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@CBCOVID
TEXAS COASTAL BEND
COVID-19 PANDEMIC REPORT
May 14, 2021
Coastal Bend COVID Task Force
ADDRESS PUBLIC CONCERNS &
QUESTIONS ABOUT COVID-19 &
INTERVENTIONS
ENABLE EVIDENCE-BASED
DECISION MAKING
2
TASK FORCE OBJECTIVES
@CBCOVID
1. GET VACCINATED (12+ yo)
2. ISOLATE WHEN EXPOSED OR SYMPTOMATIC
3. IF NOT VACCINATED
1. GET VACCINATED
2. FACE COVERINGS & SOCIAL DISTANCING
3. AVOID CROWDS
3
COVID-19 INTERVENTIONS
@CBCOVID
HIGH MODERATE MODERATE
MINIMAL HIGH MODERATE
NuecesKnows.com/risk-dashboard
41,585 RECOVERIES
COASTAL BEND “COVID CONFIRMED” CASES
43,395 TOTAL CASES
530
ACTIVE
CASES
@CBCOVID
10% DECREASE IN
ACTIVE CASES
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
TRANSMISSION RATE ESTIMATION
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
Rt = 0.78
MODEL FIT
100%
PROJECTION
MODEL CALIBRATION
Actual Weekly New Cases
Simulated Weekly New Cases
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
DAILY CONFIRMED COVID CASES
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
PROJECTION
100%
SLIGHTLY
INCREASING
7
80+
65-79
18-39
@CBCOVID
0-17
40-64
LIVE OAK
ARANSAS
8
NUECES
@CBCOVID
BEE
DUVAL
JIM WELLS
SAN PATRICIO
9
ARANSAS
NUECES
MCALLEN
SAN PAT
LAREDO
BRNSVL
SAN ANT
VICTORIA
MIXED
DAILY COVID CASES PER 100K
SELECTED SOUTH TEXAS COUNTIES
@CBCOVID
75% 50%
AMARILLO
DAL/FTW
HOUSTON
EL PASO
S. TEXAS
AUSTIN
SAN ANT
75% Business
Capacity
LONGVW
DAILY COVID CASES PER 100K
TEXAS PUBLIC HEALTH REGIONS
@CBCOVID
MIXED-LEVEL
100%
DAILY CENSUS COVID INPATIENTS
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75%
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
100%
PROJECTION
DECREASED IN
PAST WEEK
CENSUS ICU PATIENTS: MAY 12
COASTAL BEND
NON-
COVID
COVID
152
133
19
ICU COVID PATIENTS
DECREASED
COVID
@CBCOVID
PAUSE VIDEO TO
INSPECT
PATIENT
CENSUS
NON-COVID
COVID
COVID
@CBCOVID
TEXAS ICU PATIENTS: MAY 12
PATIENT
CENSUS
NON-COVID
COVID
COVID
@CBCOVID
ICU STRESS FROM COVID: MAY 12
EFFECT OF
COVID ON ICU
RELATIVELY LOW
IN MOST OF
STATE
15
DAILY COVID FATALITIES
COASTAL BEND
@CBCOVID
75% Business
Capacity
50%
75% 100%
PROJECTION
LEVEL
16
COASTAL BEND COVID-19 FATALITIES
* Death certificates
from past 14 days still
being processed
@CBCOVID
809 NUECES
1,280* COASTAL
BEND
32%
INCREASING
ROUGHLY
LINEARLY
80+
65-79
12-15
0-11
16-49
50-64
39%
80+
65-79
12-15
0-11
16-49
50-64
SUMMARY
24
@CBCOVID
•New cases declined
•Hospitalizations, fatalities declining
•Victoria is a COVID hotspot
• Stay vigilant
• Get vaccinated if you can
• If not vaccinated: face coverings (double up) + social
distancing
• Seasonality?
25
@CBCOVID
TEXAS COASTAL BEND
COVID-19 PANDEMIC REPORT
May 14, 2021
Coastal Bend COVID Task Force

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2021_05_14 CBCovid Texas Coastal Bend Pandemic Report May 14, 2021