This report from the Coastal Bend COVID Task Force summarizes the latest COVID-19 data and trends for the Texas Coastal Bend region. Active cases are down 15% with over 40,000 recoveries reported. The transmission rate is estimated between 0.8-1.1. While hospitalizations and fatalities are declining, increased vaccinations are needed to prevent another major outbreak as cell phone data shows a drop in social distancing after Spring Break. Continued safety measures like face coverings, social distancing, and limiting gatherings are encouraged.

1. 1
@CBCOVID
TEXAS COASTAL BEND
COVID-19 PANDEMIC REPORT
April 09, 2021
Coastal Bend COVID Task Force

2. ADDRESS PUBLIC CONCERNS &
QUESTIONS ABOUT COVID-19 &
INTERVENTIONS
ENABLE EVIDENCE-BASED
DECISION MAKING
2
TASK FORCE OBJECTIVES
@CBCOVID

3. 1. GET VACCINATED
2. AVOID CROWDS
3. FACE COVERINGS & SOCIAL DISTANCING
4. ISOLATE WHEN EXPOSED OR SYMPTOMATIC
5. PARTIAL-ALL REMOTE SCHOOLING
3
COVID-19 INTERVENTIONS
@CBCOVID
HIGH RISK
NuecesKnows.com/risk-dashboard

4. 40,387 RECOVERIES
COASTAL BEND “COVID CONFIRMED” CASES
42,258 TOTAL CASES
634
ACTIVE
CASES
@CBCOVID
ACTIVE CASES
DOWN 15%

5. 75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
TRANSMISSION RATE ESTIMATION
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
Rt = 0.8 – 1.1
MODEL FIT
100%
MODEL CALIBRATION
Weekly New Cases
Simulated New Infections

6. 75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
DAILY CONFIRMED COVID CASES
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
PROJECTION
100%

7. 7
80+
65-79
18-39
@CBCOVID
0-17
40-64

8. LIVE OAK
ARANSAS
BROOKS
8
NUECES
BEE
KLEBERG
JIM WELLS
@CBCOVID
ARANSAS
SAN PATRICIO

9. 75% 50%
AMARILLO
DAL/FTW
HOUSTON
EL PASO
S. TEXAS
AUSTIN
SAN ANT
75% Business
Capacity
LONGVW
DAILY COVID CASES PER 100K
TEXAS PUBLIC HEALTH REGIONS
@CBCOVID
CONTINUED
DECREASE
100%

10. DAILY CENSUS COVID INPATIENTS
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
PROJECTION
100%
INCREASED
INPATIENTS PER
COVID CASE

11. CENSUS ICU PATIENTS: APR 07
COASTAL BEND
NON-
COVID
COVID
159
142
17
ICU COVID PATIENTS
DECREASING
COVID
@CBCOVID

12. PAUSE VIDEO TO
INSPECT
PATIENT
CENSUS
NON-COVID
COVID
COVID
@CBCOVID
TEXAS ICU PATIENTS: APR 07

13. PATIENT
CENSUS
NON-COVID
COVID
COVID
@CBCOVID
TEXAS ICU PATIENTS: APR 07
EFFECT OF
COVID ON ICU
RELATIVELY LOW
IN MOST OF
STATE

14. 14
DAILY COVID FATALITIES
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
PROJECTION
100%

15. 15
COASTAL BEND COVID-19 FATALITIES
* Death certificates
from past 14 days still
being processed
@CBCOVID
753 NUECES
1,237* COASTAL
BEND

17. 21%

18. VACCINATIONS
SLOWING
DOWN

19. ICE STORM
CHRISTMAS
NONESSENTIAL
VISITS
DISTANCE
TRAVELLED
ENCOUNTERS
NUECES CELL PHONE METRICS
NORMAL
SPRING
BREAK

20. SUMMARY
20
@CBCOVID
•Transmission rate 0.8 – 1.1
•Hospitalizations, fatalities declining/leveling
•Cell phone metrics dropping after Spring Break
•If we rely only on vaccinations to slow down COVID
transmission, there could be another major outbreak
• Stay vigilant
• Get vaccinated if you can
• Face coverings (double up) + social distancing
• Multi-household celebrations discouraged

21. 21
@CBCOVID
TEXAS COASTAL BEND
COVID-19 PANDEMIC REPORT
April 09, 2021
Coastal Bend COVID Task Force