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H-Town Day 2010Understanding Houston’s Past, Present & FutureHouston Association of REALTORS®  Thursday, October 21, 2010 Daniel G. Bellow, CRE, SIOR, CCIM President-Houston Jones Lang LaSalle Americas
If Houston were a state,  it would be larger than… New Jersey = 8,722 Sq. Mi. Houston MSA 10,062 sq. mi.  New Hampshire = 9,351 Sq. Mi. Vermont = 9,615 Sq. Mi. 2
If Houston were a state,  it would be more populous than… Houston MSA Population = 5,867,489   Minnesota = 5,266,214 Wisconsin = 5,654,774 Maryland = 5,699,478 3
If Houston were a state,  it would have more jobs than… Maryland = 2,492,100 Houston MSA 2,508,000 jobs Arizona = 2,382,300 Colorado = 2,206,100 4
If Houston were a state,  it would rank… 5 ,[object Object]
19th in population
20th in jobsIf it were a sovereign nation, Houston would have the world’s 23rd largest economy
…its GDP would be larger than… Houston MSA GRP = $325.5 billion  Houston MSA GDP = $403.2 billion  Belgium = $390.5 billion Malaysia = $386.6 billion Venezuela = $357.9 billion 6
Houston-Area Industry Mix ,[object Object]
Health Care/Biotechnology
Electronics and Technology
International Business
Engineering
Chemicals
Energy
Logistics
Corporate Headquarters7
Aerospace  Home to NASA’s Johnson Space Center 18,000+ employees (3,300 civil, 15,000 contract) Major contractors: Boeing,  Lockheed, Raytheon $1.35 billion – Houston’s  2009 total trade in aircraft, spacecraft and parts, up 53.2 percent  from 2008 8
Health Care Texas Medical Center -  the world’s largest 46.0 million gross sq ft physical space 93,500 employees 49 member institutions, including 13 hospitals  21 educational institutions, 71,500 students $7.1 billion capital investment through 2014 5.6 million patient visits annually More than 18,000 international patients 9
Electronics & Technology 250+ establishments Major employers include: HP, Benchmark, BMC, Foxconn, Texas Instruments Software development centers include:  Texas Medical Center, JSC, Rice, UH, Texas A&M 10
International Business $167 billion in trade 3,000+ international companies 92 consulates 22 foreign banks 62 of the 100 largest foreign corporations Over one in five residents foreign-born 11
Engineering ,[object Object]
25 of U.S. top 25 engineering and design firms have Houston offices
Operations in every region of the world
86,300 engineers, architects and technicians12
Chemicals 40.8% of the U.S. base petrochemical manufacturing capacity 400+ chemical plants 31,000+ employees (refining & chemicals) Comprehensive, developed infrastructure 13
Energy ,[object Object]
More than 3,700 establishments:
30.6% of U.S. jobs in oil and gas extraction
13.7% of U.S. jobs in oil field services
13.5% of U.S. jobs in O&G and construction machinery manufacturing14
Logistics – Port of Houston 15th busiest in the world First in the U.S. in foreign tonnage Second in U.S. in total tonnage 220 million tons annually 7,700+  deep draft ships called at Houston Service between Houston and more than 1,000 world ports 15
Logistics – Rail  One of nation’s busiest rail centers Burlington Northern Santa Fe Union Pacific Texas Mexican Railway 800 miles of mainline track 2,200 trains per week  Typical commodities:  chemicals, plastics, grain, forest products, coal, minerals and steel  16
Logistics – Bush IAH ,[object Object]
8th busiest in U.S.
