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Session 6: Business Models
The Bridge Between a “Good
Idea” and a Realistic Financial
Model of Your Business
Session Agenda
 So far we’ve: started to quantify opportunities,
 looked at market sizing, and looked at
 marketing/sales strategies
 Now we’ll: build a template to determine if we
 have a real business
 We will do the Clear Ear Business Model, and
 The Clear Ear “Elevator Pitch” to convince
 investors we’ve got what it takes to make
 everyone rich
The Business Model
  The business is composed of a number
  of different component pieces
     Each of which can be studied
     Each piece can be projected
  When all the pieces come together, do
  you have a “going concern” that is able
  to make money
Many types of business
models
  HW – systems
  HW – components / consumer
  SW – enterprise
  SE – consumer
  Semiconducters
  Semi Equipment
  Service providers (xSP)
  Consulting
  Restaurant Chains / Consumer Business
  Bio-Tech
  Etc.
Each model is unique
  Manufacturing model
     High price / low volume
     Low price / high volume
  Sales Model
     Enterprise sell
     Consumer sell
  One time costs
     Development
     tooling
Working models are visible
  They are the existing profitable companies
  They are all around us
  We can examine their components
     COGs
     Gross margins
     Ongoing development costs
     Cost of sales and marketing
     Capital intensity, etc.
  You should assume that mature companies
  are staffed with very smart people who work
  hard at increasing productivity and holding
  costs down!!
A startup is different
  Startup
      No revenues
      High development costs
      Uncertain model, etc


  However, we should be able to know where
  we are going by looking at other companies
  Our models should mature into the selected
  models closest to our business idea
Basic Building Blocks –
   Department Budget

        Startup                                Model
   Y1              Y2                  Y3             Y4
Income          Income              Income          Income
Statement       Statement           Statement       Statement

  Balance         Balance             Balance         Balance
  Sheet           Sheet               Sheet           Sheet

    Cash Flow       Cash Flow           Cash Flow       Cash Flow
What are the components that
need modeling
  One time costs
     Development
     Tooling
     brand
  Ongoing costs
     Size of market (Including Which Segments)
     Price of product
     Cost of sales / marketing
     Cost of product
     Cost of services
One time costs
  Development
     Only D, no R
     Too much / too long = too much risk
  Tooling
     What is the cost/volume assumptions that make
      the business work
  Brand
     Is brand recognition required
     what is the cost to get it
        how unique is the product
        How much noise in the market
  Are the one time costs in overall proportion to
  the Venture???
Size of market
  Total available market
  Served available market
  Competitors in the market
  If successful, how large a company
  could we build?
     What do VC’s need to see
Price of product
  What is the market elasticity
     At any price, what is the market size
  What are prices of similar products
     Can I sell for more because of feature
      richness, unique capabilities
     Must I sell for less, how much less
  Can I produce this product competitively
Cost of sales – sales model
  End user direct
     Productivity assumptions
        Usually less than ½ mature company
        New hire time to productivity
     Overheads
        SE’s
        Manager’s
        Remote offices
       T & E
     Marketing support
Cost of sales – sales model
  Channel
   How many tiers?
   Channel discounts

