Not Standing
        Still
 What Builders are
 Actually Changing
  to Meet the New
      Reality
                     By
Andy Warren, John Burns, Kathleen Cecilian, and
                George Casey
Not Standing Still
  A Focus on Human
       Capital

      Andy Warren
       President
     Maracay Homes
People Performance Formula:
1. Start with the right people
  – Gateway to Maracay
2. Equip them with the resources they need to
   be successful
  – Maracay Method
3. Hold them accountable for results
  – Visible metrics; FOSA
Not Standing Still
  Analysis Opens
 Opportunities and
  Identifies Risks
          John Burns
             CEO
     John Burns Consulting
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
•   Microneighborhood Analysis
    • Microeconomy – Where do they
       work, in addition to
       demographics and
       psychographics.
    • Resale- Have seen and
       understand every recent resale.
•   Pushing Hard on the Architects
    • Giving them a (small) budget to
       actually do research!
    • Prove it, prove it, prove it!
    • Pushing against their creative
       nature.

                                   5
                                         realestateconsulting.com
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
•   Consumer Research, especially Developers
    • Mining their email Interest Lists Hard
    • Visiting people in their homes to see
       how they live
    • Focus groups, especially realtors
    • Conjoint cost tradeoff analysis
•   Using technology
    • Google Earth with overlays
    • Zillow and realtor.com on ipad while
       in the field
    • AVM and RMBS tools




                                   6
                                               realestateconsulting.com
Builders and Developers Have Become Very
                    Analytical
•    New Tools and Statistics
     • Proprietary Risk Indices
     • Proprietary Submarket Grading
     • Demand Models by Household
        Composition and Price Range
     • Centralizing Data Collection and
        Disseminating
•    Equity partners push even harder
     • Make me fall in love with this deal
     • You better know every answer when
        I ask the question
     • Protect my downside, with 3 opinions
     • Upgrade your salespeople and your
        management team
                                  7
                                              realestateconsulting.com
Not Standing Still
   The New House:
Re-Thinking the Entire
       Business
      Kathleen Cecilian
          President
     Cecilian Worldwide
Not Standing Still
A 93 Year Old Start-
         up:
   With Cashflow
       George Casey
           CEO
      Orleans Homes
Orleans Homes

Goal: Become the prototype 21st century
           homebuilder
     • Use Bankruptcy’s 2nd chance wisely
Four Main Focus Points
  – Market Niche focused
     • Operate like a consumer driven company
     • Organize to do marketing and market research different
  – Operationally Excellent
     • Learn to be world class operators
     • Cycle time reduction
     • Benchmark against best
Orleans Homes

• Four Main Focus Points (continued)
  – Organizationally Efficient
     • Use technology; what would Apple do?
     • Focus on productivity by being smarter
     • Morale is a competitive weapon
  – Great Stewards of Capital
     • Teach organization the discipline of investors
     • Recognize that cheap debt is gone; have to make
       equity returns
Not Standing Still


    Panel
  Discussion

Not Standing Still; What Builders are Actually Changing to Meet the New Reality (George Casey)

  • 1.
    Not Standing Still What Builders are Actually Changing to Meet the New Reality By Andy Warren, John Burns, Kathleen Cecilian, and George Casey
  • 2.
    Not Standing Still A Focus on Human Capital Andy Warren President Maracay Homes
  • 3.
    People Performance Formula: 1.Start with the right people – Gateway to Maracay 2. Equip them with the resources they need to be successful – Maracay Method 3. Hold them accountable for results – Visible metrics; FOSA
  • 4.
    Not Standing Still Analysis Opens Opportunities and Identifies Risks John Burns CEO John Burns Consulting
  • 5.
    Builders and DevelopersHave Become Very Analytical • Microneighborhood Analysis • Microeconomy – Where do they work, in addition to demographics and psychographics. • Resale- Have seen and understand every recent resale. • Pushing Hard on the Architects • Giving them a (small) budget to actually do research! • Prove it, prove it, prove it! • Pushing against their creative nature. 5 realestateconsulting.com
  • 6.
    Builders and DevelopersHave Become Very Analytical • Consumer Research, especially Developers • Mining their email Interest Lists Hard • Visiting people in their homes to see how they live • Focus groups, especially realtors • Conjoint cost tradeoff analysis • Using technology • Google Earth with overlays • Zillow and realtor.com on ipad while in the field • AVM and RMBS tools 6 realestateconsulting.com
  • 7.
    Builders and DevelopersHave Become Very Analytical • New Tools and Statistics • Proprietary Risk Indices • Proprietary Submarket Grading • Demand Models by Household Composition and Price Range • Centralizing Data Collection and Disseminating • Equity partners push even harder • Make me fall in love with this deal • You better know every answer when I ask the question • Protect my downside, with 3 opinions • Upgrade your salespeople and your management team 7 realestateconsulting.com
  • 8.
    Not Standing Still The New House: Re-Thinking the Entire Business Kathleen Cecilian President Cecilian Worldwide
  • 12.
    Not Standing Still A93 Year Old Start- up: With Cashflow George Casey CEO Orleans Homes
  • 13.
    Orleans Homes Goal: Becomethe prototype 21st century homebuilder • Use Bankruptcy’s 2nd chance wisely Four Main Focus Points – Market Niche focused • Operate like a consumer driven company • Organize to do marketing and market research different – Operationally Excellent • Learn to be world class operators • Cycle time reduction • Benchmark against best
  • 14.
    Orleans Homes • FourMain Focus Points (continued) – Organizationally Efficient • Use technology; what would Apple do? • Focus on productivity by being smarter • Morale is a competitive weapon – Great Stewards of Capital • Teach organization the discipline of investors • Recognize that cheap debt is gone; have to make equity returns
  • 15.
    Not Standing Still Panel Discussion