48.5 million in ’09
Air cargo
11th busiest int’l hub
336.8 million metric import tons in ’09
11 international carriers
67 destinations

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2010 HAR H-Town Day- Daniel G. Bellow, CRE, SIOR, CCIM

  • 1. H-Town Day 2010Understanding Houston’s Past, Present & FutureHouston Association of REALTORS® Thursday, October 21, 2010 Daniel G. Bellow, CRE, SIOR, CCIM President-Houston Jones Lang LaSalle Americas
  • 2. If Houston were a state, it would be larger than… New Jersey = 8,722 Sq. Mi. Houston MSA 10,062 sq. mi. New Hampshire = 9,351 Sq. Mi. Vermont = 9,615 Sq. Mi. 2
  • 3. If Houston were a state, it would be more populous than… Houston MSA Population = 5,867,489 Minnesota = 5,266,214 Wisconsin = 5,654,774 Maryland = 5,699,478 3
  • 4. If Houston were a state, it would have more jobs than… Maryland = 2,492,100 Houston MSA 2,508,000 jobs Arizona = 2,382,300 Colorado = 2,206,100 4
  • 5.
  • 7. 20th in jobsIf it were a sovereign nation, Houston would have the world’s 23rd largest economy
  • 8. …its GDP would be larger than… Houston MSA GRP = $325.5 billion Houston MSA GDP = $403.2 billion Belgium = $390.5 billion Malaysia = $386.6 billion Venezuela = $357.9 billion 6
  • 9.
  • 18. Aerospace Home to NASA’s Johnson Space Center 18,000+ employees (3,300 civil, 15,000 contract) Major contractors: Boeing, Lockheed, Raytheon $1.35 billion – Houston’s 2009 total trade in aircraft, spacecraft and parts, up 53.2 percent from 2008 8
  • 19. Health Care Texas Medical Center - the world’s largest 46.0 million gross sq ft physical space 93,500 employees 49 member institutions, including 13 hospitals 21 educational institutions, 71,500 students $7.1 billion capital investment through 2014 5.6 million patient visits annually More than 18,000 international patients 9
  • 20. Electronics & Technology 250+ establishments Major employers include: HP, Benchmark, BMC, Foxconn, Texas Instruments Software development centers include: Texas Medical Center, JSC, Rice, UH, Texas A&M 10
  • 21. International Business $167 billion in trade 3,000+ international companies 92 consulates 22 foreign banks 62 of the 100 largest foreign corporations Over one in five residents foreign-born 11
  • 22.
  • 23. 25 of U.S. top 25 engineering and design firms have Houston offices
  • 24. Operations in every region of the world
  • 25. 86,300 engineers, architects and technicians12
  • 26. Chemicals 40.8% of the U.S. base petrochemical manufacturing capacity 400+ chemical plants 31,000+ employees (refining & chemicals) Comprehensive, developed infrastructure 13
  • 27.
  • 28. More than 3,700 establishments:
  • 29. 30.6% of U.S. jobs in oil and gas extraction
  • 30. 13.7% of U.S. jobs in oil field services
  • 31. 13.5% of U.S. jobs in O&G and construction machinery manufacturing14
  • 32. Logistics – Port of Houston 15th busiest in the world First in the U.S. in foreign tonnage Second in U.S. in total tonnage 220 million tons annually 7,700+ deep draft ships called at Houston Service between Houston and more than 1,000 world ports 15
  • 33. Logistics – Rail One of nation’s busiest rail centers Burlington Northern Santa Fe Union Pacific Texas Mexican Railway 800 miles of mainline track 2,200 trains per week Typical commodities: chemicals, plastics, grain, forest products, coal, minerals and steel 16
  • 34.
