The document discusses new mobility trends including shared mobility services like ride-hailing, shifting from private vehicle ownership to on-demand access, electric vehicles, autonomous vehicles, and predictions about their impacts. It notes the growth of services like Uber and Didi in cities around the world, emerging models in India, ambitious electric vehicle sales targets announced by automakers, and predictions that autonomous vehicles could allow for reduced fleet sizes and changed street design. It raises questions about whether cities should first identify goals to guide adoption of new technologies or allow experimentation initially, and how to ensure access for lower income populations.

1. A product of WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities
FUTURE OF MOBILITY
Connect Karo 2018

2. WE STAND AT A
STRANGE TIME FOR
TRANSPORTATION

4. WHAT IS NEW MOBILITY?
New mobility is a loose term for models using technology to deliver
transport in new ways. The most talked about disruptions are:

5. FROM JUST-IN-CASE OWNERSHIP TO JUST-IN-
TIME SERVICE
Shared
mobility

6. Didi alone: 20 million trips a day

7. SHIFTING MODE CHOICE, DECISION MAKING
Clewlow, R.R. & Mishra, G.S. Working Paper. October 2017
Survey question: “What would you consider the most important
versus least important reason you use on-demand mobility
services such as Uber or Lyft instead of public transit?
Survey question: If Uber or Lyft were unavailable, which
transportation alternatives would you use for trips that you
make using Uber or Lyft?
Shared
mobility

8. IN INDIA
• On-demand taxi
– Over 100 cities
– 15 million trips a week
– X, Go, Micro, Mini, XL, Black, Pool, Auto, Moto, Hire, Outstation, Lux,
Pedal…
• Emerging models
– Shared bicycles
– Demand responsive bus
– Car and motorbike short term use
– On-demand delivery
• $1.65 billion in 2016 (INR10,400 crore)
Shared
mobility

9. GLOBAL STOCK OF ELECTRIC VEHICLES
https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/GlobalEVOutlook2017.pdf
Electric
mobility

10. AMBITIOUS ANNOUNCEMENTS BY OEMS
https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/GlobalEVOutlook2017.pdf
OEM Announcement
BMW EVs to constitute 15-25% of the BMW group's sales by 2025
Chevrolet (GM) 30 thousand annual electric car sales by 2017
Chinese OEMs 4.52 million annual electric car sales by 2020
Daimler 0.1 million annual electric car sales by 2020
Ford 13 new EV models by 2020
Honda Two-thirds of the 2030 sales to be electrified vehicles
Renault-Nissan 1.5 million cumulative sale of electric cars by 2020
Tesla 0.5 million annual electric car sales by 2018; 1 million by 2020
Volkswagen 2-3 million annual electric car sales by 2025
Volvo 1 million cumulative electric car sales by 2025
Electric
mobility

11. AND NATIONAL GOVERNMENTS
International Energy Agency 2016
Electric
mobility

12. DRIVERLESS CAR PREDICTIONS
Hidalgo, Dario, The City Fix, 2017
Autonomous
& connected

13. PROMISE OF REDUCED FLEET, PARKING, COST
AND IMPROVED EFFICIENCY
Patrick M. Bosch, Felix Becker, Henrik Becker, Kay W. Axhausen
Autonomous
& connected

14. COMPLETE REDESIGN OF STREETS, CURBS,
NORMS
Autonomous
& connected

15. WHAT DO PEOPLE
WANT?
Optimization
Autonomy
Flow
Affordability
Security
Equitable
access
Emissions
Safety Congestion
WHAT ARE THE STAKES
FOR CITIES?

16. 1. Should cities first identify goals in order to drive the protocols
we adopt with new models and technologies?
2. Should cities allow for active experimentation and worry
about regulation and control later?
3. How do we ensure these technologies achieve access for all
and ensure needs of lower income populations are met?