity which has caused the environmental damage. Airlines continue to exploit loopholes in the carbon enforcement framework. The market has failed to provide a realistic alternative energy source.”