   Channel sales

   Marketing programs and support
Cost of product
  Cost / volume curve – where do I have
  to be to make money?
  Critical components
  Material Lead times / expediting
  Scrap
  Product life cycle transitions
Cost of services
  Competitive price of services
  Cost of selling services
  Efficiency of resources
     Downtime
     Training
     Reusable skills
  Overheads
Key Variables – Enterprise
Software Company
  Time to market
  Sales Model
     Product price
     Cost of Sales
     Sales force productivity
     Channels / Channel conflict vs harmony
  Not important
     Inventory
     Product life cycles
sales in an Enterprise SW
company
  Overall cost per rep
     Specific cost
          OTE = 200
          SE = 100
          1/5 mgr = 60
          Salary overheads = 72
          T&E = 50
          Other = 100
     Total = $580K
  Productivity
     Full productivity < $1 m / year
     Start up quarters = 0, ½, ½, full
     Corporate business planning assumption reduces
      individual productivity expectation by 25%
sales in an Enterprise SW
company
  First year cost = 580
  First year revenue = 0 + 125 + 125 + 250 =
  500
  Planning assumption = $375 first year, 750
  second year
  Sales costs alone may exceed
  revenues during start up phase!!!
  Rising productivity is absolutely required, and
  a mark of successful company / product
Example – price vs. channel
Channel            % Discount      % Discount
                   (from list)     W/ Volume
End user                         0          20
Reseller                     35            40
Distributor                  50            55
Binary OEM                   65            75
Source OEM                   85            90
Very High Volume             95            98
OEM
Key Variables –
Semiconductors
  Intellectual Property
  Design integrity / design cycle
  Yield
  Design wins
     Time to volume
  Technical lead

  Not important
     Marketing (consumer)
Key Variables – Consumer
Electronics
  Brand / Visibility
  Channel
     Channel stuffing / AR
  Inventory
  Life cycle management
  Service costs (perfection of finished
  product)
Key Variables – xSP
  Cost of capital
  Efficiency vs. Scale
  Market share

  Not important
     IP
Key Variables – Professional
Services (consulting)
  Productivity / efficiency
     Billed time vs non-billed
          Vacation, sick time, personal
          Selling
          Training
          Practice development
     Price vs Cost (salary + overheads, etc)
     Typically 40% gross margin
  Special purpose vs general purpose
  consulting
  Development of “Practices”
ClearEar Case Discussion
  Chris Dier Discussion on What
  Happened Based on Decisions
  Discussed in Session 3
For Next Session:
The Elevator Pitch
   Company Name and What Is My Product
   What Problem Do I Solve?
   How Big Is the Market? (I.e. How Important is
   this Problem)
   Why Is My Solution the Basis for a
   Sustainable Business? (Unlike My
   Competitors)
   Why Do I Have the Right Team?
   How Much Money Am I Raising and for
   What?
   All of This Must Come Through in About 90
ClearEar Elevator Pitch
Session 6: Business Models
The Bridge Between a “Good
Idea” and a Realistic Financial
Model of Your Business

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Mark Leslie - Business Models