  • 39. 336.8 million metric import tons in ’09
  • 44. Houston Business Cycle Real GDP July ‘08 We’re somewhere here. March ‘09 Time 18
  • 45. Where Houston lost jobs Houston jobs lost from the month of peak employment to the month of employment trough. 19
  • 46. Houston jobs recovered so far Shaded part indicates Houston jobs gained in recovery so far. 20
  • 47. The Recession… A back of envelope calculation 21
  • 48. The Recession… A back of envelope calculation 22
  • 49. Houston Purchasing Managers Index Sep`10 53.6 Neutral = 50 March `09 39.0 Source:National Association of Purchasing Management - Houston, Inc. 23
  • 50. North American Rig Count Sep`10 1,655 June `09 895 Source:Baker Hughes 24
  • 51. HAS Passengers (12-month total, millions) Aug`10 49.0 M August `09 47.6 M Source:Houston Airport System 25
  • 52. Single-Family Home Sales (12-month total) Sept `10 53,399 August `09 51,667 Source:Houston Association of Realtors 26
  • 53. Motor Vehicle Sales (12-month total, thousands) Aug `10 235,504 December `09 218,700 Source:InfoNation, Inc. 27
  • 54. Payroll Employment (thousands, seasonally unadjusted) Aug `10 2.511 M Jan `10 2.479 M 49,000 private sector jobs added since Jan ‘10 Source:Texas Workforce Commission GREATER HOUSTON PARTNERSHIP Houston.org 28
  • 55. What does the future look like for Houston?
  • 56. What does the future look like for Houston? What will the recovery look like? Not like ’07 – ’08 More like ‘05 – ’06 30
  • 57. What does the future look like for Houston? What will the recovery look like? ’07 – ’08 was not “the norm” $145 barrel oil Price more than doubling in 12 months 100,000 jobs per year Almost double historical pace $240 billion in foreign trade Up nearly 50 percent from three years earlier 50,000 single family starts Up nearly 50 percent from three years earlier 31
  • 58. What does the future look like for Houston? ‘05 and ’06 are more like the “norm” You can expect . . . $75 – $85 barrel oil Slightly above historic trend 50,000 – 60,000 jobs per year Significantly fewer jobs created in ’10 Job growth returning in ’11 32
  • 59. What does the future look like for Houston? ‘05 and ’06 are more like the “norm” $180 - $190 billion in foreign trade Growth returns as the economy rebounds No distortion from inflated commodity prices 20,000 – 25,000 single family starts Tighter lending standards = fewer new homes 33
  • 60. Gross Regional Product * 2000 Constant Dollars Source:The Perryman Group, Spring/Summer 2010 34
  • 61. Population & Employment Source:The Perryman Group, Spring/Summer 2010 35
  • 62. Ratings of the Houston Area As a Place to Live (1996-2010) Source:Stephen L. Klineberg / Rice University
  • 63. Belief in the “American Work Ethic” (1982-2010) Source:Stephen L. Klineberg / Rice University
  • 64. Houston Region Rankings “#3 Cities with the Strongest Economies” Brookings Institution - June 2009 “Top 10 Cities to Find a Job” U.S. News & World Report - August 2009 “World Capitals of the Future” Forbes.com - September 2009 “#7 World’s Smartest Cities” Forbes.com - December 2009
  • 65. Houston Region Rankings “#3 Best Housing Markets” Forbes.com - February 2010 “Largest Population Gain” U.S. Census Bureau - March 2010 “#4 Cities Where the Recession is Easing” Forbes.com - March 2010 “#3 Best Cities for Job Growth” New Geography and Forbes: Large Cities Ranking 2010 Best Cities for Jobs - April 2010
  • 66. Houston Region Rankings “Top Destination City” U-Haul International - April 2010 “Home to 25 Fortune 500 Headquarters” Fortune - April 2010 “Top U.S. Manufacturing Cities” Manufacturers’ News Inc. - May 21, 2010 “Best Cities for Young Professionals” Forbes.com - June 17, 2010
  • 67. H-Town Day 2010Understanding Houston’s Past, Present & FutureHouston Association of REALTORS® Thursday, October 21, 2010 Daniel G. Bellow, CRE, SIOR, CCIM President-Houston Jones Lang LaSalle Americas 41

Editor's Notes

  1. Regional Annual Economic Impact - $14 billionAnnual Research Expenditures - $1 billion