  • 1. Session 6: Business Models The Bridge Between a “Good Idea” and a Realistic Financial Model of Your Business
  • 2. Session Agenda So far we’ve: started to quantify opportunities, looked at market sizing, and looked at marketing/sales strategies Now we’ll: build a template to determine if we have a real business We will do the Clear Ear Business Model, and The Clear Ear “Elevator Pitch” to convince investors we’ve got what it takes to make everyone rich
  • 3. The Business Model The business is composed of a number of different component pieces  Each of which can be studied  Each piece can be projected When all the pieces come together, do you have a “going concern” that is able to make money
  • 4. Many types of business models HW – systems HW – components / consumer SW – enterprise SE – consumer Semiconducters Semi Equipment Service providers (xSP) Consulting Restaurant Chains / Consumer Business Bio-Tech Etc.
  • 5. Each model is unique Manufacturing model  High price / low volume  Low price / high volume Sales Model  Enterprise sell  Consumer sell One time costs  Development  tooling
  • 6. Working models are visible They are the existing profitable companies They are all around us We can examine their components  COGs  Gross margins  Ongoing development costs  Cost of sales and marketing  Capital intensity, etc. You should assume that mature companies are staffed with very smart people who work hard at increasing productivity and holding costs down!!
  • 7. A startup is different Startup  No revenues  High development costs  Uncertain model, etc However, we should be able to know where we are going by looking at other companies Our models should mature into the selected models closest to our business idea
  • 8. Basic Building Blocks – Department Budget Startup  Model Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Income Income Income Income Statement Statement Statement Statement Balance Balance Balance Balance Sheet Sheet Sheet Sheet Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow
  • 9. What are the components that need modeling One time costs  Development  Tooling  brand Ongoing costs  Size of market (Including Which Segments)  Price of product  Cost of sales / marketing  Cost of product  Cost of services
  • 10. One time costs Development  Only D, no R  Too much / too long = too much risk Tooling  What is the cost/volume assumptions that make the business work Brand  Is brand recognition required  what is the cost to get it  how unique is the product  How much noise in the market Are the one time costs in overall proportion to the Venture???
  • 11. Size of market Total available market Served available market Competitors in the market If successful, how large a company could we build?  What do VC’s need to see
  • 12. Price of product What is the market elasticity  At any price, what is the market size What are prices of similar products  Can I sell for more because of feature richness, unique capabilities  Must I sell for less, how much less Can I produce this product competitively
  • 13. Cost of sales – sales model End user direct  Productivity assumptions  Usually less than ½ mature company  New hire time to productivity  Overheads  SE’s  Manager’s  Remote offices T & E  Marketing support
  • 14. Cost of sales – sales model Channel  How many tiers?  Channel discounts  Channel sales  Marketing programs and support
  • 15. Cost of product Cost / volume curve – where do I have to be to make money? Critical components Material Lead times / expediting Scrap Product life cycle transitions
  • 16. Cost of services Competitive price of services Cost of selling services Efficiency of resources  Downtime  Training  Reusable skills Overheads
  • 17. Key Variables – Enterprise Software Company Time to market Sales Model  Product price  Cost of Sales  Sales force productivity  Channels / Channel conflict vs harmony Not important  Inventory  Product life cycles
  • 18. sales in an Enterprise SW company Overall cost per rep  Specific cost  OTE = 200  SE = 100  1/5 mgr = 60  Salary overheads = 72  T&E = 50  Other = 100  Total = $580K Productivity  Full productivity < $1 m / year  Start up quarters = 0, ½, ½, full  Corporate business planning assumption reduces individual productivity expectation by 25%
  • 19. sales in an Enterprise SW company First year cost = 580 First year revenue = 0 + 125 + 125 + 250 = 500 Planning assumption = $375 first year, 750 second year Sales costs alone may exceed revenues during start up phase!!! Rising productivity is absolutely required, and a mark of successful company / product
  • 20. Example – price vs. channel Channel % Discount % Discount (from list) W/ Volume End user 0 20 Reseller 35 40 Distributor 50 55 Binary OEM 65 75 Source OEM 85 90 Very High Volume 95 98 OEM
  • 21. Key Variables – Semiconductors Intellectual Property Design integrity / design cycle Yield Design wins  Time to volume Technical lead Not important  Marketing (consumer)
  • 22. Key Variables – Consumer Electronics Brand / Visibility Channel  Channel stuffing / AR Inventory Life cycle management Service costs (perfection of finished product)
  • 23. Key Variables – xSP Cost of capital Efficiency vs. Scale Market share Not important  IP
  • 24. Key Variables – Professional Services (consulting) Productivity / efficiency  Billed time vs non-billed  Vacation, sick time, personal  Selling  Training  Practice development  Price vs Cost (salary + overheads, etc)  Typically 40% gross margin Special purpose vs general purpose consulting Development of “Practices”
  • 25. ClearEar Case Discussion Chris Dier Discussion on What Happened Based on Decisions Discussed in Session 3
  • 26. For Next Session: The Elevator Pitch Company Name and What Is My Product What Problem Do I Solve? How Big Is the Market? (I.e. How Important is this Problem) Why Is My Solution the Basis for a Sustainable Business? (Unlike My Competitors) Why Do I Have the Right Team? How Much Money Am I Raising and for What? All of This Must Come Through in About 90
  • 28. Session 6: Business Models The Bridge Between a “Good Idea” and a Realistic Financial Model of Your Business